Climate change and wildfire in California
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Wildfires in California have increased in scale and intensity due to climate change, drought, and a backlog of forest management work.
“Wildfires in California have increased in scale and intensity due to climate change, drought, and a backlog of forest management work [45].”
From DIY mass timber: development of low-tech and low-cost structural mass timber manufacturing to support forest utilization in California (2025) · cites this paper as [45]
Projections for the number of wildfire events by end of century vary dramatically, e.g., +9 to 13%, +40 to 49%, and +34 to 53%.
“projections for the number of wildfire events by the end the century vary dramatically (e.g., +9 to 13% [11], +40 to 49% [14], and +34 to 53% [12]).”
From Incorporating Anthropogenic Influences into Fire Probability Models: Effects of Human Activity and Climate Change on Fire Activity in California (2016) · cites this paper as [12]
Model estimates capture the decreasing mFRI (increasing fire frequency) throughout coastal southern California and the Sierra Nevada between 1951 and 2000.
“For instance, model estimates capture the decreasing mFRI (increasing fire frequency) throughout coastal southern California and the Sierra Nevada between 1951 and 2000 [12,53] (Fig 2AB).”
From Incorporating Anthropogenic Influences into Fire Probability Models: Effects of Human Activity and Climate Change on Fire Activity in California (2016) · cites this paper as [12]
Many models drop urban areas from the sample while retaining other systems heavily influenced by humans (e.g. the WUI, federal and state parks) or more generally omit anthropogenic variables.
“For instance, many models drop urban areas from the sample while retaining other systems heavily influenced by humans (e.g. the WUI, federal and state parks) [9,12] or more generally omit anthropogenic variables [10,14].”
From Incorporating Anthropogenic Influences into Fire Probability Models: Effects of Human Activity and Climate Change on Fire Activity in California (2016) · cites this paper as [12]
Many wildfire forecast models do not, or are unable to, include anthropogenic influences in a meaningful way.
“Many wildfire forecast models do not, or are unable to, include anthropogenic influences in a meaningful way [9,10,12,14].”
From Incorporating Anthropogenic Influences into Fire Probability Models: Effects of Human Activity and Climate Change on Fire Activity in California (2016) · cites this paper as [12]
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“Wildfires in California have increased in scale and intensity due to climate change, drought, and a backlog of forest management work [45].”
- Authors
- Westerling, A. L., & Bryant, B. P.
- Affiliations
- University of California, Merced (US)
- RAND Corporation (US)
- Corresponding author
- Westerling, A. L.
- Venue
- Climatic Change
- Published
- 2007-12-12
- Volume
- 87
- Issue
- S1
- Pages
- 231-249
- ISSN
- 0165-0009 (ISSN-L)
- 1573-1480
- OpenAlex
- W2120951786
- Cited by
- 432
- References
- 35
- Citations by year
- 2026: 10 · 2025: 23 · 2024: 25 · 2023: 35 · 2022: 29 · 2021: 35 · 2020: 33 · 2019: 21 · 2018: 22 · 2017: 14 · 2016: 24 · 2015: 26 · 2014: 28 · 2013: 26 · 2012: 23
- FWCI
- 8.83
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Licence
- www.springer.com/tdm (tdm)
- Locations
- Climatic Change (publishedVersion)
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Fire effects on ecosystems
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Forest Management and Policy
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Climate variability and models
- Keywords
- wildfire risk, climate change scenarios, California, GFDL climate model, fire regimes, fuel flammability, moisture availability, precipitation, fire frequency, property damage, wildland-urban interface, residential buildings, topography, hydrology
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