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Association Between High-Density Lipoprotein Cholesterol Levels and Adverse Cardiovascular Outcomes in High-risk Populations
Open accessAbstract
Importance: Previous studies have shown lower cardiovascular risk with higher high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C) levels. However, recent data in the general population have shown increased risk of adverse outcomes at very high HDL-C concentrations. Objective: To study the association between very high HDL-C levels (>80 mg/dL) and mortality in patients with coronary artery disease (CAD) and to investigate the association of known HDL-C genotypes with high HDL-C level outcomes. Design, Setting, and Participants: This prospective, multicenter, cohort study, conducted from 2006 to present in the UK and from 2003 to present in Atlanta, Georgia, recruited patients with CAD from the UK Biobank (UKB) and the Emory Cardiovascular Biobank (EmCAB), respectively. Patients without confirmed CAD were excluded from the study. Data analyses were conducted from May 10, 2020, to April 28, 2021. Exposure: High HDL-C levels (>80 mg/dL). Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary outcome was all-cause death. The secondary outcome was cardiovascular death. Results: A total of 14 478 participants (mean [SD] age, 62.1 [5.8] years; 11 034 men [76.2%]) from the UKB and 5467 participants (mean [SD] age, 63.8 [12.3] years; 3632 men [66.4%]) from the EmCAB were included in the study. Over a median follow-up of 8.9 (IQR, 8.0-9.7) years in the UKB and 6.7 (IQR, 4.0-10.8) years in the EmCAB, a U-shaped association with outcomes was observed with higher risk in those with both low and very high HDL-C levels compared with those with midrange values. Very high HDL-C levels (>80 mg/dL) were associated with increased risk of all-cause death (hazard ratio [HR], 1.96; 95% CI, 1.42-2.71; P < .001) and cardiovascular death (HR, 1.71; 95% CI, 1.09-2.68; P = .02) compared with those with HDL-C levels in the range of 40 to 60 mg/dL in the UKB after adjustment for confounding factors. These results were replicated in the EmCAB. These associations persisted after adjustment for the HDL-C genetic risk score within the UKB. Sensitivity analyses demonstrated that the risk of all-cause mortality in the very high HDL-C group was higher among men than women in the UKB (HR, 2.63; 95% CI, 1.75-3.95; P < .001 vs HR, 1.39; 95% CI, 0.82-2.35; P = .23). Conclusions and Relevance: Results of this cohort study suggest that very high HDL-C levels are paradoxically associated with higher mortality risk in individuals with CAD. This association was independent of the common polymorphisms associated with high HDL-C levels.
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“HDL-C is well known to play an anti-atherosclerotic role by protecting against the development of CVD; indeed, increased serum concentrations of HDL-C are strongly inversely related to the risk of atherosclerotic CVD [6,7].”
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“HDL-C is well known to play an anti-atherosclerotic role by protecting against the development of CVD; indeed, increased serum concentrations of HDL-C are strongly inversely related to the risk of atherosclerotic CVD [6,7].”
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“Low serum HDL-C is associated with a higher risk for ASCVD; however, a very high HDL-C has not been shown to be protective against ASCVD [20–22].”
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“protection, but, conversely, they might be associated with an increased risk of all-cause mortality, CV mortality, infections, and dementia in the general population [8-11].”
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“The protective impact of HDL-C would no longer be valid at a high level [31].”
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“Moreover, a prospective, multicenter, cohort study suggested that high HDL-c levels (> 80 mg/ dL) were associated with higher mortality risk in subjects with coronary artery disease [51].”
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Girón, G. O., Otero, S., Nikolaou, P., Alcover, S., Ramos-Regalado, L., Zaragoza, C., Liberale, L., Borrell-Pagés, M., Padró, T., Suades, R., et al. (2026) · European Journal of Clinical Investigation · doi:10.1111/eci.70167 · Cited by 12
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“Dyslipidemia, which is characterized by abnormal lipid profiles, can lead to various health issues such as metabolic syndrome and cardiovascular disease (51–54).”
BackgroundThe association between HDL-c levels and computed tomography-based osteosarcopenia in older adults
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Very high HDL-C levels are associated with higher mortality in patients with CAD
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“[18] found that high levels of HDL-C were associated with high cardiovascular mortality in patients with high serum amyloid A (SAA).”
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“This is confirmed by a recent cohort study from the United Kingdom that identified very high HDL levels being associated with mortality in people with coronary artery disease.(33) We, therefore, assume that the elevated levels of non-HDL and RC could lead to a more atherogenic lipid profile during the COVID-19 pandemi…”
ResultChehab, O., Akl, E., Abdollahi, A., Zeitoun, R., Ambale‐Venkatesh, B., Wu, C. O., Tracy, R. P., Blumenthal, R. S., Post, W. S., Lima, J. A. C., et al. (2023) · Scientific Reports · doi:10.1038/s41598-023-46811-8 · Cited by 10
“Similar results were observed in the UK Biobank and after adjustment of HDL-C genetic risk scores 4 .”
ResultVery low HDL levels: clinical assessment and management
Bonilha, I., Luchiari, B., Nadruz, W., & Sposito, A. (2023) · Archives of Endocrinology and Metabolism · doi:10.20945/2359-3997000000585 · Cited by 12
“The authors found a U-shaped association with higher risk in those with low and high levels of HDL-C compared with those with medium values (90).”
BackgroundOrtiz-Whittingham, L. R., Baumer, Y., Pang, A. P. S., Sampson, M. L., Baez, A. S., Rose, R., Noonan, S. B., Mendez-Silva, J., Collins, B. S., Mitchell, V. M., et al. (2023) · Psychoneuroendocrinology · doi:10.1016/j.psyneuen.2023.106346 · Cited by 12
“Recent studies also suggest that very high HDL-cholesterol levels may not be cardioprotective and are associated with adverse cardiovascular outcomes and allcause mortality risk [15, 16].”
Yang, H. S., Jeong, H. J., Kim, H., Lee, S., & Hur, M. (2023) · Metabolites · doi:10.3390/metabo13121175 · Cited by 9
“Liu et al. [10] conducted a study on patients with coronary artery disease (N = 14,478, male 76%, mean age 62.1 years) recruited from the UK Biobank, with a median follow-up of 8.9 years.”
InfluentialSGLT2 inhibition, high-density lipoprotein, and kidney function: a mendelian randomization study
Wang, Z., Wei, J., Zhao, W., Shi, R., Zhu, Y., Li, X., & Wang, D. (2024) · Lipids in Health and Disease · doi:10.1186/s12944-024-02072-6 · Cited by 9
“Total HDL-C has been reported to have a U-shaped (or J-shaped) dose-response relationship with all-cause and cause-specific mortality in the general population and individuals with coronary artery disease [33–35].”
BackgroundVîlcea, A., Borta, S. M., Popețiu, R. O., Rus, L. A., Pilat, L., Nica, D. V., & Pușchiță, M. (2024) · Medicina · doi:10.3390/medicina60050813 · Cited by 10
Deng, K., Pan, X., Voehler, M., Cai, Q., Cai, H., Shu, X., Gupta, D. K., Lipworth, L. P., Zheng, W., & Yu, D. (2024) · Journal of the American Heart Association · doi:10.1161/jaha.124.034364 · Cited by 8
Meng, H., Zhou, X., Li, L., Liu, Y., Liu, Y., & Zhang, Y. (2024) · Scientific Reports · doi:10.1038/s41598-024-81818-9 · Cited by 8
Nakashima, R., Ikeda, S., Shinohara, K., Matsumoto, S., Yoshida, D., Ono, Y., Nakashima, H., Miyamoto, R., Matsushima, S., Kishimoto, J., et al. (2025) · Scientific Reports · doi:10.1038/s41598-025-92933-6 · Cited by 11
“…have also been suggested to be associated with increased CVD risk; however, the evidence linking HDL to increased CVD risk is not as robust as the evidence linking TG to increased CVD risk, and there are even reports suggesting that higher-than-normal levels of HDL may increase CVD risk 1,10 .”
Diabetes and Lipids: A Review and Update on Lipid Biomarkers and Cardiovascular Risk
Tsushima, Y., & Hatipoğlu, B. (2025) · Endocrine Practice · doi:10.1016/j.eprac.2025.03.011 · Cited by 11
Atherogenic dyslipidemia and incident cardiovascular events in high-risk hypertension
Kazibwe, R., Jehopio, J., Schaich, C. L., Rikhi, R. R., Mirzai, S., Chevli, P. A., Namutebi, J. H., Chebrolu, S., O'Connor, S., Yeboah, J., et al. (2025) · Progress in Cardiovascular Diseases · doi:10.1016/j.pcad.2025.05.006 · Cited by 12
Ichikawa, T., Okada, H., Hamaguchi, M., Hara, M., Takashima, N., Suzuki, S., Tanoue, S., Kato, Y., Nagayoshi, M., Tamura, T., et al. (2025) · Lipids in Health and Disease · doi:10.1186/s12944-025-02634-2 · Cited by 8
“Although low HDL cholesterol levels are known to be associated with an increased risk of coronary artery disease [36], evidence also links very high HDL cholesterol levels to adverse cardiovascular outcomes [37].”
Franczyk, B., Młynarska, E., Rysz-Górzyńska, M., Gluba-Brzózka, A., Rysz, J., Sheth, S., Surma, S., Banach, M., & Toth, P. P. (2025) · American Journal of Preventive Cardiology · doi:10.1016/j.ajpc.2025.101068 · Cited by 10
“Various genetic and environmental factors influence HDL-C levels, yet the associations with all-cause and cardio-vascular mortality predominantly stem from non-genetic causes [93].”
Sun, Y., Cao, D.-H., Zhang, Y., Wu, Y.-H., Jia, Z.-F., Cui, Y., Li, D., Cao, X.-Y., & Jiang, J. (2024) · Lipids in Health and Disease · doi:10.1186/s12944-024-02053-9 · Cited by 9
“Recent cohort study involving approximately 20,000 CAD individuals in the UKB and EmCAB suggested that individuals with CAD who had HDL-C levels above 80 mg/dL had higher mortality rates [41].”
BackgroundSelf-citationZhang, K., Guo, Q.-C., Mu, N., & Liu, C.-H. (2024) · Medicine · doi:10.1097/md.0000000000038563 · Cited by 8
“[5] Glucose metabolism abnormality results in complicated dyslipidemia.”
BackgroundSelf-citationYelamanchili, D., Gillard, B. K., Gotto, A. M., Cainzos‐Achirica, M., Nasir, K., Remaley, A. T., Rosales, C., & Pownall, H. J. (2024) · Journal of Lipid Research · doi:10.1016/j.jlr.2024.100707 · Cited by 8
Tian, Z., Soltani, S., Bauersachs, J. K., Schmidt-Ott, K. M., Melk, A., & Schmidt, B. M. W. (2024) · medRxiv · doi:10.1101/2024.03.04.24303751 · Cited by 9
Zhou, C., Zeng, J., Gao, X., Chen, D., Zhu, Q., Feng, B., & Song, J. H. (2024) · PeerJ · doi:10.7717/peerj.18264 · Cited by 7
Khalafi, M., Dinizadeh, F., Rosenkranz, S. K., Symonds, M. E., & Fatolahi, S. (2025) · Healthcare · doi:10.3390/healthcare13030246 · Cited by 7
“Some recent evidence from a large cohort study (UK Biobank) actually indicates that very high HDL levels are associated with a higher risk of mortality in participants with coronary artery disease [71].”
Liang, J., Xie, Y., Li, P., Li, H., Li, P., Huang, Z., Liu, G., Zhong, Y., Li, B., Zhang, J., et al. (2025) · BMC Public Health · doi:10.1186/s12889-025-22789-y · Cited by 7
“In males, HDL-C ≥ 80 mg/dL and in females, HDL-C ≥ 100 mg/ dL were associated with elevated all-cause mortality and ASCVD mortality [35, 36, 37].”
Fasting the mitochondria to prevent neurodegeneration: the role of ceramides
Valenzuela-Ahumada, L. A., Mercado-Gómez, O. F., Viveros-Contreras, R., Guevara‐Guzmán, R., & Camacho‐Morales, A. (2025) · Frontiers in Neuroscience · doi:10.3389/fnins.2025.1602149 · Cited by 9
HDL-C: Helpful, harmful, hopeful, or guilty by association
McLean, P., Mathew, D., Chandrasekhar, S. A., Guynn, N., Razavi, A. C., Quyyumi, A. A., Mehta, A., & Sperling, L. S. (2025) · Journal of clinical lipidology · doi:10.1016/j.jacl.2025.09.017 · Cited by 7
Self-citationThe pathophysiology of excess plasma-free cholesterol
Gillard, B. K., Rosales, C., Gotto, A. M., & Pownall, H. J. (2023) · Current Opinion in Lipidology · doi:10.1097/mol.0000000000000899 · Cited by 7
“Although the underlying cause of ASCVD [66 && ] mortality among patients with very high, more than 80 mg/dl, HDL-C concentrations is not known, studies in humans and mice provide clues.”
BackgroundResultBea, A. M., González-Guerrero, A., Cenarro, A., Lamíquiz-Moneo, I., Climent, E., Jarauta, E., Gracia‐Rubio, I., Benaiges, D., Laclaustra, M., Tejedor, M. T., et al. (2024) · Atherosclerosis · doi:10.1016/j.atherosclerosis.2024.118617 · Cited by 7
Abudouwayiti, A., Sureya, Y., Tuersun, R., Aimaier, S., Didaer, Y., Zhang, X. Y., Zheng, Y.-Y., & Mahemuti, A. (2024) · Journal of Inflammation Research · doi:10.2147/jir.s481085 · Cited by 6
“…heart disease and found that individuals with low (<30mg/dL) or extremely high (>80mg/dL) HDL-C levels had a higher risk of all-cause and cardiovascular death 33 ; Voight et al found that both low and high levels of HDL-C are associated with an increased risk of ischemic and hemorrhagic stroke.”
BackgroundCui, Y., Li, Z., Gao, P., Xu, W., & Hu, J. (2024) · Complementary Therapies in Medicine · doi:10.1016/j.ctim.2024.103096 · Cited by 6
Chen, X., Liang, M., Zhang, J., Xu, C., Chen, L., Hu, R., & Zhong, J. (2025) · Nutrients · doi:10.3390/nu17071125 · Cited by 7
“However, the validity of such ratios is debated, particularly given the nonlinear effects of HDL-C and the lack of evidence supporting their superiority in guiding individual treatment decisions [20,21].”
Li, S., Fu, Z., & Zhang, W. (2025) · BMC Public Health · doi:10.1186/s12889-025-22251-z · Cited by 6
“Previous European and US studies have reported heterogeneous results regarding high HDL cholesterol and cardiovascular mortality [9, 10], and we found a U-shaped dose-effect pattern between HDL cholesterol and death from heart disease in the general population.”
InfluentialChen, H., Miao, X., Hu, M., Song, Z., He, Y., Deng, J., & Leng, S. (2025) · Frontiers in Endocrinology · doi:10.3389/fendo.2025.1585811 · Cited by 6
Hussain, S. M., Tonkin, A. M., Watts, G. F., Lacaze, P. A., Yu, C., Beilin, L. J., Zhou, Z., Newman, A. B., Neumann, F., Tran, C., et al. (2023) · GeroScience · doi:10.1007/s11357-023-00904-4 · Cited by 6
“The PRS was calculated by summing all these variants weighted by reported beta coefficients in the GWAS and then converted to Z scores [11].”
HDL-replacement therapy: From traditional to emerging clinical applications
Sirtori, C. R., Cincotto, G., Castiglione, S., & Pavanello, C. (2025) · Atherosclerosis Plus · doi:10.1016/j.athplu.2025.02.001 · Cited by 6
“Given this complexity, it is not surprising that a U-shaped association has been observed between HDL-C, including its highest and lowest levels and risk of all-cause mortality [5], coronary events [17] and stroke [18].”
Cheng, J., Wang, H., Song, C., Qiao, Z., Bian, X., Yin, D., Feng, L., Zhu, C., Yang, M., Gao, G., et al. (2025) · American Journal of Preventive Cardiology · doi:10.1016/j.ajpc.2025.100965 · Cited by 6
“While these biomarkers are well-established predictors of cardio-vascular risk [20 – 22, 26 – 28], their specific relevance in VHR patients In our study, VHR patients with Hb < 12 g/dL in males, < 11 g/dL in females, hs-CRP > 3 mg/L, Lp(a) ≥ 50 mg/dL, or HDL-C 1 mmol/L had higher CV event rates,…”
The Association of HDL2b with Metabolic Syndrome Among Normal HDL-C Populations in Southern China
Chen, T., Wu, S., Feng, L., Long, S., Liu, Y., Lu, W., Chen, W., Hong, G., Zhou, L., Wang, F., et al. (2024) · Diabetes Metabolic Syndrome and Obesity · doi:10.2147/dmso.s446859 · Cited by 6
Fang, Z., Jiang, Z., Wang, X., Chen, X., & Yang, Y. (2025) · BMC Cardiovascular Disorders · doi:10.1186/s12872-025-05121-9 · Cited by 5
“The results of a cohort study conducted by Liu et al. suggested that very high HDL-C levels were linked to a higher risk of all-cause and cardio-vascular mortality [24].”
Ranasinghe, S., Cui, Y., Muhyieddeen, A., Obrutu, O., Wei, J., Gulati, M., Bittner, V., Reís, S. E., Handberg, E. M., Pepine, C. J., et al. (2024) · American Heart Journal Plus Cardiology Research and Practice · doi:10.1016/j.ahjo.2024.100376 · Cited by 5
“Furthermore, a recent study examining individuals with coronary artery disease (CAD) uncovered a paradoxical relationship wherein an increased mortality risk is observed in those with elevated HDL-C levels with important sex differences as evidenced by worse outcomes in men [10].”
BackgroundResultMachine learning-based prediction model for the efficacy and safety of statins
Xiong, Y., Liu, X., Wang, Q., Zhao, L., Kong, X., Da, C., Meng, Z., Qu, L., Xia, Q., Liu, L., et al. (2024) · Frontiers in Pharmacology · doi:10.3389/fphar.2024.1334929 · Cited by 5
Su, D., An, Z., Chen, L., Chen, X., Wu, W., Cui, Y., Cheng, Y., & Shi, S. (2024) · Frontiers in Endocrinology · doi:10.3389/fendo.2024.1422086 · Cited by 5
Metadata
- Authors
- Liu, C., Dhindsa, D., Almuwaqqat, Z., Ko, Y.-A., Mehta, A., Alkhoder, A. A., Alras, Z., Desai, S. R., Patel, K. J., Hooda, A., Wehbe, M., Sperling, L. S., Sun, Y. V., & Quyyumi, A. A.
- Affiliations
- Emory University (US)
- ORCID
- Venue
- JAMA Cardiology
- Publisher
- American Medical Association (AMA)
- Published
- 2022-07-01
- Volume
- 7
- Issue
- 7
- Pages
- 672
- ISSN
- 2380-6583 (ISSN-L)
- PMC
- PMC9118072
- OpenAlex
- W4280530834
- Semantic Scholar
- 6d4ebe822cf6955b795923be8dc61ee482ea2dae
- Cited by
- 250
- References
- 27
- Citations by year
- 2026: 48 · 2025: 75 · 2024: 80 · 2023: 35 · 2022: 12
- FWCI
- 49.42
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- green
- www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov
- Locations
- JAMA Cardiology (publishedVersion)
- PubMed Central (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Funders
- Medical Research Council (MC_PC_17228)
- National Institute on Aging (U54AG062334)
- National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute (P01HL101398, P20HL113451, P01HL086773, R61HL138657, R01HL141205, T32HL130025)
- National Institute of Diabetes and Digestive and Kidney Diseases (P30DK111024)
- Topics
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Cardiology and Cardiovascular Medicine › Lipoproteins and Cardiovascular Health
- Life Sciences › Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology › Clinical Biochemistry › Paraoxonase enzyme and polymorphisms
- Life Sciences › Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology › Biochemistry › Cholesterol and Lipid Metabolism
- Keywords
- cholesterol, coronary artery disease, all-cause mortality, cardiovascular mortality, U-shaped relationship, genetic variants, cardiovascular risk, vulnerable populations, cardiovascular outcomes, UK Biobank
- MeSH terms
- Aged, Cholesterol, Coronary Artery Disease, Female, Humans, Cholesterol, HDL, Male, Middle Aged, Prospective Studies, Risk Factors, Cohort Studies
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