AlphaFold, allosteric, and orthosteric drug discovery: Ways forward
Open accessAbstract
Drug discovery is arguably a highly challenging and significant interdisciplinary aim. The stunning success of the artificial intelligence-powered AlphaFold, whose latest version is buttressed by an innovative machine-learning approach that integrates physical and biological knowledge about protein structures, raised drug discovery hopes that unsurprisingly, have not come to bear. Even though accurate, the models are rigid, including the drug pockets. AlphaFold's mixed performance poses the question of how its power can be harnessed in drug discovery. Here we discuss possible ways of going forward wielding its strengths, while bearing in mind what AlphaFold can and cannot do. For kinases and receptors, an input enriched in active (ON) state models can better AlphaFold's chance of rational drug design success.
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Numerous areas within the life sciences have experienced considerable impact due to the availability of accurately predicted protein structures, notably structure determination, structure-based drug discovery, and structural bioinformatics.
“As a result, numerous areas within the life sciences have experienced considerable impact due to the availability of accurately predicted protein structures. The primary domains notably affected include structure determination, structure-based drug discovery, and structural bioinformatics (11–13).”
From AlphaFold Protein Structure Database in 2024: providing structure coverage for over 214 million protein sequences (2024) · cites this paper as [13]
The Introduction (page unavailable) says AlphaFold’s accurate predictions help solve crystal and cryo-electron microscopy structures and enable broad analyses of structural and functional properties. It also says their performance in drug discovery has been mixed, so the claim overstates the paper’s account of an already considerable impact in that domain. (LLM, conf=0.86)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measuredCancer-related mutations and chemical modifications can alter protein shapes.
“Cancer-related mutations and chemical modifications can also alter these shapes.”
From Artificial Intelligence in Clinical Oncology: From Productivity Enhancement to Creative Discovery (2025) · cites this paper as [105]
AlphaFold predicts a protein's most stable shape but does not model how the protein moves.
“It predicts a protein’s most stable shape; however, it does not model how the protein moves.”
From Artificial Intelligence in Clinical Oncology: From Productivity Enhancement to Creative Discovery (2025) · cites this paper as [105]
Drug binding often depends on protein motion, such as small shifts when a compound binds, long-range effects within the protein, hidden pockets that open and close, or changes when proteins form complexes.
“Drug binding often depends on motion, such as small shifts when a compound binds, long-range effects within the protein, hidden pockets that open and close, or changes when proteins form complexes.”
From Artificial Intelligence in Clinical Oncology: From Productivity Enhancement to Creative Discovery (2025) · cites this paper as [105]
AlphaFold has limitations for drug discovery, including cancer therapeutics.
“AlphaFold has been a breakthrough for drug discovery, including cancer therapeutics, but its limitations are well recognized [105,106,107,108].”
From Artificial Intelligence in Clinical Oncology: From Productivity Enhancement to Creative Discovery (2025) · cites this paper as [105]
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Cites
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Sorted by citations
Varadi, M., Bertoni, D., Magana, P., Paramval, U., Pidruchna, I., Radhakrishnan, M., Tsenkov, M., Nair, S., Mirdita, M., Yeo, J., et al. (2024) · Nucleic Acids Research · doi:10.1093/nar/gkad1011 · Cited by 2,052 · see citing works
“The primary domains notably affected include structure determination, structure-based drug discovery, and structural bioinformatics ( 11–13 ).”
BackgroundArtificial Intelligence in Clinical Oncology: From Productivity Enhancement to Creative Discovery
Kuno, M., Osumi, H., Udagawa, S., Yoshikawa, K., Ooki, A., Shinozaki, E., Ishikawa, T., Oba, J., Yamaguchi, K., & Sakurada, K. (2025) · Current Oncology · doi:10.3390/curroncol32110588 · Cited by 7 · see citing works
Lesovoy, D., Roshchin, K., Sala, B. M., Sandalova, T., Achour, A., Agback, T., Orekhov, V., & Agback, P. (2025) · doi:10.1101/2025.02.07.637034 · Cited by 6 · see citing works
- Authors
- Nussinov, R., Zhang, M., Liu, Y., & Jang, H.
- Affiliations
- Tel Aviv University (IL)
- Frederick National Laboratory for Cancer Research (US)
- National Cancer Institute (US)
- Corresponding author
- Nussinov, Ruth
- Venue
- Drug Discovery Today
- Publisher
- Elsevier BV
- Published
- 2023-06
- Volume
- 28
- Issue
- 6
- Pages
- 103551
- ISSN
- 1359-6446 (ISSN-L)
- PMC
- PMC10238671
- OpenAlex
- W4323926397
- Cited by
- 96
- References
- 13
- Citations by year
- 2026: 24 · 2025: 32 · 2024: 30 · 2023: 10
- FWCI
- 1.61
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- hybrid
- doi.org
- Licence
- Locations
- Drug Discovery Today (publishedVersion, cc-by-nc-nd)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- PubMed Central (acceptedVersion)
- Funders
- U.S. Department of Health and Human Services (HHSN261201500003I)
- National Institutes of Health (HHSN261201500003I)
- National Cancer Institute (Z01BC010440, HHSN261201500003I, Z01BC010441, HHSN261201500003C)
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Computer Science › Computational Theory and Mathematics › Computational Drug Discovery Methods
- Life Sciences › Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology › Molecular Biology › Protein Structure and Dynamics
- Life Sciences › Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology › Molecular Biology › Receptor Mechanisms and Signaling
- Keywords
- AlphaFold, allosteric drug discovery, protein structure prediction, artificial intelligence in drug discovery, kinases, receptors, rational drug design, drug-binding pocket
- MeSH terms
- Allosteric Regulation, Allosteric Site, Artificial Intelligence, Proteins, Drug Design, Drug Discovery
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