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The Possibility Principle: Choosing Negative Cases in Comparative Research
Abstract
A central challenge in qualitative research is selecting the “negative” cases (e.g., nonrevolutions, nonwars) to be included in analyses that seek to explain positive outcomes of interest (e.g., revolutions, wars). Although it is widely recognized that the selection of negative cases is consequential for theory testing, methodologists have yet to formulate specific rules to inform this selection process. In this paper, we propose a principle—the Possibility Principle—that provides explicit, rigorous, and theoretically informed guidelines for choosing a set of negative cases. The Possibility Principle advises researchers to select only negative cases where the outcome of interest is possible. Our discussion elaborates this principle and its implications for current debates about case selection and strategies of theory testing. Major points are illustrated with substantive examples from studies of revolution, economic growth, welfare states, and war.
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Citations
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Cited by
Case Selection Techniques in Case Study Research: A Menu of Qualitative and Quantitative Options
Seawright, J., & Gerring, J. (2008) · Political Research Quarterly · doi:10.1177/1065912907313077 · Cited by 3,827
Standards of Good Practice in Qualitative Comparative Analysis (QCA) and Fuzzy-Sets
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Case Studies: Types, Designs, and Logics of Inference
Levy, J. S. (2008) · Conflict Management and Peace Science · doi:10.1080/07388940701860318 · Cited by 1,050
A Tale of Two Cultures: Contrasting Quantitative and Qualitative Research
Mahoney, J., & Goertz, G. (2006) · Political Analysis · doi:10.1093/pan/mpj017 · Cited by 904
Self-citationSovacool, B. K. (2021) · Energy Research & Social Science · doi:10.1016/j.erss.2021.101916 · Cited by 614
Metadata
- Authors
- MAHONEY, J., & GOERTZ, G.
- Venue
- American Political Science Review
- Publisher
- Cambridge University Press (CUP)
- Published
- 2004-11
- Volume
- 98
- Issue
- 4
- Pages
- 653-669
- ISSN
- 0003-0554 (ISSN-L)
- 1537-5943
- OpenAlex
- W2147698235
- Cited by
- 615
- References
- 6
- FWCI
- 39.26
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
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