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Relation of Vigorous Exercise to Risk of Atrial Fibrillation
Open accessAbstract
Limited data suggest that athletes may have a higher risk of developing atrial fibrillation (AF); however, there has been no large prospective assessment of the relation between vigorous exercise and AF. Logistic regression analyses stratified by time were used to assess the association between frequency of vigorous exercise and risk of developing AF in 16,921 apparently healthy men in the Physicians' Health Study. During 12 years of follow-up, 1,661 men reported developing AF. With increasing frequency of vigorous exercise (0, 1, 1 to 2, 3 to 4, 5 to 7 days/week), multivariate relative risks for the full cohort were 1.0 (referent), 0.90, 1.09, 1.04, and 1.20 (p = 0.04). This risk was not significantly increased when exercise habits were updated or in models excluding variables that may be in the biological pathway through which exercise influences AF risk. In subgroup analyses, this increased risk was observed only in men <50 years of age (1.0, 0.94, 1.20, 1.05, 1.74, p <0.01) and joggers (1.0, 0.91, 1.03, 1.30, 1.53, p <0.01), where risks remained increased in all analyses. In conclusion, frequency of vigorous exercise was associated with an increased risk of developing AF in young men and joggers. This risk decreased as the population aged and was offset by known beneficial effects of vigorous exercise on other AF risk factors.
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“Habitual vigorous exercise 214 Non-exercisers < 1 day/week 1-2 days/week 3-4 days/week 5-7 days/week RR: 1.00 (reference) 0.90 (95% CI 0.68 -1.20) 1.09 (95% CI 0.95-1.26) 1.04 (95% CI 0.91-1.19) 1.20 (95% CI 1.02-1.41”
From 2016 ESC Guidelines for the management of atrial fibrillation developed in collaboration with EACTS (2016) · cites this paper as [214]
In the citing paper
“This results in a U-shaped relationship of physical activity and incident AF. 214,898,902,905,906”
From 2016 ESC Guidelines for the management of atrial fibrillation developed in collaboration with EACTS (2016) · cites this paper as [214]
In the citing paper
“In men, a U-shaped association has been reported, in which sedentary lifestyle and vigorous exercise both are associated with increased AF risk,41,44,45 whereas moderate activity is protective.46”
From Atrial fibrillation in women: epidemiology, pathophysiology, presentation, and prognosis (2016) · cites this paper as [45]
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BackgroundExercise and Atrial Fibrillation: Some Good News and Some Bad News.
Shamloo, A. S., Arya, A., Dagres, N., & Hindricks, G. (2018) · PubMed Central · doi:10.22086/gmj.v0i0.1401 · Cited by 4
“In the majority of these studies, evidence suggests that mild to moderate physical activity can reduce the risk of AF in the community, whereas only few studies provide evidence of the ineffectiveness of regular exercise in attenuating the risk of AF [7, 11, 12].”
BackgroundSung, D.-J., Jeon, Y.-K., Choi, J., Kim, B., Golpasandi, S., Park, S. W., Bae, Y. M., & Oh, S.-B. (2022) · Korean Journal of Physiology and Pharmacology · doi:10.4196/kjpp.2022.26.5.313 · Cited by 4
“Interestingly, in some reports, AF risk was particularly high for cross-country skiers [3], elite cyclists [29], and marathon runners [30], but the risk is limited to high-intensity exercise; there was a dose-response relationship in healthy nonathlete men younger than 50 years and joggers [31].”
BackgroundLi, L., Alonso, Á., Romaguera, D., Alonso‐Gómez, Á. M., Razquín, C., Tojal‐Sierra, L., Fiol, M., Martínez‐González, M. Á., Subramanya, V., Salas‐Salvadó, J., et al. (2023) · medRxiv · doi:10.1101/2023.04.28.23288131 · Cited by 4
Campello, E., Cappugi, C., Catalani, F., Poli, D., & Bucciarelli, P. (2025) · Thrombosis and Haemostasis · doi:10.1055/a-2632-3197 · Cited by 4
Endurance sport and atrial fibrillation: a mini-review of a complex relationship
Costantini, M., Elizari, M. V., Previtali, M., Sciarra, L., Luzza, F., Costantini, L., Carbone, V., & Maffia, M. (2025) · Exploration of Cardiology · doi:10.37349/ec.2025.101267 · Cited by 4
Yamaguchi, T., Tsuchiya, T., Nagamoto, Y., Miyamoto, K., & Takahashi, N. (2012) · Journal of Arrhythmia · doi:10.1016/j.joa.2011.12.002 · Cited by 3
“Long-term endurance sports have recently been recognized as one of the risk factors for atrial fibrillation (AF) [1–8]; widely accepted risk factors for AF include age, hypertension, diabetes mellitus, structural heart disease, hyperthyroidism, obesity, and heavy alcohol intake [9–12], although moderate physical activ…”
BackgroundDausin, C., Tironi, R. M., Cornelissen, V., Hespel, P., Willems, R., Haykowsky, M. J., Gerche, A. L., Claessen, G., & Foulkes, S. (2024) · Canadian Journal of Cardiology · doi:10.1016/j.cjca.2024.12.009 · Cited by 5
Hopman, L. H. G. A., Smedema, J., Swart, J., Steenhoek, M. J., Frenaij, I. M., Dahya, V., & Götte, M. (2025) · The International Journal of Cardiovascular Imaging · doi:10.1007/s10554-025-03416-8 · Cited by 4
Konieczny, K. M., Banks, L., Osman, W., Glibbery, M., Connelly, K. A., Yan, A. T.-K., Goodman, J. M., & Dorian, P. (2019) · Journal of Electrocardiology · doi:10.1016/j.jelectrocard.2019.07.002 · Cited by 3
Endurance Exercise Induced Atrial Fibrillation (AF): Pathophysiology, Treatment and Prevention
Leowattana, W. (2020) · Biomedical Journal of Scientific & Technical Research · doi:10.26717/bjstr.2020.28.004640 · Cited by 3
“have been scientifically proven and are well-established, recent studies have reported an increase in sudden cardiac death during or shortly after intense physical activity led researchers to question whether vigorous exercise was harmful or not [3,4].”
BackgroundHow to Unmask Hidden Cardiovascular Diseases through Preparticipation Screening in Master Athletes?
Zujko, K., & Małek, Ł. A. (2022) · Reviews in Cardiovascular Medicine · doi:10.31083/j.rcm2312405 · Cited by 3
“Overall the risk of atrial fibrillation is higher and occurs more often in individuals with higher time and intensity of exercises per week [45].”
BackgroundShapira‐Daniels, A., Kornej, J., Spartano, N. L., Wang, X., Zhang, Y., Pathiravasan, C. H., Liu, C., Trinquart, L., Borrelli, B., McManus, D. D., et al. (2023) · Journal of Medical Internet Research · doi:10.2196/43123 · Cited by 3
Exercise and Atrial Fibrillation: Some Good News and Some Bad News
Shamloo, A. S., Arya, A., Dagres, N., & Hindricks, G. (2018) · Galen Medical Journal · doi:10.31661/gmj.v7i.1401 · Cited by 11
How Can We Avoid a Stroke Crisis in the Asia-Pacific Region?
Goto, S., Hankey, G. J., Hills, M. T., Hu, D., & Hu, H. (2011) · Cited by 3
Calkins, H. G., Hindricks, G., Cappato, R., Kim, Y., Saad, E., Aguinaga, L., Akar, J. G., Badhwar, V., Brugada, J., Camm, A. J., et al. (2017) · Journal of Arrhythmia · doi:10.1016/j.joa.2017.05.001 · Cited by 2
Use of Smartphones and Wearables for Arrhythmia Monitoring
Sanders, D. J., Wasserlauf, J., & PASSMAN, R. S. (2021) · Cardiac Electrophysiology Clinics · doi:10.1016/j.ccep.2021.04.004 · Cited by 3
Çağlayan, Ş., Grønli, O., & Høye, A. (2025) · Preventive Medicine · doi:10.1016/j.ypmed.2025.108282 · Cited by 2
Modifiable Lifestyle Factors, Left Atrial Indices, and Atrial Fibrillation
Elias, A., Pirruccello, J. P., Delling, F. N., Lee, C. J., & Marcus, G. M. (2026) · Journal of the American Heart Association · doi:10.1161/jaha.125.044876 · Cited by 2
Left atrial functional response after a marathon in healthy amateur volunteers
Hirata, Y., Kusunose, K., Yamada, H., Morita, S. X., TORII, Y., Nishio, S., Zheng, R., Saijo, Y., Fukuda, D., Yagi, S., et al. (2018) · International journal of cardiac imaging · doi:10.1007/s10554-018-1502-2 · Cited by 2
Mechanobiology of Exercise-Induced Cardiac Remodeling in Health and Disease
Cornwell, W. K., & Buttrick, P. M. (2023) · Cardiac and vascular biology · doi:10.1007/978-3-031-23965-6_9 · Cited by 2
Alasti, M., Omidvar, B., & Jadbabaei, M. H. (2010) · Europe PMC (PubMed Central) · Cited by 2
Gay-Jordi, G., Serrano‐Mollar, A., Guasch, E., Shi, Y., Tardif, J., Brugada, J., Nattel, S., & Mont, L. (2011) · Cited by 2
Plötzlicher Herztod und Rhythmusstörungen bei Sportlern
Butz, T., Meißner, A., Plehn, G., & Trappe, H. (2009) · Notfall + Rettungsmedizin · doi:10.1007/s10049-009-1195-0 · Cited by 2
Lee, S.-R., Lee, Y.-S., Lim, W., Kim, T.-H., Cha, M., Lee, J., Baek, Y., Lim, H., Joung, B., Kim, J., et al. (2018) · Korean Journal of Medicine · doi:10.3904/kjm.2018.93.4.324 · Cited by 2
Drca, N., Wolk, A., & Larsson, S. C. (2020) · Acta cardiologica. Supplementum · doi:10.1080/00015385.2020.1770978 · Cited by 2
Demi̇r, R. (2023) · doi:10.5152/0114 · Cited by 2
Competitive Endurance Activities of Middle-aged Athletes as a Risk Factor for Atrial Fibrillation
Sarcevic, Z. Z., & Tepavčević, A. (2018) · Current Sports Medicine Reports · doi:10.1249/jsr.0000000000000535 · Cited by 2
Camm, A. J., Kirchhof, P. F., Ernst, S., Gelder, I. C. V., Hindricks, G., Heidbüchel, H., Colonna, P., Goette, A., Hohloser, S. H., Kolh, P. H., et al. (2010) · Cited by 2
Exercise, Physical Activity, and Cardiovascular Disease
Bauman, A. E., Alharbi, M. S. N., Lowres, N., Gallagher, R., & Stamatakis, E. (2017) · Elsevier eBooks · doi:10.1016/b978-0-12-809657-4.99595-4 · Cited by 2
ATRIAL FIBRILLATION IN YOUNG PATIENTS: ANALYSIS FROM THE JORDAN ATRIAL FIBRILLATION REGISTRY
Tabbalat, R. A., Al-Muhaisen, R., Abdulelah, Z., Khader, Y., Abukhalaf, O., Saffarini, S., Al-Hiari, M., Al-Thunibat, S., & Hammoudeh, A. J. (2021) · Journal of the American College of Cardiology · doi:10.1016/s0735-1097(21)01700-9 · Cited by 1
“Several predisposing risk factors for AF in young adults have been identified, including hypertension (HTN), diabetes mellitus (DM), obesity, smoking, vigorous or high-intensity exercise, obstructive sleep apnea (OSA), family history of AF, alcohol use, and hyperthyroidism([6-7]).”
BackgroundEndurance Training and Cardiovascular Health: Mechanism and Clinical Implications
Rokicki, S., Skoczylas, K., Schok, K., & Mikulska, J. (2023) · Journal of Education Health and Sport · doi:10.12775/jehs.2023.39.01.008 · Cited by 1
25-year trajectories of physical activity and atrial fibrillation risk: results from the ARIC study
Wang, T., Wang, X., Zhang, T., Zhang, J., Lai, R., Zhang, J., Ma, D., Jia, Y., Liu, Q., Li, Q., et al. (2024) · Frontiers in Cardiovascular Medicine · doi:10.3389/fcvm.2024.1495504 · Cited by 2
Female athletes: a state-of-the-art review of multiorgan influence of exercise training
Gioia, G. D., Segreti, A., Celeski, M., Crispino, S. P., Buzzelli, L., Mango, F., Ferrera, A., Squeo, M. R., Vespasiano, F., Ussia, G. P., et al. (2025) · The Journal of Sports Medicine and Physical Fitness · doi:10.23736/s0022-4707.24.16265-2 · Cited by 1
Metadata
- Authors
- Aizer, A., Gaziano, J. M., Cook, N. R., Manson, J. E., Buring, J. E., & Albert, C. M.
- Affiliations
- Brigham and Women's Hospital (US)
- Corresponding author
- Aizer, Anthony
- ORCID
- Venue
- The American Journal of Cardiology
- Publisher
- Elsevier BV
- Published
- 2009-06
- Volume
- 103
- Issue
- 11
- Pages
- 1572-1577
- ISSN
- 0002-9149 (ISSN-L)
- PMC
- PMC2687527
- OpenAlex
- W2070824750
- Cited by
- 383
- References
- 25
- Citations by year
- 2026: 9 · 2025: 12 · 2024: 17 · 2023: 37 · 2022: 19 · 2021: 21 · 2020: 32 · 2019: 23 · 2018: 31 · 2017: 21 · 2016: 30 · 2015: 22 · 2014: 24 · 2013: 23 · 2012: 22
- FWCI
- 13.42
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- green
- www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov
- Locations
- The American Journal of Cardiology (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- PubMed Central (acceptedVersion)
- Funders
- National Institutes of Health (5r01hl043851-10)
- National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute (HL-34595, HL 26490, R01‐HL043851, R01HL034595)
- National Cancer Institute (R01CA040360, CA 34944, CA-097193, R01CA097193, CA 40360, R01CA047988)
- Topics
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Cardiology and Cardiovascular Medicine › Cardiovascular Effects of Exercise
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Cardiology and Cardiovascular Medicine › Atrial Fibrillation Management and Outcomes
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health › Physical Activity and Health
- Keywords
- atrial fibrillation, high-intensity exercise, exercise frequency, joggers, young men, aging, risk factors, Physicians' Health Study
- MeSH terms
- Adult, Age Factors, Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Atrial Fibrillation, Humans, Life Style, Male, Middle Aged, Prospective Studies, Exercise, Effect Modifier, Epidemiologic, Body Mass Index, Logistic Models, Risk Assessment
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