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Properties of permuted-block randomization in clinical trials
Abstract
This article describes some of the important statistical properties of the commonly used permuted-block design, also known simply as blocked-randomization. Under a permutation model for statistical tests, proper analyses should employ tests that incorporate the blocking used in the randomization. These include the block-stratified Mantel-Haenszel chi-square test for binary data, the blocked analysis of variance F test, and the blocked nonparametric linear rank test. It is common, however, to ignore the blocking in the analysis. For these tests, it is shown that the size of a test obtained from an analysis incorporating the blocking (say T), versus an analysis ignoring the blocking (say TI), is related to the intrablock correlation coefficient (R) as TI = T(1-R). For blocks of common length 2m, the range of R is from -1/(2m-1) to 1. Thus, if there is a positive intrablock correlation, which is more likely than not for m greater than 1, an analysis ignoring blocking will be unduly conservative. Permutation tests are also presented for the case of stratified analyses within one or more subgroups of patients defined post hoc on the basis of a covariate. This provides a basis for the analysis when responses from some patients are assumed to be missing-at-random. An alternative strategy that requires no assumptions is to perform the analysis using only the subset of complete blocks in which no observations are missing. The Blackwell-Hodges model is used to assess the potential for selection bias induced by investigator attempts to guess which treatment is more likely to be assigned to each incoming patient. In an unmasked trial, the permuted-block design provides substantial potential for selection bias in the comparison of treatments due to the predictability of the assignments that is induced by the requirement of balance within blocks. Further, this bias is not eliminated by the use of random block sizes. We also modify the Blackwell-Hodges model to allow for selection bias only when the investigator is able to discern the next assignment with certainty. This type of bias is reduced by the use of random block sizes and is eliminated only if the possible block sizes are unknown to the investigators. Finally, the Efron model for accidental bias is used to assess the potential for bias in the estimation of treatment effects due to covariate imbalances. For the permuted-block design, the variance of this bias approaches that of complete randomization as the half-block length m----infinity.(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 400 WORDS)
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In the citing paper
“we randomized each of them to a single treatment by using the method of randomly permuted blocks (Matts & Lachin, 1988).Randomization was stratified into two blocks by the use of psychotropic medication”
From Efficacy of an acceptance-based group behavioral therapy for generalized anxiety disorder. (2020) · cites this paper as Matts & Lachin, 1988
In the citing paper
“A random number generator (http://www.randomization.com) was used to generate a random number for each participant and randomly allocate each enrolled participant to one of the two treatment groups, in a 1:1 ratio, following the method of randomly permuted blocks (Matts and Lachin, 1988).”
From Inflammatory markers changes following acceptance-based behavioral psychotherapy in generalized anxiety disorder patients: Evidence from a randomized controlled trial (2024) · cites this paper as Matts and Lachin, 1988
In the citing paper
“Dr Shi randomized the 288 participants into control and intervention groups using the permuted block randomization method [21]”
From Mobile-Delivered Mindfulness Intervention on Anxiety Level Among College Athletes: Randomized Controlled Trial (2024) · cites this paper as [21]
In the citing paper
“Generation of the random allocation sequence, using permuted block randomization [55], was conducted by the second author (JP).”
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BackgroundInfluentialSelection bias, allocation concealment and randomization design in clinical trials
Zhao, W. (2013) · Contemporary Clinical Trials · doi:10.1016/j.cct.2013.07.005 · Cited by 24
A New Proposal for Setting Parameter Values in Restricted Randomization Methods
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“The best known are permuted-block randomization PBR(b) [5], biased-coin design BCD(p) by Efron [6], urn design UD(w, α, β) by Wei [7] and big-stick design BSD(a) by Soares and Wu [8].”
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“After all the participants signed a consent form, we randomized each of them to a single treatment by using the method of randomly permuted blocks (Matts & Lachin, 1988).”
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“Special topics included simple randomization [Lachin (1988)], permuted block randomization [Matts and Lachin (1988)] and the urn-adaptive biased-coin randomization [Wei and Lachin (1988)].”
MethodFriedman, L. M., Furberg, C. D., & DeMets, D. L. (2010) · Springer eBooks · doi:10.1007/978-1-4419-1586-3_6 · Cited by 22
Yoshioka‐Maeda, K., Shiomi, M., Katayama, T., & Hosoya, N. (2019) · Public Health Nursing · doi:10.1111/phn.12642 · Cited by 21
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A review of randomization methods in clinical trials
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“Randomization was conducted by permuted blocks.(15) Allocation envelopes were stored in sequentially numbered (from 1 to 6), opaque, sealed envelopes, prepared by a person not involved in the study, and opened after the inclusion of a new case.”
MethodCai, H., Xia, J. L., Gao, D. H., & Cao, X. M. (2010) · Contemporary Clinical Trials · doi:10.1016/j.cct.2010.07.009 · Cited by 19
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Zheng, L., & Zelen, M. (2016) · Cited by 20
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“The use of simple randomization resulted in an imbalance between the number of participants in each group, which could be prevented in a future trial by using block randomization [36].”
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“If the data are collected from different clinics and we need to reduce selection bias and control the imbalance of group sizes, the appropriate design is the randomized block design (Matts and Lachin 1988; Lachin et al. 1988; Efird 2011).”
MethodComparative study of treatment for distal radius fractures with two different palmar locking plates
Tanaka, H., Hatta, T., Sasajima, K., Itoi, E., & Aizawa, T. (2016) · Journal of Hand Surgery (European Volume) · doi:10.1177/1753193415625830 · Cited by 17
“Patients were allocated to one of the two groups, based on a randomized permuted blocks design (Matts and Lachin, 1988) performed by one of the investigators (H. T.).”
MethodGallis, J. A., Bennett, G. G., Steinberg, D., Askew, S., & Turner, E. L. (2018) · Translational Behavioral Medicine · doi:10.1093/tbm/iby131 · Cited by 17
“An additional goal of block randomization is to achieve balance on calendar time [22], which is particularly important if the type of recruited participants may change over time (e.”
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“Participants were randomly allocated to either Rhythms And You (RAY; n = 16), RAY + Clinical Helper (RAY +CH; n = 15) or Adjunctive Reading Material (ARM; n = 16) by an independent data manager not otherwise involved in study procedures using a permuted block strategy (Matts and Lachin, 1988).”
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A trial of in-hospital, electronic alerts for acute kidney injury: Design and rationale
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“We generated randomization tables for each stratum using a permuted block randomization method.(22) Allocation concealment is maintained as the alert process is completely automated; only the computerized system has access to the randomization lists.”
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“This difference in a small number of patients is normal in studies with the block randomization method (38, 39).”
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“After the baseline phase, Dr Shi randomized the 288 participants into control and intervention groups using the permuted block randomization method [21], with Professor Gao’s research team assigning 150 to the intervention group and 138 to the control group.”
Graham, J. A., Pettigrew, J., Miller-Day, M. A., Krieger, J. L. R., Zhou, J., & Hecht, M. L. (2013) · Prevention Science · doi:10.1007/s11121-013-0403-9 · Cited by 14
“Statisticians recommend that the analysis model should take the stratification into account (e.g., see Kahan and Morris 2012; Matts and Lachin 1988).”
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Phlebotomine mortality effect of systemic insecticides administered to dogs
Ares‐Gómez, S., Lucientes, J., Castillo, J. A., Peris, M. P., Gil, A. E., Velasquez, R. V. O., Ortega-Hernández, P., & Picado, A. (2018) · Parasites & Vectors · doi:10.1186/s13071-018-2820-x · Cited by 14
“Dogs were subdivide into strata (breed and gender) then a permuted block randomization was used for each stratum [22].”
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“Participantswill be randomly assigned (1:1) to one of the two TBT study arms (n = 48 per arm) using a permuted block randomization procedure [23].”
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“Besonders in einer nicht-doppelblind angelegten Studie entsteht hier durch das Erraten der Zuteilungen (vor allem gegen Ende der Studie) Spielraum für das Auftreten von Selektionsbias, was aber natürlich nicht auf die Ebene der permutierten Blockrandomisierung mit kleineren Blockgrößen zutrifft [24,25].”
BackgroundAn automated patient registration and treatment randomization system
Papaconstantinou, C., & Krischer, J. P. (1995) · Journal of Medical Systems · doi:10.1007/bf02260848 · Cited by 13
McEntegart, D. J. (2008) · Wiley Encyclopedia of Clinical Trials · doi:10.1002/9780471462422.eoct301 · Cited by 13
Assessing the quality of randomization methods in randomized control trials
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“To prevent predictability, we will employ block randomization using variable block sizes [41].”
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“The procedures are: • Permuted block design (PBD) [36]: treatment assignments are made at random in blocks of 2 b (exactly b assignments to each treatment E and C in each block).”
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“To achieve a balanced allocation of participants in each sequence, a permuted block randomization with varying block sizes using SAS® PROC PLAN will be used [44-51].”
Meisel, A. F., Henninger, H. B., Barber, F. A., & Getelman, M. H. (2017) · Arthroscopy The Journal of Arthroscopic and Related Surgery · doi:10.1016/j.arthro.2016.10.014 · Cited by 12
A Community‐Based Intervention Program's Effects on Dietary Intake Behaviors
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Raad, T., George, E. S., Griffin, A., Larkin, L., Fraser, A. D., Kennedy, N., & Tierney, A. C. (2022) · Contemporary Clinical Trials Communications · doi:10.1016/j.conctc.2022.100919 · Cited by 12
“Next, participants will be randomly allocated into either a MedDiet group or HEG group using a permuted block randomisation scheme with 1:1 ratio allocation [32].”
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“We will use variable permuted-block randomization to allocate participants [39].”
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Use and reporting of restricted randomization: a review
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“We suggest that trialists should give greater consideration to predictability both when designing and communicating the randomization procedure and when analysing the results, particularly when the trial may have a higher risk of subversion, for instance, in open-label trials [4,42].”
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Incorporating covariates information in adaptive clinical trials for precision medicine
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“However, the SPB design lacks randomness and is susceptible to selection bias.(44) Moreover, it tends to cause a severe allocation imbalance for the entire trial when there are too many strata, typically as a result of having too many covariates or levels within individual covariates.”
BackgroundQuantification of Predictability in Clinical Trials Using Block Randomization
Dupin-Spriet, T., Fermanian, J., & Spriet, A. (2004) · Drug Information Journal · doi:10.1177/009286150403800205 · Cited by 6
“In the present paper, we continue the approach described by Matts and Lachin (1) by quantifying predictability with certainty in situations other than two-arm balanced blocks: trials with three or more arms, and trials with unbalanced treatment allocation.”
BackgroundMethodInfluentialBest practices for design and implementation of human clinical trials studying dietary oils
MacKay, D., Jew, S., & Jones, P. J. H. (2016) · Progress in Lipid Research · doi:10.1016/j.plipres.2016.10.003 · Cited by 10
Attention-Deficit/Hyperactivity Disorder
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Text Prediction on Structured Data Entry in Healthcare
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“Experimental design With a permuted-block algorithm [28], the 52 participants were randomly assigned to two groups.”
MethodSajobi, T. T., Singh, G., Lowerison, M. W., Engbers, J. D. T., Menon, B. K., Demchuk, A. M., Goyal, M., & Hill, M. D. (2017) · Trials · doi:10.1186/s13063-017-2264-1 · Cited by 9
Replacing permuted block design with big stick design in stratified randomization
Cai, H., & Zhou, X. (2021) · Contemporary Clinical Trials · doi:10.1016/j.cct.2021.106450 · Cited by 9
Carter, K., Scheffold, A., Renteria, J., Berger, V. W., Luo, Y., Chipman, J., & Sverdlov, O. (2023) · Statistics in Biopharmaceutical Research · doi:10.1080/19466315.2023.2239521 · Cited by 10
“A good summary of statistical properties of PBD is given by Matts and Lachin (1988), and practical implementation aspects of PBD are discussed by McEntegart (2014).”
A random allocation system with the minimization method for multi-institutional clinical trials
Akazawa, K., Odaka, T., Sakamoto, M., Ohtsuki, S., Shimada, M., Kamakura, T., & Nose, Y. (1991) · Journal of Medical Systems · doi:10.1007/bf00999168 · Cited by 9
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“With a permuted-block algorithm and random block [30], fiftytwo participants were randomly assigned to two groups.”
Carcone, A. I., Ellis, D. A., Eggly, S. S., MacDonell, K. K., Ghosh, S., Buggs‐Saxton, C., & Ondersma, S. J. (2020) · JMIR Research Protocols · doi:10.2196/20191 · Cited by 7
“Permuted blocks have the advantage of ensuring balance between treatment arms for important prognostic variables without unmasking the next treatment allocation [51].”
BackgroundRanta, K., Saarimäki, H., Gummerus, J. K., Virtanen, J., Peltomäki, S., & Kontu, E. K. (2024) · Journal of Intellectual Disabilities · doi:10.1177/17446295241302857 · Cited by 10
“Permuted-block designs were considered to cause potential for selection bias (Matts and Lachin, 1988).”
Reyes-Pérez, S. D., Cambrón-Mora, D., Torres-Vanegas, J., Mojica-Zamudio, K. L., Olaez-Ramos, C. E., Lauriano-Rivera, R. G., Rivera-Valdes, J. J., Torres‐Castillo, N., Valencia-Sosa, E., Rodriguez‐Echevarría, R., et al. (2025) · Nutrients · doi:10.3390/nu17233630 · Cited by 9
“The randomization of the groups was carried out by the permuted blocks technique [19,20].”
Cañedo-Ayala, M., Rice, D. B., Levis, A. W., Chiovitti, M. J., & Thombs, B. D. (2020) · Health Psychology · doi:10.1037/hea0001020 · Cited by 8
Huseini, H. F., Mohtashami, R., Sadeghzadeh, E., Shadmanfar, S., Hashem-Dabaghian, F., & Kianbakht, S. (2022) · Complementary Therapies in Clinical Practice · doi:10.1016/j.ctcp.2022.101666 · Cited by 8
Sverdlov, O., Carter, K., Hilgers, R.-D., Everett, C., Berger, V. W., Luo, Y., Chipman, J., Ryeznik, Y. V., Ross, J., Knight, R., et al. (2023) · Statistics in Biopharmaceutical Research · doi:10.1080/19466315.2023.2225451 · Cited by 8
“Matts and Lachin (1988) Stratified permuted block randomization Trial participants are grouped according to covariate values prior to randomization, and they are sequentially randomized to treatment or control using permuted block randomization within strata.”
Properties of randomization in clinical trials: Foreword
Lachin, J. M. (1988) · Controlled Clinical Trials · doi:10.1016/0197-2456(88)90044-x · Cited by 8
Self-citationTürkmen, C., Köse, N., Bal, E., Bilgin, S., Çetin, H., Zengin, H. Y., Gümeler, E., & Mut, M. (2022) · The Cerebellum · doi:10.1007/s12311-022-01397-1 · Cited by 9
“1 3 All patients who met the inclusion criteria were randomly allocated to either the TEP-CM (n = 8) or CSSE (n = 8) group using a computer-generated permuted block randomization scheme with blocks of four [14].”
MethodHow important is exact balance in treatment and control sample sizes to evaluations?
Elliott, M. N., McCaffrey, D. F., & Lockwood, J. R., III (2007) · Journal of Substance Abuse Treatment · doi:10.1016/j.jsat.2006.12.007 · Cited by 8
“The results we obtain are an extension of work by Matts and Lachin (1988) and Wei and Lachin (1988).”
ResultPridham, K. F., Melby, J. N., Harrison, T. M., Brown, R., & Mussatto, K. A. (2022) · Research and theory for nursing practice · doi:10.1891/rtnp-2021-0096 · Cited by 7
Gandarela, L., de A. Sampaio, T. P., Marçal, L., Burdmann, E. A., Neto, F. L., & Bernik, M. A. (2024) · Brain, Behavior, & Immunity - Health · doi:10.1016/j.bbih.2024.100779 · Cited by 6
“A random number generator (http://www.randomization.com) was used to generate a random number for each participant and randomly allocate each enrolled participant to one of the two treatment groups, in a 1:1 ratio, following the method of randomly permuted blocks (Matts and Lachin, 1988).”
MethodChoosing and evaluating randomisation methods in clinical trials: a qualitative study
Bruce, C. L., Iflaifel, M., Montgomery, A. A., Ogollah, R. O., Sprange, K., & Partlett, C. (2024) · Trials · doi:10.1186/s13063-024-08005-z · Cited by 6
“(Statistician 6).”
MethodKrotka, P., Posch, M., Gewily, M., Höglinger, G. U., & Roig, M. B. (2025) · Biometrical Journal · doi:10.1002/bimj.70059 · Cited by 6
“This leads to deflation in the type I error rate, which gets stronger the more extreme the time trend is (Matts and Lachin 1988).”
Thomas, K. S., Dosa, D. M., Fisher, A., Gadbois, E. A., Harrison, J., Hilgeman, M. M., Largent, E. A., Lima, J. C., McAuliff, K., McCreedy, E. M., et al. (2022) · Contemporary Clinical Trials · doi:10.1016/j.cct.2022.106897 · Cited by 6
Impacts of healthy marriage and relationship education for expectant and new mothers
Patnaik, A., Wood, R. G., & Gonzalez, K. E. (2022) · Family Relations · doi:10.1111/fare.12818 · Cited by 6
Evaluation of Imbalance in Stratified Blocked Randomization
Glass, A., & Kundt, G. (2011) · Methods of Information in Medicine · doi:10.3414/me10-01-0078 · Cited by 6
“permuted-block randomization [2] or the biased coin design [3] with a suitable choice of values of parameters [4] and different balance effectiveness [5].”
BackgroundRamos, S. R., Johnson, C., Melkus, G. D., Kershaw, T., Gwadz, M. V., Reynolds, H. R., & Vorderstrasse, A. A. (2022) · JMIR Research Protocols · doi:10.2196/38348 · Cited by 6
“Permuted blocks randomization with varying block sizes will be used to ensure allocation concealment and balanced allocation to the intervention and control groups over the study period [68].”
Macey, R., Walsh, T., Glenny, A., Worthington, H. V., Tickle, M., Ashley, J., & Brocklehurst, P. R. (2013) · BMC Oral Health · doi:10.1186/1472-6831-13-45 · Cited by 6
“To reduce order effects each practice will be randomly allocated using a permuted block sampling [21] system to either DCP first or GDP first.”
MethodA Comparison of Randomization Methods for Multi-Arm Clinical Trials
Azher, R., Wason, J. M. S., & Grayling, M. J. (2023) · Statistics in Biopharmaceutical Research · doi:10.1080/19466315.2023.2238645 · Cited by 7
“Wei (1977) proposed the UD to force a small trial to be better-balanced in terms of group size, but to provide behavior like SR as the size of the trial increases (Matts and Lachin 1988).”
BackgroundMethodImpacts of healthy marriage and relationship education with integrated economic stability services
Moore, Q., Wood, R., & Wu, A. (2023) · Family Relations · doi:10.1111/fare.12877 · Cited by 5
Boutelle, K. N., Afari, N., Obayashi, S., Eichen, D. M., Strong, D. R., & Peterson, C. B. (2023) · Contemporary Clinical Trials · doi:10.1016/j.cct.2023.107234 · Cited by 5
Impact of Stratified Randomization in Clinical Trials
Anisimov, V. V. (2010) · Contributions to statistics · doi:10.1007/978-3-7908-2410-0_1 · Cited by 5
“The properties of various types of randomization schemes are studied in the papers Hallstrom and Davis (1988), Lachin (1988), Matts and Lachin (1988) , and books by Pocock (1983), Rosenberger and Lachin (2002).”
BackgroundProperties of the Random Block Design for Clinical Trials
Shao, H., & Rosenberger, W. F. (2016) · Contributions to statistics · doi:10.1007/978-3-319-31266-8_26 · Cited by 5
Implementing online interventions in ICare: A biostatistical perspective
Görlich, D., & Faldum, A. (2019) · Internet Interventions · doi:10.1016/j.invent.2018.12.004 · Cited by 5
“prioritized the beneficial balancing properties (cf. Lachin et al., 1988; Matts and Lachin, 1988).”
BackgroundRegulation of Cues vs Cognitive Behavioral Therapy for Binge Eating and Weight Loss Among Veterans
Boutelle, K. N., Afari, N., Obayashi, S., Eichen, D. M., Strong, D. R., Pasquale, E. K., & Peterson, C. B. (2025) · JAMA Network Open · doi:10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2025.25064 · Cited by 5
Shaffer, K. M., Reese, J. B., Dressler, E. V. M., Glazer, J. V., Cohn, W. F., Showalter, S. L., Clayton, A. H., Danhauer, S. C., Loch, M. M., Kadi, M. S., et al. (2024) · JMIR Research Protocols · doi:10.2196/57781 · Cited by 4
“Block randomization will be used to help maintain balance across conditions, with varying block sizes of 16, 32, and 48 [44,45].”
MethodSalehi‐Pourmehr, H., Naseri, A., Mostafaei, A., Vahedi, L., Sajjadi, S., Tayebi, S., Mostafaei, H., & Hajebrahimi, S. (2021) · Urology Research and Practice · doi:10.5152/tud.2021.21038 · Cited by 6
Metadata
- Authors
- Matts, J. P., & Lachin, J. M.
- Affiliations
- University of Minnesota (US)
- George Washington University (US)
- Corresponding author
- Matts, John P.
- ORCID
- Lachin, John M.
- Venue
- Controlled Clinical Trials
- Publisher
- Elsevier BV
- Published
- 1988-12
- Volume
- 9
- Issue
- 4
- Pages
- 327-344
- ISSN
- 0197-2456 (ISSN-L)
- OpenAlex
- W2005415125
- Cited by
- 321
- References
- 18
- Citations by year
- 2026: 14 · 2025: 13 · 2024: 23 · 2023: 22 · 2022: 19 · 2021: 18 · 2020: 33 · 2019: 14 · 2018: 6 · 2017: 15 · 2016: 13 · 2015: 18 · 2014: 16 · 2013: 12 · 2012: 15
- FWCI
- 4.39
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Locations
- Controlled Clinical Trials (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Funders
- U.S. Public Health Service (R01-DI-39826)
- National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute (HL15265)
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Mathematics › Statistics and Probability › Statistical Methods in Clinical Trials
- Social Sciences › Decision Sciences › Management Science and Operations Research › Optimal Experimental Design Methods
- Physical Sciences › Mathematics › Statistics and Probability › Advanced Causal Inference Techniques
- Keywords
- permuted block randomization, permutation tests, nonparametric rank tests, stratified analysis, selection bias, covariate imbalance, treatment effect estimation
- MeSH terms
- Analysis of Variance, Clinical Trials as Topic, Humans, Random Allocation, Research Design, Models, Statistical
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