The DOI matches its Crossref record; 36 of the 36 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
Efficient market hypothesis and forecasting
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In the citing paper
“Indeed, a technical trading rule may predict cryptocurrency movements in the sense of generating significant returns but still not be profitable once the excess returns are adjusted for transaction costs (Timmermann and Granger 2004).”
From Technical trading and cryptocurrencies (2021) · cites this paper as Timmermann and Granger 2004
Citations
Cites
EFFICIENT CAPITAL MARKETS: A REVIEW OF THEORY AND EMPIRICAL WORK*
Malkiel, B. G., & Fama, E. F. (1970) · The Journal of Finance · doi:10.1111/j.1540-6261.1970.tb00518.x · Cited by 24,478
Efficient capital markets: A review of theory and empirical work
Fama, E. F. (1970) · The Journal of Finance · doi:10.2307/2325486 · Cited by 13,635
Diebold, F. X., & Mariano, R. S. (1994) · National Bureau of Economic Research · doi:10.3386/t0169 · Cited by 5,498
FAMA, E. F. (1991) · The Journal of Finance · doi:10.1111/j.1540-6261.1991.tb04636.x · Cited by 5,350
Martingales and arbitrage in multiperiod securities markets
Harrison, J. M., & Kreps, D. M. (1979) · Journal of Economic Theory · doi:10.1016/0022-0531(79)90043-7 · Cited by 3,596
Estimating Time Varying Risk Premia in the Term Structure: The Arch-M Model
Engle, R. F., Lilien, D. M., & Robins, R. P. (1987) · Econometrica · doi:10.2307/1913242 · Cited by 2,469
Diebold, F. X., & Mariano, R. S. (1995) · Journal of Business and Economic Statistics · doi:10.2307/1392185 · Cited by 2,340
Simple technical trading rules and the stochastic properties of stock returns
BROCK, W., LAKONISHOK, J., & LeBARON, B. (1992) · The Journal of Finance · doi:10.1111/j.1540-6261.1992.tb04681.x · Cited by 2,301
Stochastic Consumption, Risk Aversion, and the Temporal Behavior of Asset Returns
Hansen, L. P., & Singleton, K. J. (1983) · Journal of Political Economy · doi:10.1086/261141 · Cited by 1,594
Some anomalous evidence regarding market efficiency
Jensen, M. C. (1978) · Journal of Financial Economics · doi:10.1016/0304-405x(78)90025-9 · Cited by 1,447
Research works printed but not linked: 2
- Engle, 1993, Arbitrage valuation of variance forecasts using simulated options, Advances in Futures and Options Research, 6, 393
- Granger, C. W., & Jeon, Y. (2003) Thick Modelling, Journal of Economic Modeling, in press. UCSD, Mimeo.
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Hamouda, W. C. (2022) · theses.fr (ABES) · doi:10.70675/be467ffcz3f68z49c5z9845z78e2ae6fae44
Uncovering stock market insights : the predictive power of Benford’s Law in stock returns
Hamida, A. B. (2025) · theses.fr (ABES) · doi:10.70675/a9be4480zaef5z4c7cz9708z405399d3d375
Google Search Volume Index and portfolio management
Ghaddab, S. (2025) · theses.fr (ABES) · doi:10.70675/e2007f5cz6c0dz4e59z9f01z92fb6f34d596
Magubane, K. (2026) · Cogent Economics & Finance · doi:10.1080/23322039.2026.2658328
Hybrid ARIMA–LSTM Modeling for Bitcoin Price Forecasting Using Technical Indicators
Gholipour, M., Mhamdi, M. A. A., & Állili, M. (2026) · International Conference on Innovative Research in Applied Science, Engineering and Technology (IRASET) · doi:10.1109/iraset68627.2026.11538792
Time series modeling of long-memory data for predictive analytics in oil and gas exploration
Ekerikevwe, K. I., & OLATAYO, T. O. (2026) · Journal of Statistical Sciences and Computational Intelligence · doi:10.64497/jssci.112
Financial time series forecasting with a hybrid VMD–CSA–BiT framework
Zhao, G., Ouyang, J., & Yang, J. (2026) · Scientific Reports · doi:10.1038/s41598-026-58302-7
Dijital Varlıklar ve Yapay Zekâ Çağında Yatırım Analizi Yeni Nesil Portföy Yönetimi Stratejileri
Sarı, B. (2026) · Akademisyen Kitabevi eBooks · doi:10.37609/akya.4273
Aydın, A., Işık, M., & Yalçınkaya, M. A. (2026) · Information technology in economics and business. · doi:10.69882/adba.iteb.2026077
(Re-)Imag(in)ing LOB in Jiangsu Province Electricity Market
Xu, J., & Mei, Z. (2026) · Journal of Digital Economy · doi:10.1016/j.jdec.2026.07.002
Mercadier, M. (2026) · SSRN Electronic Journal · doi:10.2139/ssrn.7273323
Arie, S. (2026) · SSRN Electronic Journal · doi:10.2139/ssrn.7477019
"Competition" : A theory of markets in which alpha is a feature rather than a bugPreprint
Arie, S. (2026) · SSRN Electronic Journal · doi:10.2139/ssrn.7477021
Naveed, M., Gurdgiev, C., & Ali, S. (2026) · Research in International Business and Finance · doi:10.1016/j.ribaf.2026.103666
Avelar, E. A., Boina, T. M., Fonseca, S. E., dos Santos, T. A., & Xavier, D. O. (2026) · Aracê. · doi:10.56238/arev8n10-078
The consequences of Euronext integration on the French, Belgian and Dutch stock markets
Eeckels, B. (2013) · Bournemouth University Research Online (Bournemouth University)
Metadata
- Authors
- Timmermann, A., & Granger, C. W. J.
- Affiliations
- University of California San Diego (US)
- Corresponding author
- Timmermann, Allan
- ORCID
- Timmermann, Allan
- Venue
- International Journal of Forecasting
- Publisher
- Elsevier BV
- Published
- 2004-01
- Volume
- 20
- Issue
- 1
- Pages
- 15-27
- ISSN
- 0169-2070 (ISSN-L)
- OpenAlex
- W2121224351
- Cited by
- 517
- References
- 35
- Citations by year
- 2026: 19 · 2025: 27 · 2024: 29 · 2023: 30 · 2022: 24 · 2021: 23 · 2020: 31 · 2019: 27 · 2018: 32 · 2017: 28 · 2016: 22 · 2015: 35 · 2014: 37 · 2013: 32 · 2012: 33
- FWCI
- 12.65
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Locations
- International Journal of Forecasting (publishedVersion)
- OpenGrey (Institut de l'Information Scientifique et Technique) (submittedVersion)
- RePEc: Research Papers in Economics (submittedVersion)
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Economics, Econometrics and Finance › Finance › Financial Markets and Investment Strategies
- Social Sciences › Decision Sciences › Management Science and Operations Research › Stock Market Forecasting Methods
- Social Sciences › Decision Sciences › Management Science and Operations Research › Forecasting Techniques and Applications
- Keywords
- efficient market hypothesis, market efficiency testing, trade opportunities, non-stationarity, financial returns
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