Production of Sulfates Onboard an Aircraft: Implications for the Cost and Feasibility of Stratospheric Solar Geoengineering
Open accessAbstract
Injection of sulfate aerosols into the stratosphere, a form of solar geoengineering, has been proposed as a means to reduce some climatic changes by decreasing net anthropogenic radiative forcing. The cost and technical feasibility of forming aerosols with the appropriate size distribution are uncertain. We examine the possibility of producing the relevant sulfur species, SO 2 or SO 3, by in situ conversion from elemental sulfur onboard an aircraft. We provide a first‐order engineering analysis of an open cycle chemical plant for in situ sulfur to sulfate conversion using a Brayton cycle combustor and a catalytic converter. We find that such a plant could have sufficiently low mass that the overall requirement for mass transport to the lower stratosphere may be reduced by roughly a factor of 2. All else equal, this suggests that—for a given radiative forcing—the cost of delivering sulfate aerosols may be nearly halved. Beyond reducing cost, the use of elemental sulfur reduces operational health and safety risks and should therefore reduce environmental side effects associated with delivery. Reduction in cost is not necessarily beneficial as it reduces practical barriers to deployment, increasing the urgency of questions concerning the efficacy, risks, and governance of solar geoengineering.
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Claims the paper makes
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Claims other papers make about this one
Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?
Injecting sulfate aerosols into the stratosphere is considered a leading candidate for solar geoengineering because of its economic and technological feasibility and because we have data.
“Injecting sulfate aerosols into the stratosphere is considered a leading candidate for solar geoengineering both because of its economic and technological feasibility [527,743] and because of a reason that should resonate with the ML community: we have data.”
From Tackling climate change with machine learning (2023) · cites this paper as [743]
Self-check
Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.
The self-check needs the paper’s full text.
Cites
The next generation of scenarios for climate change research and assessment
Moss, R. H., Edmonds, J. A., Hibbard, K. A., Manning, M. R., Rose, S. K., van Vuuren, D. P., Carter, T. R., Emori, S., Kainuma, M., Kram, T., et al. (2010) · Nature · doi:10.1038/nature08823 · Cited by 6,467 · see citing works
Annual Book of ASTM Standards 2003
Riyanto, L. (2003) · Cited by 5,342 · see citing works
NIST-JANAF Thermochemical Tables
Chase, M. W. (1998) · Medical Entomology and Zoology · Cited by 3,244 · see citing works
Lienhard, J. H. (1981) · Cited by 2,770 · see citing works
KIRK-OTHMER ENCYCLOPEDIA OF CHEMICAL TECHNOLOGY
(1982) · Chemical & Engineering News · doi:10.1021/cen-v060n014.ibc · Cited by 2,410 · see citing works
Albedo enhancement by stratospheric sulfur injections: a contribution to resolve a policy dilemma?
Crutzen, P. J. (2006) · Climatic Change · doi:10.1007/s10584-006-9101-y · Cited by 1,541 · see citing works
Perry's chemical engineers' handbook
(2000) · Choice Reviews Online · doi:10.5860/choice.38-0966 · Cited by 1,147 · see citing works
Chase, M. W. (1985) · Journal of Physical and Chemical Reference Data · Cited by 879 · see citing works
Aviation and the Global Atmosphere
Penner, J. E., Lister, D. H., Griggs, E. J., Dokken, D. J., & McFarland, M. (1999) · Cited by 749 · see citing works
(1990) · Analytical Chemistry · doi:10.1021/ac00210a719 · Cited by 729 · see citing works
Lemmon, E. W., Jacobsen, R. T., Penoncello, S. G., et al. (2000) · Journal of Physical and Chemical Reference Data · doi:10.1063/1.1285884 · Cited by 602 · see citing works
The Design of High-Efficiency Turbomachinery and Gas Turbines
Wilson, D. G., & Korakianitis, T. P. (2014) · The MIT Press eBooks · doi:10.7551/mitpress/9940.001.0001 · Cited by 409 · see citing works
A Case for Climate Engineering
Keith, D. (2013) · doi:10.7551/mitpress/9920.001.0001 · Cited by 408 · see citing works
Self-citationBenefits, risks, and costs of stratospheric geoengineering
Robock, A. D., Marquardt, A. B., Kravitz, B., & Stenchikov, G. L. (2009) · Geophysical Research Letters · doi:10.1029/2009gl039209 · Cited by 376 · see citing works
The Incredible Economics of Geoengineering
Barrett, S. A. (2007) · Environmental and Resource Economics · doi:10.1007/s10640-007-9174-8 · Cited by 368 · see citing works
An overview of geoengineering of climate using stratospheric sulphate aerosols
Rasch, P. J., Tilmes, S., Turco, R. P., Robock, A., Oman, L., Chen, C.-C. (., Stenchikov, G. L., & Garcia, R. R. (2008) · Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences · doi:10.1098/rsta.2008.0131 · Cited by 326 · see citing works
Rasch, P. J., Crutzen, P. J., & Coleman, D. B. (2008) · Geophysical Research Letters · doi:10.1029/2007gl032179 · Cited by 302 · see citing works
Climate model response from the Geoengineering Model Intercomparison Project (GeoMIP)
Kravitz, B., Caldeira, K., Boucher, O., Robock, A. D., Rasch, P. J., Alterskjær, K., Karam, D. B., Cole, J. N. S., Curry, C. L., Haywood, J., et al. (2013) · Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres · doi:10.1002/jgrd.50646 · Cited by 297 · see citing works
The impact of geoengineering aerosols on stratospheric temperature and ozone
Heckendorn, P., Weisenstein, D., Fueglistaler, S., Luo, B. P., Rozanov, E., Schraner, M., Thomason, L. W., & Peter, T. (2009) · Environmental Research Letters · doi:10.1088/1748-9326/4/4/045108 · Cited by 254 · see citing works
McElroy, M. B. (2002) · Princeton University Press eBooks · doi:10.1515/9780691234663 · Cited by 238 · see citing works
Handbook of Industrial Catalysts
Lloyd, L. (2011) · Fundamental and applied catalysis · doi:10.1007/978-0-387-49962-8 · Cited by 229 · see citing works
Roles of supports, Pt loading and Pt dispersion in the oxidation of NO to NO2 and of SO2 to SO3
Xue, E., Seshan, K. K., & Ross, J. R. H. (1996) · Applied Catalysis B: Environmental · doi:10.1016/s0926-3373(96)00034-3 · Cited by 210 · see citing works
Emission Measurements of the Concorde Supersonic Aircraft in the Lower Stratosphere
Fahey, D. W., Keim, E. R., Boering, K. A., Brock, C. A., Wilson, J. C., Jonsson, H. H., Anthony, S. E., Hanisco, T. F., Wennberg, P. O., Miake‐Lye, R. C., et al. (1995) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.270.5233.70 · Cited by 188 · see citing works
Weitzman, M. L. (2015) · The Scandinavian Journal of Economics · doi:10.1111/sjoe.12120 · Cited by 159 · see citing works
The economic diplomacy of geoengineering
Schelling, T. C. (1996) · Climatic Change · doi:10.1007/bf00142578 · Cited by 153 · see citing works
Gas Turbine Technology Evolution: A Designers Perspective
Koff, B. L. (2004) · Journal of Propulsion and Power · doi:10.2514/1.4361 · Cited by 146 · see citing works
Pierce, J. R., Weisenstein, D. K., Heckendorn, P., Peter, T., & Keith, D. W. (2010) · Geophysical Research Letters · doi:10.1029/2010gl043975 · Cited by 146 · see citing works
Self-citationPhotophoretic levitation of engineered aerosols for geoengineering
Keith, D. W. (2010) · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1073/pnas.1009519107 · Cited by 135 · see citing works
Self-citationHigh temperature heat exchanger studies for applications to gas turbines
Min, J. K., Jeong, J. H., Ha, M. Y., et al. (2009) · Heat and Mass Transfer · doi:10.1007/s00231-009-0560-3 · Cited by 124 · see citing works
Improved aerosol radiative properties as a foundation for solar geoengineering risk assessment
Dykema, J. A., Keith, D. W., & Keutsch, F. N. (2016) · Geophysical Research Letters · doi:10.1002/2016gl069258 · Cited by 123 · see citing works
Self-citationHorton, J. B., & Reynolds, J. L. (2016) · International Studies Review · doi:10.1093/isr/viv013 · Cited by 118 · see citing works
The dependency of geoengineered sulfate aerosol on the emission strategy
Niemeier, U., Schmidt, H., & Timmreck, C. (2011) · Atmospheric Science Letters · doi:10.1002/asl.304 · Cited by 118 · see citing works
Microphysical simulations of sulfur burdens from stratospheric sulfur geoengineering
English, J. M., Toon, O. B., & Mills, M. J. (2012) · Atmospheric chemistry and physics · doi:10.5194/acp-12-4775-2012 · Cited by 102 · see citing works
a serious look at geoengineering
Keith, D. W., & Dowlatabadi, H. (1992) · Eos · doi:10.1029/91eo00231 · Cited by 95 · see citing works
Self-citationClimate engineering responses to climate emergencies
Battisti, D. S., Blackstock, J. J., Caldeira, K., Eardley, D. E., Katz, J. I., Keith, D. W., Koonin, S. E., Patrinos, A. A. N., Schrag, D. P., & Socolow, R. H. (2009) · IOP Conference Series Earth and Environmental Science · doi:10.1088/1755-1307/6/5/452015 · Cited by 94 · see citing works
Self-citation"Kerosene" Fuels for Aerospace Propulsion - Composition and Properties
Edwards, T. (2002) · AIAA/ASME/SAE/ASEE Joint Propulsion Conference & Exhibit (JPC) · doi:10.2514/6.2002-3874 · Cited by 91 · see citing works
Geoengineering: Re‐making Climate for Profit or Humanitarian Intervention?
Buck, H. J. (2012) · Development and Change · doi:10.1111/j.1467-7660.2011.01744.x · Cited by 84 · see citing works
The cost of stratospheric climate engineering revisited
Moriyama, R., Sugiyama, M., Kurosawa, A., Masuda, K., Tsuzuki, K., & Ishimoto, Y. (2016) · Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change · doi:10.1007/s11027-016-9723-y · Cited by 78 · see citing works
International Governance of Climate Engineering
Parson, E. A., & Ernst, L. N. (2013) · Theoretical Inquiries in Law · doi:10.1515/til-2013-015 · Cited by 70 · see citing works
Caduff, M., Huijbregts, M. A. J., Althaus, H.-J., & Hendriks, A. J. (2010) · Environmental Science & Technology · doi:10.1021/es103095k · Cited by 69 · see citing works
Banerjee, A., Chandran, R. B., & Davidson, J. H. (2014) · Applied Thermal Engineering · doi:10.1016/j.applthermaleng.2014.10.033 · Cited by 64 · see citing works
Lifting options for stratospheric aerosol geoengineering: advantages of tethered balloon systems
Davidson, P., Burgoyne, C. J., Hunt, H. E. M., & Causier, M. (2012) · Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A Mathematical Physical and Engineering Sciences · doi:10.1098/rsta.2011.0639 · Cited by 52 · see citing works
Climate policymakers and assessments must get serious about climate engineering
Parson, E. A. (2017) · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1073/pnas.1713456114 · Cited by 48 · see citing works
Benduhn, F., Schallock, J., & Lawrence, M. G. (2016) · Geophysical Research Letters · doi:10.1002/2016gl070701 · Cited by 36 · see citing works
The History of North American Small Gas Turbine Aircraft Engines
Leyes, R. A., & Fleming, W. J. (1999) · American Institute of Aeronautics and Astronautics eBooks · doi:10.2514/4.473326 · Cited by 34 · see citing works
High Cell Density and Thin Wall Substrate for Higher Conversion Ratio Catalyst
Kikuchi, S., Hatcho, S., Okayama, T., et al. (1999) · SAE technical papers on CD-ROM/SAE technical paper series · doi:10.4271/1999-01-0268 · Cited by 32 · see citing works
Horton, J. B., Parker, A. R., & Keith, D. W. (2015) · RePEc: Research Papers in Economics · Cited by 32 · see citing works
Self-citationPerformance of small-scale aero-derivative industrial gas turbines derived from helicopter engines
Nkoi, B., Pilidis, P., & Nikolaidis, T. (2013) · Propulsion and Power Research · doi:10.1016/j.jppr.2013.11.001 · Cited by 22 · see citing works
The role of support and promoter on the oxidation of sulfur dioxide using platinum based catalysts
Koutsopoulos, S., Rasmussen, S. B., Eriksen, K. M., et al. (2006) · Applied Catalysis A General · doi:10.1016/j.apcata.2006.03.041 · Cited by 20 · see citing works
Kinetic modelling of the SO2-oxidation with Pt in a microstructured reactor
Benzinger, W., Wenka, A., & Dittmeyer, R. (2011) · Applied Catalysis A General · doi:10.1016/j.apcata.2011.03.001 · Cited by 18 · see citing works
Climate Engineering Responses to Climate EmergenciesPreprint
Blackstock, J. J., Battisti, D. S., Caldeira, K., Eardley, D. M., Katz, J. I., Keith, D. W., Patrinos, A. A. N., Schrag, D. P., Socolow, R. H., & Koonin, S. E. (2009) · arXiv (Cornell University) · doi:10.48550/arxiv.0907.5140 · Cited by 18 · see citing works
Self-citationThe PT6 Engine: 30 Years of Gas Turbine Technology Evolution
Badger, M. L., Julien, A., LeBlanc, A. D., et al. (1994) · Journal of Engineering for Gas Turbines and Power · doi:10.1115/1.2906823 · Cited by 14 · see citing works
‘Corrosion handbook: corrosive agents and their interaction with materials’
none (1988) · British Corrosion Journal · doi:10.1179/000705988798271108 · Cited by 13 · see citing works
Stratospheric albedo modification
Katz, J. I. (2010) · Energy & Environmental Science · doi:10.1039/c002441d · Cited by 11 · see citing works
A Mass Computation Model for Light Weight Brayton Cycle Regenerator Heat Exchangers
Juhasz, A. J. (2010) · AIAA International Energy Conversion Engineering Conference (IECEC) · doi:10.2514/6.2010-7087 · Cited by 10 · see citing works
Theoretical and numerical analyses of a ceramic monolith heat exchanger
Paeng, J. G., Yoon, Y. H., Kim, K. H., et al. (2010) · Journal of Mechanical Science and Technology · doi:10.1007/s12206-010-0407-3 · Cited by 7 · see citing works
Combustion Chambers for Jet Propulsion Engines
(1964) · Elsevier eBooks · doi:10.1016/c2013-0-01765-3 · Cited by 6 · see citing works
Näumann, F., & Schulz, M. (2008) · Handbook of Heterogeneous Catalysis · doi:10.1002/9783527610044.hetcat0133 · Cited by 6 · see citing works
INTERNATIONAL SERIES OF MONOGRAPHS IN AERONAUTICS AND ASTRONAUTICS
(1965) · Elsevier eBooks · doi:10.1016/b978-1-4831-9818-7.50001-6 · Cited by 6 · see citing works
Development of Shell-and-Tube Type Ceramic Heat Exchanger for CGT301
Yoshimura, Y., Itoh, K., Ohhori, K., et al. (1995) · Volume 2: Aircraft Engine; Marine; Microturbines and Small Turbomachinery · doi:10.1115/95-gt-208 · Cited by 4 · see citing works
d’Aquin, G. E., & Fell, R. C. (2007) · Springer eBooks · doi:10.1007/978-0-387-27843-8_25 · Cited by 4 · see citing works
Manufacture of sulphuric acid in the united states
Wells, A. E., & Fogg, D. E. (1920) · Journal of the Franklin Institute · doi:10.1016/s0016-0032(20)90881-5 · Cited by 2 · see citing works
Inlets, Nozzles, and Combustion Systems
(2006) · American Institute of Aeronautics and Astronautics eBooks · doi:10.2514/5.9781600861789.0685.0784 · Cited by 1 · see citing works
Flagged first, then by citations
Research works printed but not linked: 7
- In J. R. Davis (Ed.), ASM specialty handbook: Heat-resistant materials. Materials Park, OH: ASM International.
- Farokhi, S. (2014). Aircraft propulsion (2nd ed.). West Sussex, UK: John Wiley & Sons.
- McClellan, J., Sisco, J., Suarez, B., & Keogh, G. (2010). Geoengineering cost analysis. Cambridge, MA: Aurora Flight Sciences Corporation.
- National Research Council (1998). The atmospheric effects of stratospheric aircraft project: An interim review of science and progress. Washington, DC: The Natl. Acad. Press.
- National Research Council (2015). Climate intervention: Reflecting sunlight to cool Earth. Washington, DC: The Natl. Acad. Press.
- hetcat0133 · DOI
- Sunden, B. (2005). High temperature heat exchangers (HTHE). In R. K. Shah, M. Ishizuka, T. M. Rudy, & V. V. Wadekar (Eds.), Proceedings of Fifth International Conference on Enhanced, Compact and Ultra-Compact Heat Exchangers: Science, Engineering and Technology, 11-16 September, 2005, Whistler, Canada (pp. 226-238). Hoboken, NJ: Engineering Conferences International.
Cited by
Sorted by citations
Stratospheric aerosol injection tactics and costs in the first 15 years of deployment
Smith, W., & Wagner, G. (2018) · Environmental Research Letters · doi:10.1088/1748-9326/aae98d · Cited by 181 · see citing works
Tackling climate change with machine learning
Rolnick, D., Donti, P. L., Kaack, L. H., Kochanski, K., Lacoste, A., Sankaran, K., Ross, A. S., Milojevic-Dupont, N., Jaques, N., Waldman-Brown, A., et al. (2023) · ACM Computing Surveys · doi:10.1145/3485128 · Cited by 336 · see citing works
The cost of stratospheric aerosol injection through 2100
Smith, W. (2020) · Environmental Research Letters · doi:10.1088/1748-9326/aba7e7 · Cited by 102 · see citing works
“The even greater ‘three-for-one’ cost benefit assumed in Smith and Wagner to derive from the on-board combustion process sourced from Smith et al (2018)3 was not found to be practicable on the SAIL-1 design due to increased hardware weights and cruise time requirements and is not assumed herein.”
BackgroundDai, Z., Weisenstein, D. K., Keutsch, F. N., & Keith, D. W. (2020) · Communications Earth & Environment · doi:10.1038/s43247-020-00058-7 · Cited by 28 · see citing works
Self-citationMethods for Dispersal of Precipitated Calcium Carbonate for Stratospheric Aerosol Injection
Neukermans, A., Cooper, G., Foster, J., Galbraith, L., & Jain, S. (2021) · Journal of Atmospheric and Oceanic Technology · doi:10.1175/jtech-d-20-0205.1 · Cited by 3 · see citing works
- Authors
- Smith, J. P., Dykema, J. A., & Keith, D. W.
- Affiliations
- Harvard University (US)
- Corresponding author
- Keith, David W.
- Venue
- Earth and Space Science
- Publisher
- Wiley
- Published
- 2018-04
- Volume
- 5
- Issue
- 4
- Pages
- 150-162
- ISSN
- 2333-5084 (ISSN-L)
- OpenAlex
- W2796452566
- Cited by
- 37
- References
- 63
- Citations by year
- 2026: 2 · 2025: 1 · 2023: 1 · 2022: 19 · 2021: 6 · 2020: 5 · 2019: 2 · 2018: 1
- FWCI
- 2.05
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- gold
- doi.org
- Licence
- Locations
- Earth and Space Science (publishedVersion, cc-by-nc-nd)
- Digital Access to Scholarship at Harvard (DASH) (Harvard University) (submittedVersion)
- Funders
- National Aeronautics and Space Administration
- Harvard University
- Pratt and Whitney Canada
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Climate Change and Geoengineering
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Advanced Aircraft Design and Technologies
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Atmospheric aerosols and clouds
- Keywords
- solar geoengineering, stratospheric sulfate aerosols, catalytic converters, cost analysis, feasibility, radiative forcing, health and safety risks, geoengineering governance
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review