The DOI matches its Crossref record; 3 of the 3 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
Climate change impacts on wildfires in a Mediterranean environment
Open accessAbstract
We analyse the observed climate-driven changes in summer wildfires and their future evolution in a typical Mediterranean environment (NE Spain). By analysing observed climate and fire data from 1970 to 2007, we estimate the response of fire number (NF) and burned area (BA) to climate trends, disentangling the drivers responsible for long-term and interannual changes by means of a parsimonious Multi Linear Regression model (MLR). In the last forty years, the observed NF trend was negative. Here we show that, if improvements in fire management were not taken into account, the warming climate forcing alone would have led to a positive trend in NF. On the other hand, for BA, higher fuel flammability is counterbalanced by the indirect climate effects on fuel structure (i.e. less favourable conditions for fine-fuel availability and fuel connectivity), leading to a slightly negative trend. Driving the fire model with A1B climate change scenarios based on a set of Regional Climate Models from the ENSEMBLES project indicates that increasing temperatures promote a positive trend in NF if no further improvements in fire management are introduced.
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Cites
Global Pyrogeography: the Current and Future Distribution of Wildfire
Krawchuk, M. A., Moritz, M. A., Parisien, M.-A., Van Dorn, J., & Hayhoe, K. (2009) · PLoS ONE · doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0005102 · Cited by 1,000
Changes in fire and climate in the eastern Iberian Peninsula (Mediterranean basin).
Pausas, J. G. (2004) · Climatic Change · doi:10.1023/b:clim.0000018508.94901.9c · Cited by 798
Climate change and wildfire in California
Westerling, A. L., & Bryant, B. P. (2008) · Climatic Change · doi:10.1007/s10584-007-9363-z · Cited by 432
Cited by
Climate change and interconnected risks to sustainable development in the Mediterranean
Cramer, W., Guiot, J., Fader, M., Garrabou, J., Gattuso, J.-P., Iglesias, A., Lange, M. A., Lionello, P., Llasat, M. C., Paz, S., et al. (2018) · Nature Climate Change · doi:10.1038/s41558-018-0299-2 · Cited by 1,540
Self-citationGlobal and Regional Trends and Drivers of Fire Under Climate Change
Jones, M. W., Abatzoglou, J. T., Veraverbeke, S., Andela, N., Lasslop, G., Forkel, M., Smith, A. J. P., Burton, C., Betts, R. A., van der Werf, G. R., et al. (2022) · Reviews of Geophysics · doi:10.1029/2020rg000726 · Cited by 1,332
Attribution of the Influence of Human‐Induced Climate Change on an Extreme Fire Season
Kirchmeier‐Young, M. C., Gillett, N. P., Zwiers, F. W., Cannon, A. J., & Anslow, F. S. (2019) · Earth's Future · doi:10.1029/2018ef001050 · Cited by 323
Global patterns in the sensitivity of burned area to fire-weather: implications for climate change
Bedia, J., Herrera, S., Gutiérrez, J. M., Benali, A., Brands, S., Mota, B., & Moreno, J. M. (2015) · Agricultural and Forest Meteorology · doi:10.1016/j.agrformet.2015.09.002 · Cited by 276
Decreasing Fires in Mediterranean Europe
Turco, M., Bedia, J., Di Liberto, F., Fiorucci, P., von Hardenberg, J., Koutsias, N., Llasat, M.-C., Xystrakis, F., & Provenzale, A. (2016) · PLOS ONE · doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0150663 · Cited by 263
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Metadata
- Authors
- Turco, M., Llasat, M.-C., von Hardenberg, J., & Provenzale, A.
- Venue
- Climatic Change
- Published
- 2014-07-02
- Volume
- 125
- Issue
- 3-4
- Pages
- 369-380
- ISSN
- 0165-0009 (ISSN-L)
- 1573-1480
- OpenAlex
- W2052472793
- Cited by
- 198
- References
- 3
- FWCI
- 7.60
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- green
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- Turco, M., Llasat, M.-C., von Hardenberg, J., & Provenzale, A. (2014). Climate change impacts on wildfires in a Mediterranean environment. Climatic Change. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-014-1183-3
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Contains information from the Semantic Scholar Academic Graph Datasets, made available under the ODC Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0).
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