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Rethinking the choice of carbon tax and carbon trading in China

Jia, Zhijie, Lin, Boqiang·2020·Technological Forecasting and Social Change

Abstract

Abstract Carbon tax and carbon emission trading are used as emission reduction strategies. This paper re-analyzes the differences between the carbon tax and carbon trading by applying a recursive dynamic computable general equilibrium model, called the CEEEA (China Environmental-Energy-Economy Analysis) model. Unlike previous literature, we make the gross domestic product an exogenous variable and explore different effects between carbon tax mechanism and carbon trading mechanism on the environment, energy, and economy. Given a constant GDP effect, both carbon trading and carbon tax have strong emission reduction capacity, but the relative emission reduction efficiency of the carbon tax is higher than that of carbon trading. This advantage increases over time. Carbon trading has a certain negative effect on the output of the energy industry, and also on the output of other energy-intensive industries involving in carbon trading. After considering the various invisible costs of establishing a new carbon trading market, this paper recommends that China could directly levy a carbon tax on energy enterprises, or just increase the production tax on fossil fuels to reduce CO2 emissions effectively. In this way, the commodity market can be used for price incentives and thus, achieve the goal of emission reduction.

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Metadata

Authors
Jia, Z., & Lin, B.
Venue
Technological Forecasting and Social Change
Publisher
Elsevier BV
Published
2020-10
Volume
159
Pages
120187
ISSN
0040-1625 (ISSN-L)
OpenAlex
W3043223142
Cited by
257
References
43
FWCI
28.43
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
closed

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CoChat. (2026). Citation check: Rethinking the choice of carbon tax and carbon trading in China. https://app.cochat.ai/papers/10.1016/j.techfore.2020.120187
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Jia, Z., & Lin, B. (2020). Rethinking the choice of carbon tax and carbon trading in China. Technological Forecasting and Social Change. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2020.120187

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