Atrial fibrillation in women: epidemiology, pathophysiology, presentation, and prognosis
Open accessAbstract
Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common sustained arrhythmia in women and men worldwide. During the past century, a range of risk factors has been associated with AF, severe complications from the arrhythmia have been identified, and its prevalence has been increasing steadily. Whereas evidence has accumulated regarding sex-specific differences in coronary heart disease and stroke, the differences between women and men with AF has received less attention. We review the current literature on sex-specific differences in the epidemiology of AF, including incidence, prevalence, risk factors, and genetics, and in the pathophysiology and the clinical presentation and prognosis of patients with this arrhythmia. We highlight current knowledge gaps and areas that warrant future research, which might advance understanding of variation in the risk factors and complications of AF, and ultimately aid more-tailored management of the arrhythmia.
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TL;DR
This narrative review summarizes sex differences in atrial fibrillation (AF) epidemiology, pathophysiology, presentation, and prognosis, noting lower incidence and prevalence in women but higher symptom burden, stroke risk, and some mortality risk. It highlights major knowledge gaps, especially limited pathophysiologic and non-North American/European data and lack of formal sex-interaction testing.
Key findings
- AF prevalence is lower in women (373 per 100,000) than men (596 per 100,000); age-adjusted incidence in North America/Europe is 1.5–2 times higher in men, with Framingham and Olmsted County incidence rates of 1.6 and 2.7 per 1000 person-years in women versus 3.8 and 4.7 in men.
- Lifetime risk is similar in North American/European populations (Framingham at age 60: 23.4% in women vs 25.8% in men; Rotterdam at age 55: 22.2% vs 23.8%), but a Chinese population study reported higher lifetime risk in women than men (22.2% vs 16.7%).
- Women with AF are more likely to be symptomatic and less likely to have asymptomatic AF (RR 0.57; 95% CI 0.52–0.64), more often seek care, and have worse quality of life; female sex is an independent risk factor for AF-related stroke (e.g., Framingham HR 1.92, 95% CI 1.2–3.07; ATRIA RR 1.6, 95% CI 1.3–1.9).
- Mortality findings are inconsistent across studies, but a meta-analysis of 19 studies found higher all-cause mortality in women than men with AF (women-to-men RR 1.12, 95% CI 1.07–1.17); sex differences in AF-related heart failure, myocardial infarction, and dementia remain less clear.
Methods
- Design: narrative review of the literature on sex-specific differences in AF epidemiology, pathophysiology, clinical presentation, and prognosis.
- Data/sample: published studies, including cohort, registry, randomized trial, and meta-analysis data, with supplementary tables; no primary patient sample was analyzed.
- Main analysis: narrative synthesis of incidence, prevalence, risk factors, genetics, pathophysiology, presentation, and prognosis, with identification of knowledge gaps and future research directions.
Limitations
- The authors state that studies investigating sex-related differences in AF pathophysiology are limited and mechanisms remain inadequately understood.
- The authors state that many studies had limited sample size and did not formally test for effect modification by sex; data from outside North America and Europe are sparse, and findings may not generalize to other ethnic groups.
- Evident from the text: as a narrative review, it does not report a systematic search strategy, inclusion criteria, or formal quality/risk-of-bias assessment; mortality comparisons are also challenged by substantial differences in follow-up time across studies.
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- Findingcitation
Age-adjusted prevalence of AF is lower in women than in men in North America and Europe.
“Similarly to incidence, age-adjusted prevalence of AF has been reported to be lower in women than in men in North America and Europe (Figure 2) (Supplementary Tables S3 and S4).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 3 sources checked- cites [5] Schnabel, R. B. et al. 50 year trends in atrial fibrillation prevalence, incidence, risk factors, and mortality in the Framingham Heart Study: a cohort study. Lancet 386, 154–162 (2015). source
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- cites [18] Wilke, T. et al. Incidence and prevalence of atrial fibrillation: an analysis based on 8.3 million patients. Europace 15, 486–493 (2013). source
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- cites [19] Piccini, J. P. et al. Incidence and prevalence of atrial fibrillation and associated mortality among Medicare beneficiaries, 1993–2007. Circ. Cardiovasc. Qual. Outcomes 5, 85–93 (2012). source
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- Findingcitation
In North American and European populations, the age-adjusted incidence of AF is 1.5 to 2 times higher in men than in women.
“In North American and European populations, the age-adjusted incidence of AF has been estimated to be 1.5 to 2 times higher in men than in women (Supplementary Tables S1 and S2).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 3 sources checked- cites [5] Schnabel, R. B. et al. 50 year trends in atrial fibrillation prevalence, incidence, risk factors, and mortality in the Framingham Heart Study: a cohort study. Lancet 386, 154–162 (2015). source
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- cites [15] Benjamin, E. J. et al. Impact of atrial fibrillation on the risk of death: the Framingham Heart Study. Circulation 98, 946–952 (1998). source
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- cites [1] Chugh, S. S. et al. Worldwide epidemiology of atrial fibrillation: a Global Burden of Disease 2010 Study. Circulation 129, 837–847 (2014). source
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- Findingcitation
AF incidence increases disproportionately with increasing age in both women and men, reaching as high as 30.4 per 1000 person-years in women and 32.9 per 1000 person-years in men by age 85-89 years.
“AF incidence has been shown to increase disproportionately with increasing age in both women and men, reaching as high as 30.4 per 1000 person-years in women and 32.9 per 1000 person-years in men by age 85–89 years.17”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [17] Chien, K. L. et al. Atrial fibrillation prevalence, incidence and risk of stroke and all-cause death among Chinese. Int. J. Cardiol. 139, 173–180 (2010). source
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- Findingcitation
Because women typically live longer than men, the absolute number of women exceeds the number of men with AF in Medicare data.
“Because women typically live longer than men, the absolute number of women exceeds the number of men with AF in Medicare data.18”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [18] Wilke, T. et al. Incidence and prevalence of atrial fibrillation: an analysis based on 8.3 million patients. Europace 15, 486–493 (2013). source
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- Findingcitation
The estimated prevalence of AF is lower in women (373 per 100,000) than in men (596 per 100,000).
“The estimated prevalence is lower in women (373 per 100,000) than in men (596 per 100,000).1”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [1] Chugh, S. S. et al. Worldwide epidemiology of atrial fibrillation: a Global Burden of Disease 2010 Study. Circulation 129, 837–847 (2014). source
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- Findingcitation
After adjusting for height and other AF risk factors, male sex was no longer significantly associated with incident AF in a three-cohort study.
“However, after adjusting for height and other AF risk factors, a multivariable risk score for incident AF in a three-cohort study showed male sex was no longer significantly associated with AF.32”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [32] Guo, Y. et al. Prevalence, incidence, and lifetime risk of atrial fibrillation in China: new insights into the global burden of atrial fibrillation. Chest 147, 109–119 (2015). source
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- Findingcitation
In the Rotterdam Study, the lifetime risks for women and men at age 55 years were 22.2% and 23.8%, respectively.
“In the Rotterdam Study, the lifetime risks for women and men at age 55 years were 22.2% and 23.8%, respectively.30”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [30] Lloyd-Jones, D. M. et al. Lifetime risk for development of atrial fibrillation: the Framingham Heart Study. Circulation 110, 1042–1046 (2004). source
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- Findingcitation
Several studies evaluating familial aggregation of AF have reported substantially increased risk of AF in individuals with affected family members.
“Several studies evaluating familial aggregation of AF have reported substantially increased risk of AF in individuals with affected family members.8,9,50–55”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 8 sources checked- cites [8] Oyen, N. et al. Familial aggregation of lone atrial fibrillation in young persons. J. Am. Coll. Cardiol. 60, 917–921 (2012). source
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- cites [9] Zoller, B., Ohlsson, H., Sundquist, J. & Sundquist, K. High familial risk of atrial fibrillation/atrial flutter in multiplex families: a nationwide family study in Sweden. J. Am. Heart Assoc. 2, e003384 (2013). source
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- cites [50] Drca, N., Wolk, A., Jensen-Urstad, M. & Larsson, S. C. Physical activity is associated with a reduced risk of atrial fibrillation in middle-aged and elderly women. Heart 101, 1627–1630 (2015). source
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- cites [51] Arnar, D. O. et al. Familial aggregation of atrial fibrillation in Iceland. Eur. Heart J. 27, 708–712 (2006). source
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- cites [52] Chen, L. Y., Herron, K. J., Tai, B. C. & Olson, T. M. Lone atrial fibrillation: influence of familial disease on gender predilection. J. Cardiovasc. Electrophysiol. 19, 802–806 (2008). source
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- cites [53] Christophersen, I. E. et al. Familial aggregation of atrial fibrillation: a study in Danish twins. Circ. Arrhythm. Electrophysiol. 2, 378–383 (2009). source
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- cites [54] Ellinor, P. T., Yoerger, D. M., Ruskin, J. N. & MacRae, C. A. Familial aggregation in lone atrial fibrillation. Hum. Genet. 118, 179–184 (2005). source
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- cites [55] Fox, C. S. et al. Parental atrial fibrillation as a risk factor for atrial fibrillation in offspring. JAMA 291, 2851–2855 (2004). source
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- Findingcitation
The overall prevalence of AF varies by ancestry.
“The overall prevalence of AF varies by ancestry; prevalence studies of Asian populations have been less consistent than those of North American and European poulations.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 7 sources checked- cites [20] Svennberg, E. et al. Mass screening for untreated atrial fibrillation: the STROKESTOP Study. Circulation 131, 2176–2184 (2015). source
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- cites [21] Li, Y. et al. Prevalence of atrial fibrillation in China and its risk factors. Biomed. Environ. Sci. 26, 709–716 (2013).
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- cites [22] Zhou, Z. & Hu, D. An epidemiological study on the prevalence of atrial fibrillation in the Chinese population of mainland China. J. Epidemiol. 18, 209–216 (2008). source
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- cites [23] Yap, K. B., Ng, T. P. & Ong, H. Y. Low prevalence of atrial fibrillation in community-dwelling Chinese aged 55 years or older in Singapore: a population-based study. J. Electrocardiol. 41, 94–98 (2008). source
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- cites [24] Jeong, J. H. Prevalence of and risk factors for atrial fibrillation in Korean adults older than 40 years. J. Korean Med. Sci. 20, 26–30 (2005). source
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- cites [25] Inoue, H. et al. Prevalence of atrial fibrillation in the general population of Japan: an analysis based on periodic health examination. Int. J. Cardiol. 137, 102–107 (2009). source
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- cites [26] Iguchi, Y. et al. Prevalence of atrial fibrillation in community-dwelling Japanese aged 40 years or older in Japan: analysis of 41,436 non-employee residents in Kurashiki-city. Circ. J. 72, 909–913 (2008). source
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- Findingcitation
In two large cross-sectional studies of Chinese cohorts, age-adjusted prevalence of AF was similar in women and men.
“Two large cross-sectional studies of Chinese cohorts reported that age-adjusted prevalence of AF was similar in women and men (0.76% versus 0.78% and 0.63% versus 0.66%),20,21”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites [20] Svennberg, E. et al. Mass screening for untreated atrial fibrillation: the STROKESTOP Study. Circulation 131, 2176–2184 (2015). source
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- cites [21] Li, Y. et al. Prevalence of atrial fibrillation in China and its risk factors. Biomed. Environ. Sci. 26, 709–716 (2013).
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- Findingcitation
In studies from North America, Europe, and Australia, women with AF are, on average, older than men.
“However, in studies from North America,5 Europe,34,35 and Australia,11 women with AF are, on average, older than men.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 3 sources checked- cites [5] Schnabel, R. B. et al. 50 year trends in atrial fibrillation prevalence, incidence, risk factors, and mortality in the Framingham Heart Study: a cohort study. Lancet 386, 154–162 (2015). source
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- cites [34] Wang, T. J. et al. Obesity and the risk of new-onset atrial fibrillation. JAMA 292, 2471–2477 (2004). source
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- cites [35] Potpara, T. S. et al. Gender-related differences in presentation, treatment and long-term outcome in patients with first-diagnosed atrial fibrillation and structurally normal heart: the Belgrade atrial fibrillation study. Int. J. Cardiol. 161, 39–44 (2012). source
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- Findingcitation
In the Framingham Heart Study, the lifetime risks for AF in women and men at age 60 years were 23.4% and 25.8%, respectively.
“In the Framingham Heart Study, the lifetime risks for AF in women and men at age 60 years were 23.4% and 25.8%, respectively.29”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [29] Majeed, A., Moser, K. & Carroll, K. Trends in the prevalence and management of atrial fibrillation in general practice in England and Wales, 1994–1998: analysis of data from the general practice research database. Heart 86, 284–288 (2001). source
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- Findingcitation
Data from Singapore indicated that prevalence of AF was lower in women than in men.
“whereas data from Singapore indicated that prevalence was lower in women (0.6% versus 2.6%).22”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [22] Zhou, Z. & Hu, D. An epidemiological study on the prevalence of atrial fibrillation in the Chinese population of mainland China. J. Epidemiol. 18, 209–216 (2008). source
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- Findingreasoning
The evidence for a differential AF risk dependent on the sex of the affected family member is ambiguous.
“The evidence for a differential AF risk dependent on the sex of the affected family member is more ambiguous (Supplementary Table S5).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 3 sources checked- cites [8] Oyen, N. et al. Familial aggregation of lone atrial fibrillation in young persons. J. Am. Coll. Cardiol. 60, 917–921 (2012). source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [9] Zoller, B., Ohlsson, H., Sundquist, J. & Sundquist, K. High familial risk of atrial fibrillation/atrial flutter in multiplex families: a nationwide family study in Sweden. J. Am. Heart Assoc. 2, e003384 (2013). source
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- cites [51] Arnar, D. O. et al. Familial aggregation of atrial fibrillation in Iceland. Eur. Heart J. 27, 708–712 (2006). source
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- Findingcitation
Hormone replacement therapy in postmenopausal women does not seem to be associated with the risk of incident AF.
“Hormone replacement therapy in postmenopausal women does not seem to be associated with the risk of incident AF.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [155] Miyasaka, Y. et al. Mortality trends in patients diagnosed with first atrial fibrillation: a 21-year community-based study. J. Am. Coll. Cardiol. 49, 986–992 (2007). source
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- Findingcitation
PR interval is shorter in women compared with men.
“PR interval has been shown to be shorter in women compared with men,160”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [160] Olsson, L. G., Swedberg, K., Lappas, G., Stewart, S. & Rosengren, A. Trends in mortality after first hospitalization with atrial fibrillation diagnosis in Sweden 1987 to 2006. Int. J. Cardiol. 170, 75–80 (2013). source
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- Findingcitation
In men, lower testosterone levels are associated with increased risk of AF.
“In men, lower testosterone levels have been associated with increased risk of AF.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [163] Gallego, P. et al. Cessation of oral anticoagulation in relation to mortality and the risk of thrombotic events in patients with atrial fibrillation. Thromb. Haemost. 110, 1189–1198 (2013). source
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- Findingcitation
Asymptomatic AF is less common among women than among men (RR 0.57; 95% CI 0.52-0.64).
“A recent systematic review of two randomized, controlled trials and four observational studies of AF reported that asymptomatic AF was less common among women than among men (relative risk (RR) 0.57; 95% CI 0.52–0.64).60”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [60] January, C. T. et al. 2014 AHA/ACC/HRS guideline for the management of patients with atrial fibrillation: a report of the American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association Task Force on Practice Guidelines and the Heart Rhythm Society. Circulation 130, e199–e267 (2014).
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- Findingcitation
The association of QTc interval to risk of AF development is J-shaped, with both a shorter and longer QTc interval associated with increased risk of AF.
“the Copenhagen ECG Study, which included ECGs from almost 290,000 individuals, showed that the association of QTc interval to risk of AF development is J-shaped, with both a shorter and longer QTc interval associated with increased risk of AF.159”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [159] Marijon, E. et al. Causes of death and influencing factors in patients with atrial fibrillation: a competing-risk analysis from the randomized evaluation of long-term anticoagulant therapy study. Circulation 128, 2192–2201 (2013). source
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- Findingcitation
Female sex is a well-recognized, independent risk factor for AF-related stroke and systemic thromboembolism.
“Female sex is a well-recognized, independent risk factor for AF-related stroke13 and systemic thromboemblism.63–65”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 4 sources checked- cites [13] Humphries, K. H. et al. New-onset atrial fibrillation: sex differences in presentation, treatment, and outcome. Circulation 103, 2365–2370 (2001). source
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- cites [63] Kamalvand, K. et al. Alterations in atrial electrophysiology associated with chronic atrial fibrillation in man. Eur. Heart J. 20, 888–895 (1999). source
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- cites [64] Raitt, M. H., Kusumoto, W., Giraud, G. & McAnulty, J. H. Reversal of electrical remodeling after cardioversion of persistent atrial fibrillation. J. Cardiovasc. Electrophysiol. 15, 507–512 (2004). source
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- cites [65] Franz, M. R., Karasik, P. L., Li, C., Moubarak, J. & Chavez, M. Electrical remodeling of the human atrium: similar effects in patients with chronic atrial fibrillation and atrial flutter. J. Am. Coll. Cardiol. 30, 1785–1792 (1997). source
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- Findingcitation
In a small study of women referred for cardiac MRI, more atrial fibrosis was detected in women than in men using delayed-enhancement MRI.
“However, in a small study of women referred for cardiac MRI, more atrial fibrosis was detected in women than in men, using delayed-enhancement magnetic resonance imaging.142”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [142] Rusanen, M. et al. Heart diseases and long-term risk of dementia and Alzheimer's disease: a population-based CAIDE study. J. Alzheimers Dis. 42, 183–191 (2014). source
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- Findingcitation
In one study of patients undergoing catheter ablation for AF, women required more extensive ablation of non-pulmonary vein foci than men.
“In one study of patients undergoing catheter ablation for AF, women required more-extensive ablation of non-pulmonary vein foci than men,148”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [148] Fukuda, T. et al. Development of congestive heart failure in Japanese patients with atrial fibrillation. Circ. J. 71, 308–312 (2007). source
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- Findingcitation
Women have a longer QTc interval than men.
“Animal models are consistent with electrocardiogram (ECG) recordings from healthy individuals demonstrating that women have a longer QTc interval than men.158”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [158] Stollberger, C., Winkler-Dworak, M., Finsterer, J., Hartl, E. & Chnupa, P. Factors influencing mortality in atrial fibrillation. Post hoc analysis of an observational study in outpatients. Int. J. Cardiol. 103, 140–144 (2005). source
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- Findingcitation
A number of observational studies have demonstrated the association between female sex and risk of AF-related stroke and thromboembolism.
“A number of observational studies have demonstrated the association between female sex and risk of AF-related stroke and thromboembolism (Supplementary Table S6).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 7 sources checked- cites [68] Platonov, P. G., Mitrofanova, L. B., Orshanskaya, V. & Ho, S. Y. Structural abnormalities in atrial walls are associated with presence and persistency of atrial fibrillation but not with age. J. Am. Coll. Cardiol. 58, 2225–2232 (2011). source
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- cites [69] Henry, W. L. et al. Relation between echocardiographically determined left atrial size and atrial fibrillation. Circulation 53, 273–279 (1976). source
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- cites [70] Vasan, R. S., Larson, M. G., Levy, D., Evans, J. C. & Benjamin, E. J. Distribution and categorization of echocardiographic measurements in relation to reference limits: the Framingham Heart Study: formulation of a height- and sex-specific classification and its prospective validation. Circulation 96, 1863–1873 (1997). source
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- cites [71] Vaziri, S. M., Larson, M. G., Benjamin, E. J. & Levy, D. Echocardiographic predictors of nonrheumatic atrial fibrillation. The Framingham Heart Study. Circulation 89, 724–730 (1994). source
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- cites [72] Nattel, S., Burstein, B. & Dobrev, D. Atrial remodeling and atrial fibrillation: mechanisms and implications. Circ. Arrhythm. Electrophysiol. 1, 62–73 (2008). source
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- cites [73] Anne, W. et al. Self-terminating AF depends on electrical remodeling while persistent AF depends on additional structural changes in a rapid atrially paced sheep model. J. Mol. Cell. Cardiol. 43, 148–158 (2007). source
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- cites [74] Filgueiras-Rama, D. et al. Long-term frequency gradients during persistent atrial fibrillation in sheep are associated with stable sources in the left atrium. Circ. Arrhythm. Electrophysiol. 5, 1160–1167 (2012). source
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- Findingcitation
Some studies suggest that female sex might be a significant risk factor for AF only for those above the age of 75 years.
“Some studies suggest that female sex might be a significant risk factor for AF only for those above the age of 75 years.69,70”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites [69] Henry, W. L. et al. Relation between echocardiographically determined left atrial size and atrial fibrillation. Circulation 53, 273–279 (1976). source
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- cites [70] Vasan, R. S., Larson, M. G., Levy, D., Evans, J. C. & Benjamin, E. J. Distribution and categorization of echocardiographic measurements in relation to reference limits: the Framingham Heart Study: formulation of a height- and sex-specific classification and its prospective validation. Circulation 96, 1863–1873 (1997). source
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- Findingcitation
A meta-analysis of 19 studies showed increased risk for all-cause mortality in women compared with men (women-to-men RR 1.12, 95% CI 1.07-1.17).
“However, a meta-analysis of 19 studies showed increased risk for all-cause mortality in women compared with men (women-to-men RR 1.12, 95% CI 1.07–1.17).120”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [120] Friberg, J., Scharling, H., Gadsboll, N., Truelsen, T. & Jensen, G. B. Comparison of the impact of atrial fibrillation on the risk of stroke and cardiovascular death in women versus men (The Copenhagen City Heart Study). Am. J. Cardiol. 94, 889–894 (2004). source
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- Findingcitation
In women aged <65 years with lone AF, the rate of thromboembolism varies widely, from 0.1-0.2% annual stroke risk in a Swedish study to 1.24/100 person-years in a Danish study.
“Notably, a nationwide register study of >120,000 individuals with AF in Denmark found a rate of thromboembolism as high as 1.24/100 person–years among women aged < 65 years with lone AF at 1-year follow-up.86 In contrast, however, a Swedish nationwide study of >140,000 individuals with AF showed that the annual stroke risk for women with AF who were aged <65 years was 0.1–0.2%.85”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites [86] Panwar, B. et al. Fibroblast growth factor 23 and risk of incident stroke in community-living adults. Stroke 46, 322–328 (2015). source
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- cites [85] Patel, P., Dokainish, H., Tsai, P. & Lakkis, N. Update on the association of inflammation and atrial fibrillation. J. Cardiovasc. Electrophysiol. 21, 1064–1070 (2010). source
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- Findingcitation
Data from the REGARDS and Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities studies indicated that the association between AF and myocardial infarction was greater in women than in men.
“Data from the REGARDS and Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities studies indicated that the association between AF and MI was greater in women than in men.104,105”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites [104] Tsuneda, T. et al. Deficiency of testosterone associates with the substrate of atrial fibrillation in the rat model. J. Cardiovasc. Electrophysiol. 20, 1055–1060 (2009). source
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- cites [105] Cove, C. L. et al. Female sex as an independent risk factor for stroke in atrial fibrillation: possible mechanisms. Thromb. Haemost. 111, 385–391 (2014). source
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- Findingcitation
All three studies identified through the search suggested that sex is not a significant modifier of dementia in individuals with AF.
“All three studies identified through our search suggested that sex is not a significant modifier of dementia in individuals with AF.88–90”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 3 sources checked- cites [88] Takigawa, M. et al. Differences in catheter ablation of paroxysmal atrial fibrillation between males and females. Int. J. Cardiol. 168, 1984–1991 (2013). source
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- cites [89] Yang, P. C., Kurokawa, J., Furukawa, T. & Clancy, C. E. Acute effects of sex steroid hormones on susceptibility to cardiac arrhythmias: a simulation study. PLoS Comput. Biol. 6, e1000658 (2010). source
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- cites [90] Nakamura, H. et al. Progesterone regulates cardiac repolarization through a nongenomic pathway: an in vitro patch-clamp and computational modeling study. Circulation 116, 2913–2922 (2007). source
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- Findingcitation
The Cardiovascular Health Study of older adults has shown a significant sex interaction (P = 0.02) such that women with AF had a higher risk of coronary heart disease (HR 2.3) than their male counterparts (HR 1.6).
“On the other hand, the Cardiovascular Health Study of older adults has shown a significant sex interaction (P = 0.02) such that women with AF had a higher risk of coronary heart disease (HR 2.3) than their male counterparts (HR 1.6).106”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [106] Soliman, E. Z. et al. Atrial fibrillation and risk of ST-segment-elevation versus non-ST-segment-elevation myocardial infarction: the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) Study. Circulation 131, 1843–1850 (2015). source
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- Interpretationcitation
The true prevalence of AF is likely substantially higher than the estimated prevalence because many individuals remain undiagnosed.
“The true prevalence is likely to be substantially higher given that many individuals remain undiagnosed.2”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [2] Friberg, L. et al. Population screening of 75- and 76-year-old men and women for silent atrial fibrillation (STROKESTOP). Europace 15, 135–140 (2013). source
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- Premisecitation
Some studies have suggested differences in AF genetics between women and men.
“some studies have suggested differences in AF genetics between women and men7–9.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 3 sources checked- cites [7] Chen, Y. C. et al. Heterogeneous expression of potassium currents and pacemaker currents potentially regulates arrhythmogenesis of pulmonary vein cardiomyocytes. J. Cardiovasc. Electrophysiol. 20, 1039–1045 (2009). source
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- cites [8] Oyen, N. et al. Familial aggregation of lone atrial fibrillation in young persons. J. Am. Coll. Cardiol. 60, 917–921 (2012). source
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- cites [9] Zoller, B., Ohlsson, H., Sundquist, J. & Sundquist, K. High familial risk of atrial fibrillation/atrial flutter in multiplex families: a nationwide family study in Sweden. J. Am. Heart Assoc. 2, e003384 (2013). source
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- Premisecitation
AF is partially heritable.
“AF has been demonstrated to be partially heritable,6”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [6] Christophersen, I. E. & Ellinor, P. T. Genetics of atrial fibrillation: from families to genomes. J. Hum. Genet. 61, 61–70 (2015). source
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- Interpretationcitation
Part of the increased risk of AF observed in men is related to body size.
“The study findings indicated that part of the increased risk of AF observed in men was related to body size.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [32] Guo, Y. et al. Prevalence, incidence, and lifetime risk of atrial fibrillation in China: new insights into the global burden of atrial fibrillation. Chest 147, 109–119 (2015). source
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- Interpretationcitation
The link between female sex and stroke might vary across populations and age groups.
“The link between female sex and stroke might vary across populations and age groups.75–84”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 10 sources checked- cites [75] Remes, J. et al. Persistent atrial fibrillation in a goat model of chronic left atrial overload. J. Thorac. Cardiovasc. Surg. 136, 1005–1011 (2008). source
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- cites [76] Ravens, U. Antiarrhythmic therapy in atrial fibrillation. Pharmacol. Ther. 128, 129–145 (2010). source
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- cites [77] Sanfilippo, A. J. et al. Atrial enlargement as a consequence of atrial fibrillation. A prospective echocardiographic study. Circulation 82, 792–797 (1990). source
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- cites [78] Kishi, S. et al. Race-ethnic and sex differences in left ventricular structure and function: the Coronary Artery Risk Development in Young Adults (CARDIA) Study. J. Am. Heart Assoc. 4, e001264 (2015). source
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- cites [79] Tsang, T. S. et al. Left atrial volume: important risk marker of incident atrial fibrillation in 1655 older men and women. Mayo Clin. Proc. 76, 467–475 (2001). source
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- cites [80] Hudsmith, L. E., Petersen, S. E., Francis, J. M., Robson, M. D. & Neubauer, S. Normal human left and right ventricular and left atrial dimensions using steady state free precession magnetic resonance imaging. J. Cardiovasc. Magn. Reson. 7, 775–782 (2005). source
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- cites [81] McManus, D. D. et al. Longitudinal tracking of left atrial diameter over the adult life course: clinical correlates in the community. Circulation 121, 667–674 (2010). source
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- cites [82] Cochet, H. et al. Age, atrial fibrillation, and structural heart disease are the main determinants of left atrial fibrosis detected by delayed-enhanced magnetic resonance imaging in a general cardiology population. J. Cardiovasc. Electrophysiol. 26, 484–492 (2015). source
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- cites [83] Khera, A. et al. Race and gender differences in C-reactive protein levels. J. Am. Coll. Cardiol. 46, 464–469 (2005). source
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- cites [84] Mathew, J. S. et al. Fibroblast growth factor-23 and incident atrial fibrillation: the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA) and the Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS). Circulation 130, 298–307 (2014). source
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- Interpretationreasoning
The presence of atypical symptoms might contribute to the worse outcomes seen in women, as they might delay diagnosis and care.
“The presence of atypical symptoms might contribute to the worse outcomes seen in women, as they might delay diagnosis and care.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Premisecitation
Female sex is a well-known risk factor for heart failure with preserved ejection fraction.
“In addition, female sex is a well-known risk factor for HF with preserved ejection fraction, possibly attributable to hemodynamic changes and cardiovascular remodelling post menopause.165,166”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites [165] Zubaid, M. et al. Management and 1-year outcomes of patients with atrial fibrillation in the Middle East: Gulf survey of atrial fibrillation events. Angiology 66, 464–471 (2015). source
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- cites [166] Badheka, A. O. et al. Influence of obesity on outcomes in atrial fibrillation: yet another obesity paradox. Am. J. Med. 123, 646–651 (2010). source
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- Premisecitation
Another limitation of the AF epidemiological literature is the paucity of data from outside North America and Europe.
“Another limitation of the AF epidemiological literature is the paucity of data from outside North America and Europe.1,169”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites [1] Chugh, S. S. et al. Worldwide epidemiology of atrial fibrillation: a Global Burden of Disease 2010 Study. Circulation 129, 837–847 (2014). source
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- cites [169] Rahman, F., Kwan, G. F. & Benjamin, E. J. Global epidemiology of atrial fibrillation. Nat. Rev. Cardiol. 11, 639–654 (2014). source
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- Premisecitation
Most studies report an increased risk of stroke in women with atrial fibrillation.
“most studies report an increased risk of stroke in women.68–71”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 4 sources checked- cites [68] Platonov, P. G., Mitrofanova, L. B., Orshanskaya, V. & Ho, S. Y. Structural abnormalities in atrial walls are associated with presence and persistency of atrial fibrillation but not with age. J. Am. Coll. Cardiol. 58, 2225–2232 (2011). source
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- cites [69] Henry, W. L. et al. Relation between echocardiographically determined left atrial size and atrial fibrillation. Circulation 53, 273–279 (1976). source
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- cites [70] Vasan, R. S., Larson, M. G., Levy, D., Evans, J. C. & Benjamin, E. J. Distribution and categorization of echocardiographic measurements in relation to reference limits: the Framingham Heart Study: formulation of a height- and sex-specific classification and its prospective validation. Circulation 96, 1863–1873 (1997). source
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- cites [71] Vaziri, S. M., Larson, M. G., Benjamin, E. J. & Levy, D. Echocardiographic predictors of nonrheumatic atrial fibrillation. The Framingham Heart Study. Circulation 89, 724–730 (1994). source
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- Premisecitation
Compared with our understanding of sex differences in coronary heart disease and stroke, substantial gaps exist in our knowledge of sex differences in AF.
“Compared with our understanding of sex differences in coronary heart disease and stroke,168 substantial gaps exist in our knowledge of sex differences in AF (Table 1).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [168] Mosca, L., Barrett-Connor, E. & Kass Wenger, N. Sex/gender differences in cardiovascular disease prevention: what a difference a decade makes. Circulation 124, 2145–2154 (2011). source
Not checked in the free run.
- Interpretationnone given
Evidence for sex differences in the incidence, prevalence, population-attributable risks of major risk factors of atrial fibrillation, and in the clinical presentation and prognosis of patients with atrial fibrillation is accumulating.
“Evidence for sex differences in the incidence, prevalence, population-attributable risks of major risk factors of AF, and in the clinical presentation and prognosis of patients with this arrhtyhmia is accumulating.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
- May combine two claims. 22
- The quote only partly states this claim. 1
- Classified as probably not a substantial claim. 5
May combine two claims.
FindingcitationIn women, AF is associated with worse symptoms and quality of life, and increased risk of complications such as stroke and mortality, compared with men.
“in women, AF is associated with worse symptoms and quality of life,10–12 and increased risk of complications such as stroke13 and mortality,14 compared with men.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites [13] Humphries, K. H. et al. New-onset atrial fibrillation: sex differences in presentation, treatment, and outcome. Circulation 103, 2365–2370 (2001). source
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- cites [14] Bushnell, C. et al. Guidelines for the prevention of stroke in women: a statement for healthcare professionals from the American Heart Association/American Stroke Association. Stroke 45, 1545–1588 (2014). source
Not checked in the free run.
May combine two claims.
FindingcitationThe lower AF incidence among women seems to be consistently observed outside North America and Europe, although fewer studies are available.
“The lower AF incidence among women seems to be consistently observed outside North America and Europe, although fewer studies are available.1,16”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites [1] Chugh, S. S. et al. Worldwide epidemiology of atrial fibrillation: a Global Burden of Disease 2010 Study. Circulation 129, 837–847 (2014). source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [16] Miyasaka, Y. et al. Secular trends in incidence of atrial fibrillation in Olmsted County, Minnesota, 1980 to 2000, and implications on the projections for future prevalence. Circulation 114, 119–125 (2006). source
Not checked in the free run.
May combine two claims.
FindingcitationAmong individuals with AF, women are more likely than men to experience symptoms and to seek care for these symptoms.
“Studies indicate that among individuals with AF, women are more likely than men to experience symptoms,60,11,12 and to seek care for these symptoms.10,11”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 3 sources checked- cites [10] Ball, J., Carrington, M. J., Wood, K. A., Stewart, S. & Investigators, S. Women versus men with chronic atrial fibrillation: insights from the Standard versus Atrial Fibrillation spEcific managemenT studY (SAFETY). PLoS ONE 8, e65795 (2013). source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [11] Scheuermeyer, F. X. et al. There are sex differences in the demographics and risk profiles of emergency department (ED) patients with atrial fibrillation and flutter, but no apparent differences in ED management or outcomes. Acad. Emerg. Med. 22, 1067–1075 (2015). source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [12] Xiong, Q., Proietti, M., Senoo, K. & Lip, G. Y. Asymptomatic versus symptomatic atrial fibrillation: a systematic review of age/gender differences and cardiovascular outcomes. Int. J. Cardiol. 191, 172–177 (2015). source
Not checked in the free run.
May combine two claims.
FindingcitationIn men, a U-shaped association has been reported between physical activity and AF, in which sedentary lifestyle and vigorous exercise both are associated with increased AF risk, whereas moderate activity is protective.
“In men, a U-shaped association has been reported, in which sedentary lifestyle and vigorous exercise both are associated with increased AF risk,41,44,45 whereas moderate activity is protective.46”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 3 sources checked- cites [41] Larsson, S. C., Drca, N. & Wolk, A. Alcohol consumption and risk of atrial fibrillation: a prospective study and dose-response meta-analysis. J. Am. Coll. Cardiol. 64, 281–289 (2014). source
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- cites [44] Aviles, R. J. et al. Inflammation as a risk factor for atrial fibrillation. Circulation 108, 3006–3010 (2003). source
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- cites [45] Aizer, A. et al. Relation of vigorous exercise to risk of atrial fibrillation. Am. J. Cardiol. 103, 1572–1577 (2009). source
Not checked in the free run.
May combine two claims.
FindingcitationIn women, vigorous exercise has not been shown to increase AF risk, although moderate exercise is associated with a lower risk of AF than sedentary lifestyle.
“In women, vigorous exercise has not been shown to increase AF risk, although moderate exercise is associated with a lower risk of AF than sedentary lifestyle.47,48”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites [47] Mozaffarian, D., Furberg, C. D., Psaty, B. M. & Siscovick, D. Physical activity and incidence of atrial fibrillation in older adults: the cardiovascular health study. Circulation 118, 800–807 (2008). source
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- cites [48] Everett, B. M. et al. Physical activity and the risk of incident atrial fibrillation in women. Circ. Cardiovasc. Qual. Outcomes 4, 321–327 (2011). source
Not checked in the free run.
May combine two claims.
FindingcitationWomen with AF have higher prevalence of hypertension and valvular heart disease and lower prevalence of coronary heart disease than men with AF.
“Women with AF have higher prevalence of hypertension and valvular heart disease and lower prevalence of coronary heart disease than men with AF.5,11,34”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 3 sources checked- cites [5] Schnabel, R. B. et al. 50 year trends in atrial fibrillation prevalence, incidence, risk factors, and mortality in the Framingham Heart Study: a cohort study. Lancet 386, 154–162 (2015). source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [11] Scheuermeyer, F. X. et al. There are sex differences in the demographics and risk profiles of emergency department (ED) patients with atrial fibrillation and flutter, but no apparent differences in ED management or outcomes. Acad. Emerg. Med. 22, 1067–1075 (2015). source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [34] Wang, T. J. et al. Obesity and the risk of new-onset atrial fibrillation. JAMA 292, 2471–2477 (2004). source
Not checked in the free run.
May combine two claims.
FindingcitationGlobally, the prevalence of valvular heart disease among individuals with AF is still greater than 25%, largely caused by the higher incidence of rheumatic heart disease in low-income and middle-income countries.
“However, globally, the prevalence of valvular heart disease among individuals with AF is still greater than 25%,38,39 largely caused by the higher incidence of rheumatic heart disease in low-income and middle-income countries.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites [38] Huxley, R. R. et al. Absolute and attributable risks of atrial fibrillation in relation to optimal and borderline risk factors: the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study. Circulation 123, 1501–1508 (2011). source
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- cites [39] Chiang, C. E. et al. Distribution and risk profile of paroxysmal, persistent, and permanent atrial fibrillation in routine clinical practice: insight from the real-life global survey evaluating patients with atrial fibrillation international registry. Circ. Arrhythm. Electrophysiol. 5, 632–639 (2012). source
Not checked in the free run.
May combine two claims.
FindingcitationIn a population-based study from China, the lifetime risk for women at age 55 years was 22.2%, higher than that for men (16.7%).
“A population-based study from China showed similar lifetime risk for women at age 55 years (22.2%); however, in contrast to North American populations, the lifetime risk for women in China was higher than that for men (22.2% versus 16.7%).31”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [31] Heeringa, J. et al. Prevalence, incidence and lifetime risk of atrial fibrillation: the Rotterdam study. Eur. Heart J. 27, 949–953 (2006). source
Not checked in the free run.
The quote only partly states this claim.
FindingcitationBody mass index has increased significantly in both women and men with AF.
“In particular, body mass index has increased significantly (Figure 3).5”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [5] Schnabel, R. B. et al. 50 year trends in atrial fibrillation prevalence, incidence, risk factors, and mortality in the Framingham Heart Study: a cohort study. Lancet 386, 154–162 (2015). source
Not checked in the free run.
May combine two claims.
FindingcitationA genetic variant in the X-linked gene KCNE5 was more frequent in controls than in patients with AF and was found to be protective of AF.
“In 2005, Ravn et al. discovered a genetic variant in the X-linked gene KCNE5 that was more frequent in 96 controls than in 158 patients with AF, and that was found to be protective of AF.57”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [57] Lubitz, S. A. et al. Association between familial atrial fibrillation and risk of new-onset atrial fibrillation. JAMA 304, 2263–2269 (2010). source
Not checked in the free run.
May combine two claims.
FindingcitationPlasma concentrations of C-reactive protein and fibroblast growth factor-23 are higher in women than in men in epidemiological studies.
“The plasma concentrations of the inflammatory marker C-reactive protein143 and of fibroblast growth factor-23144 have been found to be higher in women than in men in epidemiological studies.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites [143] Wang, T. J. et al. Temporal relations of atrial fibrillation and congestive heart failure and their joint influence on mortality: the Framingham Heart Study. Circulation 107, 2920–2925 (2003). source
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- cites [144] Miyasaka, Y. et al. Incidence and mortality risk of congestive heart failure in atrial fibrillation patients: a community-based study over two decades. Eur. Heart J. 27, 936–941 (2006). source
Not checked in the free run.
May combine two claims.
FindingcitationWomen generally have reduced ventricular wall thickness and smaller left atria and ventricles compared with men.
“Women generally have reduced ventricular wall thickness and smaller left atria and ventricles compared with men.138–141”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 4 sources checked- cites [138] Horstmann, S. et al. Atrial fibrillation and prestroke cognitive impairment in stroke. J. Neurol. 261, 546–553 (2014). source
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- cites [139] Bunch, T. J. et al. Atrial fibrillation is independently associated with senile, vascular, and Alzheimer's dementia. Heart Rhythm 7, 433–437 (2010). source
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- cites [140] Dublin, S. et al. Atrial fibrillation and risk of dementia: a prospective cohort study. J. Am. Geriatr. Soc. 59, 1369–1375 (2011). source
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- cites [141] Forti, P. et al. Atrial fibrillation and risk of dementia in non-demented elderly subjects with and without mild cognitive impairment (MCI). Arch. Gerontol. Geriatr. 44 (Suppl. 1), 155–165 (2007). source
Not checked in the free run.
May combine two claims.
FindingcitationBoth long and short PR intervals are associated with increased risk of AF in women, whereas only longer PR intervals are associated with AF in men.
“the Copenhagen ECG Study showed that both long and short PR intervals were associated with increased risk of AF in women, whereas only longer PR intervals were associated with AF in men.159”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [159] Marijon, E. et al. Causes of death and influencing factors in patients with atrial fibrillation: a competing-risk analysis from the randomized evaluation of long-term anticoagulant therapy study. Circulation 128, 2192–2201 (2013). source
Not checked in the free run.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).
Findingnone givenNone of the genetic risk scores developed thus far have reported sex differences in AF prediction.
“None of the genetic risk scores developed thus far have reported sex differences in AF prediction.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
FindingcitationIn a study of patients visiting the emergency department, women were more likely to have longer duration of symptoms and to present with atypical symptoms, such as weakness and fatigue.
“In a study of patients visiting the emergency department, women were more likely to have longer duration of symptoms and to present with atypical symptoms, such as weakness and fatigue.11,12”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites [11] Scheuermeyer, F. X. et al. There are sex differences in the demographics and risk profiles of emergency department (ED) patients with atrial fibrillation and flutter, but no apparent differences in ED management or outcomes. Acad. Emerg. Med. 22, 1067–1075 (2015). source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [12] Xiong, Q., Proietti, M., Senoo, K. & Lip, G. Y. Asymptomatic versus symptomatic atrial fibrillation: a systematic review of age/gender differences and cardiovascular outcomes. Int. J. Cardiol. 191, 172–177 (2015). source
Not checked in the free run.
May combine two claims.
FindingcitationWomen are more likely to seek care for symptoms, which might partly be attributable to higher mean heart rates at presentation.
“Women seem to be more likely to seek care for symptoms, which might partly be attributable to higher mean heart rates at presentation.10,11”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites [10] Ball, J., Carrington, M. J., Wood, K. A., Stewart, S. & Investigators, S. Women versus men with chronic atrial fibrillation: insights from the Standard versus Atrial Fibrillation spEcific managemenT studY (SAFETY). PLoS ONE 8, e65795 (2013). source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [11] Scheuermeyer, F. X. et al. There are sex differences in the demographics and risk profiles of emergency department (ED) patients with atrial fibrillation and flutter, but no apparent differences in ED management or outcomes. Acad. Emerg. Med. 22, 1067–1075 (2015). source
Not checked in the free run.
May combine two claims.
FindingcitationIn a rabbit model, left atrial and pulmonary vein tissue from females displayed longer action potential duration, and female pulmonary vein tissue had a more negative resting membrane potential compared with males.
“In a rabbit model, left atrial and pulmonary vein tissue from females displayed longer action potential duration, and female pulmonary vein tissue had a more negative resting membrane potential compared with males.147”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [147] Stewart, S., Hart, C. L., Hole, D. J. & McMurray, J. J. V. A population-based study of the long-term risks associated with atrial fibrillation: 20-year follow-up of the Renfrew/Paisley study. Am. J. Med. 113, 359–364 (2002). source
Not checked in the free run.
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FindingcitationMultiple longitudinal studies have evaluated whether an interaction exists between sex and AF-related risk of mortality, but the results have not been consistent.
“Multiple longitudinal studies have evaluated whether an interaction exists between sex and AF-related risk of mortality, but the results have not been consistent (Supplementary Table S10).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 3 sources checked- cites [14] Bushnell, C. et al. Guidelines for the prevention of stroke in women: a statement for healthcare professionals from the American Heart Association/American Stroke Association. Stroke 45, 1545–1588 (2014). source
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- cites [72] Nattel, S., Burstein, B. & Dobrev, D. Atrial remodeling and atrial fibrillation: mechanisms and implications. Circ. Arrhythm. Electrophysiol. 1, 62–73 (2008). source
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- cites [108] Clayton, J. A. & Collins, F. S. Policy: NIH to balance sex in cell and animal studies. Nature 509, 282–283 (2014). source
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May combine two claims.
FindingcitationA study from Groningen, Netherlands found that AF is an independent risk factor for new-onset heart failure with preserved ejection fraction in women, but not in men.
“A study from Groningen, Netherlands found that AF is an independent risk factor for new-onset HF with preserved ejection fraction in women, but not in men.98”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [98] Stramba-Badiale, M., Locati, E. H., Martinelli, A., Courville, J. & Schwartz, P. J. Gender and the relationship between ventricular repolarization and cardiac cycle length during 24-h Holter recordings. Eur. Heart J. 18, 1000–1006 (1997). source
Not checked in the free run.
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FindingcitationThe bulk of studies evaluating sex differences in the AF-related risk of heart failure have showed no significant difference; however, a few studies have suggested higher risk in women.
“The bulk of studies evaluating sex differences in the AF-related risk of HF have showed no significant difference; however, a few studies have suggested higher risk in women (Supplementary Table S8).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 7 sources checked- cites [97] Liu, X. K. et al. Gender difference in the cycle length-dependent QT and potassium currents in rabbits. J. Pharmacol. Exp. Ther. 285, 672–679 (1998). source
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- cites [98] Stramba-Badiale, M., Locati, E. H., Martinelli, A., Courville, J. & Schwartz, P. J. Gender and the relationship between ventricular repolarization and cardiac cycle length during 24-h Holter recordings. Eur. Heart J. 18, 1000–1006 (1997). source
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- cites [99] Nielsen, J. B. et al. Risk of atrial fibrillation as a function of the electrocardiographic PR interval: results from the Copenhagen ECG Study. Heart Rhythm 10, 1249–1256 (2013). source
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- cites [100] Cheng, S. et al. Long-term outcomes in individuals with prolonged PR interval or first-degree atrioventricular block. JAMA 301, 2571–2577 (2009). source
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- cites [101] Buitrago, C., Massheimer, V. & de Boland, A. R. Acute modulation of Ca2+ influx on rat heart by 17β-estradiol. Cell. Signal. 12, 47–52 (2000). source
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- cites [102] Jovanovic, S., Jovanovic, A., Shen, W. K. & Terzic, A. Low concentrations of 17β-estradiol protect single cardiac cells against metabolic stress-induced Ca2+ loading. J. Am. Coll. Cardiol. 36, 948–952 (2000). source
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- cites [103] Magnani, J. W. et al. Association of sex hormones, aging, and atrial fibrillation in men: the Framingham Heart Study. Circ. Arrhythm. Electrophysiol. 7, 307–312 (2014). source
Not checked in the free run.
May combine two claims.
PremisecitationElevated body mass index, hypertension, diabetes mellitus, coronary heart disease, valvular heart disease, and heart failure are major risk factors for AF, but their prevalence varies between women and men.
“Elevated body mass index, hypertension, diabetes mellitus, coronary heart disease, valvular heart disease, and heart failure (HF) constitute major risk factors for AF, but the prevalence of these risk factors vary between women and men.3–5”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 3 sources checked- cites [3] Tedrow, U. B. et al. The long- and short-term impact of elevated body mass index on the risk of new atrial fibrillation the WHS (women's health study). J. Am. Coll. Cardiol. 55, 2319–2327 (2010). source
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- cites [4] Benjamin, E. J. et al. Independent risk factors for atrial fibrillation in a population-based cohort. The Framingham Heart Study. JAMA 271, 840–844 (1994). source
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- cites [5] Schnabel, R. B. et al. 50 year trends in atrial fibrillation prevalence, incidence, risk factors, and mortality in the Framingham Heart Study: a cohort study. Lancet 386, 154–162 (2015). source
Not checked in the free run.
May combine two claims.
InterpretationcitationIn North American populations, despite higher incidence of AF in men, lifetime risk of AF in women and men is similar owing to longer life expectancy for women.
“In North American populations, despite higher incidence of AF in men, lifetime risk of AF in women and men were similar owing to longer life expectancy for women.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites [29] Majeed, A., Moser, K. & Carroll, K. Trends in the prevalence and management of atrial fibrillation in general practice in England and Wales, 1994–1998: analysis of data from the general practice research database. Heart 86, 284–288 (2001). source
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- cites [30] Lloyd-Jones, D. M. et al. Lifetime risk for development of atrial fibrillation: the Framingham Heart Study. Circulation 110, 1042–1046 (2004). source
Not checked in the free run.
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PremisecitationAdvancing age is the most important risk factor for AF, leading to about a doubling in AF incidence with every 10-year increase in age.
“Advancing age is the most important risk factor, leading to about a doubling in AF incidence with every 10-year increase in age.4”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [4] Benjamin, E. J. et al. Independent risk factors for atrial fibrillation in a population-based cohort. The Framingham Heart Study. JAMA 271, 840–844 (1994). source
Not checked in the free run.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
InterpretationcitationThe KCNE5 variant might contribute to the lower prevalence of AF in women because women have two copies of the X chromosome whereas men have one.
“Since women have two copies of the X chromosome whereas men have one, the investigators suggested that the variant might contribute to the lower prevalence of AF in women.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [57] Lubitz, S. A. et al. Association between familial atrial fibrillation and risk of new-onset atrial fibrillation. JAMA 304, 2263–2269 (2010). source
Not checked in the free run.
Classified as probably not a substantial claim.
Interpretationnone givenSex differences in hormones and in electrical and structural characteristics might help explain variation in incidence, prevalence, burden, and complications associated with AF in women and men.
“The reported literature suggest that sex differences in hormones and in electrical and structural characteristics might help explain variation in incidence, prevalence, burden, and complications associated with AF in women and men.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimClassified as probably not a substantial claim.
InterpretationreasoningThe AF-related sex differences in epidemiology, risk factors, and outcomes identified in populations of European ancestry might not be generalizable to other ethnic groups.
“The AF-related sex differences in epidemiology, risk factors, and outcomes identified in populations of European ancestry might not be generalizable to other ethnic groups.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
InterpretationreasoningThe meta-analysis included disease-based samples and the results might thus not be generalizable to the general population.
“Notably, the meta-analysis included disease-based samples and the results might thus not be generalizable to the general population.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [120] Friberg, J., Scharling, H., Gadsboll, N., Truelsen, T. & Jensen, G. B. Comparison of the impact of atrial fibrillation on the risk of stroke and cardiovascular death in women versus men (The Copenhagen City Heart Study). Am. J. Cardiol. 94, 889–894 (2004). source
Not checked in the free run.
Classified as probably not a substantial claim.
PremisecitationAlthough the pathophysiology of AF has been investigated extensively, our understanding of the differences between male and female cardiac anatomy and electrical mechanisms is insufficient.
“Although the pathophysiology of AF has been investigated extensively through the years,170 our understanding of the differences between male and female cardiac anatomy and electrical mechanisms, which might contribute to difference in risks and prognosis of AF by sex, is insufficient.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [170] Nattel, S. New ideas about atrial fibrillation 50 years on. Nature 415, 219–226 (2002). source
Not checked in the free run.
The paper relies on this without support.
AF is the most common sustained arrhythmia in women and men worldwide.
“Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common sustained arrhythmia in women and men worldwide.”
The paper relies on this without support.
Little is known about the underlying mechanisms of the increased risk of stroke in women with atrial fibrillation.
“Nonetheless, little is known of the underlying mechanisms.”
The paper relies on this without support.
Little attention has been paid to potential sex differences in the atrial fibrillation-related risks of heart failure, myocardial infarction, and dementia.
“To date, little attention has been paid to potential sex differences in the AF-related risks of HF, MI, and dementia.”
Claims other papers make about this one
Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?
In both developed and developing countries, the age-adjusted incidence and prevalence of AF are lower in women.
“In both developed and developing countries, the age-adjusted incidence and prevalence of AF are lower in women, while the risk of death in women with AF is similar to or higher than that in men with AF. 1,46,47”
From 2016 ESC Guidelines for the management of atrial fibrillation developed in collaboration with EACTS (2016) · cites this paper as [47]
The risk of death in women with AF is similar to or higher than that in men with AF.
“In both developed and developing countries, the age-adjusted incidence and prevalence of AF are lower in women, while the risk of death in women with AF is similar to or higher than that in men with AF. 1,46,47”
From 2016 ESC Guidelines for the management of atrial fibrillation developed in collaboration with EACTS (2016) · cites this paper as [47]
Self-check
Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.
Each contradiction between two passages listed here was confirmed by an independent check.
Sex-specific CHA2DS2-VASc scores are reversed
MinorThe paper first assigns a score of 0 to men and 1 to women in the MI analysis, then assigns scores of 0 and 1 to women and men, respectively. The latter also conflicts with the paper's statement that female sex itself earns one point.
“AF also has been shown to be a risk factor for MI in men with CHA2DS2-VASc=0 and women with CHA2DS2-VASc=1.107”
“In a separate analysis of women and men with CHA2DS2-VASc scores of 0 and 1, respectively”
Reported hazard ratio lies outside its confidence interval
MinorThe reported Swedish hazard ratio of 1.18 is above the upper bound of its reported 95% confidence interval, 1.15.
“Swedish (HR 1.18”
“95% CI 1.05–1.15)”
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- Authors
- Ko, D., Rahman, F., Schnabel, R. B., Yin, X., Benjamin, E. J., & Christophersen, I. E.
- Affiliations
- Boston University (US)
- Universität Hamburg (DE)
- Vestre Viken Hospital Trust (NO)
- Corresponding author
- Christophersen, Ingrid E.
- ORCID
- Venue
- Nature Reviews Cardiology
- Published
- 2016-04-07
- Volume
- 13
- Issue
- 6
- Pages
- 321-332
- ISSN
- 1759-5002 (ISSN-L)
- 1759-5010
- PMC
- PMC5579870
- OpenAlex
- W2322257236
- Semantic Scholar
- 1d4b97cb3df2f8a8056dfdb009b6158ca5720889
- Cited by
- 353
- References
- 178
- Citations by year
- 2026: 29 · 2025: 43 · 2024: 41 · 2023: 37 · 2022: 43 · 2021: 40 · 2020: 37 · 2019: 27 · 2018: 26 · 2017: 20 · 2016: 9
- FWCI
- 4.81
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- green
- www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov
- Locations
- Nature Reviews Cardiology (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- PubMed Central (acceptedVersion)
- Funders
- National Institutes of Health (UL1TR000157, n01hc25195-41-0-1)
- National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute (HHSN268201500001I, HHSN268201500001C, R01HL128914, R01HL102214, T32HL007224, N01-HC-025195, RC1HL101056, R01HL092577)
- National Center for Advancing Translational Sciences
- Topics
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Cardiology and Cardiovascular Medicine › Atrial Fibrillation Management and Outcomes
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Cardiology and Cardiovascular Medicine › Cardiac electrophysiology and arrhythmias
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Epidemiology › Acute Ischemic Stroke Management
- Keywords
- atrial fibrillation, sex differences, women, epidemiology, pathophysiology, risk factors, clinical features, prognosis, arrhythmia complications
- MeSH terms
- Atrial Fibrillation, Female, Humans, Prognosis, Risk Factors, Sex Factors, Incidence, Prevalence
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
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