Cited by 229Sustainable Development and Environmental PolicySustainability and Ecological Systems AnalysisEnvironmental Impact and Sustainability

National responsibility for ecological breakdown: a fair-shares assessment of resource use, 1970–2017

Open access
Hickel, Jason, O’Neill, Daniel W, Fanning, Andrew L, Zoomkawala, Huzaifa·2022·The Lancet Planetary Health

Abstract

BACKGROUND: Human impacts on earth-system processes are overshooting several planetary boundaries, driving a crisis of ecological breakdown. This crisis is being caused in large part by global resource extraction, which has increased dramatically over the past half century. We propose a novel method for quantifying national responsibility for ecological breakdown by assessing nations' cumulative material use in excess of equitable and sustainable boundaries. METHODS: For this analysis, we derived national fair shares of a sustainable resource corridor. These fair shares were then subtracted from countries' actual resource use to determine the extent to which each country has overshot its fair share over the period 1970-2017. Through this approach, each country's share of responsibility for global excess resource use was calculated. FINDINGS: High-income nations are responsible for 74% of global excess material use, driven primarily by the USA (27%) and the EU-28 high-income countries (25%). China is responsible for 15% of global excess material use, and the rest of the Global South (ie, the low-income and middle-income countries of Latin America and the Caribbean, Africa, the Middle East, and Asia) is responsible for only 8%. Overshoot in higher-income nations is driven disproportionately by the use of abiotic materials, whereas in lower-income nations it is driven disproportionately by the use of biomass. INTERPRETATION: These results show that high-income nations are the primary drivers of global ecological breakdown and they need to urgently reduce their resource use to fair and sustainable levels. Achieving sufficient reductions will likely require high-income nations to adopt transformative post-growth and degrowth approaches. FUNDING: None.

Integrity signals

Registry

Crossref · 10.1016/s2542-5196(22)00044-4

Cites

38 of 38 references verified0 citation errors · 0 not checkable

Statistics

Recomputing p-values needs the paper’s full text.

Claims the paper makes

We couldn’t retrieve this paper’s full text, so its claims and self-check weren’t run. The registry and citation checks still apply.

Claims other papers make about this one

Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?

Cites

Flagged first, then by citations

Cited by

Sorted by citations

Authors
Hickel, J., O’Neill, D. W., Fanning, A. L., & Zoomkawala, H.
Affiliations
  • Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona (ES)
  • University of Leeds (GB)
Corresponding author
Hickel, Jason
Venue
The Lancet Planetary Health
Publisher
Elsevier BV
Published
2022-04
Volume
6
Issue
4
Pages
e342-e349
ISSN
2542-5196 (ISSN-L)
OpenAlex
W4223520720
Cited by
229
References
38
Citations by year
2026: 41 · 2025: 37 · 2024: 75 · 2023: 57 · 2022: 19
FWCI
41.96
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
Locations
  • The Lancet Planetary Health (publishedVersion, cc-by-nc-nd)
  • PubMed (publishedVersion)
  • London School of Economics and Political Science Research Online (London School of Economics and Political Science) (acceptedVersion)
  • White Rose Research Online (University of Leeds, The University of Sheffield, University of York) (acceptedVersion)
  • London School of Economics and Political Science Theses Online (London School of Economics and Political Science) (acceptedVersion)
  • Dipòsit Digital de Documents de la UAB (Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona) (submittedVersion, cc-by-nc-nd)
  • Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research) (submittedVersion, cc-by-nc)
Topics
  • Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Management, Monitoring, Policy and Law › Sustainable Development and Environmental Policy
  • Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Environmental Engineering › Sustainability and Ecological Systems Analysis
  • Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Environmental Engineering › Environmental Impact and Sustainability
Keywords
national responsibility, ecological breakdown, fair share, resource utilization (natural resources), planetary boundaries, overshoot, material utilization, equitable resource distribution, high-income countries, Global South, biomass utilization, degrowth, post-growth, resource extraction
MeSH terms
Africa, Asia, China, Humans, Middle East, Caribbean Region, Ecosystem, Ecological Parameter Monitoring

About these checks

Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.

Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.

Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.

What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›

Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review