The DOI matches its Crossref record; 18 of the 18 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
A projection of severe near‐surface permafrost degradation during the 21st century
Abstract
The current distribution and future projections of permafrost are examined in a fully coupled global climate model, the Community Climate System Model, version 3 (CCSM3) with explicit treatment of frozen soil processes. The spatial extent of simulated present‐day permafrost in CCSM3 agrees well with observational estimates – an area, excluding ice sheets, of 10.5 million km 2. By 2100, as little as 1.0 million km 2 of near‐surface permafrost remains. Freshwater discharge to the Arctic Ocean rises by 28% over the same period, largely due to increases in precipitation that outpace increases in evaporation, with about 15% of the rise directly attributable to melting ground ice. Such large changes in permafrost may provoke feedbacks such as activation of the soil carbon pool and a northward expansion of shrubs and forests.
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Cited by
Vulnerability of Permafrost Carbon to Climate Change: Implications for the Global Carbon Cycle
Schuur, E. A. G., Bockheim, J., Canadell, J. G., Euskirchen, E., Field, C. B., Goryachkin, S. V., Hagemann, S., Kuhry, P., Lafleur, P. M., Lee, H., et al. (2008) · BioScience · doi:10.1641/b580807 · Cited by 1,642
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Permafrost and the global carbon budget
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Sensitivity of the carbon cycle in the Arctic to climate change
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Atmospheric Lifetime of Fossil Fuel Carbon Dioxide
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Metadata
- Authors
- Lawrence, D. M., & Slater, A. G.
- Venue
- Geophysical Research Letters
- Publisher
- American Geophysical Union (AGU)
- Published
- 2005-12
- Volume
- 32
- Issue
- 24
- ISSN
- 0094-8276 (ISSN-L)
- 1944-8007
- OpenAlex
- W2052153084
- Cited by
- 512
- References
- 18
- FWCI
- 18.54
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
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