Interpreting the predictions of prediction markets

Manski, Charles F.·2006·Economics Letters
DOI 10.1016/j.econlet.2006.01.004

Cited by (331)

Items 101–200 of 331

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  7. REAL-MONEY VS. PLAY-MONEY FORECASTING ACCURACY IN ONLINE PREDICTION MARKETS – EMPIRICAL INSIGHTS FROM IPREDICT
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  18. Supervised Aggregation of Classifiers using Artificial Prediction Markets
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  19. Anomalies in Probability Estimates for Event Forecasting on Prediction Markets
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  24. Prediction Markets for Economic Forecasting
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  28. The Accuracy of Opinion Polling and its Relation to its Future
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  29. Collective Adoption of Max-Min Strategy in an Information Cascade Voting Experiment
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  38. 1. Introduction
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  39. 7. Framing the Problem and Identifying Potential Solutions
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  47. Impacts of Political Majorities on French Firms: Electoral Promises or Friendship Connections?
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  49. The Favorite-Longshot Midas
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  56. Accessing Knowledge with a Game -- A Meta-analysis of Prediction Markets
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  62. A Production Planning Model using Fuzzy Neural Network: A Case Study of an Automobile Industry
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  63. User adoption of wisdom of crowd: usage and performance of prediction market system
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  64. A Variable Payout Information Security Financial Instrument and Trading Mechanism to Address Information Security Risk
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  65. On the Road to Making Science of “Art”: Risk Bias in Market Scoring Rules
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  67. Prediction Markets to Forecast Electricity Demand
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  68. Eliciting Private Information from Selfish Agents
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  69. Decision Market Predictions: Separating Efficiency and Bias *
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  70. The Artificial Regression Market
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  71. Prediction markets supporting technology assessment
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  72. The Wisdom of the Crowd in Dynamic Economies
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  77. Intrade Prediction Market Accuracy and Efficiency: An Analysis of the 2004 and 2008 Democratic Presidential Nomination Contests
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  78. An Axiomatic View of the Parimutuel Consensus Mechanism
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  79. Neural Networks Assist Crowd Predictions in Discerning the Veracity of Emotional Expressions
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  81. Learning in Prediction Markets
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  82. Prediction Markets: A Review with an Experimentally Based Recommendation for Navy Force-shaping Application
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  90. Quantitative approaches for evaluating the influence of films using the IMDb database
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