Adding Stochastic Negative Examples into Machine Learning Improves Molecular Bioactivity Prediction
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Abstract
Multitask deep neural networks learn to predict ligand–target binding by example, yet public pharmacological data sets are sparse, imbalanced, and approximate. We constructed two hold-out benchmarks to approximate temporal and drug-screening test scenarios, whose characteristics differ from a random split of conventional training data sets. We developed a pharmacological data set augmentation procedure, Stochastic Negative Addition (SNA), which randomly assigns untested molecule–target pairs as transient negative examples during training. Under the SNA procedure, drug-screening benchmark performance increases from R2 = 0.1926 ± 0.0186 to 0.4269 ± 0.0272 (122%). This gain was accompanied by a modest decrease in the temporal benchmark (13%). SNA increases in drug-screening performance were consistent for classification and regression tasks and outperformed y-randomized controls. Our results highlight where data and feature uncertainty may be problematic and how leveraging uncertainty into training improves predictions of drug–target relationships.
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- Authors
- Cáceres, E. L., Mew, N. C., & Keiser, M. J.
- Affiliations
- University of California, San Francisco , , 675 Nelson Rising Ln NS 416A , , ,
- University of California, San Francisco (US)
- Corresponding author
- Keiser, Michael J.
- Venue
- Journal of Chemical Information and Modeling
- Publisher
- American Chemical Society (ACS)
- Published
- 2020-11-27
- Volume
- 60
- Issue
- 12
- Pages
- 5957-5970
- ISSN
- 1549-9596 (ISSN-L)
- 1549-960X
- OpenAlex
- W3109353507
- Cited by
- 33
- References
- 54
- Citations by year
- 2026: 3 · 2025: 12 · 2024: 2 · 2023: 7 · 2022: 5 · 2021: 3 · 2020: 1
- FWCI
- 1.99
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- green
- doi.org
- Licence
- Locations
- Journal of Chemical Information and Modeling (publishedVersion)
- bioRxiv (Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory) (acceptedVersion, cc-by)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- eScholarship (California Digital Library) (submittedVersion, cc-by)
- Funders
- Howard Hughes Medical Institute
- Division of Graduate Education (1650113)
- Silicon Valley Community Foundation (2018-191905)
- Sandler Foundation
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Computer Science › Computational Theory and Mathematics › Computational Drug Discovery Methods
- Physical Sciences › Materials Science › Materials Chemistry › Machine Learning in Materials Science
- Life Sciences › Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology › Molecular Biology › Protein Degradation and Inhibitors
- Keywords
- data augmentation, class imbalance
- MeSH terms
- Machine Learning, Neural Networks, Computer
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
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