A simulative deep learning model of SNP interactions on chromosome 19 for predicting Alzheimer's disease risk and rates of disease progression
Open accessAbstract
BACKGROUND: Identifying genetic patterns that contribute to Alzheimer's disease (AD) is important not only for pre‐symptomatic risk assessment but also for building personalized therapeutic strategies. METHODS: We implemented a novel simulative deep learning model to chromosome 19 genetic data from the Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative and the Imaging and Genetic Biomarkers of Alzheimer's Disease datasets. The model quantified the contribution of each single nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) and their epistatic impact on the likelihood of AD using the occlusion method. The top 35 AD‐risk SNPs in chromosome 19 were identified, and their ability to predict the rate of AD progression was analyzed. RESULTS: Rs561311966 ( APOC1 ) and rs2229918 ( ERCC1/CD3EAP ) were recognized as the most powerful factors influencing AD risk. The top 35 chromosome 19 AD‐risk SNPs were significant predictors of AD progression. DISCUSSION: The model successfully estimated the contribution of AD‐risk SNPs that account for AD progression at the individual level. This can help in building preventive precision medicine.
AI snapshot
Written from the paper’s full text.
TL;DR
The paper develops a Capsule Network deep-learning model using all 266,161 chromosome 19 SNPs from ADNI to predict AD versus CU and quantify individual and epistatic SNP contributions via occlusion. It identifies top chromosome 19 AD-risk SNPs, led by rs56131196 (APOC1) and rs2229918 (ERCC1/CD3EAP), and shows their chromosomal risk impact scores predict rates of cognitive and CSF biomarker progression.
Key findings
- The deep-learning model achieved 68.18% accuracy (specificity = 72.04%, sensitivity = 62.30%, AUC = 0.67, equal error rate = 0.37), slightly above random guess (60.39%) and APOE-information-only classification (67.53%).
- Among the top 35 AD SNPs, 7 belonged to APOC1, 7 to TOMM40, 5 to ZNF473, and 3 to VRK3. Rs56131196 (APOC1) was the most significant SNP for predicted AD participants, with occlusion producing a CRIS of −0.023 (−2.3%); rs2229918 (ERCC1/CD3EAP) was the most powerful for predicted CU participants. Co-occlusion produced 574 and 358 amplification and 21 and 170 attenuation interactions for pADp and pCUp, respectively. The APOE SNPs rs429358 and rs7412 were not detected as AD-risk SNPs.
- The top 35 AD SNPs predicted progression: CRIS of 3 SNPs correlated with rate of cognitive decline (P < .05, r²-adjusted = 0.19–0.43) and with CSF biomarker changes over time (P < .05, r²-adjusted = 0.89–0.99). Replacing rs56131196 A/G with G/G in pADp decreased psAD by 0.079 (7.9%) and led to ≈36% of pADp being predicted as pCUp.
- In external ImaGENE validation, 26 of the top 35 ADNI pADp SNPs were also identified as strong AD-contributing SNPs; rs56131196 (APOC1) and rs2229918 (ERCC1/CD3EAP) were the most and second most significant AD SNPs with respect to pADp and pCUp.
Methods
- Used chromosome 19 GWAS data from ADNI: 457 AD and 313 CU participants (N = 770), randomly divided into 60% train (N = 462), 20% validation (N = 154), and 20% test (N = 154) sets; all 266,161 SNPs were used. The model was a Capsule Network with primary capsule layers and dynamic routing; occlusion maps quantified individual SNP and SNP-SNP interaction contributions, and genotype replacement simulated editing effects.
- Multiple linear regression tested every possible combination of 3 top-35 AD SNPs plus their four interaction terms to predict rate of cognitive decline (memory, language, executive, visuospatial composites) and rate of CSF Aβ, t-tau, p-tau, and ratio changes; covariates were sex, age, education, and APOE ε4 genotype.
- External validation used ImaGENE: 50 participants (22 who converted to AD dementia and 28 CU who remained CU over 5 years), with 206,756 of the 266,161 ADNI SNPs available.
Limitations
- Stated: the proof-of-concept model used only chromosome 19, which the authors believed limited predictive performance; future work will use multiple/all chromosomes, and inter-chromosomal epistatic interactions were beyond scope.
- Stated: no single dataset is fully representative of the population, so biological interpretation from the weight matrix at lowest validation loss might not optimally align with nature; a different model, dataset, or preprocessing might identify different features.
- Evident: the external validation sample was small (50 participants), and the ADNI sample was 98.7% White, limiting generalizability; the APOE ε4 haplotype SNPs rs429358 and rs7412 were not detected as predictive despite being established AD risk factors, a surprising result the authors report consistently across models and datasets.
Model-written summary. Check it against the paper before relying on it.
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Cites
Statistics
Claims the paper makes
0 of 23 cited sources checked · 0 supported · 0 flagged
- Findingown data
Rs56131196 (APOC1) showed the strongest interactions with other SNPs.
“Rs56131196 (APOC1) also showed the strongest interactions with other SNPs.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim- Rests on an assumption: The change in psAD essentially indicates the individual SNP contribution to the CRIS.
- Findingown data
Co-occlusion of two AD SNPs at a time resulted in 358 amplification and 170 attenuation interactions of pCUp.
“Co-occlusion of two AD SNPs at a time resulted in 574 and 358 amplification and 21 and 170 attenuation interactions of pADp and pCUp, respectively (Table S9 in supporting information).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingreasoning
Top AD SNPs determined by our model did not include genome-wide significant SNPs from the three latest GWAS research projects.
“Top AD SNPs determined by our model, however, did not include genome-wide significant SNPs from the three latest GWAS research projects.[13][14][15]”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [13][14][15]
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- Findingnone given
Sixty-four test set participants with higher psAD than psCU were classified as pADp.
“Sixty-four test set participants with higher psAD than psCU were classified as pADp.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Replacing rs56131196 A/G with G/G led to approximately 36% of pADp now being predicted as pCUp.
“This led to ≈36% of pADp now being predicted as pCUp (Figure S12 in supporting information).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- Rests on an assumption: The change in psAD essentially indicates the individual SNP contribution to the CRIS.
- Findingown data
The top 35 AD and CU SNPs showing the greatest decrease in psAD for pADp or psCU for pCUp were identified.
“The top 35 AD and CU SNPs, showing the greatest decrease in psAD for pADp or psCU for pCUp were identified (see Data S5 and Tables S2-S4 in supporting information).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
The greatest CRIS amplification occurred when rs147510483 (VRK3) and rs149633759 (VRK3) were occluded together.
“The greatest CRIS amplification occurred when rs147510483 (VRK3) and rs149633759 (VRK3) were occluded together.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim- Rests on an assumption: If the prediction score change from co-occlusion is higher or lower than the sum of prediction changes of each individual SNP, there is an interaction (amplification or attenuation) between them.
- Findingown data
Rs56131196 A/G had 6 interactions stronger than 0.003 with other AD SNPs located in APOC1/APOC1P1, TOMM40, and ERCC1/CD3EAP that further decreased psAD when replaced.
“Rs56131196 A/G had 6 interactions stronger than 0.003 with other AD SNPs located in APOC1/APOC1P1, TOMM40, and ERCC1/CD3EAP (Figures S10 and S11 in supporting information) that further decreased psAD when replaced.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- Rests on an assumption: If the prediction score change from co-occlusion is higher or lower than the sum of prediction changes of each individual SNP, there is an interaction (amplification or attenuation) between them.
- Findingown data
Only 206,756 of the 266,161 SNPs available in ADNI were available in ImaGENE.
“Only 206,756 of the 266,161 SNPs available in ADNI (Illumina Human 610-Quad and Omni Express BeadChip arrays) were available in ImaGENE (Illumina 1 M array, Table S10 in supporting information).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
The mean prediction gap between psAD and psCU for these participants was 0.147 with a standard deviation of 0.065.
“The mean prediction gap between psAD and psCU for these participants was 0.147 with a standard deviation of 0.065.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
The occlusion of rs2229918 (ERCC1/CD3EAP) decreased psAD in pCUp the most.
“The occlusion of rs2229918 (ERCC1/CD3EAP) decreased psAD in pCUp the most, that is, pCUp subjects were more likely to be diagnosed with AD when this SNP was occluded.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- Rests on an assumption: The change in psAD essentially indicates the individual SNP contribution to the CRIS.
- Findingreasoning
With APOE information alone, CU versus AD accuracy was 67.53% (specificity 69.9%, sensitivity 63.9%).
“Hence, with APOE information alone, we could achieve a CU versus AD accuracy of 67.53% (specificity = 69.9%,sensitivity = 63.9%).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Rs56131196 (APOC1) was the most significant SNP for pADp.
“Rs56131196 (APOC1) was the most significant SNP for pADp.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
The two APOE SNPs rs429358 and rs7412 were not detected as AD-risk SNPs.
“It must be noted that the two APOE SNPs, rs429358 and rs7412, were not detected as AD-risk SNPs (see Data S7 in supporting information).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
Replacing rs56131196 A/G with G/G in pADp decreased psAD by 0.079 (7.9%).
“Replacing rs56131196 A/G with G/G in pADp decreased psAD by 0.079 (7.9%).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- Rests on an assumption: The change in psAD essentially indicates the individual SNP contribution to the CRIS.
- Findingown data
The contribution of previously suggested GWAS AD risk factors to our model's predictive performance is minimal.
“We quantified the impact of previously suggested GWAS AD risk factors and found that their contribution to our model's predictive performance is minimal (Table S20).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
The deep learning model outperforms conventional machine learning models (support vector machine, decision tree, and random forest).
“We further implemented three different machine learning models, support vector machine, decision tree, and random forest, as comparison to demonstrate that our deep learning model outperforms conventional machine learning models (Table S8 in supporting information).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Occluding rs56131196 (APOC1) produced a CRIS of -0.023, that is, -2.3% likelihood of AD.
“Occluding it produced CRIS of -0.023, that is, -2.3% likelihood of AD.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- Rests on an assumption: The change in psAD essentially indicates the individual SNP contribution to the CRIS.
- Findingown data
With all 35 AD SNPs occluded, all originally predicted pADp were predicted as pCUp.
“With all 35 AD SNPs occluded, all originally predicted pADp were predicted as pCUp (Figure S5 in supporting information).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
The CRIS of 3 SNPs in the top 35 AD SNPs was significantly correlated with the rate of cognitive decline (P < .05, r2-adjusted = 0.19-0.43).
“We found that their CRIS was significantly correlated with the rate of cognitive decline (P < .05,r 2 -adjusted = 0.19-0.43).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- Rests on an assumption: The change in psAD essentially indicates the individual SNP contribution to the CRIS.
- Findingown data
The top 35 chromosome 19 AD-risk SNPs were significant predictors of AD progression.
“The top 35 chromosome 19 AD-risk SNPs were significant predictors of AD progression.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
If all top 35 AD chromosome 19 SNPs were occluded, the average decrease in psAD was 0.292 (29.2%) and the average increase in psCU was 0.137 (13.7%).
“If all the top 35 AD chromosome 19 SNPs were occluded, the average decrease in psAD and increase in psCU were 0.292 (29.2%) and 0.137 (13.7%), respectively.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Rs56131196 (APOC1) and rs2229918 (ERCC1/CD3EAP) were detected as the most and second most significant AD SNPs with respect to pADp and pCUp.
“Rs56131196 (APOC1) and rs2229918 (repair cross complementation group 1/CD3e molecule associated protein [ERCC1/CD3EAP]) were detected as the most and the second most significant AD SNPs with respect to pADp and pCUp (Tables S12-S14 in supporting information).”
- Also stated in: § Abstract · plain
“Rs561311966 (APOC1) and rs2229918 (ERCC1/CD3EAP) were recognized as the most powerful factors influencing AD risk.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Also stated in: § Abstract · plain
- Findingown data
The greatest attenuation was observed when rs60229698 (VRK3) and rs149633759 (VRK3) were occluded together.
“The greatest attenuation was observed when rs60229698 (VRK3) and rs149633759 (VRK3) were occluded together.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim- Rests on an assumption: If the prediction score change from co-occlusion is higher or lower than the sum of prediction changes of each individual SNP, there is an interaction (amplification or attenuation) between them.
- Findingown data
Co-occlusion of rs56131196 (APOC1) and rs144311893 (APOC1) produced a CRIS of -0.045 (-4.5%).
“The co-occlusion of rs56131196 (APOC1) and rs144311893 (APOC1) produced a CRIS of -0.045 (-4.5%).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- Rests on an assumption: The change in psAD essentially indicates the individual SNP contribution to the CRIS.
- Findingreasoning
In the test set of 154 subjects, 93 were CU participants, so a random guess of pCUp would produce 60.39% classification accuracy.
“Given that the test set of 154 subjects contained 93 CU participants, a random guess of pCUp would produce 60.39% classification accuracy.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
We identified and ranked the top 35 AD-predictive GWAS SNPs on chromosome 19 by studying their individual contribution as well as their epistatic effects.
“We identified and ranked the top 35 AD-predictive GWAS SNPs on chromosome 19 by studying their individual contribution as well as their epistatic effects.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingnone given
All regression models were significant.
“All regression models were significant, which implies two points: (1) the over-fitting issue was well handled and ( 2”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Co-occlusion of two AD SNPs at a time resulted in 574 amplification and 21 attenuation interactions of pADp.
“Co-occlusion of two AD SNPs at a time resulted in 574 and 358 amplification and 21 and 170 attenuation interactions of pADp and pCUp, respectively (Table S9 in supporting information).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
Despite the missing 59,405 SNPs, 26 out of the top 35 ADNI pADp SNPs were also identified as strong AD-contributing SNPs in the ImaGENE dataset.
“Despite the missing 59,405 SNPs, 26 out of the top 35 ADNI pADp SNPs were also identified as strong AD-contributing SNPs in the Ima-GENE dataset (Table S11 in supporting information).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingnone given
We estimated the change of the likelihood of AD that one could expect from gene-editing technology such as CRISPR by replacing genotypes at certain SNPs.
“Last, we estimated the change of the likelihood of AD that one could expect from gene-editing technology such as CRISPR by replacing genotypes at certain SNPs.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
The model determined SNPs from previously recognized AD genomic regions including APOC1, TOMM40, and VRK3 as well as novel regions.
“Our model determined SNPs from previously recognized AD genomic regions including APOC1, TOMM40, and VRK3 as well as novel regions (Tables S2-S4).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
rs429358 and rs7412, commonly used to define the APOE ε4 haplotype, were not determined as powerful predictive features.
“Surprisingly, rs429358 and rs7412, commonly used to define the APOE ε4 haplotype, were not determined as powerful predictive features.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Rs2229918 (ERCC1/CD3EAP) was identified as the most powerful AD-risk SNP for pCUp.
“Rs56131196 (APOC1) and rs2229918 (ERCC1/CD3EAP) were identified as the most powerful AD-risk SNPs for pADp and pCUp, respectively.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
The top APOE SNP, rs439401, ranked as the forty-seventh pADp SNP with CRIS = -0.003(-0.3%).
“The top APOE SNP, rs439401, ranked as the forty-seventh pADp SNP with CRIS = -0.003(-0.3%).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingnone given
Our model determined AD risk SNPs that account for biological as well as clinical AD progression.
“) our model determined AD risk SNPs that account for biological as well as clinical AD progression.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingreasoning
CapsNet enables the individual inspection of each SNP regardless of the given SNP's linkage disequilibrium.
“This enables the individual inspection of each SNP regardless of the given SNP's linkage disequilibrium.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Rs56131196 (APOC1) was identified as the most powerful AD-risk SNP for pADp.
“Rs56131196 (APOC1) and rs2229918 (ERCC1/CD3EAP) were identified as the most powerful AD-risk SNPs for pADp and pCUp, respectively.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Premisecitation
The three latest GWAS research projects suggested in total 16 AD-risk SNPs in chromosome 19 excluding APOE haplotype.
“The three latest GWAS research projects suggested in total 16 AD-risk SNPs in chromosome 19 excluding APOE haplotype (Table S20 in supporting information).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [13][14][15]
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- Interpretationown data
Epistatic interactions play a more significant role than the genetic variant itself in recognizing AD risk factors.
“Therefore, we concluded that epistatic interactions play a more significant role than the genetic variant itself in recognizing AD risk factors.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Premisecitation
CD3EAP has differential hippocampal expression in AD versus healthy controls.
“CD3EAP has differential hippocampal expression in AD versus healthy controls.51,52”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites [51]
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- cites [52]
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- Interpretationown data
Based on external validation, the deep learning model reliably identifies AD-contributing SNPs.
“Based on this external validation we concluded that our deep learning model reliably identifies AD-contributing SNPs.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Study design and conductreasoning
The over-fitting issue was well handled.
“which implies two points: (1) the over-fitting issue was well handled and ( 2”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Premisecitation
Multiple regression approaches with APOE ε4 and additional AD risk SNPs and polygenic risk scores explain only part of the disease heritability.
“Multiple regression approaches with the apolipoprotein E (APOE) ε4 haplotype, the most significant sporadic AD risk factor, together with numerous additional AD risk SNPs identified by GWAS approaches and polygenic risk scores, were developed to better explain heritability and identify the genetic architecture of AD. [16][17][18][19] They, however, explain only part of the disease heritability”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 3 sources checked- cites [16]
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- cites [17]
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- cites [18]
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- Study design and conductown data
The model was replicated using independent GWAS data from the ImaGENE study.
“We replicated our model using independent GWAS data from the Imaging and Genetic Biomarkers of Alzheimer's Disease (ImaGENE) study (see Table S7 in supporting information for participant demographics and comparisons to the ADNI sample).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationown data
The association between CRIS and rate of cognitive decline is most likely explained by the strong linkage disequilibrium of APOE with APOC1.
“This is most likely explained by the strong linkage disequilibrium of APOE with APOC1 (Figure S17 in supporting information).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationown data
pCUp subjects were more likely to be diagnosed with AD when rs2229918 (ERCC1/CD3EAP) was occluded.
“The occlusion of rs2229918 (ERCC1/CD3EAP) decreased psAD in pCUp the most, that is, pCUp subjects were more likely to be diagnosed with AD when this SNP was occluded.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- Rests on an assumption: The change in psAD essentially indicates the individual SNP contribution to the CRIS.
- Interpretationown data
The model successfully estimated the contribution of AD-risk SNPs that account for AD progression at the individual level.
“The model successfully estimated the contribution of AD-risk SNPs that account for AD progression at the individual level.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Study design and conductown data
Pairwise chi-square and t tests between the train, validation, and test sets regarding age and education, sex, APOE ε4, and diagnosis distribution found no significant differences.
“Pairwise chi-square and t tests between the train, validation, and test sets regarding age and education, sex, APOE ε4, and diagnosis distribution found no significant differences (Table S1 in supporting information).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationown data
Epistatic effects provided a more powerful contribution in increasing the model's performance than the GWAS variants including APOE haplotype.
“This indicates that epistatic effects provided a more powerful contribution in increasing the model's performance than the GWAS variants including APOE haplotype.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationnone given
AD-risk SNPs determined by the model were consistent with prior medical knowledge.
“AD-risk SNPs determined by the model were consistent with prior medical knowledge and can help in building a pre-symptomatic genetic risk assessment.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Study design and conductown data
The finding that replacement of rs429358 and/or rs7412 showed no change in CRIS and no amplification or attenuation effects was consistent across three separate models, five non-overlapping test sets from ADNI, and one independent dataset (ImaGENE).
“This was a consistent finding across three separate models (Figures S15 and S16), five non-overlapping test sets from ADNI (Data S6), and one independent dataset (ImaGENE).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Study design and conductnone given
The deep-learning framework was derived from 266,161 SNPs from chromosome 19 in a hypothesis-free manner.
“We report a novel deep-learning framework derived from 266,161”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- Rests on an assumption: The CapsNet approach is the first model that allows for the exploration of the epistatic interactions between AD risk or protective SNPs.
- May combine two claims. 27
- Classified as probably not a substantial claim. 18
May combine two claims.
Findingown dataThe deep learning prediction model achieved an accuracy of 68.18%, specificity 72.04%, sensitivity 62.30%, AUC 0.67, and equal error rate 0.37 on the test set.
“Our deep learning prediction model achieved an accuracy of 68.18% (specificity = 72.04%,sensitivity = 62.30%, area under the curve [AUC] = 0.67, equal error rate = 0.37 [Figure S1]).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataThe weakest association between CRIS and rate of cognitive decline was observed for the memory domain and the highest for the executive function domain.
“The weakest association was observed for the memory domain and the highest for the executive function domain (Table 3 and Tables S16 and S17 in supporting information).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim- Rests on an assumption: The change in psAD essentially indicates the individual SNP contribution to the CRIS.
May combine two claims.
Findingown dataThe individual CRIS of rs147510483 (VRK3) and rs149633759 (VRK3) were -0.002 (-0.2%) and -0.004 (-0.4%), respectively, but when removed simultaneously, a -0.010 (-1%) CRIS was observed.
“Their individual CRIS were -0.002 (-0.2%) and -0.004 (-0.4%), respectively, but when they were removed simultaneously, a -0.010 (i.e., -1%) CRIS was observed.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- Rests on an assumption: If the prediction score change from co-occlusion is higher or lower than the sum of prediction changes of each individual SNP, there is an interaction (amplification or attenuation) between them.
May combine two claims.
Findingown dataIn the test set, 63.93% of AD participants and 30.11% of CU participants were APOE ε4 carriers.
“Also, in the test set, 63.93% of AD participants as opposed to 30.11% of CU participants were APOE ε4 carriers.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataRs56131196 (APOC1) was recognized as the most powerful individual pADp SNP and the fourth most powerful pCUp SNP.
“Rs56131196 (APOC1) was recognized as the most powerful individual pADp SNP and the fourth most powerful pCUp SNP;”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingnone givenOur model captured the variability of not only the individual SNPs but also their positional relations.
“Our model captured the variability of not only the individual SNPs but also their positional relations.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataAmong the top 35 AD SNPs, 7 belonged to APOC1 and another 7 to TOMM40.
“Among the 35 AD SNPs, 7 belonged to APOC1 and another 7 to TOMM40.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataFor the attenuation effect, VRK3 and ERCC1 showed the highest attenuated impact for pADp and pCUp, respectively.
“For the attenuation effect, VRK3 and ERCC1 showed the highest attenuated impact for pADp and pCUp, respectively.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown data79.69% of pADp had an adenine/guanine (A/G) genotype while approximately 88.89% of pCUp had the reference G/G genotype at rs56131196.
“79.69% of pADp had an adenine/guanine (A/G) genotype while ≈88.89% of pCUp had the reference, G/G, genotype at this locus.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataA small number of SNPs (in this case 3) out of the 35 were powerfully associated with CSF biomarker changes over time and also showed modest association with decline across all cognitive domains.
“We were able to demonstrate that a small number of SNPs (in this case 3) out of the 35 powerfully associated with CSF biomarker changes over time and also show modest association with decline across all cognitive domains.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataAmong the top 35 AD SNPs, 5 were from ZNF473 and 3 from VRK3.
“Additionally, we observed 5 SNPs from zinc finger protein 473 (ZNF473) and 3 SNPs from vaccina-related kinase serine/threonine kinase 3 (VRK3; Table 2, left panel).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataEach of rs60229698 (VRK3) and rs149633759 (VRK3) resulted in -0.004 (0.4%) CRIS, yet when removed together, only a -0.004 (-0.4%) CRIS was observed.
“Each SNP resulted in -0.004 (0.4%) CRIS, yet when removed together, we observed still only a -0.004 (-0.4%)CRIS (Figures S6 and S7 in supporting information).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim- Rests on an assumption: If the prediction score change from co-occlusion is higher or lower than the sum of prediction changes of each individual SNP, there is an interaction (amplification or attenuation) between them.
May combine two claims.
Findingown dataThe APOE ε4 haplotype did not contribute to the model's predictive performance, as it did not affect prediction changes when occluded nor show epistatic effects with any other chromosome 19 SNPs when co-occluded.
“APOE ε4 haplotype did not affect prediction changes when occluded nor epistatic effects with any other SNPs in chromosome 19 when co-occluded, indicating that it did not contribute to model's predictive performance (see Data S7).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S4 (based). May combine two claims.
Findingnone givenCapsNet is able to analyze positional relations between AD risk SNPs, leading to the use of spatial and positional information in our predictive model.
“CapsNet is able to analyze positional relations between AD risk SNPs leading to the use of spatial and positional information in our predictive model.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataReplacement of rs429358 and/or rs7412 showed no change in CRIS and no amplification or attenuation effects.
“Replacement of rs429358 and/or rs7412 showed no change in CRIS and no amplification or attenuation effects.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataThe strongest prediction was seen for Aβ/p-tau and the weakest for t-tau.
“The strongest prediction was seen for Aβ/p-tau and the weakest for t-tau (Table 4).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataAll regression models were significant (P < .05, adjusted r2 = 0.89-0.99).
“All regression models were significant (P < .05,r 2adjusted = 0.89-0.99).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
PremisecitationThe genetic code is determined by SNP order and location, their spatial relation to each other, and their epistatic interactions with other SNPs.
“The genetic code is determined by single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) order and location, their spatial relation to each other, and their epistatic interactions with other SNPs.[8][9][10]”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 3 sources checked- cites [8]
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- cites [9]
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- cites [10]
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
May combine two claims.
Interpretationown dataThe deep learning model performed slightly better than both the random guess and the APOE information.
“Therefore, our model performed slightly better than both the random guess and the APOE information.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationA previous study reported that deficient ERCC1 protein leads to imbalance between DNA repair and oxidative stress and neurodegeneration.
“A previous study reported that deficient ERCC1 protein leads to imbalance between DNA repair and oxidative stress and neurodegeneration. 44”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [44]
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationVRK3 is known to progress AD via oxidative stress-induced cyclin-dependent kinase 5 (CDK5).
“VRK3 was also known to progress AD via oxidative stress-induced cyclin-dependent kinase 5 (CDK5).53”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [53]
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
PremisecitationERCC1 Δ/- mice showed neuronal apoptosis and synaptic plasticity deficits in the hippocampus and accelerated age-dependent cognitive decline.
“ERCC1 Δ/-mice showed neuronal apoptosis and synaptic plasticity deficits in the hippocampus and accelerated age-dependent cognitive decline.[45][46][47][48][49][50]”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 3 sources checked- cites [45]
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- cites [46]
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- cites [47]
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S4 (based).
InterpretationreasoningThe difference between top AD SNPs from our model and genome-wide significant SNPs from the three latest GWAS projects is due to differences in diversity of race, population size, and AD risk factor identification process.
“This is due to the differences in diversity of race, population size, and AD risk factor identification process.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
PremisecitationData-driven methods (machine and deep learning models) have identified new AD-linked SNPs but still fall short in correctly estimating the impact of AD risk and protective variants at the individual level.
“Data-driven methods (e.g., machine and deep learning models) are cutting-edge tools for pattern recognition and have been applied to GWAS data.[20][21][22][23][24] These methods have identified new AD-linked SNPs, but so far these methods still fall short in correctly estimating the impact of AD risk and protective variants at the individual level.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 3 sources checked- cites [20]
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- cites [21]
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- cites [22]
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S4 (based).
Interpretationnone givenUsing a single chromosome significantly reduces the computational burden to explore the feasibility and effectiveness of this type of model.
“Using a single chromosome significantly reduces the computational burden to explore the feasibility and effectiveness of this type of model.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable), S4 (based). May combine two claims.
Interpretationnone givenOur approach shows promise for clinical implementation as an AD risk assessment tool and for pre-symptomatic clinical trial enrichment with patients at high likelihood for AD.
“Our approach shows promise for clinical implementation as an AD risk assessment tool and for pre-symptomatic clinical trial enrichment with patients at high likelihood for AD.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Interpretationown dataOur hypothesis-free deep learning approach identified potential AD risk SNPs that might bring us closer to a full understanding of AD's heritability and personalized genome-level risk assessment.
“In conclusion, our hypothesis-free deep learning approach identified potential AD risk SNPs that might bring us closer to a full understanding of AD's heritability and personalized genome-level risk assessment.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationMany research groups have spotlighted the association between APOC1 and cognitive performance in AD.
“Many research groups have spotlighted the association between APOC1 and cognitive performance in AD. [37][38][39][40]”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [37][38][39][40]
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable), S3 (load-bearing).
InterpretationreasoningThe biological interpretation originating from the weight matrix at the lowest validation loss in our dataset might not optimally align with the full breadth of observations in nature.
“Hence, the biological interpretation originating from the weight matrix at the lowest validation loss in our dataset might not optimally align with the full breadth of observations in nature.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim- Rests on an assumption: No single dataset is fully representative of the population.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Study design and conductnone givenThe University of California Los Angeles Institutional Review Boards (UCLA IRBs) approved the study.
“The University of California Los Angeles Institutional Review Boards (UCLA IRBs) approved the study.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Premisecitationrs439401 has been previously associated with AD.
“This SNP has been previously associated with AD. 42,43”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites [42]
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- cites [43]
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
Classified as probably not a substantial claim.
InterpretationreasoningThe restrictive information of input data (chromosome 19) limited the model's predictive performance.
“We believed that the restrictive information of input data, that is, chromosome 19, limited the model's predictive performance.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
Study design and conductnone givenThe model was modified to have a smaller complexity and was trained with multiple regularization methods to manage overfitting.
“The model was modified to have a smaller complexity and was trained with multiple regularization methods (see Data S4 in supporting information) to manage overfitting.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
Study design and conductnone givenAll ImaGENE participants or their legally authorized representatives provided informed consent for data collection and publication according to the Declaration of Helsinki, US federal regulations, local state laws and regulations, and policies of the UCLA IRBs.
“All ImaGENE participants or their legally authorized representatives provided informed consent for data collection and publication according to the Declaration of Helsinki, US federal regulations, local state laws and regulations, and policies of the UCLA IRBs.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Study design and conductown dataWe validated the findings through three different model architectures, five internal train/validation/test sets, and in an external dataset and produced similar outcomes.
“To minimize this risk and increase our confidence in the results, we validated the findings through three different model architectures, five internal train/validation/test sets, and in an external dataset and produced similar outcomes.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
PremisecitationPrendecki et al. reported that defects in APOC1, in addition to the TOMM40 gene, increase oxidative stress and have an APOE ε4-independent effect on AD progression.
“In terms of the interactive effects between SNPs in APOC1 and TOMM40 (Figure S6), Prendecki et al. reported that defects in APOC1, in addition to the TOMM40 gene, increase oxidative stress and have an APOE ε4-independent effect on AD progression.41”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [41]
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable), S4 (based).
Interpretationnone givenThe positional information and variability in spatial relationships between SNPs and/or SNP sequences is a major component of the missing heritability.
“It is highly likely that the positional information and variability in spatial relationships between SNPs and/or SNP sequences is a major component of the missing heritability.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim- Rests on an assumption: Statistical GWAS approaches disregard SNP-SNP interactions.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable).
InterpretationreasoningThis CRISPR simulation technique could provide useful insight into the primary prevention or disease modification opportunities that could be achieved through gene editing.
“This CRISPR simulation technique could provide useful insight into the primary prevention or disease modification opportunities that could be achieved through gene editing.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationRs56131196 from APOC1 has been previously identified as an APOE ε4-independent AD risk factor associated with hippocampal atrophy.
“Rs56131196 from APOC1 has been previously identified as an APOE ε4-independent AD risk factor associated with hippocampal atrophy.36”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [36]
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
The paper relies on this without support.
Only genetic factors can identify an individual's AD risk prior to any disease activity, rendering primary prevention possible.
“Yet, only genetic factors can identify one's AD risk prior to any disease activity rendering primary prevention possible.”
The paper relies on this without support.
GWAS does not take epistatic interactions into account.
“However, GWAS does not take epistatic interactions into account.”
The paper relies on this without support.
Most machine/deep learning models rely on pre-determined feature selection methods for SNP data reduction based on assumptions and/or prior knowledge, which restricts scientific discovery by eliminating data linked to the outcome of interest that is yet to be discovered.
“First, to avoid overfitting, 25 most machine/deep learning models rely on pre-determined feature selection methods for SNP data reduction based on assumptions and/or prior knowledge.This approach restricts scientific discovery by eliminating data linked to the outcome of interest that is yet to be discovered.”
The paper relies on this without support.
Deep learning methods in genetics have considered only individual variants but not their potential interactions or positional information.
“Second, deep learning methods in genetics have considered only individual variants but not their potential interactions or positional information.”
The paper relies on this without support.
The change in psAD essentially indicates the individual SNP contribution to the CRIS.
“The change in psAD essentially indicates the individual SNP contribution to the CRIS.”
The paper relies on this without support.
If the prediction score change from co-occlusion is higher or lower than the sum of prediction changes of each individual SNP, there is an interaction (amplification or attenuation) between them.
“If the prediction score change was higher or lower than the sum of prediction changes of each individual SNP, we concluded that there was an interaction (amplification or attenuation) between them (Figure S4 in supporting information).”
The paper relies on this without support.
Statistical GWAS approaches disregard SNP-SNP interactions.
“Statistical GWAS approaches disregard SNP-SNP interactions.”
The paper relies on this without support.
No single dataset is fully representative of the population.
“No single dataset is fully representative of the population.”
The paper relies on this without support.
The CapsNet approach is the first model that allows for the exploration of the epistatic interactions between AD risk or protective SNPs.
“To our knowledge, the CapsNet approach is the first model that allows for the exploration of the epistatic interactions between AD risk or protective SNPs.”
Self-check
Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.
Each contradiction between two passages listed here was confirmed by an independent check.
Aβ/p-tau change means cannot describe the same participant partitions
MajorTable 1 reports mean rates of −1.1 and −1.7 for the AD and CU groups, but −0.1 for each of the train, validation, and test sets. Because each set mean is −0.1, their combined mean cannot also fall between the two diagnostic-group means.
“Rate of Aβ/p-tau change, mean (SD) -1.1 (5.3) -1.7 (5.7)”
“-0.1 (0.4) -0.1 (0.3) -0.1 (0.7) MEM baseline”
Abstract gives a different identifier for the leading APOC1 SNP
MinorThe abstract names rs561311966, whereas the results repeatedly identify the leading APOC1 SNP as rs56131196. These are different SNP identifiers.
“Rs561311966 (APOC1) and rs2229918 (ERCC1/CD3EAP)”
“Rs56131196 (APOC1) was the most significant SNP for pADp.”
Training-set size differs between the methods and Table 1
MinorThe methods give a training-set size of 462, but Table 1 gives 452. The table's three set sizes total 760 rather than the stated 770 participants.
“60% train (N = 462), 20% validation (N = 154), and 20% test (N = 154)”
“Train (N = 452) Validation (N = 154) Test (N = 154)”
AD and CU participant counts are reversed in Table 1
MinorThe methods report 457 CU participants and 313 AD participants, while Table 1 assigns those counts to AD and CU, respectively. This reverses the reported diagnostic group sizes.
“457 unique ADNI participants classified as CU and 313 diagnosed with dementia due to AD”
“AD (N = 457) CU (N = 313)”
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“36 Many research groups have spotlighted the association between APOC1 and cognitive performance in AD.”
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Self-citationChoi, S., Mukherjee, S., Gibbons, L. E., et al. (2020) · Alzheimer's & Dementia · doi:10.1002/alz.045508
Flagged first, then by citations
Research works printed but not linked: 1
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Cited by
Sorted by citations
Melville, M., He, L., Desai, R., Nyamayaro, P. C., Fox, C., Kothari, K. U., Condron, P., Miao, M., Hickey, M., & Spector, A. E. (2025) · The Lancet Healthy Longevity · doi:10.1016/j.lanhl.2025.100803 · Cited by 24 · see citing works
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“They have used deep learning methods to identify potential AD-risk single nucleotide polymorphisms, discovering that rs561311966 (located in the APOC1 gene) and rs2229918 (located in the ERCC1 / CD3EAP genes) are significant factors influencing AD risk [127].”
A review of AI-based radiogenomics in neurodegenerative disease
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A survey on deep learning for polygenic risk scores
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“Bae et al. [53] showed that the application of a different convolutional model is feasible for Alzheimer’s disease, using only chromosome 19 SNPs sourced from the ADNI dataset-to limit computational cost, and emphasized its ability to model epistasis.”
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“Genetic data such as single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) [8], [9], [10] help identify microscopic causes.”
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Self-citationGENETIC BIOMARKERS DETECTION FOR ALZHEIMER’S DISEASE**
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Editorial: Cognitive assessment in facilitating early detection of dementia
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GPU-Powered Evolutionary Auxiliary Multitasking for Fast SNP Interaction Detection
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“Additionally, machine learning-based approaches [14], [15], [16], [17] show their ability to learn complex patterns in large-scale SNP data.”
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- Authors
- Bae, J., Logan, P. E., Acri, D. J., Bharthur, A., Nho, K., Saykin, A. J., Risacher, S. L., Nudelman, K., Polsinelli, A. J., Pentchev, V., Kim, J., Hammers, D. B., Apostolova, L. G., & Initiative, F. T. A. D. N.
- Affiliations
- Indiana University Indianapolis (US)
- Department of Neurology, School of Medicine Indiana University School of Medicine Indianapolis Indiana USA
- Indiana University Bloomington (US)
- Corresponding author
- Apostolova, Liana G.
- ORCID
- Venue
- Alzheimer's & Dementia
- Publisher
- Wiley
- Published
- 2023-07-06
- Volume
- 19
- Issue
- 12
- Pages
- 5690-5699
- ISSN
- 1552-5260 (ISSN-L)
- 1552-5279
- PMC
- PMC10770299
- OpenAlex
- W4383302036
- Semantic Scholar
- 760f7989b52d7bc0c74e15b2ed57f580ecb9d596
- Cited by
- 14
- References
- 51
- Citations by year
- 2026: 2 · 2025: 7 · 2024: 5
- FWCI
- 2.02
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- hybrid
- doi.org
- Licence
- Locations
- Alzheimer s & Dementia (publishedVersion, cc-by-nc-nd)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- IUScholarWorks (Indiana University) (submittedVersion)
- PubMed Central (submittedVersion)
- Funders
- National Institutes of Health (U01 AG057195)
- Topics
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Physiology › Alzheimer's disease research and treatments
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Psychiatry and Mental health › Dementia and Cognitive Impairment Research
- Life Sciences › Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology › Genetics › Genetic Associations and Epidemiology
- Keywords
- Alzheimer's disease, chromosome 19
- MeSH terms
- Deep Learning, Alzheimer Disease, Chromosomes, Human, Pair 19, Humans, Magnetic Resonance Imaging, Disease Progression, Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide, Neuroimaging
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Claims read by deepseek-v4.1-flash under definition version 3 (extract-v3) on 2026-10-17.
Classified by jev-1.13-20260917 (gold-guideline-v0.2) on 2026-10-17.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
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