Hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) predicts future drug treatment for diabetes mellitus: a follow-up study using routine clinical data in a Japanese university hospital
Abstract
Hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) has been widely used as a measure of glycemic control in patients with diabetes mellitus. However, the role of HbA1c in the prediabetic stage has received little attention, although the effectiveness of early intensive intervention for the prediabetic patients defined by plasma glucose is well documented. In this study, routine clinical data in a Japanese university hospital were used to address whether the level of HbA1c predicted drug treatment for diabetes mellitus. The study population consisted of 38,628 adolescent and adult patients (>or=15 years old) who used routine medical care services provided by the hospital and who were prescribed no anti-diabetic drugs in the 12 months before the 3-year study period. The rates of starting anti-diabetic drugs during the study period were calculated for subgroups divided by the level of HbA1c followed by Kaplan-Meier survival analysis and Cox proportional-hazard regression. In addition, the medical records of middle-aged patients with borderline (5.6-6.4%) and high (>or=6.5%) levels of HbA1c were examined to estimate the rates of initial drug treatment for type 2 diabetes mellitus. The rate (95% confidence interval; CI) of beginning anti-diabetic drug therapy was 1.5 (0.9-2.5)/1000 patient-years in patients with a normal level of HbA1c ( or=6.5%) level of HbA1c was found to strongly predict future drug treatment for diabetes mellitus.
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People within the A1C range of 5.5-6.0% have a 5-year cumulative incidence of diabetes that ranges from 12 to 25%.
“Prospective studies indicate that people within the A1C range of 5.5–6.0% have a 5-year cumulative incidence of diabetes that ranges from 12 to 25% (4–7), which is appreciably (three- to eightfold) higher than incidence in the U.S. population as a whole (8).”
From Diagnosis and classification of diabetes mellitus (2013) · cites this paper as [7]
Incidence of diabetes in people with A1C levels in the 6.0 to <6.5% range is more than 10 times that of people with lower levels.
“Indeed, incidence of diabetes in people with A1C levels in this range is more than 10 times that of people with lower levels (4–7).”
From Diagnosis and classification of diabetes mellitus (2013) · cites this paper as [7]
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An evaluation of factors that affect glycaemic control and its measurements in diabetes mellitus
Ng, J. M. (2010) · Repository@Hull (Worktribe) (University of Hull)
- Authors
- Shimazaki, T., Kadowaki, T., Ohyama, Y., Ohe, K., & Kubota, K.
- Affiliations
- The University of Tokyo (JP)
- Nihon Pharmaceutical University (JP)
- Corresponding author
- Kubota, Kiyoshi
- Venue
- Translational research
- Publisher
- Elsevier BV
- Published
- 2007-04
- Volume
- 149
- Issue
- 4
- Pages
- 196-204
- ISSN
- 1878-1810 (ISSN-L)
- 1931-5244
- OpenAlex
- W1983781114
- Cited by
- 42
- References
- 37
- Citations by year
- 2023: 6 · 2022: 2 · 2021: 1 · 2020: 1 · 2019: 4 · 2018: 2 · 2017: 1 · 2016: 1 · 2015: 2 · 2014: 2 · 2013: 3 · 2012: 3
- FWCI
- 1.96
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Locations
- Translational research (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Topics
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Endocrinology, Diabetes and Metabolism › Diabetes Management and Research
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Endocrinology, Diabetes and Metabolism › Diabetes Treatment and Management
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Endocrinology, Diabetes and Metabolism › Diabetes, Cardiovascular Risks, and Lipoproteins
- Keywords
- HbA1c, prediabetes, type 2 diabetes, glycemic control, early intensive intervention, diabetes prevention, risk prediction, Japanese adults, adolescents, middle-aged adults, routine clinical data, hospital medical records, HbA1c thresholds
- MeSH terms
- Adolescent, Adult, Diabetes Mellitus, Female, Follow-Up Studies, Glycated Hemoglobin, Hospitals, University, Humans, Hypoglycemic Agents, Japan, Male, Middle Aged, Prediabetic State, Predictive Value of Tests, Proportional Hazards Models, Kaplan-Meier Estimate
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