Cited by 10Schizophrenia research and treatmentPsychotherapy Techniques and ApplicationsPsychoanalysis and Psychopathology Research

Theory driven psychological therapy for persecutory delusions: trajectories of patient outcomes

Open access
Jenner, Lucy, Payne, Mollie, Waite, Felicity, Beckwith, Helen, Diamond, Rowan, Isham, Louise, Collett, Nicola, Emsley, Richard +1 more·2024·Psychological Medicine

Abstract

Background: We aimed to identify the common types of outcome trajectories for patients with psychosis who take up specialist psychological therapy for persecutory delusions. Knowing the different potential responses to therapy can inform expectations. Further, determining predictors of different outcomes may help in understanding who may benefit. Methods: We analyzed delusion conviction data from 767 therapy sessions with 64 patients with persistent persecutory delusions (held with at least 60% conviction) who received a six-month psychological intervention (Feeling Safe) during a clinical trial. Latent class trajectory analysis was conducted to identify groups with distinct outcome profiles. The trajectories were validated against independent assessments, including a longer-term follow-up six months after the end of therapy. We also tested potential predictors of the trajectories. Results: There were four outcome trajectories: (1) Very high delusion conviction/Little improvement (n = 14, 25%), (2) Very high delusion conviction/Large improvement (n = 9, 16%), (3) High delusion conviction/Moderate improvement (n = 17, 31%) and (4) High delusion conviction/Large improvement (n = 15, 27%). The groups did not differ in initial overall delusion severity. The trajectories were consistent with the independent assessments and sustained over time. Three factors predicted trajectories: persecutory delusion conviction, therapy expectations, and positive beliefs about other people. Conclusions: There are variable responses to psychological therapy for persecutory delusions. Patients with very high delusion conviction can have excellent responses to therapy, though this may take a little longer to observe and such high conviction reduces the likelihood of positive responses. A trajectory approach requires testing in larger datasets but may prove highly informative.

The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.

Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.

A few free checks a day · papers already verified open instantly · results are public

Integrity signals

Registry

Crossref · 10.1017/s0033291724002113

Cites

7 of 7 references verified0 citation errors · 0 not checkable

Statistics

Claims the paper makes

The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.

Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.

A few free checks a day · papers already verified open instantly · results are public

Claims other papers make about this one

Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?

  • This approach generally produces a range of positive outcomes.

    “This approach generally produces a range of positive outcomes (Freeman et al., 2021; Jenner et al., 2024).”

    From A counterweight model for understanding and treating persecutory delusions. (2025) · cites this paper as Jenner et al., 2024

    The Results (page not available in our copy) report moderate or large improvement in delusion conviction for most patients receiving Feeling Safe therapy, but little improvement for 25%. The paper supports a generally positive response in this trial, while its trajectory analysis does not establish a range of distinct positive outcomes or that the approach generally produces them beyond this setting. (LLM, conf=0.84)

    Experimental — accuracy not yet measured

Self-check

Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.

The self-check needs the paper’s full text.

Cites

Flagged first, then by citations

Research works printed but not linked: 25

  1. Altmann, U., Gawlytta, R., Hoyer, J., Leichsenring, F., Leibing, E., Beutel, M., … Strauss, B. (2020). Typical symptom change patterns and their predictors in patients with social anxiety disorder: A latent class analysis. Journal of Anxiety Disorders, 71, 102200. 10.1016/j.janxdis.2020.102200 32126336 · DOI
  2. Austin, S. F., Mors, O., Budtz-Jørgensen, E., Gry Secher, R., Hjorthøj, C. R., Bertelsen, M., … Nordentoft, M. (2015). Long-term trajectories of positive and negative symptoms in first episode psychosis: A 10 year follow-up study in the OPUS cohort. Schizophrenia Research, 168(1-2), 84– 91. 10.1016/j.schres.2015.07.021. 26265299 · DOI
  3. Banerjee, S., Wu, Y., Bingham, K. S., Marino, P., Meyers, B. S., Mulsant, B. H., … Flint, A. J. (2023). Trajectories of remitted psychotic depression: Identification of predictors of worsening by machine learning. Psychological Medicine, 54(6), 1– 10. 10.1017/S0033291723002945. 37818656 · DOI
  4. Brown, P., Waite, F., Rovira, A., Nickless, A., & Freeman, D. (2020). Virtual reality clinical-experimental tests of compassion treatment techniques to reduce paranoia. Scientific Reports 2020 10:1, 10(1), 1– 9. 10.1038/s41598-020-64957-7 32444619 PMC7244556 · DOI
  5. Chen, L., Johnston, J. A., Kinon, B. J., Stauffer, V., Succop, P., Marques, T. R., & Ascher-Svanum, H. (2013). The longitudinal interplay between negative and positive symptom trajectories in patients under antipsychotic treatment: a post hoc analysis of data from a randomized, 1-year pragmatic trial. Retrieved from http://www.biomedcentral.com/1471-244X/13/320 PMC4219503 24283222
  6. Clark, D. M., Canvin, L., Green, J., Layard, R., Pilling, S., & Janecka, M. (2018). Transparency about the outcomes of mental health services (IAPT approach): An analysis of public data. The Lancet, 391(10121), 679– 686. 10.1016/S0140-6736(17)32133-5 PMC5820411 29224931 · DOI
  7. Constantino, M. J., Visla, A., Coyne, A. E., & Boswell, J. F. (2018). A meta-analysis of the association between patients’ early treatment outcome expectation and their posttreatment outcomes. Psychotherapy (Chicago, Ill.), 55(4), 473– 485. 10.1037/PST0000169 30335459 · DOI
  8. Devilly, G. J., & Borkovec, T. D. (2000). Psychometric properties of the credibility/ expectancy questionnaire. Journal of Behavior Therapy and Experimental Psychiatry, 31, 73– 86. 11132119
  9. Fornells‐Ambrojo, M., Johns, L., Onwumere, J., Garety, P., Milosh, C., Iredale, C., … Jolley, S. (2017). Experiences of outcome monitoring in service users with psychosis: Findings from an Improving Access to Psychological Therapies for people with Severe Mental Illness (IAPT ‐ SMI) demonstration site. British Journal of Clinical Psychology, 56(3), 253– 272. 10.1111/bjc.12136 28493592 · DOI
  10. Freeman, D. (2024). Developing psychological treatments for psychosis. The British Journal of Psychiatry, 224(5), 147– 149. 10.1192/bjp.2024.5 38652062 PMC11039552 · DOI · Paper page
  11. Freeman, D., & Garety, P. A. (2000). Comments on the content of persecutory delusions: Does the definition need clarification?. British Journal of Clinical Psychology, 39, 407– 414. 11107494
  12. Freeman, D., Emsley, R., Diamond, R., Collett, N., Bold, E., Chadwick, E., … Twivy, E. (2021a). Comparison of a theoretically driven cognitive therapy (the Feeling Safe Programme) with befriending for the treatment of persistent persecutory delusions: A parallel, single-blind, randomised controlled trial. The Lancet Psychiatry, 8(8), 696– 707. 10.1016/S2215-0366(21)00158-9 34246324 PMC8311296 · DOI · Paper page
  13. Freeman, D., Loe, B. S., Kingdon, D., Startup, H., Molodynski, A., Rosebrock, L., … Bird, J. C. (2021b). The revised Green et al., Paranoid Thoughts Scale (R-GPTS): Psychometric properties, severity ranges, and clinical cut-offs. Psychological Medicine, 51(2), 244– 253. 10.1017/S0033291719003155 31744588 PMC7893506 · DOI
  14. Gard, D. E., Kring, A. M., Gard, M. G., Horan, W. P., & Green, M. F. (2007). Anhedonia in schizophrenia: Distinctions between anticipatory and consummatory pleasure. Schizophrenia Research, 93(1–3), 253– 260. 10.1016/J.SCHRES.2007.03.008 17490858 PMC1986826 · DOI · Paper page
  15. Greenwood, K. E., Sweeney, A., Williams, S., Garety, P., Kuipers, E., Scott, J., & Peters, E. (2010). Choice of outcome in cbt for psychoses (CHOICE): The development of a new service user-led outcome measure of CBT for psychosis. Schizophrenia Bulletin, 36(1), 126– 135. 10.1093/SCHBUL/SBP117 19880823 PMC2800145 · DOI
  16. Haddock, G., McCarron, J., Tarrier, N., & Faragher, E. B. (1999). Scales to measure dimensions of hallucinations and delusions: The psychotic symptom rating scales (PSYRATS). Psychological Medicine, 29(4), 879– 889. 10.1017/S0033291799008661 10473315 · DOI · Paper page
  17. Hartmann, J. A., Schmidt, S. J., Mcgorry, P. D., Berger, M., Berger, G. E., Chen, E. Y. H., … Hartmann, J. A. (2020). Trajectories of symptom severity and functioning over a three-year period in a psychosis high-risk sample: A secondary analysis of the Neurapro trial. Behaviour Research and Therapy, 124, 103527. 10.1016/j.brat.2019.103527 31790853 · DOI
  18. Jensen-Doss, A., Haimes, E. M. B., Smith, A. M., Lyon, A. R., Lewis, C. C., Stanick, C. F., & Hawley, K. M. (2018). Monitoring treatment progress and providing feedback is viewed favorably but rarely used in practice. Administration and Policy in Mental Health, 45(1), 48. 10.1007/S10488-016-0763-0 27631610 PMC5495625 · DOI
  19. Murphy, D., & Smith, K. V. (2018). Treatment Efficacy for Veterans With Posttraumatic Stress Disorder: Latent Class Trajectories of Treatment Response and Their Predictors. Journal of Traumatic Stress, 31(5), 753– 763. 10.1002/jts.2018.31.issue-5. 30338573 PMC6456014 · DOI
  20. Nylund-Gibson, K., & Choi, A. Y. (2018). Ten frequently asked questions about latent class analysis. Translational Issues in Psychological Science, 4(4), 440– 461. 10.1037/TPS0000176 · DOI
  21. Skelton, M., Carr, E., Buckman, J. E. J., Davies, M. R., Goldsmith, K. A., Hirsch, C. R., … Eley, T. C. (2023). Trajectories of depression and anxiety symptom severity during psychological therapy for common mental health problems. Psychological Medicine, 53(13), 6183– 6193. 10.1017/S0033291722003403 36510471 PMC10520600 · DOI
  22. Stauffer, V., Case, M., Kollack-Walker, S., Ascher-Svanum, H., Ball, T., Kapur, S., … Kinon, B. J. (2011). Trajectories of response to treatment with atypical antipsychotic medication in patients with schizophrenia pooled from 6 double-blind, randomized clinical trials. Schizophrenia Research, 130(1-3), 11– 19. 10.1016/j.schres.2011.03.015 21489754 · DOI
  23. Tennant, R., Hiller, L., Fishwick, R., Platt, S., Joseph, S., Weich, S., … Stewart-Brown, S. (2007). The Warwick-Edinburgh Mental Well-being Scale (WEMWBS): Development and UK validation. Health and Quality of Life Outcomes, 5(1), 6– 80. 10.1186/1477-7525-5-63 18042300 PMC2222612 · DOI · Paper page
  24. Terrill, D. R., Dellavella, C., King, B. T., Hubert, T., Wild, H., & Zimmerman, M. (2022). A latent trajectory analysis of inpatient depression treatment. Psychotherapy, 331, 101– 111. 10.1016/J.JAD.2023.03.036 · DOI · Paper page
  25. Van De Schoot, R., Sijbrandij, M., Winter, S. D., Depaoli, S., & Vermunt, J. K. (2016). Structural Equation Modeling: A Multidisciplinary Journal The GRoLTS-Checklist: Guidelines for Reporting on Latent Trajectory Studies. 10.1080/10705511.2016.1247646 · DOI · Paper page

Cited by

Sorted by citations

Authors
Jenner, L., Payne, M., Waite, F., Beckwith, H., Diamond, R., Isham, L., Collett, N., Emsley, R., & Freeman, D.
Affiliations
  • King's College London (GB)
  • Oxford Health NHS Foundation Trust (GB)
  • University of Oxford (GB)
  • Aneurin Bevan University Health Board (GB)
Corresponding author
Jenner, Lucy
Venue
Psychological Medicine
Published
2024-11
Volume
54
Issue
15
Pages
4173-4181
ISSN
  • 0033-2917 (ISSN-L)
  • 1469-8978
OpenAlex
W4404474357
Cited by
10
References
7
Citations by year
2026: 6 · 2025: 4
FWCI
2.94
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
Locations
  • Psychological Medicine (publishedVersion, cc-by)
  • PubMed Central (publishedVersion, cc-by)
  • PubMed (publishedVersion)
  • Research Portal (King's College London) (submittedVersion, cc-by)
Funders
  • National Institute for Health and Care Research (NIHR302628)
  • Wellcome Trust (102176/B/13/Z)
Topics
  • Health Sciences › Medicine › Psychiatry and Mental health › Schizophrenia research and treatment
  • Social Sciences › Psychology › Clinical Psychology › Psychotherapy Techniques and Applications
  • Social Sciences › Psychology › Clinical Psychology › Psychoanalysis and Psychopathology Research
Keywords
persecutory delusions, psychosis, psychotherapy, feeling safe, outcome trajectories, latent class analysis, predictors of treatment response
MeSH terms
Adult, Delusions, Female, Humans, Male, Middle Aged, Psychotherapy, Psychotic Disorders, Cognitive Behavioral Therapy, Treatment Outcome, Outcome Assessment, Health Care, Young Adult

About these checks

Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.

Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.

Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.

What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›

Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review