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Response of vegetation distribution, ecosystem productivity, and fire to climate change scenarios for California
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“projections for the number of wildfire events by the end the century vary dramatically (e.g., +9 to 13% [11], +40 to 49% [14], and +34 to 53% [12]).”
From Incorporating Anthropogenic Influences into Fire Probability Models: Effects of Human Activity and Climate Change on Fire Activity in California (2016) · cites this paper as [11]
In the citing paper
“Our finding of a moderate increases in the number of fires in the two forecast periods evaluated (2001–2025, 2026–2050) are in agreement with Lenihan et al [11], who use dynamic global vegetation models (DGVMs) to forecast relatively small increases (on the order of 4–7%) to burned area but with broad shifts in fire regime and plant community patterns.”
From Incorporating Anthropogenic Influences into Fire Probability Models: Effects of Human Activity and Climate Change on Fire Activity in California (2016) · cites this paper as [11]
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Metadata
- Authors
- Lenihan, J. M., Bachelet, D., Neilson, R. P., & Drapek, R.
- Affiliations
- US Forest Service (US)
- Oregon State University (US)
- Corresponding author
- Lenihan, James M.
- Venue
- Climatic Change
- Published
- 2007-11-30
- Volume
- 87
- Issue
- S1
- Pages
- 215-230
- ISSN
- 0165-0009 (ISSN-L)
- 1573-1480
- OpenAlex
- W2040144539
- Cited by
- 217
- References
- 28
- Citations by year
- 2026: 5 · 2025: 3 · 2024: 4 · 2023: 8 · 2022: 7 · 2021: 9 · 2020: 8 · 2019: 10 · 2018: 15 · 2017: 15 · 2016: 14 · 2015: 26 · 2014: 18 · 2013: 14 · 2012: 19
- FWCI
- 7.51
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Licence
- www.springer.com/tdm (tdm)
- Locations
- Climatic Change (publishedVersion)
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Fire effects on ecosystems
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Plant Water Relations and Carbon Dynamics
- Life Sciences › Agricultural and Biological Sciences › Forestry › Forest Management and Policy
- Keywords
- climate change scenarios, vegetation distribution, ecosystem productivity, forest fires, carbon sink, net primary productivity, grassland expansion, biomass consumption, California, climate change projections
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
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