The DOI matches its Crossref record; 36 of the 36 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
Efficient market hypothesis and forecasting
Overview
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Verification
Claims the paper makes
Claims other papers make about this one
Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?
In the citing paper
“Indeed, a technical trading rule may predict cryptocurrency movements in the sense of generating significant returns but still not be profitable once the excess returns are adjusted for transaction costs (Timmermann and Granger 2004).”
From Technical trading and cryptocurrencies (2021) · cites this paper as Timmermann and Granger 2004
Citations
Cites
EFFICIENT CAPITAL MARKETS: A REVIEW OF THEORY AND EMPIRICAL WORK*
Malkiel, B. G., & Fama, E. F. (1970) · The Journal of Finance · doi:10.1111/j.1540-6261.1970.tb00518.x · Cited by 24,478
Efficient capital markets: A review of theory and empirical work
Fama, E. F. (1970) · The Journal of Finance · doi:10.2307/2325486 · Cited by 13,635
Diebold, F. X., & Mariano, R. S. (1994) · National Bureau of Economic Research · doi:10.3386/t0169 · Cited by 5,498
FAMA, E. F. (1991) · The Journal of Finance · doi:10.1111/j.1540-6261.1991.tb04636.x · Cited by 5,350
Martingales and arbitrage in multiperiod securities markets
Harrison, J. M., & Kreps, D. M. (1979) · Journal of Economic Theory · doi:10.1016/0022-0531(79)90043-7 · Cited by 3,596
Estimating Time Varying Risk Premia in the Term Structure: The Arch-M Model
Engle, R. F., Lilien, D. M., & Robins, R. P. (1987) · Econometrica · doi:10.2307/1913242 · Cited by 2,469
Diebold, F. X., & Mariano, R. S. (1995) · Journal of Business and Economic Statistics · doi:10.2307/1392185 · Cited by 2,340
Simple technical trading rules and the stochastic properties of stock returns
BROCK, W., LAKONISHOK, J., & LeBARON, B. (1992) · The Journal of Finance · doi:10.1111/j.1540-6261.1992.tb04681.x · Cited by 2,301
Stochastic Consumption, Risk Aversion, and the Temporal Behavior of Asset Returns
Hansen, L. P., & Singleton, K. J. (1983) · Journal of Political Economy · doi:10.1086/261141 · Cited by 1,594
Some anomalous evidence regarding market efficiency
Jensen, M. C. (1978) · Journal of Financial Economics · doi:10.1016/0304-405x(78)90025-9 · Cited by 1,447
Research works printed but not linked: 2
- Engle, 1993, Arbitrage valuation of variance forecasts using simulated options, Advances in Futures and Options Research, 6, 393
- Granger, C. W., & Jeon, Y. (2003) Thick Modelling, Journal of Economic Modeling, in press. UCSD, Mimeo.
Cited by
Sorted by citations
Items 101–200 of 517
A new auditory algorithm in stock market prediction on oil and gas sector in Nigerian stock exchange
Oyewola, D. O., Ibrahim, A., Kwanamu, J. A., & Dada, E. G. (2021) · Soft Computing Letters · doi:10.1016/j.socl.2021.100013 · Cited by 26
Gradient Boosting and LSTM Based Hybrid Ensemble Learning for Two Step Prediction of Stock Market
Mohapatra, P. R., Parida, A. K., Swain, S. K., & Basa, S. S. (2023) · Journal of Advances in Information Technology · doi:10.12720/jait.14.6.1254-1260 · Cited by 26
A New Bootstrapped Hybrid Artificial Neural Network Approach for Time Series Forecasting
Eğrioğlu, E., & Fildes, R. A. (2020) · Computational Economics · doi:10.1007/s10614-020-10073-7 · Cited by 25
Network-based direction of movement prediction in financial markets
Kia, A. N., Haratizadeh, S., & Shouraki, S. B. (2019) · Engineering Applications of Artificial Intelligence · doi:10.1016/j.engappai.2019.103340 · Cited by 25
Events that Shook the Market: An Insight from Nonlinear Serial Dependencies in Intraday ReturnsPreprint
Lim, K., Hinich, M., & Brooks, R. (2006) · SSRN Electronic Journal · doi:10.2139/ssrn.912603 · Cited by 25
Simulating and assessing carbon markets: Application to the Korean and the EU ETSs
Jang, M., Yoon, S., Jung, S., & Min, B. (2024) · Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews · doi:10.1016/j.rser.2024.114346 · Cited by 24
Jiang, W., Ling, L., Zhang, D., Lin, R., & Zeng, L. (2023) · Neural Processing Letters · doi:10.1007/s11063-022-11113-z · Cited by 26
Practical machine learning: Forecasting daily financial markets directions
Henrique, B. M., Sobreiro, V. A., & Kimura, H. (2023) · Expert Systems with Applications · doi:10.1016/j.eswa.2023.120840 · Cited by 25
Statistical Evaluation of Deep Learning Models for Stock Return Forecasting
Yılmaz, F., & Yıldıztepe, E. (2022) · Computational Economics · doi:10.1007/s10614-022-10338-3 · Cited by 22
The Profitability of Technical Analysis: A Review
Park, C., & Irwin, S. H. (2004) · AgEcon Search (University of Minnesota, USA) · doi:10.22004/ag.econ.37487 · Cited by 24
Market Inefficiencies Associated with Pricing Oil Stocks During Shocks
Qiao, K., Sun, Y., & Wang, S. (2018) · Energy Economics · doi:10.1016/j.eneco.2019.04.016 · Cited by 22
Forecasting stock market return with nonlinearity: a genetic programming approach
Ding, S., Cui, T., Xiong, X., & Bai, R. (2020) · Journal of Ambient Intelligence and Humanized Computing · doi:10.1007/s12652-020-01762-0 · Cited by 22
Efficiency Hypothesis of the Stock Markets: A Case of Indian Securities
Sharma, G. D., & Mahendru, M. (2009) · International Journal of Business and Management · doi:10.5539/ijbm.v4n3p136 · Cited by 22
Abdulkadir, S. J., Yong, S.-P., Marimuthu, M., & Lai, F. (2014) · Lecture notes in computer science · doi:10.1007/978-3-319-13817-6_8 · Cited by 21
Improving the accuracy of outlook price forecasts
Colino, E. V., Irwin, S. H., & Garcia, P. (2010) · Agricultural Economics · doi:10.1111/j.1574-0862.2010.00519.x · Cited by 21
Chourmouziadis, K., Chourmouziadou, D. K., & Chatzoglou, P. (2020) · Computational Economics · doi:10.1007/s10614-020-10016-2 · Cited by 22
Sanders, D. R., & Manfredo, M. R. (2005) · American Journal of Agricultural Economics · doi:10.1111/j.1467-8276.2005.00751.x · Cited by 21
Kräussl, R., & Wiehenkamp, C. (2011) · Review of Derivatives Research · doi:10.1007/s11147-011-9061-x · Cited by 20
THE IMPACT OF BEHAVIORAL FINANCE ON STOCK MARKETS
Ramona, F. (2012) · RePEc: Research Papers in Economics · Cited by 20
Economic significance of market timing rules in the Forward Freight Agreement markets
Nomikos, N. K., & Doctor, K. (2013) · Transportation Research Part E Logistics and Transportation Review · doi:10.1016/j.tre.2012.11.009 · Cited by 20
Stock market prediction based on adaptive training algorithm in machine learning
Kim, H., Jun, S., & Moon, K.-S. (2022) · Quantitative Finance · doi:10.1080/14697688.2022.2041208 · Cited by 19
Gümüş, B., & Zeren, F. (2014) · Ekonomski horizonti · doi:10.5937/ekonhor1403225g · Cited by 19
Han, C., Wang, Y., & Xu, Y. (2020) · Economic Research-Ekonomska Istraživanja · doi:10.1080/1331677x.2020.1734852 · Cited by 19
A novel LASSO – TLBO – SVR hybrid model for an efficient portfolio construction
Mishra, S., Padhy, S., Mishra, S. N., & Misra, S. N. (2021) · The North American Journal of Economics and Finance · doi:10.1016/j.najef.2020.101350 · Cited by 20
Market efficiency during the global financial crisis: Empirical evidence from European banks
Choudhry, T., & Jayasekera, R. (2014) · Journal of International Money and Finance · doi:10.1016/j.jimonfin.2014.03.008 · Cited by 19
Market development and market efficiency: evidence based on nonlinear panel unit root tests
AKTAN, C., Iren, P., & Omay, T. (2018) · European Journal of Finance · doi:10.1080/1351847x.2018.1560346 · Cited by 18
Market Efficiency and Nonlinear Analysis of Soybean Futures
Yin, T., & Wang, Y. (2021) · Sustainability · doi:10.3390/su13020518 · Cited by 18
Energy Crisis and Electricity Reform of Ukraine - First Results
Shevchenko, S., Koval, A., Danylchenko, D. O., & Koval, V. (2020) · IEEE KhPI Week on Advanced Technology (KhPIWeek) · doi:10.1109/khpiweek51551.2020.9250119 · Cited by 17
Ersan, D., Nishioka, C., & Scherp, A. (2019) · Journal of Computational Social Science · doi:10.1007/s42001-019-00057-5 · Cited by 18
Kunze, F., Basse, T., Gonzalez, M. R., & Vornholz, G. (2020) · The Journal of Risk Finance · doi:10.1108/jrf-10-2019-0191 · Cited by 17
Choudhry, T., & Jayasekera, R. (2013) · Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting · doi:10.1007/s11156-013-0404-6 · Cited by 17
Forecasting bulk prices of Bordeaux wines using leading indicators
Paroissien, E. (2019) · International Journal of Forecasting · doi:10.1016/j.ijforecast.2019.04.021 · Cited by 17
Efficient scholars: academic attention and the disappearance of anomalies
Shanaev, S., & Ghimire, B. (2020) · European Journal of Finance · doi:10.1080/1351847x.2020.1812684 · Cited by 17
Predictions of short-term rates and the expectations hypothesis
Guidolin, M., & Thornton, D. L. (2018) · International Journal of Forecasting · doi:10.1016/j.ijforecast.2018.03.006 · Cited by 17
The trading on the mutual funds by gene expression programming with Sortino ratio
Chen, H., Yang, C., & Peng, Y.-H. (2013) · Applied Soft Computing · doi:10.1016/j.asoc.2013.09.011 · Cited by 18
Using conditional probability to identify trends in intra-day high-frequency equity pricing
Rechenthin, M., & Street, W. N. (2013) · Physica A Statistical Mechanics and its Applications · doi:10.1016/j.physa.2013.08.003 · Cited by 16
Analysis of the Relationship between Ethanol Spot and Futures Prices in Brazil
Quintino, D., David, S. A., & Vian, C. E. D. F. (2017) · International Journal of Financial Studies · doi:10.3390/ijfs5020011 · Cited by 16
On the investment value of sell-side analyst recommendation revisions in the UK
Su, C., Zhang, H., Bangassa, K., & Joseph, N. L. (2018) · Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting · doi:10.1007/s11156-018-0749-y · Cited by 18
Horowitz, M. C. (2021) · Oxford University Press eBooks · doi:10.1093/oxfordhb/9780190634131.013.16 · Cited by 16
An Intelligent Trading System with Fuzzy Rules and Fuzzy Capital Management
Naranjo, R., Alias, A. M., Arroyo, J., & Santos, M. (2015) · International Journal of Intelligent Systems · doi:10.1002/int.21734 · Cited by 15
Aatola, P., Ollikka, K., & Ollikainen, M. (2013) · Journal of Environmental Economics and Policy · doi:10.1080/21606544.2013.865569 · Cited by 16
Nonparametric Retrospection and Monitoring of Predictability of Financial Returns
Anatolyev, S. (2009) · Journal of Business and Economic Statistics · doi:10.1198/jbes.2009.0010 · Cited by 16
Forecasting the value effect of seasoned equity offering announcements
Bozos, K., & Nikolopoulos, K. I. (2011) · European Journal of Operational Research · doi:10.1016/j.ejor.2011.04.007 · Cited by 15
Decision trees unearth return sign predictability in the S&P 500
Fiévet, L., & Sornette, D. (2018) · Quantitative Finance · doi:10.1080/14697688.2018.1441535 · Cited by 14
Taiwan Stock Investment with Gene Expression Programming
Lee, C.-H., Yang, C., & Chen, H. (2014) · Procedia Computer Science · doi:10.1016/j.procs.2014.08.093 · Cited by 14
Nurunnabi, M. (2012) · Journal of Business Economics and Management · doi:10.3846/16111699.2011.620140 · Cited by 14
Patterns in stock market movements tested as random number generators
Doyle, J. R., & Chen, C. H. (2012) · European Journal of Operational Research · doi:10.1016/j.ejor.2012.11.057 · Cited by 14
Artificial neural network analysis of the day of the week anomaly in cryptocurrencies
Tosunoğlu, N. G., Abacı, H., Ateş, G., & Akkaya, N. S. (2023) · Financial Innovation · doi:10.1186/s40854-023-00499-x · Cited by 13
Risse, M., & Ohl, L. (2016) · Journal of Empirical Finance · doi:10.1016/j.jempfin.2017.09.005 · Cited by 13
Afshan, S., Sharif, A., Nassani, A. A., Abro, M. M. Q., Batool, R., & Zaman, K. (2020) · International Journal of Finance & Economics · doi:10.1002/ijfe.1908 · Cited by 13
Judgemental bootstrapping of technical traders in the bond market
Batchelor, R., & Kwan, T. Y. (2007) · International Journal of Forecasting · doi:10.1016/j.ijforecast.2007.05.007 · Cited by 13
Major Transitions in Political Order
DeDeo, S. (2017) · Cambridge University Press eBooks · doi:10.1017/9781316584200.016 · Cited by 14
Owidi, O. H., & Mugo-Waweru, F. (2016) · Cai-jing yanjiu · doi:10.12691/jfe-4-3-1 · Cited by 13
A theoretical foundation of portfolio resampling
Frahm, G. (2014) · Theory and Decision · doi:10.1007/s11238-014-9453-0 · Cited by 13
Grosche, S., & Grosche, S. (2012) · RePEc: Research Papers in Economics · doi:10.22004/ag.econ.121868 · Cited by 13
Predicting Break-Points in Trading Strategies with TwitterPreprint
Vincent, A., & Armstrong, M. (2010) · SSRN Electronic Journal · doi:10.2139/ssrn.1685150 · Cited by 13
Unveiling deep learning powers: LSTM, BiLSTM, GRU, BiGRU, RNN comparison
Shaikh, Z. M., & Suguna, R. (2024) · Indonesian Journal of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science · doi:10.11591/ijeecs.v35.i1.pp263-273 · Cited by 12
Yang, J., Zhang, M., Fang, R., Zhang, W., & Zhou, J. (2024) · Applied Soft Computing · doi:10.1016/j.asoc.2024.112116 · Cited by 15
A Comparison of Time Series Model Forecasting Methods on Patent Groups.
Smith, M., & Agrawal, R. K. (2015) · MAICS · Cited by 12
Algorithmic complexity of financial motions
Brandouy, O., Delahaye, J.-P., Ma, L., & Zenil, H. (2012) · Research in International Business and Finance · doi:10.1016/j.ribaf.2012.08.001 · Cited by 12
A survival analysis method for stock market prediction
Gao, G., Bu, Z., Liu, L., Cao, J., & Wu, Z. (2015) · International Conference on Behavioral, Economic, and Socio-Cultural Computing · doi:10.1109/besc.2015.7365968 · Cited by 12
Measuring the functional efficiency of agricultural futures markets
Consuegra, M., & García-Verdugo, J. (2016) · Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics · doi:10.1111/1467-8489.12196 · Cited by 12
Political Cycle and Stock Market - The Case of Malaysia
Celis, E. E., & Shen, L. J. (2015) · Cited by 12
PRICING AND VALUATION UNDER THE REAL-WORLD MEASURE
Frahm, G. (2016) · International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance · doi:10.1142/s0219024916500060 · Cited by 12
Forecasting the stock market index using artificial intelligence techniques
Marwala, L. (2010) · University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg Institutional Repository on DSpace (University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg) · Cited by 13
Autoencoding Conditional GAN for Portfolio Allocation Diversification
Lu, J., & Yi, S. (2022) · Applied Economics and Finance · doi:10.11114/aef.v9i3.5610 · Cited by 11
Ethereum 2.0 Hard Fork: Consensus Change and Market Efficiency
Ahn, J., Yi, E., & Kim, M. (2024) · The Journal of British Blockchain Association · doi:10.31585/jbba-7-2-(2)2024 · Cited by 11
Vukovic, D. B., Radenković, S. D., Simeunović, I., Zinovev, V., & Radovanovic, M. M. (2024) · Mathematics · doi:10.3390/math12193066 · Cited by 16
HİSSE SENEDİ GETİRİLERİNDE DOĞRUSAL OLMAYAN DİNAMİKLER: TÜRKİYE'DEN KANITLAR
Sülkü, S. N., & Ürkmez, E. (2018) · Uluslararası İktisadi ve İdari İncelemeler Dergisi · doi:10.18092/ulikidince.349846 · Cited by 11
Pairs trading across Mainland China and Hong Kong stock markets
Zhang, H., & Urquhart, A. (2018) · International Journal of Finance & Economics · doi:10.1002/ijfe.1687 · Cited by 11
DRNN-ARIMA Approach to Short-term Trend Forecasting in Forex Market
Weerathunga, H. P. S. D., & Silva, T. (2018) · International Conference on Advances in ICT for Emerging Regions · doi:10.1109/icter.2018.8615580 · Cited by 11
A Data-Driven Model Approach for DayWise Stock Prediction
Unnithan, N. A., Gopalakrishnan, E. A., Menon, V., & Soman, K. P. (2019) · Lecture notes in electrical engineering · doi:10.1007/978-981-13-5802-9_14 · Cited by 11
Deep Learning for Financial Time Series Forecast Fusion and Optimal Portfolio Rebalancing
Laher, S., Paskaramoorthy, A., & van Zyl, T. L. (2021) · International Conference on Information Fusion (FUSION) · doi:10.23919/fusion49465.2021.9626945 · Cited by 11
Load Forecasting Accuracy through Combination of Trimmed Forecasts
Hassan, S., Khosravi, A., Jaafar, J., & Belhaouari, S. B. (2012) · Lecture notes in computer science · doi:10.1007/978-3-642-34475-6_19 · Cited by 11
PAGAN: Portfolio Analysis with Generative Adversarial NetworksPreprint
Mariani, G., Zhu, Y., Li, J., Scheidegger, F., Istrate, R., Bekas, C., & Malossi, A. C. I. (2019) · RePEc: Research Papers in Economics · doi:10.48550/arxiv.1909.10578 · Cited by 11
Palma, A. A., & Sartoris, A. (2016) · Latin American Business Review · doi:10.1080/10978526.2016.1171720 · Cited by 10
Technology Choices in the U.S. Electricity Industry before and after Market Restructuring
Csereklyei, Z., & Stern, D. I. (2018) · The Energy Journal · doi:10.5547/01956574.39.5.zcse · Cited by 10
Mengelkamp, A., Hobert, S., & Schümann, M. (2015) · Journal of the Association for Information Systems · Cited by 10
den Poel, D. V., Chesterman, C., Koppen, M., & Ballings, M. (2016) · IEEE Congress on Evolutionary Computation (CEC) · doi:10.1109/cec.2016.7744227 · Cited by 10
Fuzzy Based Neuro - Genetic Algorithm for Stock Market Prediction
Venugopal, K. R., Srinivasa, K. G., & Patnaik, L. M. (2009) · Studies in computational intelligence · doi:10.1007/978-3-642-00193-2_7 · Cited by 10
Hsu, P., & Taylor, M. (2014) · SSRN Electronic Journal · doi:10.2139/ssrn.2517125 · Cited by 10
Empirical Cross-Sectional Asset PricingPreprint
Nagel, S. (2012) · SSRN Electronic Journal · doi:10.2139/ssrn.2175304 · Cited by 10
Rink, K. (2023) · Financial markets and portfolio management · doi:10.1007/s11408-023-00433-2 · Cited by 16
Harry Markowitz: An appreciation
Guerard, J. B. (2023) · International Journal of Forecasting · doi:10.1016/j.ijforecast.2023.07.004 · Cited by 9
Evolutionary model on market ecology of investors and investments
Gao, Y.-C., Cai, S., Lü, L., & Wang, B.-H. (2013) · Physica A Statistical Mechanics and its Applications · doi:10.1016/j.physa.2013.04.007 · Cited by 9
Yaz Saati Uygulaması Anomalisinin İMKB 100 Endeks Getirisine Etkisinin Test Edilmesi
Korkmaz, T., BAŞARAN, Ü., & Çevik, E. İ. (2010) · Ege Akademik Bakis (Ege Academic Review) · doi:10.21121/eab.2010419600 · Cited by 9
What do we know about informational efficiency? Three puzzles and the new direction forward
Go, Y., & Lau, W. (2021) · Journal of Economic Surveys · doi:10.1111/joes.12478 · Cited by 9
Can active investment managers beat the market? A study from the U.S. large cap equity segment
Šindelář, J. (2022) · Finance research letters · doi:10.1016/j.frl.2022.103204 · Cited by 12
Yaya, O. S., Adekoya, O. B., Vo, X. V., & Al‐Faryan, M. A. S. (2022) · International Journal of Finance & Economics · doi:10.1002/ijfe.2676 · Cited by 9
Nikolopoulos, K. I., & Fildes, R. A. (2012) · IMA Journal of Management Mathematics · doi:10.1093/imaman/dps006 · Cited by 9
Tan, S., Lai, M.-M., Tey, E.-X., & Chong, L. (2018) · The North American Journal of Economics and Finance · doi:10.1016/j.najef.2018.12.007 · Cited by 13
Testing the financial market informational efficiency in emerging states
Oprean-Stan, C. (2012) · RePEc: Research Papers in Economics · Cited by 8
La hipótesis de eficiencia y la modelación de series bursátiles mexicanas: un análisis multivariado
Ruíz-Porras, A., & Ruiz-Robles, B. (2015) · Economía Informa · doi:10.1016/s0185-0849(15)30003-7 · Cited by 8
THE PREDICTABILITY OF STOCK MARKET RETURNS IN SOUTH AFRICA: PARAMETRIC VS. NON‐PARAMETRIC METHODS
Bonga‐Bonga, L., & Mwamba, J. W. M. (2011) · South African Journal of Economics · doi:10.1111/j.1813-6982.2011.01280.x · Cited by 8
How Reliable is the Moving Average Crossover Rule for an Investor on the Romanian Stock Market
Anghel, D. G. (2013) · RePEc: Research Papers in Economics · Cited by 8
SVM based Stock Price Forecasting Using Financial Statements
Heo, J., & Yang, J. Y. (2015) · 정보과학회 컴퓨팅의 실제 논문지 · doi:10.5626/ktcp.2015.21.3.167 · Cited by 8
Is the sovereign debt market efficient? Evidence from the US and German sovereign debt markets
Fakhry, B., & Richter, C. (2014) · International Economics and Economic Policy · doi:10.1007/s10368-014-0304-9 · Cited by 8
Non-linear forecasting in high-frequency financial time series
Strozzi, F., & Zaldı́var, J. M. (2005) · Physica A Statistical Mechanics and its Applications · doi:10.1016/j.physa.2005.01.047 · Cited by 8
Towards a non-linear trading strategy for financial time series
Strozzi, F., & Comenges, J. Z. (2005) · Chaos Solitons & Fractals · doi:10.1016/j.chaos.2005.08.006 · Cited by 8
The performance of technical trading rules in Socially Responsible Investments
Urquhart, A., & Zhang, H. (2019) · International Review of Economics & Finance · doi:10.1016/j.iref.2019.05.002 · Cited by 8
Metadata
- Authors
- Timmermann, A., & Granger, C. W. J.
- Affiliations
- University of California San Diego (US)
- Corresponding author
- Timmermann, Allan
- ORCID
- Timmermann, Allan
- Venue
- International Journal of Forecasting
- Publisher
- Elsevier BV
- Published
- 2004-01
- Volume
- 20
- Issue
- 1
- Pages
- 15-27
- ISSN
- 0169-2070 (ISSN-L)
- OpenAlex
- W2121224351
- Cited by
- 517
- References
- 35
- Citations by year
- 2026: 19 · 2025: 27 · 2024: 29 · 2023: 30 · 2022: 24 · 2021: 23 · 2020: 31 · 2019: 27 · 2018: 32 · 2017: 28 · 2016: 22 · 2015: 35 · 2014: 37 · 2013: 32 · 2012: 33
- FWCI
- 12.65
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Locations
- International Journal of Forecasting (publishedVersion)
- OpenGrey (Institut de l'Information Scientifique et Technique) (submittedVersion)
- RePEc: Research Papers in Economics (submittedVersion)
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Economics, Econometrics and Finance › Finance › Financial Markets and Investment Strategies
- Social Sciences › Decision Sciences › Management Science and Operations Research › Stock Market Forecasting Methods
- Social Sciences › Decision Sciences › Management Science and Operations Research › Forecasting Techniques and Applications
- Keywords
- efficient market hypothesis, market efficiency testing, trade opportunities, non-stationarity, financial returns
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review