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Effectiveness of influenza vaccines in preventing severe influenza illness among adults: A systematic review and meta- analysis of test-negative design case-control studies
Open accessAbstract
Objectives Summary evidence of influenza vaccine effectiveness (IVE) against hospitalized influenza is lacking. We conducted a meta-analysis of studies reporting IVE against laboratory-confirmed hospitalized influenza among adults.Methods We searched Pubmed (January 2009 to November 2016) for studies that used test-negative design (TND) to enrol patients hospitalized with influenza-associated conditions. Two independent authors selected relevant articles. We calculated pooled IVE against any and (sub)type specific influenza among all adults, and stratified by age group (18-64 and 65 years and above) using random-effects models.Results We identified 3411 publications and 30 met our inclusion criteria. Between 2010-11 and 2014-15, the pooled seasonal IVE was 41% (95%CI:34;48) for any influenza (51% (95%CI:44;58) among people aged 18-64y and 37% (95%CI:30;44) among ≥65 years). IVE was 48% (95%CI:37;59),37% (95%CI:24;50) and 38% (95%CI:23;53) against influenza A(H1N1)pdm09, A(H3N2) and B, respectively. Among persons aged ≥65 year, IVE against A(H3N2) was 43% (95%CI:33;53) in seasons when circulating and vaccine strains were antigenically similar and 14% (95%CI:-3;30) when A(H3N2) variant viruses predominated.Conclusions Influenza vaccines provided moderate protection against influenza-associated hospitalizations among adults. They seemed to provide low protection among elderly in seasons where vaccine and circulating A(H3N2) strains were antigenically variant.
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“Moreover, a recent review identified that vaccine effectiveness in adults aged >65 years was only 37% compared to 51% for working-age adults (Rondy et al., 2017).”
From Viral Infections, the Microbiome, and Probiotics (2021) · cites this paper as Rondy et al., 2017
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Metadata
- Authors
- Rondy, M., El Omeiri, N., Thompson, M. G., Levêque, A., Moren, A., & Sullivan, S. G.
- Affiliations
- Université de Bordeaux (FR)
- Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (US)
- Peter Doherty Institute (AU)
- Corresponding author
- Rondy, Marc
- Venue
- Journal of Infection
- Publisher
- Elsevier BV
- Published
- 2017-11
- Volume
- 75
- Issue
- 5
- Pages
- 381-394
- ISSN
- 0163-4453 (ISSN-L)
- PMC
- PMC5912669
- OpenAlex
- W2754200907
- Cited by
- 247
- References
- 85
- Citations by year
- 2026: 20 · 2025: 31 · 2024: 29 · 2023: 34 · 2022: 30 · 2021: 35 · 2020: 38 · 2019: 16 · 2018: 13 · 2017: 1
- FWCI
- 2.46
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- green
- europepmc.org
- Locations
- Journal of Infection (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Europe PMC (PubMed Central) (acceptedVersion)
- PubMed Central (acceptedVersion)
- Dépôt institutionnel de l'Université libre de Bruxelles (Université Libre de Bruxelles) (submittedVersion)
- Funders
- National Institutes of Health (CC999999)
- Topics
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Epidemiology › Influenza Virus Research Studies
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Epidemiology › Respiratory viral infections research
- Social Sciences › Health › Vaccine Coverage and Hesitancy
- Keywords
- influenza vaccine effectiveness, seasonal influenza vaccine, influenza-associated hospitalizations, test-negative design, influenza A(H1N1)pdm09, H3N2, influenza B, antigenic mismatch, older adults, adults
- MeSH terms
- Immunogenicity, Vaccine, Adult, Hospitalization, Humans, Influenza, Human, Influenza Vaccines, Case-Control Studies, Treatment Outcome
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
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