Heart Disease and Stroke Statistics—2023 Update: A Report From the American Heart Association
Open accessAbstract
BACKGROUND: The American Heart Association, in conjunction with the National Institutes of Health, annually reports the most up-to-date statistics related to heart disease, stroke, and cardiovascular risk factors, including core health behaviors (smoking, physical activity, diet, and weight) and health factors (cholesterol, blood pressure, and glucose control) that contribute to cardiovascular health. The Statistical Update presents the latest data on a range of major clinical heart and circulatory disease conditions (including stroke, congenital heart disease, rhythm disorders, subclinical atherosclerosis, coronary heart disease, heart failure, valvular disease, venous disease, and peripheral artery disease) and the associated outcomes (including quality of care, procedures, and economic costs). METHODS: The American Heart Association, through its Epidemiology and Prevention Statistics Committee, continuously monitors and evaluates sources of data on heart disease and stroke in the United States to provide the most current information available in the annual Statistical Update with review of published literature through the year before writing. The 2023 Statistical Update is the product of a full year's worth of effort in 2022 by dedicated volunteer clinicians and scientists, committed government professionals, and American Heart Association staff members. The American Heart Association strives to further understand and help heal health problems inflicted by structural racism, a public health crisis that can significantly damage physical and mental health and perpetuate disparities in access to health care, education, income, housing, and several other factors vital to healthy lives. This year's edition includes additional COVID-19 (coronavirus disease 2019) publications, as well as data on the monitoring and benefits of cardiovascular health in the population, with an enhanced focus on health equity across several key domains. RESULTS: Each of the chapters in the Statistical Update focuses on a different topic related to heart disease and stroke statistics. CONCLUSIONS: The Statistical Update represents a critical resource for the lay public, policymakers, media professionals, clinicians, health care administrators, researchers, health advocates, and others seeking the best available data on these factors and conditions.
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- Findingown data
In 2017-2020, 32.8% of US adult males and 36.2% of adult females had total cholesterol ≥200 mg/dL.
“In 2017 to 2020, among adults, total cholesterol ≥200 mg/dL occurred in 32.8% of males and 36.2% of females”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
For 150 mg aspirin, the number needed to treat was 39.
“The number needed to treat with 150 mg of aspirin was 39.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
In the same trial, salt substitute use lowered major adverse cardiovascular events (RR 0.87).
“major adverse cardiovascular event (RR, 0.87)”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
National Readmission Database delivery hospitalizations showed a hypertensive disorders of pregnancy rate of 912.4 per 10,000 in 2014 versus 528.9 per 10,000 in 1993 in the United States.
“Analysis of delivery hospitalizations from the National Readmission Database reported a rate of hypertensive disorders of pregnancy of 912.4 per 10 000 delivery hospitalizations in 2014 compared with 528.9 in 1993 in the United States.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
A cluster-randomized open-label trial in 600 rural Chinese villages (20,995 participants) found that replacing regular salt (100% sodium chloride) with a substitute (75% sodium chloride, 25% potassium chloride) reduced stroke incidence (RR 0.86).
“In an open-label, cluster-randomized trial involving 20995 individuals from 600 villages in rural China, the use of a salt substitute (75% sodium chloride and 25% potassium chloride by mass) compared with the use of regular salt (100% sodium chloride) resulted in a lower incidence of stroke (RR, 0.86)”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
- Findingown data
Under the 2017 definition, NHANES 2017-2020 estimated age-adjusted hypertension prevalence at 46.7% among US adults aged ≥20 years (50.4% in males, 43.0% in females).
“With the use of the most recent 2017 definition, the age-adjusted prevalence of hypertension among US adults ≥20 years of age was estimated to be 46.7% in NHANES in 2017 to 2020 (50.4% for males and 43.0% for females).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
In 2020, 32.8% of US adults reported getting less than 7 hours of sleep.
“The proportion of adults reporting insufficient sleep (<7 hours) in 2020 was 32.8%.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
In 2021, e-cigarettes were the tobacco product most often used by US adolescents.
“Electronic cigarettes were the most commonly used tobacco product among adolescents in 2021”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
Gestational diabetes affected 12.8% of females in the highest quartile on a self-reported discrimination scale, compared with 7.0% of others (adjusted OR 2.11, adjusted for age, income, parity, race/ethnicity, and study site).
“Gestational diabetes occurred in 12.8% of females in the top quartile of a self-reported discrimination scale versus 7.0% in all others (adjusted odds ratio [OR], 2.11, adjusted for age, income, parity, race and ethnicity, and study site);”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Obesity statistically mediated 22.6% of the link between perceived discrimination and gestational diabetes.
“22.6% of this association was statistically mediated by obesity.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
Obesity was most prevalent among Hispanic male and non-Hispanic Black female US youths.
“The highest prevalence of obesity was seen among Hispanic male and NH Black female youth.”
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In 2020, tobacco use prevalence was substantially higher among American Indian/Alaska Native adults than White adults (27.1% vs 13.3%).
“In 2020, substantially higher tobacco use prevalence rates were observed in American Indian/Alaska Native and lesbian, gay, and bisexual adults compared with White and heterosexual/straight adults (27.1% American Indian/Alaska Native versus 13.3% White; 16.1% lesbian, gay, and bisexual versus 12.3% heterosexual/straight adults).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
In the CALIBER UK cohort, the leading first cardiovascular complications in diabetes were peripheral artery disease (16.2%) and heart failure (14.1%), then stable angina (11.9%), nonfatal myocardial infarction (11.5%), and stroke (10.3%).
“Data from the CALIBER UK cohort show the most common initial CVD complications for those with diabetes to be peripheral artery disease (16.2%) and HF (14.1%), followed by stable angina (11.9%), nonfatal myocardial infarction (11.5%), and stroke (10.3%).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
Obesity prevalence was highest among non-Hispanic Black female US adults.
“The highest prevalence of obesity was among NH Black females.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
For US children aged 16-19 years, the average overall cardiovascular health score combining all eight Life's Essential 8 components was 73.6 from 2013 through March 2020.
“From 2013 to March 2020, the overall CVH score combining health scores of all 8 components of the Life’s Essential 8 was, on average, 73.6 for all US children between 16 and 19 years of age.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
Lower aspirin doses, under 150 mg, did not significantly reduce preterm preeclampsia.
“Aspirin doses <150 mg produced no significant reductions.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingcitation
Among UK Biobank participants with cardiometabolic diseases at index age 45, ideal rather than poor CVH corresponded to 5.50 additional years for males and 4.20 additional years for females.
“was associated with life expectancy gains of 5.50 years for males and 4.20 years for females, at an index age of 45 years, among participants with cardiometabolic diseases”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingreasoning
US male life expectancy at birth fell from 76.3 years in 2019 to 74.2 years in 2020, a decrease of 2.1 years.
“the corresponding life expectancy decreased from 76.3 to 74.2 years (−2.1 years) in males”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
The same trial found no rise in hyperkalemia with the salt substitute (RR 1.04).
“There was no increase in rates of hyperkalemia with use of the salt substitute (RR, 1.04).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Between 1999 and 2018, metabolic syndrome prevalence in US youths stayed steady at 4.36%.
“From 1999 to 2018, the prevalence of metabolic syndrome among US youths remained stable at 4.36%.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
In a network meta-analysis comparing each antihypertensive drug class with placebo, no drug class was associated with excess cancer risk (HR 1.00 for ACE inhibitors, 0.99 for angiotensin receptor blockers, 0.99 for β-blockers, 1.04 for calcium channel blockers, and 1.00 for thiazides).
“In a network meta-analysis comparing each drug class with placebo, no drug class was associated with an excess cancer risk (HR, 1.00 for angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors; HR, 0.99 for angiotensin receptor blockers; HR, 0.99 for β-blockers; HR, 1.04 for calcium channel blockers; HR, 1.00 for thiazides).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
Diet scores varied from 23.8 to 47.7 across demographic groups.
“The range of scores for diet across demographic groups was 23.8 to 47.7.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
Across all aspirin doses, the greatest reduction in preeclampsia at any gestational age was 30%.
“There was a maximum 30% reduction in risk of all gestational age preeclampsia at all aspirin doses.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
Across 23 randomized trials (32,370 females), those assigned 150 mg aspirin had a 62% lower risk of preterm preeclampsia (RR 0.38).
“Specific aspirin dosage and preeclampsia prevention were studied in 23 randomized trials (32 370 females). Females assigned at random to 150 mg experienced a 62% reduction in risk of preterm preeclampsia (RR, 0.38).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
In 2017-2020, 25.6% of US adult males and 25.4% of adult females had LDL-C ≥130 mg/dL.
“LDL-C ≥130 mg/dL occurred in 25.6% of males and 25.4% of females”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
Children aged 2-5 years had a mean diet score of 61.1.
“Among children 2 to 5 years of age, a mean diet score of 61.1 was observed.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
For US adults, the mean overall CVH score was 65.2 during 2013 to March 2020.
“During the same period, the mean overall CVH score was 65.2 for all US adults”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
More females than males reported rarely or only sometimes waking well rested (46.9% vs 40.4%).
“Females report never or some of the days feeling well rested on awakening in the past days more frequently than males (46.9% versus 40.4%).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
In 2017-2018, metabolic syndrome prevalence was generally highest in Mexican American adults (52.2%), compared with 46.6% in non-Hispanic White, 47.6% in non-Hispanic Black, 45.9% in other Hispanic, and 46.7% in Asian/other adults.
“In 2017 to 2018, Mexican American adults generally had the highest prevalence of metabolic syndrome at 52.2%, whereas NH White adults had 46.6%, NH Black adults had 47.6%, other Hispanic adults had 45.9%, and Asian/other adults had 46.7%.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
In MIDUS, a one-unit higher self-reported sleep health composite score corresponded to a 54% greater heart disease risk.
“Each unit increase in the self-reported sleep health composite was associated with a 54% higher risk of HD”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
In the same trial, salt substitute use lowered all-cause mortality (RR 0.88).
“all-cause mortality (RR, 0.88)”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingnone given
A low-sodium DASH-style diet lowered systolic blood pressure more than a usual Western diet, with reductions of 5.3, 7.5, 9.7, and 20.8 mm Hg in adults whose baseline systolic blood pressure was <130, 130-139, 140-149, and ≥150 mm Hg, respectively.
“Compared with a usual Western diet, a Dietary Approaches to Stop Hypertension–type dietary pattern with low sodium reduced systolic blood pressure (SBP) by 5.3, 7.5, 9.7, and 20.8 mm Hg in adults with baseline SBP <130, 130 to 139, 140 to 149, and ≥150 mm Hg, respectively.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
In MIDUS, each unit higher on the actigraphy-measured sleep health composite was linked to 141% greater heart disease risk.
“the objectively measured actigraphy sleep health composite was associated with 141% higher risk.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingreasoning
US female life expectancy at birth fell from 81.4 years in 2019 to 79.9 years in 2020, a decrease of 1.5 years.
“decreased from 81.4 to 79.9 years (−1.5 years) in females.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
Among 595 pregnant females in four US cities, self-reported perceived discrimination was linked to later gestational diabetes.
“In a cohort of 595 pregnant females in 4 US cities, perceived discrimination (self-reported as based on sex, race, income level or social status, age, and physical appearance) was associated with development of gestational diabetes.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingreasoning
US life expectancy at birth fell from 78.8 years in 2019 to 77.0 years in 2020, a decrease of 1.8 years.
“life expectancy (at birth) in the United States decreased from 78.8 years in 2019 to 77.0 years in 2020 (−1.8 years) overall”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
Parental reports from 2019-2020 indicated that 20.6% of US youth aged 6-17 years were physically active for at least 60 minutes daily.
“According to parental report in 2019 to 2020, the nationwide prevalence of youth 6 to 17 years of age who were active ≥60 minutes every day of the week was 20.6%.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
In US adults, metabolic syndrome prevalence rose from 36.2% to 47.3% over 1999-2018.
“Among adults, the prevalence of metabolic syndrome increased from 36.2% to 47.3%.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
In the initial study that applied Life's Essential 8 to measure cardiovascular health in US adults and children, diet ranked among the four lowest-scoring metrics.
“Of the 8 metrics, diet was among the 4 with the lowest scores.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingcitation
Among UK Biobank participants without cardiometabolic diseases at index age 45, ideal rather than poor CVH corresponded to 4.55 additional years for males and 4.89 additional years for females.
“correspondingly 4.55 years in males and 4.89 years in females for people without cardiometabolic diseases.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
In 2020, tobacco use prevalence was higher among lesbian, gay, and bisexual adults than heterosexual/straight adults (16.1% vs 12.3%).
“16.1% lesbian, gay, and bisexual versus 12.3% heterosexual/straight adults”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
In a cohort of 67,762 adults followed over 20 years, 8.7% of deaths from any cause were attributable to moderate-intensity physical activity below 150 minutes weekly.
“Among 67 762 adults with >20 years of follow-up, 8.7% of all-cause mortality was attributed to a PA level of <150 min/wk of moderate-intensity PA.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingnone given
US counties with more than 17.3% of the population in poverty had a cumulative COVID-19 death rate of about 394 per 100,000, compared with about 248 per 100,000 in counties with 0.0%-12.3% poverty.
“In US counties with a high percentage (>17.3%) of the population in poverty, the cumulative COVID-19 death rate was ≈394 deaths per 100 000 compared with ≈248 deaths per 100 000 in counties with a low percentage (0.0%–12.3%) of the population that is living in poverty.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
Children aged 12-19 years had a diet score of 28.5.
“The score for children 12 to 19 years of age was 28.5.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
Insufficient sleep was least prevalent among adults over 65 years old.
“Older adults, >65 years of age, report the lowest prevalence of insufficient sleep.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingcitation
In UK Biobank data, having ideal cardiovascular health rather than poor cardiovascular health was linked to lower all-cause and cardiometabolic mortality in both sexes.
“A report based on data from the UK Biobank found that having ideal CVH over poor CVH attenuated the all-cause and cardiometabolic disease–related mortality for males and females”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
In 2018, 54.2% of US adults self-reported meeting aerobic physical activity guidelines through leisure-time activity.
“According to self-report in 2018, the age-adjusted proportion of adults who reported meeting the aerobic PA guidelines for Americans (≥150 min/wk of moderate PA, ≥75 min/wk of vigorous PA, or an equivalent combination of the two) through leisure-time activities was 54.2%.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingnone given
Recent data indicate that the contemporary short-term (3-month) risk of cardiac arrest or sudden cardiac death after acute myocardial infarction is 0.29%, or 116 per 100,000 person-years.
“Recent data describing cardiac arrest or sudden cardiac death after an acute myocardial infarction suggest that contemporary short-term (3-month) risk is 0.29% or 116 per 100 000 person-years.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
In a multicenter trial of individuals with at least one stroke risk factor and no AF, those randomized to long-term rhythm monitoring with an implanted loop recorder were about three times more likely to be diagnosed with AF (HR 3.17) than those receiving usual care over a median 64.5 months.
“A multicenter trial randomized individuals with at least 1 stroke risk factor and without AF in a 1:3 ratio to receive long-term rhythm monitoring with an implanted loop recorder (n=1501) or usual care (n=4503). Over a median follow-up of 64.5 months, those randomized to monitoring were 3-fold more likely to be diagnosed with AF (HR, 3.17).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingcitation
In the Framingham Heart Study, lifetime risk of heart failure at age 50 increased between 1965-1989 and 1990-2014 from 18.9% to 22.6% in females and from 19.1% to 25.3% in males.
“The lifetime risk of HF at 50 years of age increased among participants of the FHS (Framingham Heart Study) when comparing two 25-year epochs (1965–1989 versus 1990–2014) from 18.9% to 22.6% in females and 19.1% to 25.3% in males.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites FHS
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- Findingown data
Among Medicare beneficiaries, zip codes in the top quartile of amputation rates had a larger mean proportion of Black residents than zip codes in the bottom quartile (17.5% vs 4.4%).
“Among Medicare beneficiaries, zip codes in the top quartile of amputation rates had a larger mean proportion of Black residents than zip codes in the bottom quartile (17.5% versus 4.4%).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Medicare
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- Findingnone given
In 2021, laypeople in the United States started cardiopulmonary resuscitation in 40.2% of out-of-hospital cardiac arrests.
“Laypeople in the United States initiated cardiopulmonary resuscitation in 40.2% of out-of-hospital cardiac arrests in 2021.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
In a meta-analysis of 10,867 participants, noncalcified plaque prevalence was 49% in HIV-positive individuals versus 20% in HIV-negative individuals (OR 1.23).
“In a study-level meta-analysis involving 10 867 participants (6699 HIV positive, 4168 HIV negative; mean age, 52 years; 86% male; 32% Black), the prevalence of noncalcified plaque was 49% in HIV-positive individuals versus 20% in HIV-negative individuals (OR, 1.23).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
In a limited-sized cohort (N=339, median follow-up 2.6 years), individuals in the lowest income category had about twice the hospitalization risk (OR 2.11) compared with those in the highest income category.
“In a limited-sized cohort (N=339) followed up for a median of 2.6 years (range, 0–3.4 years), individuals in the lowest income category (≤$19 999/y) had a 2.0-fold greater hospitalization risk (OR, 2.11) compared with those in the highest income category (≥$100 000/y).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
In older adults aged 60-74, the strongest contributors to thoracic aortic aneurysm risk were male sex (OR 1.9), hypertension (OR 1.8), and family history (OR 1.6).
“In older individuals 60 to 74 years of age, male sex (OR, 1.9), hypertension (OR, 1.8), and family history (OR, 1.6) are the strongest contributors to risk of thoracic aortic aneurysm.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingnone given
Socioeconomic status is a major contributor to differences in infant mortality among infants with critical congenital cardiovascular defects, with higher mortality among socioeconomically deprived patients (OR 1.7).
“Socioeconomic status (SES) is a major contributor to identified differences in infant mortality among infants with critical congenital cardiovascular defects, with greater mortality among socioeconomically deprived patients (OR, 1.7).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
In people without diabetes or CVD, higher hemoglobin A1c was associated with greater subclinical atherosclerosis across several measures, with odds ratios ranging from 1.05 to 2.47 for higher HbA1c categories compared with HbA1c ≤4.8%.
“In individuals without diabetes or CVD, higher hemoglobin A1c was associated with the extent of subclinical atherosclerosis assessed by intima-media thickness; atherosclerotic plaque of the carotids, abdominal aorta, and iliofemoral arteries; and coronary artery calcification (OR, 1.05, 1.27, 1.27, 1.36, 1.80, 1.87, and 2.47 for hemoglobin A1c 4.9%–5.0%, 5.1%–5.2%, 5.3%–5.4%, 5.5%–5.6%, 5.7%–5.8%,”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingnone given
Among 96,256 transfemoral TAVR procedures, adjusted 30-day mortality was higher at low-volume institutions (3.19%) than at high-volume institutions (2.66%; OR 1.21).
“Among 96 256 transfemoral TAVR procedures, adjusted 30-day mortality was higher at institutions with low procedural volume (3.19%) than at institutions with high procedural volume (2.66%; OR, 1.21).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
By event type, hospital inpatient stays accounted for the highest direct cost of cardiovascular disease in the United States in 2018-2019, at $111.4 billion.
“By event type, hospital inpatient stays accounted for the highest direct cost ($111.4 billion) in 2018 to 2019 in the United States.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Interpretationown data
The overall rate of hypertensive disorders of pregnancy in the United States is rising.
“Rates of overall hypertensive disorders of pregnancy are increasing.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
- Classified as probably not a substantial claim. 22
- May combine two claims. 50
- The quote only partly states this claim. 2
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
Findingown dataAmong Medicare fee-for-service beneficiaries with end-stage renal disease in 2019, hospitalization costs totaled $12.2 billion and outpatient costs $13.1 billion.
“Total hospitalization expenditures in Medicare fee-for-service beneficiaries with end-stage renal disease was $12.2 billion in 2019, and outpatient spending was $13.1 billion in 2019.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
FindingcitationA 2021 umbrella review reported that for every 5-kg/m2 higher body mass index, risks rose by 15% for coronary heart disease, 23% for atrial fibrillation, 41% for heart failure, and 49% for hypertension.
“A large umbrella review in 2021 found that every 5–kg/m2 increase in body mass index was associated with a 15% increased risk for CHD, 23% increased risk for atrial fibrillation (AF), 41% increased risk for HF, and 49% increased risk for hypertension.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataHypertension was more common in males than females through age 64 years, but after age 65 years it was more common in females.
“A higher percentage of males than females had hypertension up to 64 years of age, but for those ≥65 years of age, the percentage of females with hypertension was higher than for males.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Findingnone givenIn US metropolitan areas, the cumulative COVID-19 death rate was about 292 per 100,000, compared with about 392 per 100,000 in nonmetropolitan areas.
“In metropolitan areas in the United States, the cumulative COVID-19 death rate was ≈292 deaths per 100 000 compared with ≈392 deaths per 100 000 in nonmetropolitan areas.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
Findingown dataBy July 1, 2022, the United States had recorded 1,014,620 cumulative COVID-19 deaths, roughly 306 per 100,000 people.
“As of July 1, 2022, the cumulative number of COVID-19 (coronavirus disease 2019) deaths in the United States was 1 014 620, which equates to ≈306 deaths per 100 000 people.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataIn 2017-2020, 5.0% of US male adolescents and 4.6% of female adolescents had LDL-C ≥130 mg/dL.
“Among adolescents in 2017 to 2020, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) levels ≥130 mg/dL occurred in 5.0% of male adolescents and 4.6% of female adolescents”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Findingown dataUS end-stage renal disease prevalence in 2019 was 2302 per million after adjustment for age, race, and sex, up 1.4% from 2018.
“In 2019, the age-, race-, and sex-adjusted prevalence of end-stage renal disease in the United States was 2302 per 1 million people, an increase of 1.4% over 2018.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Findingown dataData from 2017-2020 indicated that 29.3 million US adults, or 10.6%, had diagnosed diabetes.
“Overall, on the basis of 2017 to 2020 data, 29.3 million adults (10.6%) in the United States had diagnosed diabetes.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataIn 2017-2020, 7.2% of US male adolescents and 6.2% of female adolescents had triglycerides ≥130 mg/dL.
“triglycerides ≥130 mg/dL occurred in 7.2% of male adolescents and 6.2% of female adolescents.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
FindingcitationA meta-analysis of 38 prospective cohorts reported that, comparing highest with lowest Mediterranean diet adherence, relative risks were 0.79 for total cardiovascular mortality, 0.73 for coronary heart disease incidence, 0.83 for coronary heart disease mortality, 0.80 for stroke incidence, 0.87 for stroke mortality, and 0.73 for myocardial infarction incidence.
“A meta-analysis of 38 prospective cohort studies showed that the relative risk (RR) for the highest versus the lowest categories of Mediterranean diet adherence was 0.79 for total CVD mortality, 0.73 for CHD incidence, 0.83 for CHD mortality, 0.80 for stroke incidence, 0.87 for stroke mortality, and 0.73 for myocardial infarction incidence.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataIn 2021, 1.0% of US middle school students and 1.9% of high school students reported smoking cigarettes in the previous 30 days.
“The prevalence of cigarette use in the past 30 days among middle and high school students in the United States was 1.0% and 1.9%, respectively, in 2021.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataAmong adolescent e-cigarette users, flavored products were used by 85.8% of high schoolers and 79.2% of middle schoolers.
“with the majority of adolescent users using flavored electronic cigarettes (85.8% of high school students and 79.2% of middle school students).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataIn 2017-2020, 24.9% of US adult males and 9.3% of adult females had HDL cholesterol <40 mg/dL.
“high-density lipoprotein cholesterol <40 mg/dL occurred in 24.9% of males and 9.3% of females.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataNHANES data from 2017 through March 2020 indicated that 71.2% of US adults aged ≥20 years had overweight or obesity, and 41.4% had obesity, after age adjustment.
“According to data from NHANES from 2017 until March 2020, the age-adjusted prevalence of overweight or obesity among adults ≥20 years of age in the United States was 71.2%, and the prevalence of obesity was 41.4%.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataNHANES 1999-2018 data showed metabolic syndrome prevalence among US youths aged 12-19 years of 4.34% in non-Hispanic White, 3.66% in non-Hispanic Black, 7.70% in Mexican American, 4.84% in other Hispanic, and 1.84% in other race youths.
“According to the data from NHANES 1999 to 2018, the prevalence of metabolic syndrome among youths 12 to 19 years of age was 4.34% for NH White, 3.66% for NH Black, 7.70% for Mexican American, 4.84% for other Hispanic, and 1.84 for other race youths.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataCigarette smoking among US adults and youths has fallen steadily over the last 20 years, yet large disparities continue.
“Although there has been a consistent decline in adult and youth cigarette use in the United States in the past 2 decades, significant disparities persist.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataIn 2017-2020, 19.3% of US male adolescents and 8.6% of female adolescents had LDL-C <40 mg/dL.
“LDL-C levels <40 mg/dL occurred in 19.3% of male adolescents and 8.6% of female adolescents”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataIn the same period, mean overall CVH score for US children was 78.4 for non-Hispanic Asian, 74.1 for non-Hispanic White, and 71.3 for non-Hispanic Black children.
“The corresponding mean overall CVH score was 78.4 for NH Asian, 74.1 for NH White, and 71.3 for NH Black children.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
Findingown dataIn 2020, heart disease and stroke together caused more deaths annually than cancer and chronic lower respiratory disease combined, and the death rate from heart disease and stroke was 207.1 per 100,000 people.
“On the basis of 2020 mortality data, HD and stroke currently claim more lives each year than cancer and chronic lower respiratory disease combined. In 2020, 207.1 of 100 000 people died of HD and stroke.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites 2020 mortality data
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
May combine two claims.
Findingown dataMean overall CVH score for US adults was 69.6 for non-Hispanic Asian, 66.0 for non-Hispanic White, and 59.7 for non-Hispanic Black adults.
“with a mean score of 69.6 for NH Asian, 66.0 for NH White, and 59.7 for NH Black adults.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Findingnone givenIn 2015-2018, chronic kidney disease-defined by estimated glomerular filtration rate below 60 mL·min−1·1.73 m−2 or albumin-to-creatinine ratio at least 30 mg/g-had an overall prevalence of 14.9%.
“The overall prevalence of chronic kidney disease (estimated glomerular filtration rate <60 mL·min−1·1.73 m−2 or albumin-to-creatinine ratio ≥30 mg/g) in 2015 to 2018 was 14.9%.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
FindingreasoningThis represented about 122.4 million US adults aged ≥20 years with high blood pressure, including 62.8 million males and 59.6 million females.
“This equates to an estimated 122.4 million adults ≥20 years of age who have high blood pressure (62.8 million males and 59.6 million females).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataAmong 74,393 adults with diabetes in the US Diabetes Collaborative Registry, 74% had HbA1c <7%, 40% had blood pressure <130/80 mm Hg, and 49% had LDL-C <100 mg/dL (<70 mg/dL with atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease), but only 15% met all three targets.
“Data from the US Diabetes Collaborative Registry of 74 393 adults with diabetes demonstrate a prevalence of 74% with hemoglobin A1c <7%, 40% with blood pressure <130/80 mm Hg, and 49% with LDL-C <100 mg/dL (<70 mg/dL if with atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease), but only 15% at target for all 3 factors.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataIn 2021, 2.8% of US middle school students and 11.3% of high school students used e-cigarettes in the previous 30 days.
“the prevalence of use in the past 30 days among middle and high school students in the United States was 2.8% and 11.3%, respectively”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataNHANES data from 2017 through March 2020 showed that 36.8% of US children and adolescents aged 2-19 years were overweight or obese, including 19.8% with obesity.
“According to data from NHANES from 2017 until March 2020, among US children and adolescents 2 to 19 years of age, the prevalence of being either overweight or obese was 36.8%, with obesity prevalence of 19.8%.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
FindingcitationIn US adults aged 20 and older, the prevalence of cardiovascular disease (including coronary heart disease, heart failure, stroke, and hypertension) was 48.6% overall, corresponding to 127.9 million people in 2020, and it rises with age in both sexes.
“On the basis of NHANES 2017 to March 2020 data, the prevalence of CVD (comprising CHD, HF, stroke, and hypertension) in adults ≥20 years of age was 48.6% overall (127.9 million in 2020) and increases with age in both males and females.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites NHANES 2017 to March 2020
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
May combine two claims.
Findingown dataThe largest share of adults sleeping under 7 hours nightly was among non-Hispanic Black adults (43.5%); the smallest shares were among non-Hispanic Asian (30.5%) and non-Hispanic White (30.7%) adults.
“NH Black adults had the highest percentage of respondents reporting sleeping <7 h/night (43.5%), whereas NH Asian adults (30.5%) and NH White adults (30.7%) had the lowest percentage of respondents reporting sleeping <7 hours.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
FindingcitationBased on NHANES 2017-2020, about 6.7 million Americans aged 20 and older had heart failure, an increase from about 6.0 million in NHANES 2015-2018.
“On the basis of data from NHANES 2017 to 2020, ≈6.7 million Americans ≥20 years of age had HF, which is increased from ≈6.0 million according to NHANES 2015 to 2018.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites NHANES
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
May combine two claims.
FindingcitationIn a meta-analysis of 66 SBP-lowering trials (324,812 participants, 11,437 strokes, mean follow-up 3.3 years), SBP lowering was associated with 21% lower odds of stroke versus control; by stroke type, it was associated with 14% lower odds of ischemic stroke, 28% lower odds of hemorrhagic stroke, and 28% lower odds of fatal or disabling stroke.
“In a meta-analysis of 66 trials of SBP-lowering interventions including 324 812 participants and 11 437 strokes over an average follow-up of 3.3 years, SBP lowering was associated with 21% lower odds of stroke compared with control. In meta-analyses of stroke types, SBP lowering was associated with 14% lower odds of ischemic stroke (6 trials), 28% lower odds of hemorrhagic stroke (6 trials), and 2”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites meta-analysis of 66 trials
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
FindingcitationAccording to 2018 Healthcare Cost and Utilization Project data, 481,780 percutaneous coronary interventions were performed on an inpatient basis in the United States.
“According to Healthcare Cost and Utilization Project data from the Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality for the year 2018, 481 780 percutaneous coronary interventions were performed on an inpatient basis in the United States.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites HCUP
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
May combine two claims.
FindingcitationIn a Korea National Health Insurance Service analysis (N=66,692), people who maintained exercise after AF diagnosis were less likely than those who continued to abstain to have ischemic stroke (HR 0.86), heart failure (HR 0.92), or mortality (HR 0.61).
“An analysis of the Korea National Health Insurance Service (N=66 692) classified individuals by exercise status before and after AF diagnosis. Those who maintained exercise were significantly less likely to have ischemic stroke (HR, 0.86), HF (HR, 0.92), or mortality (HR, 0.61) than those who continued to abstain from exercise after AF diagnosis.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Korea National Health Insurance Service
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
FindingcitationGlobally from 1990 to 2017, dementia prevalent cases rose 119%, incident cases rose 113%, DALYs rose 115%, and deaths rose 146%; however, age-standardized prevalence fell 4%, age-standardized incidence fell 5%, age-standardized DALYs fell 6%, and age-standardized mortality fell 4%.
“Globally, prevalent cases increased by 119%, annual incident cases increased by 113%, DALYs increased by 115%, and annual deaths increased by 146%.”
- Also stated in: § Brain Health (Chapter 16) · plain
“However, global age-standardized prevalence decreased by 4%, age-standardized annual incidence decreased by 5%, age-standardized DALYs decreased by 6%, and age-standardized annual mortality decreased by 4%.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites GBD study
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- Also stated in: § Brain Health (Chapter 16) · plain
May combine two claims.
FindingcitationIn a meta-analysis of 11 clinical trials (1970-2021, 20,163 stroke patients), intensive LDL-C-lowering statin therapy reduced recurrent ischemic stroke risk compared with less intensive therapy (RR 0.88), and the reduction was stronger in populations with atherosclerosis (RR 0.79).
“A meta-analysis of 11 clinical trials from 1970 to 2021 with 20 163 patients with stroke found that intensive LDL-C–lowering statin-based therapies reduced the risk of recurrent ischemic stroke (RR, 0.88) compared with less intensive LDL-C–lowering statin-based therapies. This relationship was even stronger in populations with atherosclerosis (RR, 0.79).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites meta-analysis of 11 clinical trials
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
May combine two claims.
Findingown dataIn 2020, CHD age-adjusted death rates per 100,000 were 128.5 for non-Hispanic White males, 153.6 for non-Hispanic Black males, and 102.2 for Hispanic males; for females, rates were 63.8 for non-Hispanic White, 85.9 for non-Hispanic Black, and 54.2 for Hispanic.
“In 2020, CHD age-adjusted death rates per 100 000 were 128.5 for NH White males, 153.6 for NH Black males, and 102.2 for Hispanic males. For NH White females, the rate was 63.8; for NH Black females, it was 85.9; and for Hispanic females, it was 54.2.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims. The quote only partly states this claim.
FindingcitationIn the Health and Retirement Study, cognitive impairment-free life expectancy at age 55 was 23.0 years with none of hypertension, heart disease, diabetes, or stroke; 21.2 years with any one; 18.1 years with any two; and 14.0 years with any three or all four; the association of greater CVD burden with lower cognitive impairment-free life expectancy was also seen at ages 65, 75, and 85.
“In the HRS (Health and Retirement Study), cognitive impairment-free life expectancy at 55 years of age was estimated as 23.0 years for participants with no hypertension, HD, diabetes, or stroke; 21.2 years for those with any 1 of those conditions; 18.1 years for those with any 2 conditions; and 14.0 years for those with any 3 or all 4 conditions.”
- Also stated in: § Brain Health (Chapter 16) · plain
“The association of CVD burden with lower cognitive impairment-free life expectancy was also observed at 65, 75, and 85 years of age, with lower absolute life expectancies.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites HRS
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- Also stated in: § Brain Health (Chapter 16) · plain
May combine two claims.
Findingown dataIn 18,262 adults with hypertension, the age-adjusted proportion with controlled blood pressure improved from 31.8% in 1999-2000 to 48.5% in 2007-2008, was similar in 2013-2014 (53.8%), and then declined to 43.7% in 2017-2018.
“In 18 262 adults with hypertension, the age-adjusted estimated proportion with controlled blood pressure (blood pressure <140/90 mm Hg) improved from 31.8% in 1999 to 2000 to 48.5% in 2007 to 2008, was similar in 2013 to 2014 (53.8%), and then declined to 43.7% in 2017 to 2018.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Findingown dataThe average annual direct and indirect cost of cardiovascular disease in the United States was an estimated $407.3 billion in 2018-2019.
“The average annual direct and indirect cost of CVD in the United States was an estimated $407.3 billion in 2018 to 2019.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
FindingcitationData from the Society of Thoracic Surgeons Adult Cardiac Surgery Database indicate that 161,816 procedures involved isolated coronary artery bypass graft in 2019.
“Data from the Society of Thoracic Surgeons Adult Cardiac Surgery Database, which voluntarily collects data from ≈80% of all hospitals that perform coronary artery bypass grafts in the United States, indicate that a total of 161 816 procedures involved isolated coronary artery bypass graft in 2019.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites STS Adult Cardiac Surgery Database
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
May combine two claims.
FindingcitationMarketScan and Medicare data showed that 33.9% of peripheral artery disease patients were prescribed statins versus 51.7% of coronary artery disease patients, and only 24.5% of peripheral artery disease patients in MarketScan achieved LDL-C <70 mg/dL.
“Data from MarketScan and Medicare databases showed that only 33.9% of patients with peripheral artery disease were prescribed statins compared with 51.7% of patients with coronary artery disease, and only 24.5% of patients with peripheral artery disease in the MarketScan database achieved a target LDL-C <70 mg/dL.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites MarketScan
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- cites Medicare
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
May combine two claims.
FindingcitationIn an NIS analysis of 7,026,432 acute myocardial infarction hospitalizations from 2004-2015, females were less likely than males to undergo coronary angiography (adjusted OR 0.92) and percutaneous coronary intervention (adjusted OR 0.82), and had a higher mortality risk (adjusted OR 1.03).
“An NIS (National Inpatient Sample) analysis of sex differences spanning 2004 to 2015 identified 7 026 432 hospitalizations for acute myocardial infarction. Compared with males, females were less likely to undergo coronary angiography (adjusted OR, 0.92) and percutaneous coronary intervention (adjusted OR, 0.82), Females had a higher risk of mortality (adjusted OR, 1.03) compared with males.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites NIS
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
Findingown dataGlobally in 2020, there were an estimated 19.05 million CVD deaths, an 8.71% increase from 2010; the age-standardized CVD death rate was 239.80 per 100,000, a 12.19% decrease from 2010; crude CVD prevalence was 607.64 million cases, a 29.01% increase from 2010; and the age-standardized CVD prevalence rate was 7354.05 per 100,000, a 0.73% increase from 2010.
“In 2020, 19.05 million deaths were estimated for CVD globally, which amounted to an increase of 8.71% from 2010.”
- Also stated in: § Total Cardiovascular Disease (Chapter 14) · plain
“The age-standardized death rate per 100 000 population was 239.80, which represents a decrease of 12.19% from 2010.”
- Also stated in: § Total Cardiovascular Disease (Chapter 14) · plain
“Overall, the crude prevalence of CVD was 607.64 million cases in 2020, an increase of 29.01% compared with 2010. However, the age-standardized prevalence rate was 7354.05 per 100 000, an increase of 0.73% from 2010.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim- Also stated in: § Total Cardiovascular Disease (Chapter 14) · plain
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
Findingown dataIn 2018, there were 578,000 outpatient visits with pulmonary hypertension as the principal diagnosis and 14,000 hospital discharges with pulmonary hypertension as the principal diagnosis.
“In 2018, there were 578 000 outpatient visits for pulmonary hypertension as the principal diagnosis. In addition, there were 14 000 hospital discharges with pulmonary hypertension as the principal diagnosis.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
FindingcitationRochester Epidemiology Project data showed improved survival after heart failure diagnosis from 1979 to 2000, but estimated 5-year mortality did not decline from 2000 to 2010 and remained high (52.6% overall, 24.4% at age 60, and 54.4% at age 80).
“Data from the Rochester Epidemiology Project in Olmsted County, Minnesota, showed improved survival after HF diagnosis between 1979 and 2000; however, estimated 5-year mortality for those with HF did not decline from 2000 to 2010 and remained high (52.6% overall; 24.4% for those 60 years of age; and 54.4% for those 80 years of age).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Rochester Epidemiology Project
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
Findingnone givenIn 2021, 3,817 heart transplantations were performed in the United States, the most ever; the highest numbers were in California (529), Texas (359), New York (307), and Florida (263).
“In 2021, 3817 heart transplantations were performed in the United States, the most ever. The highest numbers of heart transplantations were performed in California (529), Texas (359), New York (307), and Florida (263).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
FindingcitationAmong 229,976 UK Biobank participants with 2,143 incident dementia cases over a median 9-year follow-up, each 1-point increase in Life's Simple 7 score was associated with an 11% lower dementia hazard (HR 0.89); each 1-point increase in the biological component score was associated with a 7% lower hazard (HR 0.93); but a 1-point increase in the lifestyle component score was not associated with痴呆 (
“Among 229 976 participants in the UK Biobank, with 2143 cases of incident dementia over a median follow-up of 9 years, each 1-point increment in Life's Simple 7 score was associated with an 11% lower hazard of dementia (HR, 0.89). Each 1-point increment in the biological component score (based on blood pressure, cholesterol, and glucose) was associated with a 7% lower hazard of dementia (HR, 0.93”
- Also stated in: § Brain Health (Chapter 16) · plain
“However, a 1-point increment in the lifestyle component score (based on smoking, body mass index, diet, and physical activity) was not associated with dementia (HR, 0.99).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites UK Biobank
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- Also stated in: § Brain Health (Chapter 16) · plain
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
FindingcitationIn high-income countries from 1990 to 2017, dementia prevalent cases rose 93%, incident cases rose 87%, DALYs rose 90%, and deaths rose 126%; age-standardized prevalence fell 5%, age-standardized incidence fell 6%, age-standardized DALYs fell 7%, and age-standardized mortality fell 4%.
“For high-income countries, percent increases in absolute burden measures were smaller than globally: Prevalent cases increased by 93%, annual incident cases increased by 87%, DALYs increased by 90%, and annual deaths increased by 126%. The age-standardized prevalence in high-income countries decreased by 5%, age-standardized annual incidence rate decreased by 6%, age-standardized DALYs decreased”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites GBD study
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
Findingnone givenIn 2019, the United States had an estimated 393,000 pulmonary embolism cases, 643,000 deep vein thrombosis cases, and 1,036,000 total venous thromboembolism cases.
“In 2019, there were an estimated ≈393 000 cases of pulmonary embolism, ≈643 000 cases of deep vein thrombosis, and ≈1 036 000 total venous thromboembolism cases in the United States.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
Findingown dataIn 2020, congenital cardiovascular defects were related to 2,817 deaths in the United States, an 11.9% decrease from 2010.
“2020 mortality related to congenital cardiovascular defects was 2817 deaths in the United States, an 11.9% decrease from the number of deaths in 2010.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
FindingcitationA simulation model from 7 decision analysis studies projected that the number of elderly patients with calcific aortic stenosis will more than double by 2050 in the United States and Europe; pooled prevalence of all aortic stenosis in the elderly was 12.4%, and severe aortic stenosis prevalence was 3.4%.
“The number of elderly patients with calcific aortic stenosis is projected to more than double by 2050 in both the United States and Europe according to a simulation model in 7 decision analysis studies. The pooled prevalence of all aortic stenosis in the elderly was 12.4%, and the prevalence of severe aortic stenosis was 3.4%.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingnone givenIn patients with COVID-19, venous thromboembolism is associated with double the risk of death; among those admitted to the ICU the risk is 2.63 times higher, and among those on mechanical ventilation it is 3-fold higher.
“In patients with COVID-19, there is a double risk of death after venous thromboembolism. In those admitted to the intensive care unit, this risk is 2.63 times higher, with a 3-fold increase in patients on mechanical ventilation.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
FindingcitationIn the PARTNER 3 trial of 1,000 low-surgical-risk patients with severe aortic stenosis, the primary composite end point (death, stroke, or rehospitalization) was lower with TAVR than surgery (8.5% vs 15.1%; HR 0.54); at 2 years it remained lower (11.5% vs 17.4%; HR 0.63), but TAVR valve thrombosis was higher (2.6% vs 0.7%).
“In 1000 patients with severe aortic stenosis at low surgical risk randomized in the PARTNER 3 trial (Placement of Aortic Transcatheter Valve 3) to either balloon-expandable transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR) or surgical aortic valve replacement, the primary composite end point (death, stroke, or rehospitalization) rate was significantly lower in the TAVR versus surgical aortic valve”
- Also stated in: § Valvular Diseases (Chapter 23) · plain
“At 2 years, the primary end point was significantly reduced after TAVR compared with surgical aortic valve replacement (11.5% versus 17.4%; HR, 0.63), although TAVR valve thrombosis at 2 years was increased (2.6%; 13 events) compared with surgery (0.7%; 3 events).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites PARTNER 3
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- Also stated in: § Valvular Diseases (Chapter 23) · plain
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Findingown dataEstimated direct costs of cardiovascular disease in the United States increased from $103.5 billion in 1996-1997 to $251.4 billion in 2018-2019.
“The estimated direct costs of CVD in the United States increased from $103.5 billion in 1996 to 1997 to $251.4 billion in 2018 to 2019.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
FindingcitationFrom 1990 to 2019, the absolute number of incident strokes increased by 70.0, while the age-standardized incidence rate for total stroke fell by 17.0%; the age-standardized incidence rate decreased by 10% for ischemic stroke and by 29% for intracerebral hemorrhage.
“An analysis of data from the GBD 2019 study found that from 1990 to 2019, the absolute number of incident strokes increased by 70.0, whereas the age-standardized incidence rate for total stroke decreased by 17.0%. The age-standardized incidence rate for ischemic stroke decreased by 10% and intracerebral hemorrhage decreased by 29% during the same period.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites GBD 2019
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
FindingcitationFrom 2005-2014 ARIC data, the estimated annual incidence of myocardial infarction was 605,000 new attacks and 200,000 recurrent attacks; of the 805,000 total first and recurrent events, an estimated 170,000 were silent.
“According to data from the 2005 to 2014 ARIC study, the estimated annual incidence of myocardial infarction is 605 000 new attacks and 200 000 recurrent attacks. Of these 805 000 first and recurrent events, it is estimated that 170 000 are silent.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites ARIC study
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
May combine two claims.
FindingcitationIn the Rotterdam Study of older adults, intraplaque hemorrhage detected by high-resolution MRI was associated with incident stroke (HR 2.42) and coronary heart disease (HR 1.95), whereas calcification and lipid-rich core were not.
“In the Rotterdam Study of older adults, the presence of intraplaque hemorrhage (but not calcification or lipid-rich core) by high-resolution magnetic resonance imaging demonstrated an association with incident stroke and CHD (HR, 2.42 and 1.95, respectively).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Rotterdam Study
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
May combine two claims. The quote only partly states this claim.
Findingown dataAmong 390,692 patients at 586 hospitals from July 2008 to December 2013, those in lower-SES neighborhoods had longer median arrival-to-angiography times (8.0 vs 3.4 hours) and higher fibrinolysis rates for STEMI (23.1% vs 5.9%) than higher-SES patients, and had greater independent risk of in-hospital mortality and major bleeding and lower discharge care quality.
“In 390 692 patients receiving care at 586 hospitals from July 2008 to December 2013, patients residing in lower-SES neighborhoods had longer median arrival-to-angiography time (lowest quintile of SES, 8.0 hours; highest quintile of SES, 3.4 hours) and a higher rate of fibrinolysis (versus primary angioplasty) for ST-segment–elevation myocardial infarction (lowest quintile of SES, 23.1%; highest”
- Also stated in: § Quality of Care (Chapter 26) · plain
“Patients from lower-SES neighborhoods had greater independent risk of in-hospital mortality and major bleeding and a lower quality of discharge care.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- Also stated in: § Quality of Care (Chapter 26) · plain
May combine two claims.
FindingcitationAmong patients in the Get With The Guidelines Registry hospitalized for heart failure in 2021, 91.7% received ACE inhibitors/ARBs or ARNIs at discharge, 93.4% received evidence-based specific beta-blockers, 99.2% had left ventricular function measured, and 85.5% had a scheduled postdischarge appointment.
“Despite substantial disruptions to cardiovascular care delivery during the COVID-19 pandemic, among patients in the GWTG Registry (Get With The Guidelines) who were hospitalized for HF in 2021, 91.7% received angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors/angiotensin receptor blockers or angiotensin receptor-neprilysin inhibitors at discharge; 93.4% received evidence-based specific β-blockers; 99.2% had”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites GWTG Registry
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
FindingcitationAs of March 1, 2022, 7,459 cases of multisystem inflammatory syndrome in children and 63 attributable deaths (0.84%) had been reported; median age was 9 years, 58% of cases were in Hispanic or Latino or Black children, 98% tested positive for SARS-2, and 60% were male.
“As of March 1, 2022, 7459 cases and 63 attributable deaths (0.84%) have been reported. Median age of cases was 9 years; 58% of cases have occurred in children who are Hispanic or Latino (1846 cases) or Black (2206 cases); 98% tested positive for SARS-2 (severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2; reverse transcriptase–polymerase chain reaction, serology, or antigen test); and 60% of reported”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites CDC
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
May combine two claims.
InterpretationcitationIn the United States, people from underrepresented racial and ethnic groups face substantially higher sudden cardiac arrest risk and worse survival and neurological outcomes than White individuals; in ARIC, the sex-adjusted hazard ratio for sudden cardiac death comparing Black with White participants was 2.12 and the fully adjusted hazard ratio was 1.38, and in San Francisco Black females had a 2.
“In the United States, individuals from underrepresented racial and ethnic groups are at substantially higher risk of sudden cardiac arrest and experience worse survival and neurological outcomes after sudden cardiac arrest compared with White individuals.”
- Also stated in: § Sudden Cardiac Arrest, Ventricular Arrhythmias, and Inherited Channelopathies (Chapter 19) · plain
“In the ARIC study (Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities), the sex-adjusted HR for sudden cardiac death comparing Black with White participants was 2.12, and the fully adjusted HR was 1.38. In San Francisco, Black females had a 2.55 higher incidence of sudden arrhythmic death than White females.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites ARIC study
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- Also stated in: § Sudden Cardiac Arrest, Ventricular Arrhythmias, and Inherited Channelopathies (Chapter 19) · plain
Claims other papers make about this one
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Between 5% and 14% of patients with systemic lupus erythematosus also present with myocarditis.
“between 5% and 14% of patients diagnosed with systemic lupus erythematosus also present with myocarditis”
From Autoimmune Myocarditis, Old Dogs and New Tricks. (2024) · cites this paper as [28]
The Summary’s Cardiomyopathy and Heart Failure section (Chapter 22; page unavailable) reports heart-failure statistics but does not address myocarditis in patients with systemic lupus erythematosus. Searches for lupus, myocarditis, and the 5%–14% range found no passage in our copy supporting that prevalence estimate. (LLM, conf=0.72)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measuredMyocarditis exhibits a notable association with systemic autoimmune diseases.
“Myocarditis exhibits a notable association with systemic autoimmune diseases.”
From Autoimmune Myocarditis, Old Dogs and New Tricks. (2024) · cites this paper as [28]
The Summary’s Cardiomyopathy and Heart Failure section (Chapter 22; page unavailable) reports heart-failure statistics, not an association between myocarditis and systemic autoimmune diseases. Searches for myocarditis, systemic autoimmune diseases, lupus, and autoimmune cardiomyopathy found no passage in our copy addressing that association. (LLM, conf=0.72)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
Self-check
Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.
Three-month cardiac-arrest risk conflicts with the annualized rate
MinorA rate of 116 per 100 000 person-years is 0.116% per year, already less than the stated 0.29% risk over just three months. At a constant rate, the three-month risk would be approximately 0.029%.
Reported 0.29 · recomputed 0.116
“contemporary short-term (3-month) risk is 0.29% or 116 per 100 000 person-years.”
Cited works that were retracted
Works this paper cites that were later retracted, from the retraction notices publishers deposit. Major when the notice came out before this paper was published.
Cites a retracted work: 10.1016/s2213-8587(19)30074-9
MajorThe cited work was retracted on 2016-08-01 (notice 10.1016/s2213-8587(16)30085-7), before this paper was published (2023-02-21). Its authors could have known.
Cited work 10.1016/s2213-8587(19)30074-9 · retracted 2016-08-01 · notice 10.1016/s2213-8587(16)30085-7 · this paper published 2023-02-21
“10.1016/S2213-8587(19)30074-9”
Cites a retracted work: 10.1056/nejmc1806491
InfoThe cited work was retracted; the date of the notice is not on record.
Cited work 10.1056/nejmc1806491 · retraction date not known · this paper published 2023-02-21
“10.1056/NEJMc1806491”
Cites
2 retracted
Estruch, R., Ros, E., Salas-Salvadó, J., Covas, M.-I., Corella, D., Arós, F., Gómez-Gracia, E., Ruiz-Gutiérrez, V., Fiol, M., Lapetra, J., et al. (2018) · New England Journal of Medicine · doi:10.1056/nejmc1806491 · Cited by 1,008 · see citing works
RetractedEstruch, R., Martínez-González, M. A., Corella, D., Salas-Salvadó, J., Fitó, M., Chiva-Blanch, G., Fiol, M., Gómez-Gracia, E., Arós, F., Lapetra, J., et al. (2019) · The Lancet Diabetes & Endocrinology · doi:10.1016/s2213-8587(19)30074-9 · Cited by 147 · see citing works
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- Authors
- Tsao, C. W., Aday, A. W., Almarzooq, Z. I., Anderson, C. A. M., Arora, P., Avery, C. L., Baker-Smith, C. M., Beaton, A. Z., Boehme, A. K., Buxton, A. E., Commodore-Mensah, Y., Elkind, M. S. V., Evenson, K. R., Eze-Nliam, C., Fugar, S., Generoso, G., Heard, D. G., Hiremath, S., Ho, J. E., Kalani, R., Kazi, D. S., Ko, D., Levine, D. A., Liu, J., Ma, J., Magnani, J. W., Michos, E. D., Mussolino, M. E., Navaneethan, S. D., Parikh, N. I., Poudel, R., Rezk-Hanna, M., Roth, G. A., Shah, N. S., St-Onge, M.-P., Thacker, E. L., Virani, S. S., Voeks, J. H., Wang, N.-Y., Wong, N. D., Wong, S. S., Yaffe, K., Martin, S. S., & on behalf of the American Heart Association Council on Epidemiology and Prevention Statistics Committee and Stroke Statistics Subcommittee
- ORCID
- Tsao, Connie W.
- Aday, Aaron W.
- Almarzooq, Zaid I.
- Anderson, Cheryl A.M.
- Arora, Pankaj
- Avery, Christy L.
- Baker-Smith, Carissa M.
- Beaton, Andrea Z.
- Boehme, Amelia K.
- Buxton, Alfred E.
- Commodore-Mensah, Yvonne
- Elkind, Mitchell S.V.
- Evenson, Kelly R.
- Fugar, Setri
- Generoso, Giuliano
- Hiremath, Swapnil
- Ho, Jennifer E.
- Kazi, Dhruv S.
- Ko, Darae
- Levine, Deborah A.
- Liu, Junxiu
- Ma, Jun
- Magnani, Jared W.
- Michos, Erin D.
- Navaneethan, Sankar D.
- Parikh, Nisha I.
- Poudel, Remy
- Roth, Gregory A.
- Shah, Nilay S.
- Thacker, Evan L.
- Virani, Salim S.
- Voeks, Jenifer H.
- Wang, Nae-Yuh
- Wong, Nathan D.
- Yaffe, Kristine
- Martin, Seth S.
- Venue
- Circulation
- Published
- 2023-02-21
- Volume
- 147
- Issue
- 8
- Pages
- e93-e621
- ISSN
- 0009-7322 (ISSN-L)
- 1524-4539
- PMC
- PMC12135016
- OpenAlex
- W4211191293
- Semantic Scholar
- 833f7bd8f145bf3ead5e206b47578f54a90e14c9
- Cited by
- 8,300
- References
- 3,524
- Citations by year
- 2026: 807 · 2025: 1510 · 2024: 1852 · 2023: 846 · 2022: 189 · 2021: 147 · 2020: 153 · 2019: 185 · 2018: 175 · 2017: 231 · 2016: 278 · 2015: 382 · 2014: 477 · 2013: 591 · 2012: 357
- FWCI
- 263.14
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Update notices
- Open access
- green
- www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov
- Locations
- Circulation (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Europe PMC (PubMed Central) (acceptedVersion)
- PubMed Central (acceptedVersion)
- eCommons - AKU (Aga Khan University) (submittedVersion)
- Funders
- National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute (R01HL140224, R01HL134893, R01HL142648, K24HL153669, R35HL155670)
- National Institute of Diabetes and Digestive and Kidney Diseases (R01DK128154)
- Topics
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Cardiology and Cardiovascular Medicine › Cardiovascular Health and Risk Factors
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Epidemiology › Healthcare Systems and Public Health
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health › Health Promotion and Cardiovascular Prevention
- Keywords
- heart disease, stroke, cardiovascular risk factors, cardiovascular health, congenital heart disease, rhythm disorders, subclinical atherosclerosis, coronary artery disease, heart failure, valvular heart disease, venous disease, peripheral arterial disease, health equity, structural racism, health disparities, COVID-19 pandemic, cardiovascular outcomes, quality of care, economic costs
- MeSH terms
- COVID-19, American Heart Association, Cardiovascular Diseases, Heart Diseases, Humans, United States, Stroke
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Claims read by deepseek-v4.1-flash under definition version 3 (extract-v3) on 2026-09-28.
Classified by jev-1.13-20260917 (gold-guideline-v0.2) on 2026-09-28.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
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