The DOI matches its Crossref record; 68 of the 68 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
Strongly increasing heat extremes in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) in the 21st century
Open accessAbstract
The ensemble results of CMIP5 climate models that applied the RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 scenarios have been used to investigate climate change and temperature extremes in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA). Uncertainty evaluation of climate projections indicates good model agreement for temperature but much less for precipitation. Results imply that climate warming in the MENA is strongest in summer while elsewhere it is typically stronger in winter. The summertime warming extends the thermal low at the surface from South Asia across the Middle East over North Africa, as the hot desert climate intensifies and becomes more extreme. Observations and model calculations of the recent past consistently show increasing heat extremes, which are projected to accelerate in future. The number of warm days and nights may increase sharply. On average in the MENA, the maximum temperature during the hottest days in the recent past was about 43 °C, which could increase to about 46 °C by the middle of the century and reach almost 50 °C by the end of the century, the latter according to the RCP8.5 (business-as-usual) scenario. This will have important consequences for human health and society.
Overview
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Verification
Claims the paper makes
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Claims other papers make about this one
Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?
The cited source says what the claim attributes to it.
In the citing paper
“as mean temperatures are expected to increase and heat waves become more frequent, intense, and prolonged in much of North America, Europe, the Middle East and North Africa, and parts of China (Meehl and Tebaldi, 2004; Russo et al., 2014; Lelieveld et al., 2016; Kang and Eltahir, 2018).”
From Temperature and mental health: Evidence from the spectrum of mental health outcomes (2019) · cites this paper as Lelieveld et al., 2016
Self-check
Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.
The self-check needs the paper’s full text.
Citations
Cites
An Overview of CMIP5 and the Experiment Design
Taylor, K. E., Stouffer, R. J., & Meehl, G. A. (2012) · Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society · doi:10.1175/bams-d-11-00094.1 · Cited by 14,052
World map of the Köppen-Geiger climate classification updated
Kottek, M., Grieser, J., Beck, C., Rudolf, B., & Rubel, F. (2006) · Meteorologische Zeitschrift · doi:10.1127/0941-2948/2006/0130 · Cited by 11,456
Investigating soil moisture–climate interactions in a changing climate: A review
Seneviratne, S. I., Corti, T., Davin, É. L., Hirschi, M., Jaeger, E. B., Lehner, I., Orlowsky, B., & Teuling, A. J. (2010) · Earth-Science Reviews · doi:10.1016/j.earscirev.2010.02.004 · Cited by 6,002
Mitchell, T. D., & Jones, P. D. (2005) · International Journal of Climatology · doi:10.1002/joc.1181 · Cited by 3,820
Climate change projections for the Mediterranean region
Giorgi, F., & Lionello, P. (2007) · Global and Planetary Change · doi:10.1016/j.gloplacha.2007.09.005 · Cited by 3,332
Climate change and human health: present and future risks
McMichael, A. J., Woodruff, R. E., & Hales, S. (2006) · The Lancet · doi:10.1016/s0140-6736(06)68079-3 · Cited by 2,585
Indices for monitoring changes in extremes based on daily temperature and precipitation data
Zhang, X., Alexander, L. V., Hegerl, G. C., Jones, P. D., Tank, A. K., Peterson, T. C., Trewin, B. C., & Zwiers, F. W. (2011) · Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews Climate Change · doi:10.1002/wcc.147 · Cited by 2,461
Heat Stress and Public Health: A Critical Review
Kovats, S. R., & Hajat, S. (2007) · Annual Review of Public Health · doi:10.1146/annurev.publhealth.29.020907.090843 · Cited by 2,011
Addressing climate information needs at the regional level: the CORDEX framework
Giorgi, F., Jones, C., & Asrar, G. (2009) · Cited by 1,755
Robustness and uncertainties in the new CMIP5 climate model projections
Knutti, R., & Sedláček, J. (2013) · Nature Climate Change · doi:10.1038/nclimate1716 · Cited by 1,569
Research works printed but not linked: 3
- IPCC (2013) Climate change 2013: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Stocker TF et al. (eds), Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA, 1535 pp
- IPCC (2014) Climate change 2014: impacts, adaptation, and vulnerability. part b: regional aspects. contribution of working group II to the fifth assessment report of the intergovernmental panel on climate change, Barros VR et al. (eds), Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA, 688 pp
- Piguet E, Pécoud A, de Guchteneire P (2010) Migration and climate change: an overview. centre on migration, policy and society, report 79, University of Oxford
Cited by
Sorted by citations
Climate Change and Weather Extremes in the Eastern Mediterranean and Middle East
Zittis, G., Almazroui, M., Alpert, P., Ciais, P., Crämer, W., Dahdal, Y., Fnais, M. S., Francis, D., Hadjinicolaou, P., Howari, F. M., et al. (2022) · Reviews of Geophysics · doi:10.1029/2021rg000762 · Cited by 791
Self-citationProjected Change in Temperature and Precipitation Over Africa from CMIP6
Almazroui, M., Saeed, F., Saeed, S., Islam, M. N., Ismail, M., Klutse, N. A. B., & Siddiqui, M. H. (2020) · Earth Systems and Environment · doi:10.1007/s41748-020-00161-x · Cited by 500
Climate change vulnerability, water resources and social implications in North Africa
Schilling, J., Hertig, E., Tramblay, Y., & Scheffran, J. (2020) · Regional Environmental Change · doi:10.1007/s10113-020-01597-7 · Cited by 430
Temperature and mental health: Evidence from the spectrum of mental health outcomes
Mullins, J. T., & White, C. (2019) · Journal of Health Economics · doi:10.1016/j.jhealeco.2019.102240 · Cited by 383
Abrupt shift to hotter and drier climate over inner East Asia beyond the tipping point
Zhang, P., Jeong, J., Yoon, J., Kim, H., Wang, S., Linderholm, H. W., Fang, K., Wu, X., & Chen, D. (2020) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.abb3368 · Cited by 341
Bucchignani, E., Mercogliano, P., Panitz, H.-J., & Montesarchio, M. (2018) · Advances in Climate Change Research · doi:10.1016/j.accre.2018.01.004 · Cited by 346
Chlorophyll hormesis: Are chlorophylls major components of stress biology in higher plants?
Agathokleous, E., Feng, Z., & Peñuelas, J. (2020) · The Science of The Total Environment · doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.138637 · Cited by 309
Hormesis in plants: Physiological and biochemical responses
Jalal, A., de Oliveira, J. C., Ribeiro, J. S., Fernandes, G. C., Mariano, G. G., Trindade, V. D. R., & dos Reis, A. R. (2020) · Ecotoxicology and Environmental Safety · doi:10.1016/j.ecoenv.2020.111225 · Cited by 286
Saaroni, H., Amorim, J. H., Hiemstra, J. A., & Pearlmutter, D. (2018) · Urban Climate · doi:10.1016/j.uclim.2018.02.001 · Cited by 281
Migration induced by sea-level rise could reshape the US population landscape
Hauer, M. E. (2017) · Nature Climate Change · doi:10.1038/nclimate3271 · Cited by 291
Climate change extremes and photovoltaic power output.
Feron, S., Cordero, R. R., Damiani, A., & Jackson, R. B. (2020) · Nature Sustainability · doi:10.1038/s41893-020-00643-w · Cited by 248
Zittis, G., Hadjinicolaou, P., Klangidou, M., Proestos, Y., & Lelieveld, J. (2019) · Regional Environmental Change · doi:10.1007/s10113-019-01565-w · Cited by 257
Self-citationLong-term trends in daily temperature extremes in Iraq
Salman, S. A., Shahid, S., Ismail, T., Chung, ., & Al-Abadi, A. M. (2017) · Atmospheric Research · doi:10.1016/j.atmosres.2017.08.011 · Cited by 206
Salman, S. A., Shahid, S., Ismail, T., Ahmed, K., & Wang, X.-J. (2018) · Atmospheric Research · doi:10.1016/j.atmosres.2018.07.008 · Cited by 195
Temperature-related mortality impacts under and beyond Paris Agreement climate change scenarios
Vicedo-Cabrera, A. M., Guo, Y., Sera, F., Huber, V., Schleussner, C., Mitchell, D., Tong, S., Coêlho, M. D. S. Z. S., Saldiva, P. H. N., Lavigne, É., et al. (2018) · Climatic Change · doi:10.1007/s10584-018-2274-3 · Cited by 188
Revisiting future extreme precipitation trends in the Mediterranean
Zittis, G., Bruggeman, A., & Lelieveld, J. (2021) · Weather and Climate Extremes · doi:10.1016/j.wace.2021.100380 · Cited by 185
Self-citationBusiness-as-usual will lead to super and ultra-extreme heatwaves in the Middle East and North Africa
Zittis, G., Hadjinicolaou, P., Almazroui, M., Bucchignani, E., Driouech, F., Rhaz, K. E., Kurnaz, M. L., Nikulin, G., Ntoumos, A., Öztürk, T., et al. (2021) · npj Climate and Atmospheric Science · doi:10.1038/s41612-021-00178-7 · Cited by 202
Self-citationSánchez‐Salguero, R., Camarero, J. J., Gutiérrez, E., González-Rouco, J. F., Gazol, A., Sangüesa‐Barreda, G., Andreu‐Hayles, L., Linares, J. C., & Seftigen, K. (2016) · Global Change Biology · doi:10.1111/gcb.13541 · Cited by 172
Neira, M., Erguler, K., Ahmady‐Birgani, H., AL-Hmoud, N. D., Fears, R., Gogos, C. A., Hobbhahn, N., Koliou, M., Kostrikis, L. G., Lelieveld, J., et al. (2022) · Environmental Research · doi:10.1016/j.envres.2022.114537 · Cited by 189
Self-citationSpatial distribution of unidirectional trends in temperature and temperature extremes in Pakistan
Khan, N., Shahid, S., Ismail, T., & Wang, X. (2018) · Theoretical and Applied Climatology · doi:10.1007/s00704-018-2520-7 · Cited by 166
Ahmadalipour, A., & Moradkhani, H. (2018) · Environment International · doi:10.1016/j.envint.2018.05.014 · Cited by 170
Zittis, G. (2017) · Theoretical and Applied Climatology · doi:10.1007/s00704-017-2333-0 · Cited by 159
Self-citationAyanlade, A., Oluwaranti, A., Ayanlade, O. S., Borderon, M., Sterly, H., Sakdapolrak, P., Jegede, M. O., Weldemariam, L. F., & Ayinde, A. F. O. (2022) · Climate Services · doi:10.1016/j.cliser.2022.100311 · Cited by 152
Ávila-Díaz, A., Benezoli, V. H., Justino, F. B., Torres, R. R., & Wilson, A. B. (2020) · Climate Dynamics · doi:10.1007/s00382-020-05333-z · Cited by 165
Extreme weather and societal impacts in the eastern Mediterranean
Hochman, A., Marra, F., Messori, G., Pinto, J. G., Raveh‐Rubin, S., Yosef, Y., & Zittis, G. (2022) · Earth System Dynamics · doi:10.5194/esd-13-749-2022 · Cited by 148
Self-citationThe politics of anticipation: On knowing and governing environmental futures
Granjou, C., Walker, J. J., & Salazar, J. F. (2017) · Futures · doi:10.1016/j.futures.2017.05.007 · Cited by 162
Driouech, F., Rhaz, K. E., Moufouma-Okia, W., Arjdal, K., & Balhane, S. (2020) · Earth Systems and Environment · doi:10.1007/s41748-020-00169-3 · Cited by 149
Reviews and perspectives of high impact atmospheric processes in the Mediterranean
Michaelides, S. C., Karacostas, T. S., Sánchez, J. L., Retalis, A., Pytharoulis, I., Homar, V., Romero, R., Zanis, P., Giannakopoulos, C., Bühl, J., et al. (2017) · Atmospheric Research · doi:10.1016/j.atmosres.2017.11.022 · Cited by 146
Unidirectional trends in annual and seasonal climate and extremes in Egypt
Nashwan, M. S., Shahid, S., & Rahim, N. A. (2018) · Theoretical and Applied Climatology · doi:10.1007/s00704-018-2498-1 · Cited by 134
Al-Jawad, J. Y., Alsaffar, H. M., Bertram, D., & Kalin, R. M. (2019) · Journal of Environmental Management · doi:10.1016/j.jenvman.2019.03.045 · Cited by 142
Evaluation of the Performance of CMIP6 Models in Reproducing Rainfall Patterns over North Africa
Babaousmail, H., Hou, R., Ayugi, B. O., Ojara, M., Ngoma, H., Karim, R., Rajasekar, A., & Ongoma, V. (2021) · Atmosphere · doi:10.3390/atmos12040475 · Cited by 134
Climate Change, Migration, and Civil Strife.
Balsari, S., Dresser, C., & Leaning, J. (2020) · Current Environmental Health Reports · doi:10.1007/s40572-020-00291-4 · Cited by 135
Climate extremes and predicted warming threaten Mediterranean Holocene firs forests refugia
Sánchez‐Salguero, R., Camarero, J. J., Carrer, M., Gutiérrez, E., Alla, A. Q., Andreu‐Hayles, L., Hevia, A., Koutavas, A., Martínez‐Sancho, E., Nola, P., et al. (2017) · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1073/pnas.1708109114 · Cited by 133
Potential impacts of climate change on extreme precipitation over four African coastal cities
Abiodun, B. J., Adegoke, J. O., Abatan, A. A., Ibe, C. A., Egbebiyi, T. S., Engelbrecht, F. A., & Pinto, I. (2017) · Climatic Change · doi:10.1007/s10584-017-2001-5 · Cited by 134
Ranking European capitals by exposure to heat waves and cold waves
Smid, M., Russo, S., Costa, A. C., Granell, C., & Pebesma, E. J. (2019) · Urban Climate · doi:10.1016/j.uclim.2018.12.010 · Cited by 146
Tadić, I., Crowley, J. N., Dienhart, D., Eger, P., Harder, H., Hottmann, B., Martínez, M., Parchatka, U., Paris, J.-D., Pozzer, A., et al. (2020) · Atmospheric chemistry and physics · doi:10.5194/acp-20-6769-2020 · Cited by 124
Self-citationDeadly heat stress to become commonplace across South Asia already at 1.5 °C of global warming
Saeed, F., Schleussner, C., & Ashfaq, M. (2021) · Geophysical Research Letters · doi:10.1029/2020gl091191 · Cited by 122
Sounding the Alarm: Health in the Anthropocene
Butler, C. D. (2016) · International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health · doi:10.3390/ijerph13070665 · Cited by 124
Ajjur, S. B., & Al‐Ghamdi, S. G. (2021) · Climatic Change · doi:10.1007/s10584-021-03122-z · Cited by 126
Zhao, C., Brissette, F. P., Chen, J., & Martel, J. (2019) · Journal of Hydrology · doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2019.124316 · Cited by 125
Lange, M. A. (2019) · Atmosphere · doi:10.3390/atmos10080455 · Cited by 118
More frequent, persistent, and deadly heat waves in the 21st century over the Eastern Mediterranean
Wedler, M., Pinto, J. G., & Hochman, A. (2023) · The Science of The Total Environment · doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.161883 · Cited by 111
How Do Indoor Environments Affect Air Pollution Exposure?
Goldstein, A. H., Nazaroff, W. W., Weschler, C. J., & Williams, J. (2020) · Environmental Science & Technology · doi:10.1021/acs.est.0c05727 · Cited by 121
A novel framework for selecting general circulation models based on the spatial patterns of climate
Nashwan, M. S., & Shahid, S. (2019) · International Journal of Climatology · doi:10.1002/joc.6465 · Cited by 107
Öztürk, T., Turp, M. T., Türkeş, M., & Kurnaz, M. L. (2018) · Atmospheric Research · doi:10.1016/j.atmosres.2018.02.009 · Cited by 106
Enhanced near-surface ozone under heatwave conditions in a Mediterranean island
Pyrgou, A., Hadjinicolaou, P., & Santamouris, M. (2018) · Scientific Reports · doi:10.1038/s41598-018-27590-z · Cited by 106
Self-citationClimate change increases the risk of herbicide-resistant weeds due to enhanced detoxification
Matzrafi, M., Seiwert, B., Reemtsma, T., Rubin, B., & Peleg, Z. (2016) · Planta · doi:10.1007/s00425-016-2577-4 · Cited by 105
Lassalle, G. (2021) · The Science of The Total Environment · doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2021.147758 · Cited by 110
Severe droughts in North Africa: A review of drivers, impacts and management
Tanarhte, M., de Vries, A. J., Zittis, G., & Chfadi, T. (2024) · Earth-Science Reviews · doi:10.1016/j.earscirev.2024.104701 · Cited by 110
Self-citationPopulation exposure to extreme heat in China: Frequency, intensity, duration and temporal trends
Li, L., & Zha, Y. (2020) · Sustainable Cities and Society · doi:10.1016/j.scs.2020.102282 · Cited by 99
Lionello, P., & Scarascia, L. (2020) · Regional Environmental Change · doi:10.1007/s10113-020-01610-z · Cited by 92
Hejazi, M. I., da Silva, S. R. S., Miralles‐Wilhelm, F. R., Kim, S. H., Kyle, P. G., Liu, Y., Vernon, C., Delgado, A., Edmonds, J., & Clarke, L. (2023) · Frontiers in Environmental Science · doi:10.3389/fenvs.2023.1082930 · Cited by 91
Future changes in climate extremes over Equatorial East Africa based on CMIP5 multimodel ensemble
Ongoma, V., Chen, H., Gao, C., Nyongesa, A. M., & Polong, F. (2017) · Natural Hazards · doi:10.1007/s11069-017-3079-9 · Cited by 89
Ullah, S., You, Q., Ali, A., Ullah, W., Jan, M. A., Zhang, Y., Xie, W., & Xie, X. (2018) · Atmospheric Research · doi:10.1016/j.atmosres.2018.09.020 · Cited by 89
Future changes in annual precipitation extremes over Southeast Asia under global warming of 2°C
Tangang, F., Supari, S., Chung, J. X., Cruz, F. A. T., Salimun, E., Ngai, S. T., Juneng, L., Santisirisomboon, J., Santisirisomboon, J., Ngo‐Duc, T., et al. (2018) · APN Science Bulletin · doi:10.30852/sb.2018.436 · Cited by 88
Global hydroclimatic response to tropical volcanic eruptions over the last millennium
Tejedor, E., Steiger, N., Smerdon, J. E., Serrano‐Notivoli, R., & Vuille, M. (2021) · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1073/pnas.2019145118 · Cited by 102
Pyrgou, A., Hadjinicolaou, P., & Santamouris, M. (2020) · Environmental Research · doi:10.1016/j.envres.2019.109102 · Cited by 87
Self-citationStaying Cool in A Warming Climate: Temperature, Electricity and Air Conditioning in Saudi Arabia
Howarth, N. A. A., Odnoletkova, N., Alshehri, T., Almadani, A., Lanza, A., & Patzek, T. W. (2020) · Climate · doi:10.3390/cli8010004 · Cited by 85
Pfannerstill, E. Y., Wang, N., Edtbauer, A., Bourtsoukidis, E., Crowley, J. N., Dienhart, D., Eger, P., Ernle, L., Fischer, H., Hottmann, B., et al. (2019) · Atmospheric chemistry and physics · doi:10.5194/acp-19-11501-2019 · Cited by 91
Self-citationHajat, S., Proestos, Y., Araya, J., Economou, T., & Lelieveld, J. (2023) · The Lancet Planetary Health · doi:10.1016/s2542-5196(23)00045-1 · Cited by 82
Self-citationIncreasing Probability of Heat-Related Mortality in a Mediterranean City Due to Urban Warming
Pyrgou, A., & Santamouris, M. (2018) · International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health · doi:10.3390/ijerph15081571 · Cited by 83
Coral Bleaching in the Persian/Arabian Gulf Is Modulated by Summer Winds
Paparella, F., Xu, C., Vaughan, G. O., & Burt, J. A. (2019) · Frontiers in Marine Science · doi:10.3389/fmars.2019.00205 · Cited by 83
Zittis, G., Bruggeman, A., Camera, C., Hadjinicolaou, P., & Lelieveld, J. (2017) · Atmospheric Research · doi:10.1016/j.atmosres.2017.03.002 · Cited by 77
Self-citationMazzoni, A., Heggy, E., & Scabbia, G. (2018) · Global Environmental Change · doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2018.09.009 · Cited by 75
Limits to growth, planetary boundaries, and planetary health
Butler, C. D. (2017) · Current Opinion in Environmental Sustainability · doi:10.1016/j.cosust.2017.08.002 · Cited by 78
Land transport CO2 emissions and climate change: evidence from Cyprus
Giannakis, E., Serghides, D., Dimitriou, S., & Zittis, G. (2020) · International Journal of Sustainable Energy · doi:10.1080/14786451.2020.1743704 · Cited by 72
Self-citationAboelata, A. (2021) · Sustainable Cities and Society · doi:10.1016/j.scs.2021.102762 · Cited by 72
Failed policies, falling aquifers: unpacking groundwater overabstraction in Iran.
Nabavi, E. (2018) · DOAJ (DOAJ: Directory of Open Access Journals) · Cited by 72
The seasons’ length in 21st century CMIP5 projections over the eastern Mediterranean
Hochman, A., Harpaz, T., Saaroni, H., & Alpert, P. (2018) · International Journal of Climatology · doi:10.1002/joc.5448 · Cited by 73
Herut, B., Rahav, E., Tsagaraki, T. M., Giannakourou, A., Tsiola, A., Psarra, S., Lagaria, A., Papageorgiou, N., Mihalopoulos, N., Theodosi, C., et al. (2016) · Frontiers in Marine Science · doi:10.3389/fmars.2016.00226 · Cited by 70
Hochman, A., Harpaz, T., Saaroni, H., & Alpert, P. (2017) · International Journal of Climatology · doi:10.1002/joc.5260 · Cited by 70
Zaporozhets, A. O., & Khaidurov, V. (2020) · Water Air & Soil Pollution · doi:10.1007/s11270-020-04933-z · Cited by 69
Recent and projected changes in climate patterns in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region
Francis, D., & Fonseca, R. (2024) · Scientific Reports · doi:10.1038/s41598-024-60976-w · Cited by 77
Past (1950–2017) and future (−2100) temperature and precipitation trends in Egypt
Mostafa, A. N., Wheida, A., El-Nazer, M., Helmy, M. A., Ellaithy, L. S., Siour, G., Coman, A., Borbon, A., Magdy, A. W., Omar, M., et al. (2019) · Weather and Climate Extremes · doi:10.1016/j.wace.2019.100225 · Cited by 69
High‐resolution projection of climate change and extremity over Israel using COSMO‐CLM
Hochman, A., Mercogliano, P., Alpert, P., Saaroni, H., & Bucchignani, E. (2018) · International Journal of Climatology · doi:10.1002/joc.5714 · Cited by 67
Renoz, F., Pons, I., & Hance, T. (2019) · Current Opinion in Insect Science · doi:10.1016/j.cois.2019.06.006 · Cited by 66
Devkota, M., Singh, Y., Yigezu, Y. A., Bashour, I. I., Mussadek, R., & Mrabet, R. (2022) · Advances in agronomy · doi:10.1016/bs.agron.2021.11.001 · Cited by 66
Regional projections of temperature and precipitation changes: Robustness and uncertainty aspects.
Piniewski, M., Mezghani, A., Szcześniak, M., & Kundzewicz, Z. W. (2017) · Meteorologische Zeitschrift · doi:10.1127/metz/2017/0813 · Cited by 66
Ullah, S., You, Q., Ullah, W., Hagan, D. F. T., Ali, A., Ali, G., Zhang, Y., Jan, M. A., Bhatti, A. S., & Xie, W. (2019) · Climate Dynamics · doi:10.1007/s00382-019-04934-7 · Cited by 68
Adamo, N., Al-Ansari, N. A., Sissakian, V. K., Fahmi, K. J., & Abed, S. A. (2022) · Engineering · doi:10.4236/eng.2022.147021 · Cited by 64
Observed changes in temperature extremes over China–Pakistan Economic Corridor during 1980–2016
Ullah, S., You, Q., Ullah, W., Ali, A., Xie, W., & Xie, X. (2018) · International Journal of Climatology · doi:10.1002/joc.5894 · Cited by 65
Towards understanding the characteristics of new particle formation in the Eastern Mediterranean
Baalbaki, R., Pikridas, M., Jokinen, T., Laurila, T. M., Dada, L., Bezantakos, S., Ahonen, L., Neitola, K., Maißer, A., Bimenyimana, E., et al. (2021) · Atmospheric chemistry and physics · doi:10.5194/acp-21-9223-2021 · Cited by 70
Granata, F., Zhu, S., & Nunno, F. D. (2025) · Regional Environmental Change · doi:10.1007/s10113-025-02432-7 · Cited by 62
Chen, R., Wen, Z., & Lu, R. (2017) · Journal of Climate · doi:10.1175/jcli-d-17-0232.1 · Cited by 62
Nie, S., Fu, S., Cao, W., & Jia, X. (2020) · Theoretical and Applied Climatology · doi:10.1007/s00704-020-03090-x · Cited by 60
Zhang, Y., Li, Q., Ge, Y., Du, X., & Wang, H. (2022) · Communications Earth & Environment · doi:10.1038/s43247-022-00404-x · Cited by 59
Hydroclimatic extremes in arid and semi-arid regions: status, challenges, and future outlook
Kenawy, A. E. (2024) · Elsevier eBooks · doi:10.1016/b978-0-12-824130-1.00012-6 · Cited by 59
Karim, R., Tan, G., Ayugi, B. O., Babaousmail, H., & Liu, F. (2020) · Atmosphere · doi:10.3390/atmos11091005 · Cited by 58
Environmental Drivers of Holocene Forest Development in the Middle Atlas, Morocco
Campbell, J. F. E., Fletcher, W. J., Joannin, S., Hughes, P. D., Rhanem, M., & Zielhofer, C. (2017) · Frontiers in Ecology and Evolution · doi:10.3389/fevo.2017.00113 · Cited by 57
Daily temperature extremes over Egypt: Spatial patterns, temporal trends, and driving forces
Kenawy, A. E., López‐Moreno, J. I., McCabe, M. F., Robaa, S. M., Domínguez‐Castro, F., Peña‐Gallardo, M., Trigo, R. M., Hereher, M. E., Al‐Awadhi, T., & Vicente-Serrano, S. M. (2019) · Atmospheric Research · doi:10.1016/j.atmosres.2019.04.030 · Cited by 57
A new view of heat wave dynamics and predictability over the eastern Mediterranean
Hochman, A., Scher, S., Quinting, J., Pinto, J. G., & Messori, G. (2021) · Earth System Dynamics · doi:10.5194/esd-12-133-2021 · Cited by 57
Tracking Iberian heatwaves from a new perspective
Benítez, A. S., Barriopedro, D., & García‐Herrera, R. (2019) · Weather and Climate Extremes · doi:10.1016/j.wace.2019.100238 · Cited by 61
The dynamics of cyclones in the twentyfirst century: the Eastern Mediterranean as an example
Hochman, A., Alpert, P., Kunin, P., Rostkier‐Edelstein, D., Harpaz, T., Saaroni, H., & Messori, G. (2019) · Climate Dynamics · doi:10.1007/s00382-019-05017-3 · Cited by 53
Quenum, G. M. L. D., Nkrumah, F., Klutse, N. A. B., & Sylla, M. B. (2021) · Water · doi:10.3390/w13243506 · Cited by 52
Akasha, H., Ghaffarpasand, O., & Pope, F. D. (2023) · Sustainability · doi:10.3390/su15043766 · Cited by 55
Mortality risk from heat stress expected to hit poorest nations the hardest
Ahmadalipour, A., Moradkhani, H., & Kumar, M. (2019) · Climatic Change · doi:10.1007/s10584-018-2348-2 · Cited by 54
Persistent heat waves projected for Middle East and North Africa by the end of the 21st century
Varela, R., Rodríguez-Díaz, L., & deCastro, M. (2020) · PLoS ONE · doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0242477 · Cited by 55
Almazroui, M., Saeed, F., Islam, M. N., & Alkhalaf, A. K. (2016) · Atmospheric Research · doi:10.1016/j.atmosres.2016.07.025 · Cited by 50
Exposure assessment to road traffic noise levels and health effects in an arid urban area
Amoatey, P., Omidvarbona, H., Baawain, M., Al‐Mayahi, A., Al-Mamun, A., & Al-Harthy, I. (2020) · Environmental Science and Pollution Research · doi:10.1007/s11356-020-09785-y · Cited by 49
Feeling the Heat: Adapting to Climate Change in the Middle East and Central Asia
Duenwald, C. K., Abdih, Y., Gerling, K., Stepanyan, V., Al-Hassan, A., Anderson, G., Baum, A., Saksonovs, S., Agoumi, L., Chen, C., et al. (2022) · Departmental Paper · doi:10.5089/9781513591094.087 · Cited by 52
Metadata
- Authors
- Lelieveld, J., Proestos, Y., Hadjinicolaou, P., Tanarhte, M., Tyrlis, E., & Zittis, G.
- Affiliations
- Cyprus Institute (CY)
- Max Planck Institute for Chemistry (DE)
- Corresponding author
- Lelieveld, J.
- Venue
- Climatic Change
- Published
- 2016-04-23
- Volume
- 137
- Issue
- 1-2
- Pages
- 245-260
- ISSN
- 0165-0009 (ISSN-L)
- 1573-1480
- OpenAlex
- W2337173660
- Cited by
- 483
- References
- 68
- Citations by year
- 2026: 57 · 2025: 45 · 2024: 47 · 2023: 40 · 2022: 50 · 2021: 67 · 2020: 59 · 2019: 39 · 2018: 31 · 2017: 33 · 2016: 14
- FWCI
- 28.92
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- hybrid
- doi.org
- Locations
- Climatic Change (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- RePEc: Research Papers in Economics (submittedVersion)
- MPG.PuRe (Max Planck Society) (submittedVersion)
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Climate variability and models
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Climate Change and Environmental Impact
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Health, Toxicology and Mutagenesis › Climate Change and Health Impacts
- Keywords
- extreme heat, temperature extremes, climate change projections, Middle East and North Africa, CMIP5, RCP4.5, RCP8.5, warm days and nights, maximum temperature, desert climate, thermal low, precipitation uncertainty, summer warming, human health effects
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review
