The DOI matches its Crossref record; 28 of the 28 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
Response of vegetation distribution, ecosystem productivity, and fire to climate change scenarios for California
Overview
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Verification
Claims the paper makes
Claims other papers make about this one
Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?
In the citing paper
“projections for the number of wildfire events by the end the century vary dramatically (e.g., +9 to 13% [11], +40 to 49% [14], and +34 to 53% [12]).”
From Incorporating Anthropogenic Influences into Fire Probability Models: Effects of Human Activity and Climate Change on Fire Activity in California (2016) · cites this paper as [11]
In the citing paper
“Our finding of a moderate increases in the number of fires in the two forecast periods evaluated (2001–2025, 2026–2050) are in agreement with Lenihan et al [11], who use dynamic global vegetation models (DGVMs) to forecast relatively small increases (on the order of 4–7%) to burned area but with broad shifts in fire regime and plant community patterns.”
From Incorporating Anthropogenic Influences into Fire Probability Models: Effects of Human Activity and Climate Change on Fire Activity in California (2016) · cites this paper as [11]
Citations
Cites
Special report on emissions scenarios
Nakićenović, N., Alcamo, J. M., Davis, G. F., de Vries, B. J. M., Fenhann, J. V., Gaffin, S. R., Gregory, K., Griibler, A., Jung, T. Y., Kram, T., et al. (2000) · eScholarship (California Digital Library) · Cited by 3,423
Soil fertility limits carbon sequestration by forest ecosystems in a CO2-enriched atmosphere
Oren, R., Ellsworth, D. S., Johnsen, K. H., Phillips, N., Ewers, B. E., Maier, C., Schäfer, K. V. R., McCarthy, H., Hendrey, G., McNulty, S. G., et al. (2001) · Nature · doi:10.1038/35078064 · Cited by 1,084
Forest response to elevated CO 2 is conserved across a broad range of productivity
Norby, R. J., DeLucia, E. H., Gielen, B., Calfapietra, C., Giardina, C. P., King, J. S., Childs, J., McCarthy, H. R., MOORE, D. J. P., Ceulemans, R., et al. (2005) · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1073/pnas.0509478102 · Cited by 990
Emissions pathways, climate change, and impacts on California
Hayhoe, K., Cayan, D. R., Field, C. B., Frumhoff, P. C., Maurer, E. P., Miller, N. L., Moser, S. C., Schneider, S. H., Nicholas, K. A., Cleland, E. E., et al. (2004) · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1073/pnas.0404500101 · Cited by 865
Self-citationParton, W. J., Ojima, D. S., Cole, C. V., & SCHIMEL, D. S. (1994) · SSSA special publication series · doi:10.2136/sssaspecpub39.c9 · Cited by 636
Landscape dynamics in crown fire ecosystems
Turner, M. G., & Romme, W. H. (1994) · Landscape Ecology · doi:10.1007/bf00135079 · Cited by 609
Carbon Flux and Growth in Mature Deciduous Forest Trees Exposed to Elevated CO 2
Körner, C., Asshoff, R., Bignucolo, O., Hättenschwiler, S., Keel, S. G., Pelaez‐Riedl, S., Pépin, S., SIEGWOLF, R. T. W., & Zotz, G. (2005) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.1113977 · Cited by 557
Contributions of Land-Use History to Carbon Accumulation in U.S. Forests
Caspersen, J. P., Pacala, S. W., Jenkins, J. C., HURTT, G. C., Moorcroft, P. R., & Birdsey, R. A. (2000) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.290.5494.1148 · Cited by 508
Evaluating ecosystem responses to rising atmospheric CO 2 and global warming in a multi‐factor world
Norby, R. J., & Luo, Y. (2004) · New Phytologist · doi:10.1111/j.1469-8137.2004.01047.x · Cited by 450
Climate Change Effects on Vegetation Distribution and Carbon Budget in the United States
Bachelet, D., Neilson, R. P., Lenihan, J. M., & Drapek, R. J. (2001) · Ecosystems · doi:10.1007/s10021-001-0002-7 · Cited by 392
Self-citationResponses of Grassland Production to Single and Multiple Global Environmental Changes
Dukes, J. S., Chiariello, N. R., Cleland, E. E., Moore, L. A., Shaw, M. R., Thayer, S. S., Tobeck, T., Mooney, H. A., & Field, C. B. (2005) · PLoS Biology · doi:10.1371/journal.pbio.0030319 · Cited by 373
Climate change effects on vegetation distribution, carbon, and fire in California
Lenihan, J. M., Drapek, R., Bachelet, D., & Neilson, R. P. (2003) · Ecological Applications · doi:10.1890/025295 · Cited by 311
Self-citationAber, J. D., Neilson, R. P., McNulty, S. G., Lenihan, J. M., Bachelet, D., & Drapek, R. J. (2001) · BioScience · doi:10.1641/0006-3568(2001)051[0735:fpagec]2.0.co;2 · Cited by 290
Self-citationDo One Percent of the Forest Fires Cause Ninety-Nine Percent of the Damage?
Strauss, D., Bednar, L. F., & Mees, R. M. (1989) · Forest Science · doi:10.1093/forestscience/35.2.319 · Cited by 236
The national fire-danger rating system: basic equations
Cohen, J. D., & Deeming, J. E. (1985) · doi:10.2737/psw-gtr-82 · Cited by 229
Modeling postfire conifer mortality for long-range planning
Peterson, D. L., & Ryan, K. C. (1986) · Environmental Management · doi:10.1007/bf01867732 · Cited by 220
Native American impacts on fire regimes of the California coastal ranges
Keeley, J. E. (2002) · Journal of Biogeography · doi:10.1046/j.1365-2699.2002.00676.x · Cited by 216
Prediction of crown fire behavior in two stands of jack pine
Wagner, C. E. V. (1993) · Canadian Journal of Forest Research · doi:10.1139/x93-062 · Cited by 213
Vegetation Dynamics, Fire, and the Physical Environment in Coastal Central California
Callaway, R. M., & Davis, F. W. (1993) · Ecology · doi:10.2307/1940084 · Cited by 183
Modeled regional climate change and California endemic oak ranges
Kueppers, L. M., Snyder, M. A., Sloan, L. C., Zavaleta, E. S., & Fulfrost, B. (2005) · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1073/pnas.0501427102 · Cited by 173
DYNAMIC SIMULATION OF TREE–GRASS INTERACTIONS FOR GLOBAL CHANGE STUDIES
Daly, C., Bachelet, D., Lenihan, J. M., Neilson, R. P., Parton, W. J., & Ojima, D. S. (2000) · Ecological Applications · doi:10.1890/1051-0761(2000)010[0449:dsotgi]2.0.co;2 · Cited by 164
Self-citationEcosystem physiology responses to global change
Mooney, H. A., Canadell, J. G., Chapin, F. S., Ehleringer, J. R., Körner, C., Mcmurtie, R., Parton, W. J., Pitelka, L. F., & Schulze, E. (1998) · MPG.PuRe (Max Planck Society) · Cited by 148
Interactions between fire, grazing and climate change at Wind Cave National Park, SD
Bachelet, D., Lenihan, J. M., Daly, C., & Neilson, R. P. (2000) · Ecological Modelling · doi:10.1016/s0304-3800(00)00343-4 · Cited by 103
Self-citationKittel, T. G. F., Rosenbloom, N. A., Royle, J. A., Daly, C., GIBSON, W. P., Fisher, H., THORNTON, P. E., Yates, D., Aulenbach, S. M., Kaufman, C., et al. (2004) · Climate Research · doi:10.3354/cr027151 · Cited by 52
Self-citationSCENARIOS OF CLIMATE CHANGE IN CALIFORNIA: AN OVERVIEW
Cayan, D. R., Luers, A. L., Hanemann, W. M., & Franco, G. (2006) · Cited by 49
California's changing landscapes: diversity and conservation of California vegetation
(1994) · Choice Reviews Online · doi:10.5860/choice.31-4906 · Cited by 49
Ornduff, R., Holland, V. L., & Keil, D. J. (1996) · Taxon · doi:10.2307/1224700 · Cited by 38
Multivariate Space–Time Analysis of PRE-STORM Precipitation
Polyak, I., North, G. R., & Valdés, J. B. (1994) · Journal of applied meteorology · doi:10.1175/1520-0450(1994)033 · Cited by 14
Self-citation
Research works printed but not linked: 2
- Davis FW, Stoms DM, Hollander AD, Thomas KA, Stine PA, Odion D, Borchert MI, Thorne JH, Gray MV, Walker RE, Warner K, Graae J (1998) The California Gap Analysis Project, Final Report. University of California, Santa Barbara, CA
- Kattenberg A, Giorgi F, Grassl H, Meehl G, Mitchell J, Stouffer R, Tokioka T, Weaver A, Wigley T (1996) Climate models: projections of future climate. In: Houghton JL, Filho M, Callander B, Harris N, Kattenberg A, Maskell K (eds) Climate change 1995: the science of climate change. Contribution to Working Group 1 to the Second Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK, pp 285–357
Cited by
Sorted by citations
Bowman, D. M. J. S., Balch, J. K., Artaxo, P., Bond, W. J., Carlson, J. M., Cochrane, M. A., D’Antonio, C. M., DeFries, R. S., Doyle, J. C., Harrison, S. P., et al. (2009) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.1163886 · Cited by 3,351
Implications of changing climate for global wildland fire
Flannigan, M. D., Krawchuk, M. A., de Groot, W. J., Wotton, B. M., & Gowman, L. M. (2009) · International Journal of Wildland Fire · doi:10.1071/wf08187 · Cited by 1,460
Niches, models, and climate change: Assessing the assumptions and uncertainties
Wiens, J. A., Stralberg, D., Jongsomjit, D., Howell, C. A., & Snyder, M. A. (2009) · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1073/pnas.0901639106 · Cited by 998
A biogeographic model of fire regimes in Australia: current and future implications
Bradstock, R. A. (2010) · Global Ecology and Biogeography · doi:10.1111/j.1466-8238.2009.00512.x · Cited by 798
Evidence for declining forest resilience to wildfires under climate change.
Stevens‐Rumann, C. S., Kemp, K. B., Higuera, P. E., Harvey, B. J., Rother, M. T., Donato, D. C., Morgan, P., & Veblen, T. T. (2018) · Ecology Letters · doi:10.1111/ele.12889 · Cited by 695
Metadata
- Authors
- Lenihan, J. M., Bachelet, D., Neilson, R. P., & Drapek, R.
- Affiliations
- US Forest Service (US)
- Oregon State University (US)
- Corresponding author
- Lenihan, James M.
- Venue
- Climatic Change
- Published
- 2007-11-30
- Volume
- 87
- Issue
- S1
- Pages
- 215-230
- ISSN
- 0165-0009 (ISSN-L)
- 1573-1480
- OpenAlex
- W2040144539
- Cited by
- 217
- References
- 28
- Citations by year
- 2026: 5 · 2025: 3 · 2024: 4 · 2023: 8 · 2022: 7 · 2021: 9 · 2020: 8 · 2019: 10 · 2018: 15 · 2017: 15 · 2016: 14 · 2015: 26 · 2014: 18 · 2013: 14 · 2012: 19
- FWCI
- 7.51
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Licence
- www.springer.com/tdm (tdm)
- Locations
- Climatic Change (publishedVersion)
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Fire effects on ecosystems
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Plant Water Relations and Carbon Dynamics
- Life Sciences › Agricultural and Biological Sciences › Forestry › Forest Management and Policy
- Keywords
- climate change scenarios, vegetation distribution, ecosystem productivity, forest fires, carbon sink, net primary productivity, grassland expansion, biomass consumption, California, climate change projections
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review