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The optimism bias
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In the citing paper
“it can lead people to underestimate their likelihood of contracting a disease 10”
From Using social and behavioural science to support COVID-19 pandemic response (2020) · cites this paper as [10]
In the citing paper
“When exposed to posi tive events, healthy individuals typically make the previous negative events irrelevant (Garrett and Sharot, 2017; Sharot, 2011).”
From Predictive coding in neuropsychiatric disorders: a systematic transdiagnostic review. (2025) · cites this paper as Sharot, 2011
In the citing paper
“Humans form and update their beliefs in an optimistic manner, i.e., people update desirable (better than expected) news into their beliefs but discount or ignore undesirable (worse than expected) news (2, 19, 21).”
From Distinct oxytocin effects on belief updating in response to desirable and undesirable feedback (2016) · cites this paper as [2]
In the citing paper
“depression, which is characterized by the lack of optimistic updating (2, 20).”
From Distinct oxytocin effects on belief updating in response to desirable and undesirable feedback (2016) · cites this paper as [2]
In the citing paper
“Whereas optimistic updating is adaptive for mental health”
From Distinct oxytocin effects on belief updating in response to desirable and undesirable feedback (2016) · cites this paper as [2]
In the citing paper
“excessive optimism, especially ignoring undesirable information, can be maladaptive (1, 2, 55)”
From Distinct oxytocin effects on belief updating in response to desirable and undesirable feedback (2016) · cites this paper as [2]
Citations
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“This prediction is consistent with the finding that people are generally motivated to remember their life events in a positive light (e.g. Sharot, 2011; Walker et al., 2003), so we expected that when they had the memento goal in mind, participants would take photographs that would be particularly…”
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“In such a scenario, of constant negative impact to one’s physical and mental health, optimism does play a significant role in adaptation to stressful conditions (Sharot, 2011).”
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“As a result, S selects a course of action that is more likely to result in the achievement 23 For an overview of the relevant psychological results, see, e.g., Taylor & Brown (1988, 1994), Johnson and Fowler (2011), Sharot (2011), and Bortolotti and Antrobus (2015).”
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Toward a Deeper Understanding of Optimism Bias and Transport Project Cost Overrun
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“It is also said that the lack of such an optimism bias negatively correlates with mental health (Taylor 1989; Sharot 2011).”
BackgroundUnveiling the neural underpinnings of optimism: a systematic review
Erthal, F. S., Bastos, A. F., Vilete, L. M. P., Oliveira, L., Pereira, M. G., Mendlowicz, M. V., Volchan, E., & Figueira, I. L. D. V. (2021) · Cognitive Affective & Behavioral Neuroscience · doi:10.3758/s13415-021-00931-8 · Cited by 19
“A different approach is through observing the individual’s change in expectation for the occurrence of eventswhen they are presentedwith a challenge to their biased optimistic beliefs (Sharot, 2011; Sharot et al., 2011).”
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“This may be due to overoptimism [(van den Steen, 2004) or (Sharot, 2011) for a review], overconfidence [(Barber & Odean, 2001) or (Malmendier & Tate, 2005), and (Moore & Healy, 2008) for a review] or salience, if decision makers overweight salient states (e.g., (Bordalo et al., 2012)).”
BackgroundTitle: New Parents’ Idealistic Expectations of Parenthood: The Impact of Preconceived Ideas
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“Advanced human cognition allows us to make inferences about the future, and aids in decision-making that promotes reward and avoids harm (Sharot, 2011a).”
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“Their positive bias towards technology, influenced by their tendency to expect favourable outcomes, aligns with findings in the optimism bias theory (Sharot, 2011).”
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“However, optimism becomes harmful when extended to collective group decisions (Sharot 2011b).”
BackgroundInfluentialUnderperformance of Actively Managed Portfolios: Some Behavioral Insights
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Impact of COVID-19 predicts perceived risk more strongly than known demographic risk factors
Seehuus, M., Stanton, A. M., Handy, A. B., Haik, A. K., Gorman, R., & Clifton, J. (2020) · Journal of Psychosomatic Research · doi:10.1016/j.jpsychores.2020.110299 · Cited by 12
Κube, T., & Glombiewski, J. A. (2021) · Cognitive Therapy and Research · doi:10.1007/s10608-021-10256-y · Cited by 13
Metadata
- Authors
- Sharot, T.
- Affiliations
- University College London (GB)
- Corresponding author
- Sharot, Tali
- ORCID
- Sharot, Tali
- Venue
- Current Biology
- Publisher
- Elsevier BV
- Published
- 2011-12
- Volume
- 21
- Issue
- 23
- Pages
- R941-R945
- ISSN
- 0960-9822 (ISSN-L)
- OpenAlex
- W4232964083
- Cited by
- 1,187
- References
- 10
- Citations by year
- 2026: 82 · 2025: 109 · 2024: 134 · 2023: 111 · 2022: 126 · 2021: 123 · 2020: 167 · 2019: 97 · 2018: 79 · 2017: 36 · 2016: 29 · 2015: 33 · 2014: 24 · 2013: 27 · 2012: 6
- FWCI
- 10.74
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- bronze
- doi.org
- Licence
- Locations
- Current Biology (publishedVersion)
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Decision Sciences › General Decision Sciences › Decision-Making and Behavioral Economics
- Social Sciences › Psychology › Applied Psychology › Optimism, Hope, and Well-being
- Life Sciences › Neuroscience › Cognitive Neuroscience › Neural and Behavioral Psychology Studies
- Keywords
- optimism bias, future expectations, overconfidence, self-projection, cognitive biases, decision-making, behavioral economics
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