Cited by 592Integrated Energy Systems OptimizationElectric Power System OptimizationRenewable energy and sustainable power systems

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The Role of Firm Low-Carbon Electricity Resources in Deep Decarbonization of Power Generation

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Sepulveda, Nestor A., Jenkins, Jesse D., de Sisternes, Fernando J., Lester, Richard K.·2018·Joule

DOI 10.1016/j.joule.2018.08.006

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Abstract

Summary We investigate the role of firm low-carbon resources in decarbonizing power generation in combination with variable renewable resources, battery energy storage, demand flexibility, and long-distance transmission. We evaluate nearly 1,000 cases covering varying CO2 limits, technological uncertainties, and geographic differences in demand and renewable resource potential. Availability of firm low-carbon technologies, including nuclear, natural gas with carbon capture and sequestration, and bioenergy, reduces electricity costs by 10%–62% across fully decarbonized cases. Below 50 gCO2/kWh, these resources lower costs in the vast majority of cases. Additionally, as emissions limits decrease, installed capacity of several resources changes non-monotonically. This underscores the need to evaluate near-term policy and investment decisions based on contributions to long-term decarbonization rather than interim goals. Installed capacity for all resources is also strongly affected by uncertain technology parameters. This emphasizes the importance of a broad research portfolio and flexible policy support that expands rather than constrains future options.

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Authors: Sepulveda, N. A., Jenkins, J. D., de Sisternes, F. J., & Lester, R. K.
Affiliations: Massachusetts Institute of Technology (US)
Corresponding author: Sepulveda, Nestor A.
Lester, Richard K.
ORCID: Sepulveda, Nestor A.
Jenkins, Jesse D.
Venue: Joule
Publisher: Elsevier BV
Published: 2018-11
Volume: 2
Issue: 11
Pages: 2403-2420
ISSN: 2542-4351 (ISSN-L)
DOI: 10.1016/j.joule.2018.08.006
OpenAlex: W2889797253
Semantic Scholar: 574594c8bdce53a5c5b1a4ed513e8e1c5ba484d6
Cited by: 592
References: 42
Citations by year: 2026: 95 · 2025: 89 · 2024: 74 · 2023: 85 · 2022: 96 · 2021: 85 · 2020: 45 · 2019: 19 · 2018: 4
FWCI: 14.64
Type: journal article
Language: en
Open access: bronze
doi.org
Licence: www.elsevier.com/tdm/userlicense/1.0/ (tdm)
www.elsevier.com/open-access/userlicense/1.0/ (vor, 385 d)
Locations: Joule (publishedVersion)
Funders: Chilean Navy
MIT
Martin Family Society of Fellows
Topics: Physical Sciences › Engineering › Electrical and Electronic Engineering › Integrated Energy Systems Optimization
Physical Sciences › Engineering › Electrical and Electronic Engineering › Electric Power System Optimization
Physical Sciences › Energy › Renewable Energy, Sustainability and the Environment › Renewable energy and sustainable power systems
Keywords: variable renewable energy, battery energy storage, demand-side flexibility, long-distance transmission, nuclear energy, carbon capture and storage, bioenergy, electricity cost, technological uncertainty, installed capacity, energy policy

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The Role of Firm Low-Carbon Electricity Resources in Deep Decarbonization of Power Generation

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