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Weight, Weight Change, and Coronary Heart Disease in Women: Risk Within the 'Normal' Weight Range
Abstract
OBJECTIVE--To assess the validity of the 1990 US weight guidelines for women that support a substantial gain in weight at approximately 35 years of age and recommend a range of body mass index (BMI) (defined as weight in kilograms divided by the square of height in meters) from 21 to 27 kg/m2, in terms of coronary heart disease (CHD) risk in women. DESIGN--Prospective cohort study. SETTING--Female registered nurses in the United States. PARTICIPANTS--A total of 115,818 women aged 30 to 55 years in 1976 and without a history of previous CHD. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE--Incidence of CHD defined as nonfatal myocardial infarction or fatal CHD. RESULTS--During 14 years of follow-up, 1292 cases of CHD were ascertained. After controlling for age, smoking, menopausal status, postmenopausal hormone use, and parental history of CHD and using as a reference women with a BMI of less than 21 kg/m2, relative risks (RRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for CHD were 1.19 (0.97 to 1.44) for a BMI of 21 to 22.9 kg/m2, 1.46 (1.20 to 1.77) for a BMI of 23 to 24.9 kg/m2, 2.06 (1.72 to 2.48) for a BMI of 25 to 28.9 kg/m2, and 3.56 (2.96 to 4.29) for a BMI of 29 kg/m2 or more. Women who gained weight from 18 years of age were compared with those with stable weight (+/- 5 kg) in analyses that controlled for the same variables as well as BMI at 18 years of age. The RRs and CIs were 1.25 (1.01 to 1.55) for a 5- to 7.9-kg gain, 1.64 (1.33 to 2.04) for an 8- to 10.9-kg gain, 1.92 (1.61 to 2.29) for an 11- to 19-kg gain, and 2.65 (2.17 to 3.22) for a gain of 20 kg or more. Among women with the BMI range of 18 to 25 kg/m2, weight gain after 18 years of age remained a strong predictor of CHD risk. CONCLUSIONS--Higher levels of body weight within the "normal" range, as well as modest weight gains after 18 years of age, appear to increase risks of CHD in middle-aged women. These data provide evidence that current US weight guidelines may be falsely reassuring to the large proportion of women older than 35 years who are within the current guidelines but have potentially avoidable risks of CHD.
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“even modest increases in weight have implications for long-term adiposity-related metabolic dysfunction, diabetes, cardiovascular disease, and cancer.21–24”
From Changes in diet and lifestyle and long-term weight gain in women and men (2011) · cites this paper as [21]
In the citing paper
“Anthropometric measurements and weight changes strongly predict disease outcomes in these cohorts.20–26”
From Changes in diet and lifestyle and long-term weight gain in women and men (2011) · cites this paper as [21]
In the citing paper
“However, even modest increases in weight have been shown to have significant implications for long-term adiposity-related metabolic dysfunction, diabetes, cardiovascular disease, and cancer [28, 46, 135, 208].”
From Sleep and metabolic function (2012) · cites this paper as [208]
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Metadata
- Authors
- Willett, W. C.
- Affiliations
- Brigham and Women's Hospital (US)
- Corresponding author
- Willett, Walter C.
- ORCID
- Willett, Walter C.
- Venue
- JAMA
- Publisher
- American Medical Association (AMA)
- Published
- 1995-02-08
- Volume
- 273
- Issue
- 6
- Pages
- 461
- ISSN
- 0002-9955 (ISSN-L)
- 0098-7484
- OpenAlex
- W2050899593
- Cited by
- 924
- References
- 16
- Citations by year
- 2026: 6 · 2025: 3 · 2024: 8 · 2023: 15 · 2022: 8 · 2021: 12 · 2020: 26 · 2019: 18 · 2018: 13 · 2017: 17 · 2016: 28 · 2015: 23 · 2014: 31 · 2013: 34 · 2012: 43
- FWCI
- 39.33
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Locations
- JAMA (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Funders
- National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute (HL24074, HL34594, R01HL034594)
- National Cancer Institute (CA-40356)
- Topics
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health › Obesity, Physical Activity, Diet
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Oncology › Cancer Risks and Factors
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Endocrinology, Diabetes and Metabolism › Diabetes, Cardiovascular Risks, and Lipoproteins
- Keywords
- coronary artery disease, body mass index, weight gain, weight change, women, myocardial infarction, obesity, cardiovascular risk, registered nurses, postmenopausal hormone use, menopausal status
- MeSH terms
- Adult, Body Weight, Coronary Disease, Diabetes Mellitus, Female, Follow-Up Studies, Humans, Hypertension, Middle Aged, Prospective Studies, Reference Values, Risk Factors, Smoking, Cohort Studies, Weight Gain, Body Mass Index, Multivariate Analysis, Proportional Hazards Models
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
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