A policy analysis on challenges and opportunities of population/household aging in China
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These policy variations created a substantial difference in total fertility rate between rural and urban regions.
“These variations created a substantial difference in total fertility rate between rural and urban regions.7”
From The effects of China’s universal two-child policy (2016) · cites this paper as [7]
Only after 2030 will the two-child policy's demographic benefits become evident through a considerably lower elderly dependency ratio than under the one-child policy.
“Only after 2030 will the demographic benefits of the two-child policy become evident in producing a considerably lower elderly dependency ratio than the one-child policy (figure 4).7”
From The effects of China’s universal two-child policy (2016) · cites this paper as [7]
After 2029, China's per-person water and arable land resources will gradually increase as total population decreases.
“Under the universal two-child policy, the Chinese average water resource per person and average arable land per person would reach the lowest value around 2029 (reduced by about 2% and 6%, respectively, compared with 2011), and then start to gradually increase as the total population size decreases after 2029.7”
From The effects of China’s universal two-child policy (2016) · cites this paper as [7]
Because young people keep moving from countryside to cities, rural areas will face faster ageing in the decades ahead.
“where rapid ageing will be a greater problem in the coming decades, due to continuing rural–urban migration of young people.7”
From The effects of China’s universal two-child policy (2016) · cites this paper as [7]
Under the universal two-child policy, China's average arable land per person will reach its lowest value around 2029, about 6% lower than in 2011.
“Under the universal two-child policy, the Chinese average water resource per person and average arable land per person would reach the lowest value around 2029 (reduced by about 2% and 6%, respectively, compared with 2011), and then start to gradually increase as the total population size decreases after 2029.7”
From The effects of China’s universal two-child policy (2016) · cites this paper as [7]
Under the universal two-child policy, China's average water resource per person will reach its lowest value around 2029, about 2% lower than in 2011.
“Under the universal two-child policy, the Chinese average water resource per person and average arable land per person would reach the lowest value around 2029 (reduced by about 2% and 6%, respectively, compared with 2011), and then start to gradually increase as the total population size decreases after 2029.7”
From The effects of China’s universal two-child policy (2016) · cites this paper as [7]
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- Authors
- Zeng, Y., & Wang, Z.
- Affiliations
- Duke University (US)
- Corresponding author
- Zeng, Yi
- ORCID
- Zeng, Yi
- Venue
- Journal of Population Ageing
- Published
- 2014-08-09
- Volume
- 7
- Issue
- 4
- Pages
- 255-281
- ISSN
- 1874-7876 (ISSN-L)
- 1874-7884
- OpenAlex
- W1985496705
- Cited by
- 52
- References
- 40
- Citations by year
- 2026: 2 · 2025: 6 · 2024: 4 · 2023: 1 · 2022: 5 · 2021: 6 · 2020: 4 · 2019: 9 · 2018: 5 · 2017: 1 · 2016: 4 · 2015: 4 · 2014: 1
- FWCI
- 8.33
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Licence
- www.springer.com/tdm (tdm)
- Locations
- Journal of Population Ageing (publishedVersion)
- Funders
- National University of Singapore
- National Natural Science Foundation of China
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Demography › Insurance, Mortality, Demography, Risk Management
- Social Sciences › Gender Studies › Demographic Trends and Gender Preferences
- Health Sciences › Health Professions › General Health Professions › Aging, Elder Care, and Social Issues
- Keywords
- population aging, fertility policy, two-child policy, universal two-child policy, oldest old, pension deficit, retirement age, sex ratio at birth, marriage squeeze, childlessness, rural old-age insurance, China
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