Could Machine Learning Break the Convection Parameterization Deadlock?
Open accessAbstract
Representing unresolved moist convection in coarse‐scale climate models remains one of the main bottlenecks of current climate simulations. Many of the biases present with parameterized convection are strongly reduced when convection is explicitly resolved (i.e., in cloud resolving models at high spatial resolution approximately a kilometer or so). We here present a novel approach to convective parameterization based on machine learning, using an aquaplanet with prescribed sea surface temperatures as a proof of concept. A deep neural network is trained with a superparameterized version of a climate model in which convection is resolved by thousands of embedded 2‐D cloud resolving models. The machine learning representation of convection, which we call the Cloud Brain (CBRAIN), can skillfully predict many of the convective heating, moistening, and radiative features of superparameterization that are most important to climate simulation, although an unintended side effect is to reduce some of the superparameterization's inherent variance. Since as few as three months' high‐frequency global training data prove sufficient to provide this skill, the approach presented here opens up a new possibility for a future class of convection parameterizations in climate models that are built “top‐down,” that is, by learning salient features of convection from unusually explicit simulations.
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Gentine et al. trained a deep neural network to emulate the behavior of a high-resolution cloud simulation, and found that the network gave similar results for a fraction of the cost and was stable in a simplified global model.
“Gentine et al. trained a deep neural network to emulate the behavior of a high-resolution cloud simulation, and found that the network gave similar results for a fraction of the cost [275] and was stable in a simplified global model [670].”
From Tackling climate change with machine learning (2023) · cites this paper as [275]
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- Authors
- Gentine, P., Pritchard, M., Rasp, S., Reinaudi, G., & Yacalis, G.
- Affiliations
- Columbia University (US)
- University of California, Irvine (US)
- Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität München (DE)
- Corresponding author
- Gentine, P.
- Venue
- Geophysical Research Letters
- Publisher
- American Geophysical Union (AGU)
- Published
- 2018-06-12
- Volume
- 45
- Issue
- 11
- Pages
- 5742-5751
- ISSN
- 0094-8276 (ISSN-L)
- 1944-8007
- OpenAlex
- W2804943168
- Cited by
- 497
- References
- 79
- Citations by year
- 2026: 40 · 2025: 63 · 2024: 69 · 2023: 67 · 2022: 79 · 2021: 91 · 2020: 53 · 2019: 25 · 2018: 10
- FWCI
- 21.93
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- hybrid
- doi.org
- Licence
- Locations
- Geophysical Research Letters (publishedVersion, cc-by-nc-nd)
- OSTI OAI (U.S. Department of Energy Office of Scientific and Technical Information) (submittedVersion)
- Funders
- National Science Foundation (1552304, 1649770, TG‐ATM120034, AGS‐1734164)
- U.S. Department of Energy (DE‐SC00‐12548, DE‐SC0012152)
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Earth and Planetary Sciences › Atmospheric Science › Meteorological Phenomena and Simulations
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Climate variability and models
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Atmospheric aerosols and clouds
- Keywords
- convection parameterization, machine learning, deep neural network, superparameterization, cloud-resolving model, aquaplanet, convective heating, climate model bias
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
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