The DOI matches its Crossref record; 78 of the 80 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
Crossing the Water's Edge: Elite Rhetoric, Media Coverage, and the Rally-Round-the-Flag Phenomenon
Abstract
The most widely accepted explanation for the rally-round-the-flag phenomenon is a relative absence of elite criticism during the initial stages of foreign crises. In this study we argue that the nature and extent of elite debate may matter less than media coverage of any such debate and that these often systematically diverge. We also argue that not all messages in this debate matter equally for public opinion. Rather, the persuasiveness of elite messages depends on their credibility, which, in turn, arises out of an interaction between the sender, receiver, and message. Hence, only by understanding the interactions between elites, the public, and the press can we account for variations in public responses to presidential foreign policy initiatives. We test our theory by examining public opinion data and a new dataset on network news coverage of all major U.S. uses of military force from 1979 to 2003. We content analyze all congressional evaluations of the president and the executive branch of government from the three network evening newscasts within 61-day time periods centered on the start date of each use of force. Our results offer strong support for the theory.
Overview
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Verification
Claims the paper makes
Claims other papers make about this one
Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?
In the citing paper
“To the extent that the media adopts a consistent approach to reporting about cyberterrorism, then any elite variance will not necessarily filter down to the public (Groeling and Baum 2008; Kertzer and Zeitzoff 2017).”
From Public Opinion and Cyberterrorism (2023) · cites this paper as Groeling and Baum 2008
Citations
Cites
Practical Statistics for Medical Research
Altman, D. G. (1990) · doi:10.1201/9780429258589 · Cited by 10,668
Practical Statistics for Medical Research.
Bartko, J. J., & Altman, D. G. (1992) · Journal of the American Statistical Association · doi:10.2307/2290246 · Cited by 4,834
Strategic information transmission
Crawford, V. P., & Sobel, J. (1982) · Econometrica · doi:10.2307/1913390 · Cited by 4,293
Ross, M. J., & Mayhew, D. R. (1975) · The Western Political Quarterly · doi:10.1177/106591297502800316 · Cited by 4,150
Making the most of statistical analyses: improving interpretation and presentation
King, G., Tomz, M., & Wittenberg, J. (2000) · American Journal of Political Science · doi:10.2307/2669316 · Cited by 3,232
Congress: The Electoral Connection, by David R. Mayhew
Page, B. I. (1975) · Political Science Quarterly · doi:10.2307/2148248 · Cited by 3,141
Making News: A Study in the Construction of Reality.
Gitlin, T., & Tuchman, G. (1980) · Contemporary Sociology A Journal of Reviews · doi:10.2307/2065604 · Cited by 2,673
Making News: A Study in the Construction of Reality.
Robinson, J. P., & Tuchman, G. (1981) · Social Forces · doi:10.2307/2578016 · Cited by 2,372
Legislative leviathan: party government in the House
(1993) · Choice Reviews Online · doi:10.5860/choice.31-0579 · Cited by 2,294
Popkin, S. L. (1991) · University of Chicago Press eBooks · doi:10.7208/chicago/9780226772875.001.0001 · Cited by 1,909
Research works printed but not linked: 18
- Brody Richard, Assessing the President
- Cappella Joseph N, 1997, Jamieson
- Congressional Quarterly Almanac, 1953–2000
- Groeling, Tim. 2001. “When Politicians Attack: The Causes, Contours, and Consequences of Partisan Political Communication.” Ph.D. Dissertation. University of California, San Diego.
- Hess Stephen, Live from Capitol Hill
- Howell William, Typescript
- Kernell Samuel, Going Public
- Kull Steven, Public Opinion and the International Use of Force, ed. Phillip Everts and Pierangelo Isneria.
- Kurtz Howard, Republican Convention Gets Under Way
- Levy Jack S, Handbook of War Studies, M.I. Midlarsky.
- Lupia Arthur, 1998, McCubbins
- Mayhew David, Congress: The Electoral Connection
- Page Benjamin I, 2006, Bouton
- Perla Hector, meeting of the American Political Science Association
- Rosenau James N, Public Opinion and Foreign Policy
- Schwartz Benjamin C, Military Intervention: Implications for U.S. Regional Deterrence Strategies
- Spence A. Michael., Market Signaling
- Zaller John, 1946, Government's Little Helper: U
Cited by
Sorted by citations
Norris, P. (2011) · Cambridge University Press eBooks · doi:10.1017/cbo9780511973383 · Cited by 2,660
Baum, M., & Potter, P. (2007) · Annual Review of Political Science · doi:10.1146/annurev.polisci.11.060406.214132 · Cited by 608
Self-citationNew Media and the Polarization of American Political Discourse
Baum, M., & Groeling, T. J. (2008) · Political Communication · doi:10.1080/10584600802426965 · Cited by 549
Self-citationA Bottom‐Up Theory of Public Opinion about Foreign Policy
Kertzer, J. D., & Zeitzoff, T. (2017) · American Journal of Political Science · doi:10.1111/ajps.12314 · Cited by 443
The Political Economy of the United Nations Security Council
Vreeland, J. R., & Dreher, A. (2014) · Cambridge University Press eBooks · doi:10.1017/cbo9781139027755 · Cited by 311
Metadata
- Authors
- Groeling, T., & Baum, M. A.
- Affiliations
- Harvard University (US)
- Venue
- The Journal of Politics
- Publisher
- University of Chicago Press
- Published
- 2008-10
- Volume
- 70
- Issue
- 4
- Pages
- 1065-1085
- ISSN
- 0022-3816 (ISSN-L)
- 1468-2508
- OpenAlex
- W3125270158
- Cited by
- 243
- References
- 80
- Citations by year
- 2026: 12 · 2025: 12 · 2024: 15 · 2023: 34 · 2022: 25 · 2021: 16 · 2020: 18 · 2019: 12 · 2018: 9 · 2017: 14 · 2016: 9 · 2015: 8 · 2014: 7 · 2013: 12 · 2012: 9
- FWCI
- 38.81
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Locations
- The Journal of Politics (publishedVersion)
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Communication › News Media Framing and Political Communication
- Social Sciences › Sociology and Political Science › Media Influence and Politics
- Social Sciences › Political Science and International Relations › International Relations and Foreign Policy
- Keywords
- elite rhetoric, media coverage, presidential foreign policy, public opinion, credibility
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review