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Why We Must Stop Assuming and Estimating Menstrual Cycle Phases in Laboratory and Field-Based Sport Related Research
Abstract
The increased growth, popularity, and media interest in women’s sport has led to calls for greater prioritisation of female-specific research and innovation. In response, science and medicine researchers have increased the volume of sport-related studies investigating female-specific matters, such as the menstrual cycle. Whilst the accelerated rate of published studies with female participants is welcome, the emerging trend of using assumed or estimated menstrual cycle phases to characterise ovarian hormone profiles is a significant concern. Replacing direct measurements of key characteristics of the menstrual cycle (e.g. the surge in luteinising hormone prior to ovulation via urine detection and sufficient luteal phase progesterone via blood or saliva sampling) with assumptions or estimates (i.e. no measurements) is proposed to be a pragmatic and convenient way of generating data, particularly in field-based research (i.e. elite athlete environments), where time, resources, and athlete availability are sometimes constrained. Using assumed or estimated phases, however, amounts to guessing the occurrence and timing of ovarian hormone fluctuations and risks potentially significant implications for female athlete health, training, performance, injury, etc., as well as resource deployment. The positive intentions of researchers and scientific journals in this space are not in question. The aim of this Current Opinion is to explain why using assumed or estimated menstrual cycle phases is an approach that has little scientific basis and lacks the rigour and appropriate methodological quality to produce valid and reliable data. In doing so, we provide evidence-based responses to common speculation points and offer recommendations for future research.
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“One of the major challenges in conducting research with female subjects is the necessity to control for the phase of the menstrual cycle, which may influence iron metabolism and levels of inflammatory markers25–27.”
From Impact of a single swimming session on inflammatory response and iron homeostasis in adolescent female athletes during the luteal phase (2025) · cites this paper as [25]
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Self-citationMethodological Recommendations for Menstrual Cycle Research in Sports and Exercise
JANSE DE JONGE, X., THOMPSON, B., & HAN, A. (2019) · Medicine & Science in Sports & Exercise · doi:10.1249/mss.0000000000002073 · Cited by 382
Can apps and calendar methods predict ovulation with accuracy?
Johnson, S., Marriott, L., & Zinaman, M. (2018) · Current Medical Research and Opinion · doi:10.1080/03007995.2018.1475348 · Cited by 115
Real-life insights on menstrual cycles and ovulation using big data
Soumpasis, I., Grace, B., & Johnson, S. (2020) · Human Reproduction Open · doi:10.1093/hropen/hoaa011 · Cited by 76 · cited 2×
“…Most menstrual cycles are 28 days, with ovulation occurring on day 14 It is estimated that this ‘textbook cycle’ represents as few as 10% of all ‘real world’ cycles [30]; cycle length has a healthy range of up to 14 days, such that women can have both short (21 days) and long cycles (35 days).”
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Cited by
Mydłowska, M., Kasperska, A., Cichoń-Woźniak, J., Dziewiecka, H., Ostapiuk-Karolczuk, J., & Skarpańska-Stejnborn, A. (2025) · Scientific Reports · doi:10.1038/s41598-025-29551-9 · Cited by 2
Metadata
- Authors
- Elliott-Sale, K. J., Altini, M., Doyle-Baker, P., Ferrer, E., Flood, T. R., Harris, R., Impellizzeri, F. M., de Jonge, X. J., Kryger, K. O., Lewin, G., Lebrun, C. M., McCall, A., Nimphius, S., Phillips, S. M., Swinton, P. A., Taylor, M., Verhagen, E., & Burden, R. J.
- Venue
- Sports Medicine
- Published
- 2025-03-14
- Volume
- 55
- Issue
- 6
- Pages
- 1339-1351
- ISSN
- 0112-1642
- 1179-2035
- Cited by
- 64
- References
- 5
- Language
- en
- Licence
- creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0 (tdm)
- creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0 (vor)
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