Fast and slow responses of Southern Ocean sea surface temperature to SAM in coupled climate models
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Warming in the South Pacific region is expected to be much less than the global mean due to northward advection by Ekman currents of upwelled cold deep-waters.
“Warming in this region is expected to be much less than the global mean due to the northward advection by Ekman currents of upwelled cold deep-waters73–75.”
From Tendencies, variability and persistence of sea surface temperature anomalies (2020) · cites this paper as [74]
The Introduction (page not available) says that upwelled deep waters are transported northward and that this circulation can reduce Southern Ocean surface warming relative to the rest of the world ocean. It also describes northward Ekman transport and cooling. The paper does not establish the claim specifically for the South Pacific or say its warming is expected to be much less than the global mean. (LLM, conf=0.83)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measuredThe failure of CMIP5 models to simulate Southern Ocean SST cooling may suggest that natural decadal variability is important or that the timing of different response mechanisms in the models is not adequately resolved.
“this may suggest that natural decadal variability is also important73,76, or that the timing of different response mechanisms in the models is not adequately resolved74,77.”
From Tendencies, variability and persistence of sea surface temperature anomalies (2020) · cites this paper as [74]
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Cited by
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Ozone depletion, ultraviolet radiation, climate change and prospects for a sustainable future
Barnes, P. W., Williamson, C. E., Lucas, R. M., Robinson, S. A., Madronich, S., Paul, N. D., Bornman, J. F., Bais, A. F., Sulzberger, B., Wilson, S. R., et al. (2019) · Nature Sustainability · doi:10.1038/s41893-019-0314-2 · Cited by 360 · see citing works
Tendencies, variability and persistence of sea surface temperature anomalies
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Self-citation
- Authors
- Kostov, Y., Marshall, J., Hausmann, U., Armour, K. C., Ferreira, D., & Holland, M. M.
- Affiliations
- Massachusetts Institute of Technology (US)
- University of Washington (US)
- University of Reading (GB)
- NSF National Center for Atmospheric Research (US)
- Corresponding author
- Kostov, Yavor
- Venue
- Climate Dynamics
- Published
- 2016-05-17
- Volume
- 48
- Issue
- 5-6
- Pages
- 1595-1609
- ISSN
- 0930-7575 (ISSN-L)
- 1432-0894
- OpenAlex
- W2380399125
- Cited by
- 129
- References
- 3
- Citations by year
- 2026: 2 · 2025: 16 · 2024: 16 · 2023: 14 · 2022: 10 · 2021: 13 · 2020: 27 · 2019: 10 · 2018: 11 · 2017: 7 · 2016: 2
- FWCI
- 7.42
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- Locations
- Climate Dynamics (publishedVersion)
- CentAUR (University of Reading) (submittedVersion)
- DSpace@MIT (Massachusetts Institute of Technology) (submittedVersion, cc-by-nc-sa)
- Funders
- Division of Ocean Sciences (1048926, 1338814, 1523641)
- James S. McDonnell Foundation
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Climate variability and models
- Physical Sciences › Earth and Planetary Sciences › Oceanography › Oceanographic and Atmospheric Processes
- Physical Sciences › Earth and Planetary Sciences › Atmospheric Science › Geology and Paleoclimatology Research
- Keywords
- Southern Annular Mode, step response function, seasonal sea ice, Antarctic warming, meridional temperature gradient, vertical temperature gradient, CMIP5, coupled general circulation model
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