Cited by 227Consumer Attitudes and Food LabelingNutritional Studies and DietCardiovascular Health and Risk Factors

Ultra-Processed Foods and Incident Cardiovascular Disease in the Framingham Offspring Study

Open access
Juul, Filippa, Vaidean, Georgeta, Lin, Yong, Deierlein, Andrea L., Parekh, Niyati·2021·Journal of the American College of Cardiology

Abstract

Background Ultra-processed foods provide 58% of total energy in the U.S. diet, yet their association with cardiovascular disease (CVD) remains understudied.Objectives The authors investigated the associations between ultra-processed foods and CVD incidence and mortality in the prospective Framingham Offspring Cohort.Methods The analytical sample included 3,003 adults free from CVD with valid dietary data at baseline. Data on diet, measured by food frequency questionnaire, anthropometric measures, and sociodemographic and lifestyle factors were collected quadrennially from 1991 to 2008. Data regarding CVD incidence and mortality were available until 2014 and 2017, respectively. Ultra-processed foods were defined according to the NOVA framework. The authors used Cox proportional hazards models to determine the multivariable association between ultra-processed food intake (energy-adjusted servings per day) and incident hard CVD, hard coronary heart disease (CHD), overall CVD, and CVD mortality. Multivariable models were adjusted for age, sex, education, alcohol consumption, smoking, and physical activity.Results During follow-up (1991 to 2014/2017), the authors identified 251, 163, and 648 cases of incident hard CVD, hard CHD, and overall CVD, respectively. On average, participants consumed 7.5 servings per day of ultra-processed foods at baseline. Each additional daily serving of ultra-processed foods was associated with a 7% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.03 to 1.12), 9% (95% CI: 1.04 to 1.15), 5% (95% CI: 1.02 to 1.08), and 9% (95% CI: 1.02 to 1.16) increase in the risk of hard CVD, hard CHD, overall CVD, and CVD mortality, respectively.Conclusions The current findings support that higher consumption of ultra-processed foods is associated with increased risk of CVD incidence and mortality. Although additional research in ethnically diverse populations is warranted, these findings suggest cardiovascular benefits of limiting ultra-processed foods.

The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.

Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.

A few free checks a day · papers already verified open instantly · results are public

Integrity signals

Registry

Crossref · 10.1016/j.jacc.2021.01.047

Cites

47 of 47 references verified0 citation errors · 0 not checkable

Statistics

Claims the paper makes

The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.

Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.

A few free checks a day · papers already verified open instantly · results are public

Claims other papers make about this one

Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?

  • Reducing saturated fat without considering the replacement macronutrient can lead to increased intake of added sugars and ultra-processed foods, resulting in adverse metabolic effects including increased risk of coronary heart disease and type 2 diabetes.

    “reducing saturated fat without considering the replacement macronutrient can lead to an increased intake of added sugars and ultra-processed foods, resulting in adverse metabolic effects, including an increased risk of coronary heart disease and type 2 diabetes”

    From Lifestyle Medicine for Obesity in the Era of Highly Effective Anti-Obesity Treatment (2025) · cites this paper as [208]

    Split into 2 atoms — 0 confirmed, 1 partially supported, 0 disputed, 0 misattributed, 1 unverifiable. Expand the claim to see per-atom verdicts.

    Experimental — accuracy not yet measured

Self-check

Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.

The self-check needs the paper’s full text.

Cites

Flagged first, then by citations

1 of the 48 references couldn’t be matched to a known paper.

Research works printed but not linked: 5

  1. Dawber TR, Meadors GF, Moore FE Jr. Epide- miological approaches to heart disease: the Fra- mingham Study. Am J Public Health Nations Health 1951;41:279-81.
  2. Zipf G, Chiappa M, Porter K. National health and nutrition examination survey: plan of opera- tions, 1999-2010. Vital Health Stat 2013;56:1-37.
  3. Lohman TG, Roche AF, Martorell R. Anthro- pometric Standardization Reference Manual. Champaign, IL: Human Kinetics Press, 1988.
  4. Zinocker MK, Lindseth IA. The Western diet- microbiome-host interaction and its role in meta- bolic disease. Nutrients 2018;10:365.
  5. KEY WORDS cardiovascular disease, coronary heart disease, Framingham Heart Study, Framingham Offspring Study, NOVA, ultra-processed foods JACC VOL. 77, NO. 12, 2021

Cited by

Sorted by citations

Authors
Juul, F., Vaidean, G., Lin, Y., Deierlein, A. L., & Parekh, N.
Affiliations
  • New York University (US)
  • Northwell Health (US)
  • Rutgers, The State University of New Jersey (US)
Corresponding author
Parekh, Niyati
Venue
Journal of the American College of Cardiology
Publisher
Elsevier BV
Published
2021-03
Volume
77
Issue
12
Pages
1520-1531
ISSN
0735-1097 (ISSN-L)
OpenAlex
W3138575867
Cited by
227
References
48
Citations by year
2026: 31 · 2025: 48 · 2024: 50 · 2023: 48 · 2022: 34 · 2021: 16
FWCI
31.87
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
Locations
  • Journal of the American College of Cardiology (publishedVersion)
  • PubMed (publishedVersion)
Funders
  • Agricultural Research Service (58-1950-7-707, 58-1950-4-401, 58-1950-9-001, 53-3k06-5-10)
  • Boston University (N01-HC-25195)
  • National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute
Topics
  • Health Sciences › Medicine › Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health › Consumer Attitudes and Food Labeling
  • Health Sciences › Medicine › Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health › Nutritional Studies and Diet
  • Health Sciences › Medicine › Cardiology and Cardiovascular Medicine › Cardiovascular Health and Risk Factors
Keywords
ultra-processed foods, cardiovascular disease incidence, cardiovascular mortality, coronary artery disease, NOVA classification, dietary intake, Framingham Offspring Study, diet and cardiovascular risk
MeSH terms
Cardiovascular Diseases, Female, Humans, Male, Middle Aged, Prospective Studies, Incidence, Fast Foods

About these checks

Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.

Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.

Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.

What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›

Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review