A stage-based matrix population model of invasive lionfish with implications for control
Abstract
The rapid invasion of lionfish into the Western North Atlantic and Caribbean will undoubtedly affect native reef fishes via processes such as trophic disruption and niche takeover, yet little is known about the dynamics of this invasion. We constructed a stage-based, matrix population model in which matrix elements were comprised of lower-level parameters. Lionfish vital rates were estimated from existing literature and from new field and laboratory studies. Sensitivity analysis of lower-level parameters revealed that population growth rate is most influenced by larval mortality; elasticity analysis of the matrix indicated strong influence of the adult and juvenile survival elements. Based on this model, approximately 27% of an invading adult lionfish population would have to be removed monthly for abundance to decrease. Hierarchical modeling indicated that this point estimate falls within a broad uncertainty interval which could result from imprecise estimates of life-history parameters. The model demonstrated that sustained removal efforts could be substantially more effective by targeting juveniles as well as adults.
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Claims the paper makes
Claims other papers make about this one
Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?
Both of these studies relied on parameters that were not derived from data on lionfish reproduction in the Caribbean.
“Both of these studies relied on parameters that were not derived from data on lionfish reproduction in the Caribbean.”
From Reproductive biology of invasive lionfish (Pterois spp.) (2015) · cites this paper as Morris et al., 2011a
To date, two studies have used modeling to predict responses of lionfish populations to removals.
“To date, two studies have used modeling to predict responses of lionfish populations to removals (Barbour et al., 2011;Morris et al., 2011a).”
From Reproductive biology of invasive lionfish (Pterois spp.) (2015) · cites this paper as Morris et al., 2011a
Cites
Invasive Indo-Pacific lionfish Pterois volitans reduce recruitment of Atlantic coral-reef fishes
Albins, M., & Hixon, M. (2008) · Marine Ecology Progress Series · doi:10.3354/meps07620 · Cited by 544 · see citing works
Feeding ecology of invasive lionfish (Pterois volitans) in the Bahamian archipelago
Morris, J. A., & Akins, J. L. (2009) · Environmental Biology of Fishes · doi:10.1007/s10641-009-9538-8 · Cited by 368 · see citing works
Self-citationKimball, M., Miller, J., Whitfield, P., & Hare, J. (2004) · Marine Ecology Progress Series · doi:10.3354/meps283269 · Cited by 176 · cited 3× · see citing works
“We used the value of 10 C as the cutoff, because it represents the chronic lethal minimum for lionfish (Kimball et al. 2004). Larval duration (DL) was determined through analysis of settlement marks and daily increments in the otoliths of juvenile lionfish collected in the Bahamas (Ahrenholz and Morris 2010). Juvenile…”
BackgroundMethod
Flagged first, then by citations
Cited by
Sorted by citations
Predatory fish invaders: Insights from Indo-Pacific lionfish in the western Atlantic and Caribbean
Côté, I. M., Green, S. J., & Hixon, M. A. (2013) · Biological Conservation · doi:10.1016/j.biocon.2013.04.014 · Cited by 251 · see citing works
Evaluating the potential efficacy of invasive lionfish (Pterois volitans) removals
Barbour, A. B., Allen, M. S., Frazer, T. K., & Sherman, K. D. (2011) · PLoS ONE · doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0019666 · Cited by 188 · see citing works
“This study followed past examples [14] in using the general literature on M to choose a value for the model.”
MethodResultInfluentialReconstructing the lionfish invasion: insights into Greater Caribbean biogeography
Betancur-R, R., Hines, A., P., A. A., Ortí, G., Wilbur, A., & Freshwater, D. (2011) · Journal of Biogeography · doi:10.1111/j.1365-2699.2011.02496.x · Cited by 181 · see citing works
“Although eradication of invasive lionfish is virtually impossible, control strategies need to be developed and implemented (Morris et al., 2011).”
BackgroundAbility of Matrix Models to Explain the Past and Predict the Future of Plant Populations
Crone, E., Ellis, M. M., Morris, W., Stanley, A., Bell, T. J., Bierzychudek, P., Ehrlén, J., Kaye, T., Knight, T., Lesica, P., et al. (2013) · Conservation Biology · doi:10.1111/cobi.12049 · Cited by 125
“In practice, management plans are often made for animal and plant species whose life histories are poorly known (Harding et al. 2001) or on the basis of generic density-independent matrix population models (e.g., Biek et al. 2002; Ellis & Elphick 2007; Morris et al. 2011).”
BackgroundCoping with the lionfish invasion: can targeted removals yield beneficial effects?
Frazer, T. K., Jacoby, C. A., Edwards, M. A., Barry, S. C., & Manfrino, C. M. (2012) · Reviews in Fisheries Science · doi:10.1080/10641262.2012.700655 · Cited by 162 · see citing works
Linking removal targets to the ecological effects of invaders: a predictive model and field test
Green, S. J., Dulvy, N. K., Brooks, A. M. L., Akins, J. L., Cooper, A. B., Miller, S., & Côté, I. M. (2014) · Ecological Applications · doi:10.1890/13-0979.1 · Cited by 150 · see citing works
“96 So far, the only guidance available for managing the invasion stems from traditional matrix 97 modeling to identify region-wide mortality targets aimed at achieving complete eradication 98 (Barbour et al. 2011, Morris et al. 2011).”
BackgroundSite fidelity and movement patterns of invasive lionfish, Pterois spp., in a Florida estuary
Jud, Z., & Layman, C. (2012) · Journal of Experimental Marine Biology and Ecology · doi:10.1016/j.jembe.2012.01.015 · Cited by 119 · see citing works
“While existing lionfish population models include parameters related to recruitment and early life history processes, they do not account for movement of individuals following recruitment (Barbour et al., 2010a; Morris et al., 2010).”
BackgroundInfluentialThe lionfish Pterois sp. invasion: Has the worst‐case scenario come to pass?
Côté, I. M., & Smith, N. S. (2018) · Journal of Fish Biology · doi:10.1111/jfb.13544 · Cited by 122 · see citing works
Progression of invasive lionfish in seagrass, mangrove and reef habitats
Claydon, J. A. B., Calosso, M. C., & Traiger, S. B. (2011) · Marine Ecology Progress Series · doi:10.3354/meps09534 · Cited by 131 · see citing works
“As theoretical studies addressing the efficacy of removal efforts develop (Barbour et al. 2011, Morris et al. 2011), a more complete understanding is in - valuable, especially if ontogenetic movements are occurring.”
BackgroundThe Role of Citizens in Detecting and Responding to a Rapid Marine Invasion
Scyphers, S., Powers, S., Akins, J. L., Drymon, J. M., Martin, C. W., Schobernd, Z. H., Schofield, P., Shipp, R., & Switzer, T. S. (2015) · Conservation Letters · doi:10.1111/conl.12127 · Cited by 104 · see citing works
“For instance, modeling studies have suggested that high exploitation rates would be necessary to cause lionfish population declines, and population recovery may be rapid if exploitation levels were relaxed (Barbour et al. 2011; Morris et al. 2011).”
BackgroundEffectiveness of lionfish removal efforts in the Southern Caribbean
Leon, R. D. D., Vane, K., Bertuol, P., Chamberland, V. C., Simal, F., Imms, E., & Vermeij, M. (2013) · Endangered Species Research · doi:10.3354/esr00542 · Cited by 100 · see citing works
Persistent problems in the construction of matrix population models
Kendall, B., Fujiwara, M., Diaz-Lopez, J., Schneider, S., Voigt, J., & Wiesner, S. (2019) · Ecological Modelling · doi:10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2019.03.011 · Cited by 92 · see citing works
Reproductive biology of invasive lionfish (Pterois spp.)
Gardner, P. G., Frazer, T. K., Jacoby, C. A., & Yanong, R. P. E. (2015) · Frontiers in Marine Science · doi:10.3389/fmars.2015.00007 · Cited by 87 · see citing works
Bacheler, N., Schobernd, C. M., Schobernd, Z. H., Mitchell, W. A., Berrane, D. J., Kellison, G. T., & Reichert, M. (2013) · Fisheries Research · doi:10.1016/j.fishres.2013.01.013 · Cited by 80 · see citing works
Biggs, C., & Olden, J. (2011) · Aquatic Invasions · doi:10.3391/ai.2011.6.3.11 · Cited by 70 · see citing works
“In support of this, recent population modeling results emphasized the importance of targeting juveniles as well as adults in removal efforts (Morris et al. 2010).”
ResultNon-native fishes in Florida freshwaters: a literature review and synthesis
Schofield, P., & Loftus, W. (2015) · Reviews in Fish Biology and Fisheries · doi:10.1007/s11160-014-9373-7 · Cited by 66 · see citing works
An Ecosystem-Based Approach to Evaluating Impacts and Management of Invasive Lionfish
Chagaris, D., Binion-Rock, S. M., Bogdanoff, A., Dahl, K., Granneman, J. E., Harris, H. E., Mohan, J., Rudd, M. B., Swenarton, M. K., Ahrens, R., et al. (2017) · Fisheries · doi:10.1080/03632415.2017.1340273 · Cited by 62 · see citing works
Self-citationDahl, K., Patterson, W., & Snyder, R. A. (2016) · Marine Ecology Progress Series · doi:10.3354/meps11898 · Cited by 59 · see citing works
Johnston, M., & Purkis, S. (2015) · Marine Ecology Progress Series · doi:10.3354/meps11399 · Cited by 59 · see citing works
“Natural mortality (M) has not been quantified for any larval tropical scorpaenid and is an element to which lionfish, and most marine fish, population models are the most sensitive (Barbour et al. 2011, Morris et al. 2011, Johnston & Purkis 2014b).”
BackgroundMethodResultInfluentialChapman, J. K., Anderson, L. G., Gough, C., & Harris, A. R. (2016) · Marine Policy · doi:10.1016/j.marpol.2016.07.023 · Cited by 60 · see citing works
Edwards, M. A., Frazer, T. K., & Jacoby, C. A. (2014) · Bulletin of Marine Science · doi:10.5343/bms.2014.1022 · Cited by 56 · see citing works
Expert Elicitation, Uncertainty, and the Value of Information in Controlling Invasive Species
Johnson, F., Smith, B. J., Bonneau, M., Martin, J., Romagosa, C., Mazzotti, F., Waddle, J., Reed, R. N., Eckles, J. K., & Vitt, L. (2017) · doi:10.1016/j.ecolecon.2017.03.004 · Cited by 55
“…an invasive population, the life stages with the most in fl uence on population growth, and the importance of transient dynamics (i.e., those occurring prior to reaching the asymptotic growth rate) in predicting abundance and responses to control efforts (Morris et al., 2011; Shea and Kelly, 1998).”
BackgroundArtificial Reefs in the Northern Gulf of Mexico: Community Ecology Amid the “Ocean Sprawl”
Schulze, A., Erdner, D., Grimes, C., Holstein, D., & Miglietta, M. (2020) · Frontiers in Marine Science · doi:10.3389/fmars.2020.00447 · Cited by 50 · see citing works
Are lionfish set for a Mediterranean invasion? Modelling explains why this is unlikely to occur
Johnston, M. W., & Purkis, S. J. (2014) · Marine Pollution Bulletin · doi:10.1016/j.marpolbul.2014.09.013 · Cited by 47 · see citing works
Coping with the lionfish invasion: Evidence that naïve, native predators can learn to help
Diller, J. L., Frazer, T. K., & Jacoby, C. A. (2014) · Journal of Experimental Marine Biology and Ecology · doi:10.1016/j.jembe.2014.02.014 · Cited by 40 · see citing works
Carballo-Cárdenas, E. C., & Tobi, H. (2016) · Ocean & Coastal Management · doi:10.1016/j.ocecoaman.2016.09.014 · Cited by 46 · see citing works
Bioenergetics and Trophic Impacts of the Invasive Indo-Pacific Lionfish
Cerino, D., Overton, A., Rice, J. A., & Morris, J. A. (2013) · Transactions of the American Fisheries Society · doi:10.1080/00028487.2013.811098 · Cited by 46 · see citing works
“165 for the remaining size groups (Morris et al. 2011a).”
Self-citationSouth, J., Dick, J. T. A., McCard, M., Barrios-O'Neill, D., & Anton, A. (2017) · Environmental Biology of Fishes · doi:10.1007/s10641-017-0633-y · Cited by 44 · see citing works
“…from this data are limited to juveniles under experimental conditions, however, due to high lionfish fecunidity (Gardner et al. 2015) and low efficacy of juvenile removal by divers (Barbour et al. 2011; Morris et al. 2011) they should be considered a pervasive threat to crustacean prey populations.”
BackgroundTesting the efficacy of lionfish traps in the northern Gulf of Mexico
Harris, H. E., Fogg, A., Gittings, S., Ahrens, R., Allen, M., & Patterson, W. (2020) · bioRxiv · doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0230985 · Cited by 42 · see citing works
“Harvest of faster-growing juveniles [53,55,93] contributes to growth overfishing [94], and age-structured lionfish population models indicate that controlling lionfish population growth requires removing smaller individuals [23,24].”
BackgroundEffectiveness of removals of the invasive lionfish: how many dives are needed to deplete a reef?
Usseglio, P., Selwyn, J., Downey-Wall, A. M., & Hogan, J. (2017) · PeerJ · doi:10.7717/peerj.3043 · Cited by 40 · see citing works
Holdschlag, A., & Ratter, B. (2013) · Sustainability Science · doi:10.1007/s11625-013-0216-6 · Cited by 39 · see citing works
Range expansion of the invasive lionfish in the Northwest Atlantic with climate change
Grieve, B. S., Curchitser, E., & Rykaczewski, R. R. (2016) · Marine Ecology Progress Series · doi:10.3354/meps11638 · Cited by 36 · see citing works
Hurricanes accelerated the Florida–Bahamas lionfish invasion
Johnston, M. W., & Purkis, S. J. (2015) · Global Change Biology · doi:10.1111/gcb.12874 · Cited by 36 · see citing works
“If the date fell outside of the year 2004–2005 storm seasons, values were selected from the year 2006 HYCOM monthly mean dataset, a year that was unaffected by Atlantic storms.”
BackgroundMethodInfluentialDetection and removal efficiency of invasive lionfish in the northern Gulf of Mexico
Harris, H. E., Patterson, W., Ahrens, R., & Allen, M. (2019) · Fisheries Research · doi:10.1016/j.fishres.2019.01.002 · Cited by 35 · see citing works
Ulman, A., Harris, H. E., Doumpas, N., Akbora, H. D., Mabruk, S. A. A. A., Azzurro, E., Bariche, M., Çi̇çek, B. A., Deidun, A., Demirel, N., et al. (2021) · Frontiers in Marine Science · doi:10.3389/fmars.2021.670413 · Cited by 35 · see citing works
Anderson, E. T., Stoskopf, M., Morris, J. A., Clarke, E., & Harms, C. A. (2010) · Journal of Aquatic Animal Health · doi:10.1577/h10-029.1 · Cited by 33 · see citing works
“Baseline information on the general physiology and population health of red lionfish is needed to assess how environmental and competitive influences may influence populations ( Morris et al. 2010 ).”
BackgroundSelf-citationLiu, H.-Y., Lin, Z.-S., Qi, X.-Z., Zhang, M.-Y., & Yang, H. (2014) · Ecological research · doi:10.1007/s11284-014-1181-y · Cited by 30 · see citing works
“Previous studies have suggested that asexual reproduction and adult survival are more important for clonal plants than sexual propagation (Mandujano et al. 2001; Weppler et al. 2006; Morris et al. 2011).”
BackgroundAnderson, L. G., Chapman, J., Escontrela, D., & Gough, C. L. A. (2017) · Management of Biological Invasions · doi:10.3391/mbi.2017.8.4.14 · Cited by 30 · see citing works
“Removal rates of at least 30 percent of a lionfish population, repeated at regular intervals rather than as a one-off high intensity event (Morris et al. 2010), are thought to be required to trigger declines in lionfish population size (Morris et al. 2010; Barbour et al. 2011; Scyphers et al. 2015).”
BackgroundMobilizing volunteers to sustain local suppression of a global marine invasion
Green, S., Underwood, E. B., & Akins, J. L. (2017) · Conservation Letters · doi:10.1111/conl.12426 · Cited by 29 · see citing works
Smith, N. S., Green, S. J., Akins, J. L., Miller, S., & Côté, I. M. (2017) · Biological Invasions · doi:10.1007/s10530-017-1449-6 · Cited by 30 · see citing works
“The infrequent culling regimes examined here therefore did not mitigate the full range of lionfish impacts on native prey fish, compared to more labour-intensive, monthly efforts (Green et al. 2014; Johnston and Purkis 2015a; Morris et al. 2011).”
BackgroundResultInfluentialSetting the record straight on invasive lionfish control: Culling worksPreprint
Côté, I. M., Akins, L., Underwood, E. B., Curtis-Quick, J., & Green, S. J. (2014) · doi:10.7287/peerj.preprints.398v1 · Cited by 33 · see citing works
Is the lionfish invasion waning? Evidence from The Bahamas
Benkwitt, C. E., Albins, M. A., Buch, K. L., Ingeman, K. E., Kindinger, T. L., Pusack, T. J., Stallings, C. D., & Hixon, M. A. (2017) · Coral Reefs · doi:10.1007/s00338-017-1620-7 · Cited by 32 · see citing works
“Moreover, the closest annual lionfish fishing competition to the study area is over 350 km away in Abaco, The Bahamas, and the intensity of fishing required to cause recruitment failure is extremely high (Morris et al. 2010; Barbour et al. 2011; Johnston and Purkis 2015).”
BackgroundHarris, H. E., Fogg, A., Allen, M., Ahrens, R., & Patterson, W. F. I. (2020) · Scientific Reports · doi:10.1038/s41598-020-58886-8 · Cited by 27 · see citing works
Density-dependent condition and growth of invasive lionfish in the northern Gulf of Mexico
Dahl, K., Edwards, M., & Patterson, W. (2019) · Marine Ecology Progress Series · doi:10.3354/meps13028 · Cited by 27 · see citing works
“Population and ecosystem models may be used to estimate the removal effort necessary to reduce lionfish biomass and mitigate negative impacts (Morris et al. 2011, Chagaris et al. 2017), but these approaches rely heavily on age and growth estimates to parameterize and model population dynamics…”
BackgroundHardison, D. R., Holland, W. C., Darius, H. T., Chinain, M., Tester, P. A., Shea, D., Bogdanoff, A. K., Morris, J. A., Quintana, H. A. F., Loeffler, C. R., et al. (2018) · PLoS ONE · doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0198358 · Cited by 31 · see citing works
“Predicted annual exploitation rates between 35 and 65% of the total population would be required to eliminate lionfish [15], and a predicted monthly exploitation of 27% of the adult population would result in zero net growth [16].”
BackgroundSelf-citationJohnson, E. G., & Swenarton, M. K. (2016) · PeerJ · doi:10.7717/peerj.2730 · Cited by 29 · see citing works
Removal of corallivorous snails as a proactive tool for the conservation of acroporid corals
Williams, D. E., Miller, M. W., Bright, A., & Cameron, C. (2014) · PeerJ · doi:10.7717/peerj.680 · Cited by 27 · see citing works
Bogdanoff, A., Shertzer, K., Layman, C., Chapman, J., Fruitema, M., Solomon, J. N., Sabattis, J., Green, S., & Morris, J. A. (2020) · Biological Invasions · doi:10.1007/s10530-020-02398-z · Cited by 25 · see citing works
Self-citationBrandão, C., Malta, A., & Schiavetti, A. (2017) · Ocean & Coastal Management · doi:10.1016/j.ocecoaman.2017.03.015 · Cited by 25 · see citing works
Trégarot, E., Fumaroli, M., Arqué, A., Hellio, C., & Maréchal, J. (2015) · Marine Biodiversity Records · doi:10.1017/s1755267214001341 · Cited by 33 · see citing works
“…large numbers of lionfish would need to be removed regularly to result in a significant decrease in the overall population; it has been stated by Morris et al. (2011) that 27% of the adult population should be removed every month while Barbour et al. (2011) mentioned that a rate of 15–65%…”
BackgroundOrtiz, M., Rodríguez-Zaragoza, F. A., Hermosillo‐Núñez, B. B., & Jordán, F. (2015) · PLoS ONE · doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0130261 · Cited by 22 · see citing works
“Although the harvest on lionfish from shallow waters as a control mechanisms was found to be locally stable, agreeing in general terms with [25, 26, 51], it remains necessary to plan other additional human interventions (within an ecosystem-wide adaptive management program), which should include: (1) the restoration o…”
BackgroundSyslo, J., Brenden, T. O., Guy, C., Koel, T., Bigelow, P., Doepke, P. D., Arnold, J. L., & Ertel, B. D. (2020) · Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences · doi:10.1139/cjfas-2019-0306 · Cited by 22
Implications of Population and Metapopulation Theory for Restoration Science and Practice
Maschinski, J., & Quintana-Ascencio, P. (2016) · Island Press/Center for Resource Economics eBooks · doi:10.5822/978-1-61091-698-1_7 · Cited by 22 · see citing works
Vivier, F., Wells, R., Hill, M. C., Yano, K., Bradford, A., Leunissen, E., Pacini, A. F., Booth, C., Rocho-Levine, J., Currie, J., et al. (2023) · Ecology and Evolution · doi:10.1002/ece3.10082 · Cited by 21
“Data-informed population models are required for the sustainable management of wildlife populations (Crouse et al., 1987; Morris et al., 2011).”
BackgroundDoes restricted access limit management of invasive urban frogs?
Vimercati, G., Davies, S. J., Hui, C., & Measey, J. G. (2017) · Biological Invasions · doi:10.1007/s10530-017-1599-6 · Cited by 20 · see citing works
“Therefore, efforts aiming to make management recommendations should explicitly consider species-specific life history and behavioural traits across the different stages (Shea et al. 2006; Ramula et al. 2008; Morris et al. 2010; Pichancourt et al. 2012; Beaty and Salice 2013).”
BackgroundMalpica-Cruz, L., Fulton, S., Quintana, A., Zepeda-Domínguez, J. A., Quiroga-García, B. A., Tamayo, L., Noh, J. Á. C., & Côté, I. (2021) · Reviews in Fish Biology and Fisheries · doi:10.1007/s11160-021-09660-0 · Cited by 20 · see citing works
Tamburello, N., Ma, B. O., & Côté, I. (2019) · Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society of London. Biological Sciences · doi:10.1098/rstb.2018.0057 · Cited by 20
Harris, H. E., Patterson, W. F., Ahrens, R., Allen, M. S., Chagaris, D., & Larkin, S. L. (2023) · Biological Invasions · doi:10.1007/s10530-023-02998-5 · Cited by 20 · see citing works
Unstable novel and accurate soliton wave solutions of the nonlinear biological population model
Attia, R. A. M., Tian, J.-H., Lu, D., Aguilar, J. F. G., & Khater, M. (2022) · Arab Journal of Basic and Applied Sciences · doi:10.1080/25765299.2021.2024652 · Cited by 19
Optimal monitoring and control under state uncertainty: Application to lionfish management
Kling, D. M., Sanchirico, J. N., & Fackler, P. L. (2017) · Journal of Environmental Economics and Management · doi:10.1016/j.jeem.2017.01.001 · Cited by 18 · see citing works
Evangelista, P., Young, N., Schofield, P., & Jarnevich, C. (2016) · doi:10.3391/ai.2016.11.3.09 · Cited by 19
“The duration of the planktonic larvae stage is estimated to last about a month, allowing larvae to disperse over large distances with ocean currents (Ahrenholz and Morris 2010; Morris et al. 2011).”
BackgroundClements, K., Karp, P., Harris, H. E., Ali, F., Candelmo, A., Rodriguez, S., Balcázar-Escalera, C., Fogg, A., Green, S., & Solomon, J. N. (2021) · Diversity · doi:10.3390/d13120673 · Cited by 18 · see citing works
“Management measures have been initiated [19,27] and there is evidence that negative impacts on local marine ecosystems may be mitigated through regular removals [28].”
BackgroundLionfish in the eastern Pacific: a cellular automaton approach to assessing invasion risk
Johnston, M. W., & Purkis, S. J. (2014) · Biological Invasions · doi:10.1007/s10530-014-0696-z · Cited by 13 · see citing works
“While it was thought that lionfish have no known predators in their introduced range, predator release has been recently disputed (Green and Côté 2009; Mumby et al. 2011; Hackerott et al. 2013).”
BackgroundRaimondo, S. (2012) · Marine Ecology Progress Series · doi:10.3354/meps09988 · Cited by 16 · see citing works
“…structures that are more flexible for modeling complex dynamics, such as individualbased models (IBMs) or integral projection models, a stage-based matrix model was used here because they are frequently selected for their simplicity and applied in management contexts (e.g. Morris et al. 2011).”
MethodJarić, I., Jaćimović, M., Cvijanović, G., Knezevic-Jaric, J., & Lenhardt, M. (2014) · Biological Invasions · doi:10.1007/s10530-014-0721-2 · Cited by 16
“Keywords Non-native species Alien species Exotic species Life history trait Population model Elasticity”
BackgroundModeling control of Common Carp (Cyprinus carpio) in a shallow lake–wetland system
Pearson, J., Dunham, J., Bellmore, J., & Lyons, D. (2019) · Wetlands Ecology and Management · doi:10.1007/s11273-019-09685-0 · Cited by 15
Ongoing removals of invasive lionfish in Honduras and their effect on native Caribbean prey fishes
Peiffer, F., Bejarano, S., de Witte, G. P., & Wild, C. (2017) · PeerJ · doi:10.7717/peerj.3818 · Cited by 16 · see citing works
Forecasting lionfish sources and sinks in the Atlantic: are Gulf of Mexico reef fisheries at risk?
Johnston, M. W., Bernard, A. M., & Shivji, M. S. (2016) · Coral Reefs · doi:10.1007/s00338-016-1511-3 · Cited by 16 · see citing works
Vij, S., & Bedi, H. (2016) · International Journal of Innovation Management · doi:10.1142/s1363919616500377 · Cited by 15 · see citing works
Stage-structured cannibalism with delay in maturation and harvesting of an adult predator
Bhattacharyya, J., & Pal, S. (2012) · Journal of biological physics (Print) · doi:10.1007/s10867-012-9284-6 · Cited by 15 · see citing works
“This, too, justifies that harvesting of these species is beneficial for coral reef ecosystem as observed by [12].”
BackgroundPredicting the response of disease vectors to global change: The importance of allometric scaling
Nørgaard, L. S., Álvarez‐Noriega, M., McGraw, E. A., White, C. R., & Marshall, D. J. (2021) · Global Change Biology · doi:10.1111/gcb.15950 · Cited by 21 · see citing works
“Further, models of agricultural pests (e.g., fruit flies; Chua, 1992), invasive species (e.g. lionfish; Morris et al., 2011) and endangered species management (e.g. axolotls; Zambrano et al., 2007) all make strong (typically linear) assumptions about how size affects reproduction.”
BackgroundA standard protocol to report discrete stage-structured demographic information
Gascoigne, S., Rolph, S., Sankey, D., Nidadavolu, N., Pičman, A. S. S., Hernández, C. M., Philpott, M., Salam, A., Bernard, C. D., Fenollosa, E., et al. (2023) · bioRxiv · doi:10.1101/2023.01.13.523871 · Cited by 12
Marshak, A. R., Heck, K. L., & Jud, Z. R. (2018) · PLoS ONE · doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0206749 · Cited by 17 · see citing works
“With their rapid proliferation, red lionfish are anticipated to have negative effects on nGOM fish assemblages, including small cryptic reef fishes and the commercially valuable snapper-grouper complex [23, 30].”
BackgroundA symmetric intraguild predation model for the invasive lionfish and native grouper
Leung, M.-R., Padilla, D., Song, B., Kang, Y., Shemer, N., & Vinagera, J. (2015) · Communications in Mathematical Biology and Neuroscience · doi:10.28919/cmbn/2301 · Cited by 7 · see citing works
“Since complete eradication of lionfish is highly infeasible [4, 22], creating a stable coexistence equilibrium that sustains minimal populations of lionfish will ensure all populations coexist and grouper remain in relatively high density.”
BackgroundSimulations indicate that scores of lionfish ( Pterois volitans ) colonized the Atlantic Ocean
Selwyn, J. D., Johnson, J. E., Downey‐Wall, A. M., Bynum, A. M., Hamner, R. M., Hogan, J. D., & Bird, C. E. (2017) · PeerJ · doi:10.7717/peerj.3996 · Cited by 9 · see citing works
Hilling, C. D., Jiao, Y., Fabrizio, M., Angermeier, P., Bunch, A. J., & Orth, D. (2022) · Fisheries Management and Ecology · doi:10.1111/fme.12601 · Cited by 10
The status and management of the lionfish, Pterois sp. in Trinidad and Tobago
Jahson Berhane Alemu, I. (2016) · Marine Pollution Bulletin · doi:10.1016/j.marpolbul.2016.05.042 · Cited by 10 · see citing works
When overfishing is the sustainable option
Cresswell, K., Little, L., Hartmann, K., Gardner, C., Keane, J. P., Ling, S. D., & Bradshaw, S. (2025) · Nature Sustainability · doi:10.1038/s41893-025-01526-8 · Cited by 7 · see citing works
From Population Monitoring to a Mathematical Model: A New Paradigm of Population Research
Logofet, D. O., & Уланова, Н. Г. (2022) · Biology Bulletin Reviews · doi:10.1134/s2079086422030057 · Cited by 7
“The consequences of errors are analyzed with the models of the lionfish Pterois spp. (Morris et al., 2011), invasive fish species, and the American alligator Alligator mississippiensis (Dunham et al., 2014).”
BackgroundMethodBlakeway, R. D., Fogg, A., Johnston, M., Rooker, J., & Jones, G. A. (2022) · Frontiers in Marine Science · doi:10.3389/fmars.2022.774407 · Cited by 6 · see citing works
Inquiry-Based Modeling of Population Dynamics With Logistic Differential and Difference Equations
Ekici, C., & Plyley, C. (2019) · PRIMUS - Problems, Resources, and issues in mathematics undergraduate studies · doi:10.1080/10511970.2018.1484399 · Cited by 6
“For example, according to [23], approximately 27% of an invading adult lionfish population would have to be removed monthly for abundance to decrease.”
BackgroundUsing post-settlement demography to estimate larval survivorship: a coral reef fish example
Johnson, D., Christie, M., Stallings, C., Pusack, T., & Hixon, M. (2015) · Oecologia · doi:10.1007/s00442-015-3368-5 · Cited by 6 · see citing works
Phillips, E. W., Bottacini, D., Schoonhoven, A. N. M., Kamstra, Y. J. J., Waele, H. D., Jimenez, C., Hadjioannou, L., & Kotrschal, A. (2024) · Journal of Fish Biology · doi:10.1111/jfb.15686 · Cited by 5 · see citing works
There’s a new kid in town: lionfish invasion of the plankton
Sponaugle, S., Gleiber, M. R., Shulzitski, K., & Cowen, R. K. (2019) · Biological Invasions · doi:10.1007/s10530-019-02070-1 · Cited by 11 · see citing works
Census timing alters stage duration distributions in matrix population models
Okuyama, T. (2019) · Ecology and Evolution · doi:10.1002/ece3.5315 · Cited by 5
Spatial variation in allometric growth of invasive lionfish has management implications
Villaseñor‐Derbez, J. C., & Fitzgerald, S. (2018) · PeerJ · doi:10.7717/peerj.6667 · Cited by 5 · see citing works
“…the length-weight relationship of lionfish report variable estimates, and these differences67 may be increasingly important when estimating the potential effectiveness of lionfish culling programs68 (Barbour et al., 2011; Morris et al., 2011; Côté et al., 2014; Johnston and Purkis, 2015).”
BackgroundInfluentialAn assessment of the viability of a commercial lionfish fishery in the US Virgin Islands
Yandle, T., Tookes, J. S., Bennett-Martin, P., Larkin, S. L., & Page, M. L. (2022) · Marine Policy · doi:10.1016/j.marpol.2022.105103 · Cited by 4 · see citing works
de la Guardia, E., Rojas, D. C., Espinosa, L., Hernández, Z., García, L., & González, J. E. A. (2016) · Revista de Biología Tropical · doi:10.15517/rbt.v65i1.23345 · Cited by 7 · see citing works
Sektiana, S. P., Abdillah, A., Alam, M., Isroni, W., Dewi, N., Kim, H., & Andriyono, S. (2022) · Biodiversitas Journal of Biological Diversity · doi:10.13057/biodiv/d230953 · Cited by 3
“As a native fish in the Indo-Pacific region, The red lionfish (P. volitans) controls other reef fish species because of their carnivorous nature (Morris et al. 2011).”
BackgroundJud, Z. (2014) · doi:10.25148/etd.fi14040881 · Cited by 3 · see citing works
“While existing 76 lionfish population models include parameters related to recruitment and early life history processes, they do not account for movement of individuals following recruitment (Barbour et al. 2010a; Morris et al. 2010).”
BackgroundInfluentialFinch, M. W., Ballenger, J. C., Bacheler, N. M., & Bubley, W. J. (2024) · Biological Invasions · doi:10.1007/s10530-024-03248-y · Cited by 2 · see citing works
“…ecology have been studied in their invaded range in recent years, including their diet, removal strategies, impacts on native fishes, movement patterns, parasites, distribution, and abundance (Muñoz et al. 2011; Morris et al. 2011; Ballew et al. 2016; Bacheler et al. 2015; Côté & Smith 2018).”
Zhang, Z.-X., Yokota, M., & Strüssmann, C. A. (2018) · Journal of Crustacean Biology · doi:10.1093/jcbiol/ruy090 · Cited by 2
Individual variation in stage duration in matrix population models: Problems and solutions
Lee, C.-C., & Okuyama, T. (2017) · Biological Control · doi:10.1016/j.biocontrol.2017.04.011 · Cited by 2 · see citing works
Dittmann, S., & Slooten, E. (2016) · doi:10.1080/00288330.2016.1144624 · Cited by 2
Dynamics of asymmetric intraguild predation with time lags in reproduction and maturation
Bhattacharyya, J., & Pal, S. (2015) · Cogent Mathematics · doi:10.1080/23311835.2015.1021604 · Cited by 2 · see citing works
Klug, P. E., Adams, A. Y. Y., & Reed, R. (2021) · Wildlife research (East Melbourne) · doi:10.1071/wr21022 · Cited by 2 · see citing works
“2011), but introduced bird, reptile, amphibian and fish species have also been the targets of control programs (Govindarajulu et al. 2005; Morris et al. 2011; Reed et al. 2011; Klug et al. 2015b; Klug et al. 2019; Klug et al. 2021).”
BackgroundBhattacharyya, J., & Pal, S. (2016) · Differential Equations and Dynamical Systems · doi:10.1007/s12591-016-0299-5 · Cited by 1 · see citing works
“This too justifies that harvesting of matured Pterois Volitans is beneficial for coral reef ecosystem as observed by [32].”
BackgroundVirgin, S., Gerrity, S., & Schiel, D. R. (2025) · Marine Environmental Research · doi:10.1016/j.marenvres.2025.107276 · Cited by 1
Balladares, C., Gonzalez, M. F., & Rodríguez, D. (2020) · doi:10.3856/vol48-issue5-fulltext-2476 · Cited by 1
“The analysis of population matrices containing these data allows environmental managers to design strategic conservation policies, particularly for threatened species such as sea turtles (Heppel et al., 1996; Morris et al., 2011; Herrera et al., 2012).”
BackgroundEstimating the number of lionfish (Pterois volitans) that colonized the Atlantic Ocean
Selwyn, J., Johnson, J. E., Downey-Wall, A. M., Bynum, A. M., Hamner, R. M., Hogan, J. D., & Bird, C. (2017) · doi:10.7287/peerj.preprints.3033v1 · Cited by 1
- Authors
- Morris, J. A., Shertzer, K. W., & Rice, J. A.
- Affiliations
- NOAA National Centers for Coastal Ocean Science (US)
- NOAA National Marine Fisheries Service (US)
- North Carolina State University (US)
- Corresponding author
- Morris, James A.
- Venue
- Biological Invasions
- Published
- 2010-06-05
- Volume
- 13
- Issue
- 1
- Pages
- 7-12
- ISSN
- 1387-3547 (ISSN-L)
- 1573-1464
- OpenAlex
- W2124359818
- Cited by
- 135
- References
- 0
- Citations by year
- 2026: 2 · 2025: 5 · 2024: 3 · 2023: 4 · 2022: 7 · 2021: 7 · 2020: 8 · 2019: 12 · 2018: 9 · 2017: 14 · 2016: 15 · 2015: 11 · 2014: 15 · 2013: 9 · 2012: 5
- FWCI
- 6.63
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Licence
- www.springer.com/tdm (tdm)
- Locations
- Biological Invasions (publishedVersion)
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Marine Ecology and Invasive Species
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Nature and Landscape Conservation › Fish Ecology and Management Studies
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Ecology › Animal Ecology and Behavior Studies
- Keywords
- lionfish, Pterois volitans, invasive species, population dynamics, vital rates, larval mortality, population growth rate, sensitivity analysis, elasticity analysis, invasive species management, juvenile survival, Caribbean, western North Atlantic
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review