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The DOI matches its Crossref record; 39 of the 39 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.

Low carbon roadmap of residential building sector in China: Historical mitigation and prospective peak

Ma, Minda, Ma, Xin, Cai, Wei, Cai, Weiguang·2020·Applied Energy

Abstract

Abstract Fast-growing carbon emissions from the residential building sector are a hindrance for China to achieve its 2030 emission peak goal. To identify future low carbon roadmaps of residential buildings, this study is the first to assess the historical carbon mitigation and simulate the energy and emission peaks of China’s residential building sector using a dynamic emission scenario. It shows that the emission mitigation of the residential building sector during 2000–2015 is 1.817 (±0.643) billion tons of carbon dioxide (BtCO2), and the normal distribution-based scenario simulation demonstrates that the residential building sector will achieve its carbon emission peak in 2037 (±4) with a peak value of 1.419 (±0.081) BtCO2. The sensitivity analysis reveals that the impacts of floor space per capita and energy intensity of urban residential buildings are the most significant for the uncertainty of emission peaks. A strict energy demand benchmark of the residential building sector suggests a control at 0.661 billion tons of standard coal equivalent (Btce), and its peaking time is estimated for 2035, which is 5 years ahead of the business-as-usual scenario, with energy savings of 0.042 Btce. For the earliest peaking time, if the residential building sector aims to achieve its emission peak before 2030, the emission peak should be controlled at 1.258 BtCO2. Overall, this paper can assist the government in more accurate and feasible building emission mitigation strategies. Moreover, the results provide a more powerful decision-making reference in issuing targeted and feasible strategies for future residential building emission mitigation.

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Metadata

Authors
Ma, M., Ma, X., Cai, W., & Cai, W.
Venue
Applied Energy
Publisher
Elsevier BV
Published
2020-09
Volume
273
Pages
115247
ISSN
0306-2619 (ISSN-L)
OpenAlex
W3032901048
Cited by
267
References
39
FWCI
25.77
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
closed

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CoChat. (2026). Citation check: Low carbon roadmap of residential building sector in China: Historical mitigation and prospective peak. https://app.cochat.ai/papers/10.1016/j.apenergy.2020.115247
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Ma, M., Ma, X., Cai, W., & Cai, W. (2020). Low carbon roadmap of residential building sector in China: Historical mitigation and prospective peak. Applied Energy. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2020.115247

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