A bivariate approach to meta-analysis
Abstract
The usual meta-analysis of a sequence of randomized clinical trials only considers the difference between two treatments and produces a point estimate and a confidence interval for a parameter that measures this difference. The usual parameter is the log(odds ratio) linked to Mantel-Haenszel methodology. Inference is made either under the assumption of homogeneity or in a random effects model that takes account of heterogeneity between trials. This paper has two goals. The first is to present a likelihood based method for the estimation of the parameters in the random effects model, which avoids the use of approximating Normal distributions. The second goal is to extend this method to a bivariate random effects model, in which the effects in both groups are supposed random. In this way inference can be made about the relationship between improvement and baseline effect. The method is demonstrated by a meta-analysis dataset of Collins and Langman.
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NPML has been noted to be unstable and has not been widely adopted.
“However, NPML has been noted to be unstable (Van Houwelingen et al., 1993) and has not been widely adopted.”
From A Re-Evaluation of Random-Effects Meta-Analysis (2009) · cites this paper as Van Houwelingen et al., 1993
Unless a baseline model is correct, the estimated relative treatment effects will be biased.
“However, unless this model is correct, the estimated relative treatment effects will be biased.”
From Evidence Synthesis for Decision Making 2: A Generalized Linear Modeling Framework for Pairwise and Network Meta-analysis of Randomized Controlled Trials (2013) · cites this paper as [30]
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Arends, L. R., Vokó, Z., & Stijnen, T. (2003) · Statistics in Medicine · doi:10.1002/sim.1370 · Cited by 74 · see citing works
Self-citationBayesian estimation in random effects meta‐analysis using a non‐informative prior
Bodnar, O., Link, A., Arendacká, B., Possolo, A., & Elster, C. (2017) · Statistics in Medicine · doi:10.1002/sim.7156 · Cited by 73 · see citing works
Systematic review and meta-analysis of middle cerebral artery Doppler to predict perinatal wellbeing
Morris, R. K., Say, R., Robson, S. C., Kleijnen, J., & Khan, K. S. (2012) · European Journal of Obstetrics & Gynecology and Reproductive Biology · doi:10.1016/j.ejogrb.2012.07.027 · Cited by 70 · see citing works
- Authors
- Van Houwelingen, H. C., Zwinderman, K. H., & Stijnen, T.
- Affiliations
- Erasmus University Rotterdam (NL)
- ORCID
- Stijnen, Theo
- Venue
- Statistics in Medicine
- Publisher
- Wiley
- Published
- 1993-12-30
- Volume
- 12
- Issue
- 24
- Pages
- 2273-2284
- ISSN
- 0277-6715 (ISSN-L)
- 1097-0258
- OpenAlex
- W2142540473
- Cited by
- 327
- References
- 7
- Citations by year
- 2026: 4 · 2025: 10 · 2024: 11 · 2023: 12 · 2022: 7 · 2021: 19 · 2020: 19 · 2019: 12 · 2018: 16 · 2017: 7 · 2016: 8 · 2015: 9 · 2014: 23 · 2013: 14 · 2012: 17
- FWCI
- 2.37
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Locations
- Statistics in Medicine (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Decision Sciences › Statistics, Probability and Uncertainty › Meta-analysis and systematic reviews
- Physical Sciences › Mathematics › Statistics and Probability › Statistical Methods in Clinical Trials
- Physical Sciences › Mathematics › Statistics and Probability › Statistical Methods and Bayesian Inference
- Keywords
- bivariate random-effects model, meta-analysis, likelihood estimation, Mantel-Haenszel estimator, treatment effect heterogeneity, baseline effects, randomized controlled trials, odds ratio
- MeSH terms
- Analysis of Variance, Data Interpretation, Statistical, Histamine H2 Antagonists, Humans, Peptic Ulcer Hemorrhage, Meta-Analysis as Topic, Models, Statistical, Confidence Intervals, Likelihood Functions, Odds Ratio, Randomized Controlled Trials as Topic
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