Increased Occurrence of Record‐Wet and Record‐Dry Months Reflect Changes in Mean Rainfall
Open accessAbstract
Abstract Climate change alters the hydrological cycle, which is expected to increase the risk of heavy rainfall events and prolonged droughts. Sparse rainfall data, however, have made it difficult to answer the question of whether robust changes can already be seen in the short observational time period. Here we use a comprehensive statistical tool to quantify changes in record‐breaking wet and dry months. The global‐mean number of record‐wet months has significantly increased over the recent decades and is now nearly 20% higher than would be expected in a stationary climate with no long‐term trends. This signal primarily comes from pronounced changes in the northern middle to high latitudes where the occurrence of record‐wet months has increased by up to 37% regionally. The tropics have seen opposing trends: More record‐wet months in Southeast Asia in contrast to more record‐dry months in Africa. These changes are broadly consistent with observed trends in mean rainfall.
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Claims the paper makes
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Claims other papers make about this one
Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?
An increasing literature shows how short-term events, such as storms, and medium-term events, such as droughts, are linked to anthropogenic climate change and can also be used for estimation of longer-term climatic impacts.
“Yet, an increasing literature shows how short-term events, such as storms, and medium-term events, such as droughts, are linked to anthropogenic climate change (Lehmann et al., 2018;Otto, 2017;Stott et al., 2016) and can also be used for the estimation of longer-term climatic impacts (Hsiang, 2016).”
From Improving the evidence base: A methodological review of the quantitative climate migration literature (2021) · cites this paper as Lehmann et al., 2018
The indexed Abstract (page unavailable) says climate change is expected to increase the risk of heavy rainfall and prolonged droughts, and reports an observed increase in record-wet months. It does not specifically discuss storms or establish that the observed events are attributable to anthropogenic climate change. The separate claim about estimating longer-term impacts is cited to Hsiang, not Lehmann et al. (LLM, conf=0.84)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
Self-check
Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.
The self-check needs the paper’s full text.
Cites
Controlling the False Discovery Rate: A Practical and Powerful Approach to Multiple Testing
Benjamini, Y., & Hochberg, Y. (1995) · Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B: Statistical Methodology · doi:10.1111/j.2517-6161.1995.tb02031.x · Cited by 109,482 · see citing works
Global observed changes in daily climate extremes of temperature and precipitation
Alexander, L. V., Zhang, X., Peterson, T. C., Caesar, J., Gleason, B., Klein Tank, A. M. G., Haylock, M., Collins, D., Trewin, B., Rahimzadeh, F., et al. (2006) · Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres · doi:10.1029/2005jd006290 · Cited by 4,492 · see citing works
Constraints on future changes in climate and the hydrologic cycle
Allen, M. R., & Ingram, W. J. (2002) · Nature · doi:10.1038/nature01092 · Cited by 3,009 · see citing works
Increasing Trend of Extreme Rain Events Over India in a Warming Environment
Goswami, B. N., Venugopal, V., Sengupta, D., Madhusoodanan, M. S., & Xavier, P. (2006) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.1132027 · Cited by 2,100 · see citing works
Human contribution to more-intense precipitation extremes
Min, S., Zhang, X., Zwiers, F. W., & Hegerl, G. C. (2011) · Nature · doi:10.1038/nature09763 · Cited by 2,094 · see citing works
Anthropogenic contribution to global occurrence of heavy-precipitation and high-temperature extremes
Fischer, E. M., & Knutti, R. (2015) · Nature Climate Change · doi:10.1038/nclimate2617 · Cited by 1,427 · see citing works
Trends in Total Precipitation and Frequency of Daily Precipitation Extremes over China
Zhai, P., Zhang, X., Wan, H., & Pan, X. (2005) · Journal of Climate · doi:10.1175/jcli-3318.1 · Cited by 1,402 · see citing works
Climate change in the Fertile Crescent and implications of the recent Syrian drought
Kelley, C. P., Mohtadi, S., Cane, M. A., Seager, R., & Kushnir, Y. (2015) · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1073/pnas.1421533112 · Cited by 1,379 · see citing works
Donat, M. G., Alexander, L. V., Yang, H., Durre, I., Vose, R. S., Dunn, R., Willett, K. M., Aguilar, E., Brunet, M., Caesar, J., et al. (2013) · Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres · doi:10.1002/jgrd.50150 · Cited by 1,374 · see citing works
Trends in Intense Precipitation in the Climate Record
Groisman, P. Y., Knight, R. W., Easterling, D. R., Karl, T. R., Hegerl, G. C., & Razuvaev, V. N. (2005) · Journal of Climate · doi:10.1175/jcli3339.1 · Cited by 1,334 · see citing works
Increase of extreme events in a warming world
Rahmstorf, S., & Coumou, D. (2011) · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1073/pnas.1101766108 · Cited by 1,283 · see citing works
Self-citationGlobal Increasing Trends in Annual Maximum Daily Precipitation
Westra, S., Alexander, L. V., & Zwiers, F. W. (2012) · Journal of Climate · doi:10.1175/jcli-d-12-00502.1 · Cited by 1,259 · see citing works
Capotondi, A. M., Wittenberg, A. T., Newman, M., Lorenzo, E. D., Yu, J., Braconnot, P., Cole, J. E., Dewitte, B., Giese, B. S., Guilyardi, É., et al. (2014) · Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society · doi:10.1175/bams-d-13-00117.1 · Cited by 1,080 · see citing works
Detection of human influence on twentieth-century precipitation trends
Zhang, X., Zwiers, F. W., Hegerl, G. C., Lambert, F. H., Gillett, N. P., Solomon, S., Stott, P. A., & Nozawa, T. (2007) · Nature · doi:10.1038/nature06025 · Cited by 1,029 · see citing works
Wilks, D. S. (2016) · Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society · doi:10.1175/bams-d-15-00267.1 · Cited by 972 · see citing works
Becker, A., Finger, P., Meyer-Christoffer, A., Rudolf, B., Schamm, K., Schneider, U., & Ziese, M. (2013) · Earth system science data · doi:10.5194/essd-5-71-2013 · Cited by 937 · see citing works
Anthropogenic greenhouse gas contribution to flood risk in England and Wales in autumn 2000
Pall, P., Aina, T., Stone, D. A., Stott, P. A., Nozawa, T., Hilberts, A. G. J., Lohmann, D., & Allen, M. R. (2011) · Nature · doi:10.1038/nature09762 · Cited by 871 · see citing works
Strong increase in convective precipitation in response to higher temperatures
Berg, P., Moseley, C., & Haerter, J. O. (2013) · Nature Geoscience · doi:10.1038/ngeo1731 · Cited by 818 · see citing works
A review of droughts on the African continent: a geospatial and long-term perspective
Masih, I., Maskey, S., Mussá, F. E. F., & Trambauer, P. (2014) · Hydrology and earth system sciences · doi:10.5194/hess-18-3635-2014 · Cited by 709 · see citing works
A global slowdown of tropical-cyclone translation speed
Kossin, J. P. (2018) · Nature · doi:10.1038/s41586-018-0158-3 · Cited by 672 · see citing works
Madsen, H., Lawrence, D., Lang, M., Martínková, M., & Kjeldsen, T. (2014) · Journal of Hydrology · doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2014.11.003 · Cited by 667 · see citing works
On the Increased Frequency of Mediterranean Drought
Hoerling, M. P., Eischeid, J. K., Perlwitz, J., Quan, X., Zhang, T., & Pegion, P. J. (2011) · Journal of Climate · doi:10.1175/jcli-d-11-00296.1 · Cited by 662 · see citing works
ENSO regimes: Reinterpreting the canonical and Modoki El Niño
Takahashi, K. I., Montecinos, A., Goubanova, K., & Dewitte, B. (2011) · Geophysical Research Letters · doi:10.1029/2011gl047364 · Cited by 649 · see citing works
Attribution of extreme rainfall from Hurricane Harvey, August 2017
van Oldenborgh, G. J., van der Wiel, K., Sebastian, A., Singh, R., Arrighi, J., Otto, F. E. L., Haustein, K., Li, S., Vecchi, G. A., & Cullen, H. M. (2017) · Environmental Research Letters · doi:10.1088/1748-9326/aa9ef2 · Cited by 483 · see citing works
Quasiresonant amplification of planetary waves and recent Northern Hemisphere weather extremes
Petoukhov, V., Rahmstorf, S., Petri, S., & Schellnhuber, H. J. (2013) · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1073/pnas.1222000110 · Cited by 464 · see citing works
Schneider, U., Becker, A., Finger, P., Meyer-Christoffer, A., Rudolf, B., & Ziese, M. (2016) · doi:10.5065/d6000072 · Cited by 444 · see citing works
Increased record-breaking precipitation events under global warming
Lehmann, J., Coumou, D., & Frieler, K. (2015) · Climatic Change · doi:10.1007/s10584-015-1434-y · Cited by 440 · see citing works
Self-citationThe weakening summer circulation in the Northern Hemisphere mid-latitudes
Coumou, D., Lehmann, J., & Beckmann, J. (2015) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.1261768 · Cited by 401 · see citing works
Self-citationRisser, M. D., & Wehner, M. F. (2017) · Geophysical Research Letters · doi:10.1002/2017gl075888 · Cited by 397 · see citing works
What precipitation is extreme?
Pendergrass, A. G. (2018) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.aat1871 · Cited by 337 · see citing works
Global increase in record-breaking monthly-mean temperatures
Coumou, D., Robinson, A., & Rahmstorf, S. (2013) · Climatic Change · doi:10.1007/s10584-012-0668-1 · Cited by 310 · see citing works
Self-citationA Review of Drought in the Middle East and Southwest Asia
Barlow, M. A., Zaitchik, B. F., Paz, S., Black, E. C. L., Evans, J. P., & Hoell, A. (2015) · Journal of Climate · doi:10.1175/jcli-d-13-00692.1 · Cited by 272 · see citing works
Wang, S.-Y., Hipps, L. E., Gillies, R. R., & Yoon, J. (2014) · Geophysical Research Letters · doi:10.1002/2014gl059748 · Cited by 266 · see citing works
Changing structure of European precipitation: Longer wet periods leading to more abundant rainfalls
Zolina, O., Simmer, C., Gulev, S., & Kollet, S. J. (2010) · Geophysical Research Letters · doi:10.1029/2010gl042468 · Cited by 252 · see citing works
Statistical Methods for Trend Detection and Analysis in the Environmental Sciences
Kneib, T., Fahrmeir, L., Chandler, R. E., & Scott, M. (2011) · Wiley eBooks · doi:10.1002/9781119991571 · Cited by 180 · see citing works
Estimating low‐frequency variability and trends in atmospheric temperature using ERA‐Interim
Simmons, A. J., Poli, P., Dee, D. P., Berrisford, P., Hersbach, H., Kobayashi, S., & Peubey, C. (2013) · Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society · doi:10.1002/qj.2317 · Cited by 172 · see citing works
Quantitative attribution of climate effects on Hurricane Harvey’s extreme rainfall in Texas
Wang, S.-Y. S., Zhao, L., Yoon, J., Klotzbach, P., & Gillies, R. R. (2018) · Environmental Research Letters · doi:10.1088/1748-9326/aabb85 · Cited by 170 · see citing works
Regional methods for trend detection: Assessing field significance and regional consistency
Renard, B., Lang, M., Bois, P., Dupeyrat, A., Mestre, O., Niel, H., Sauquet, É., Prudhomme, C., Parey, S., Paquet, E., et al. (2008) · Water Resources Research · doi:10.1029/2007wr006268 · Cited by 169 · see citing works
Regional rainfall decline in Australia attributed to anthropogenic greenhouse gases and ozone levels
Delworth, T. L., & Zeng, F. J. (2014) · Nature Geoscience · doi:10.1038/ngeo2201 · Cited by 157 · see citing works
Schneider, U., Becker, A., Finger, P., Meyer-Christoffer, A., Rudolf, B., & Ziese, M. (2015) · Deutscher Wetterdienst - Klimaüberwachung · doi:10.5676/dwd_gpcc/fd_m_v7_050 · Cited by 153 · see citing works
Optimal filtering in singular spectrum analysis
Allen, M. R., & Smith, L. A. (1997) · Physics Letters A · doi:10.1016/s0375-9601(97)00559-8 · Cited by 137 · see citing works
Characterizing Recent Trends in U.S. Heavy Precipitation
Hoerling, M. P., Eischeid, J. K., Perlwitz, J., Quan, X., Wolter, K., & Cheng, L. (2016) · Journal of Climate · doi:10.1175/jcli-d-15-0441.1 · Cited by 121 · see citing works
The influence of mid-latitude storm tracks on hot, cold, dry and wet extremes
Lehmann, J., & Coumou, D. (2015) · Scientific Reports · doi:10.1038/srep17491 · Cited by 106 · see citing works
Self-citationChanges in the variability of global land precipitation
Sun, F., Roderick, M. L., & Farquhar, G. D. (2012) · Geophysical Research Letters · doi:10.1029/2012gl053369 · Cited by 100 · see citing works
Record Balkan floods of 2014 linked to planetary wave resonance
Stadtherr, L., Coumou, D., Petoukhov, V. K., Petri, S., & Rahmstorf, S. (2016) · Science Advances · doi:10.1126/sciadv.1501428 · Cited by 84 · see citing works
Self-citationOpposing local precipitation extremes
Zheng, F., Westra, S., & Leonard, M. (2015) · Nature Climate Change · doi:10.1038/nclimate2579 · Cited by 79 · see citing works
Understanding rainfall extremes
Lenderink, G., & Fowler, H. J. (2017) · Nature Climate Change · doi:10.1038/nclimate3305 · Cited by 73 · see citing works
Lintner, B. R., Biasutti, M., Diffenbaugh, N. S., Lee, J., Niznik, M. J., & Findell, K. L. (2012) · Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres · doi:10.1029/2012jd017499 · Cited by 57 · see citing works
Improving flood forecasts for better flood preparedness in the UK (and beyond)
Stephens, E., & Cloke, H. (2014) · Geographical Journal · doi:10.1111/geoj.12103 · Cited by 51 · see citing works
Quantification of temperature persistence over the Northern Hemisphere land-area
Pfleiderer, P., & Coumou, D. (2017) · Climate Dynamics · doi:10.1007/s00382-017-3945-x · Cited by 50 · see citing works
Self-citationLatif, M. (1999) · doi:10.1175/1520-0442(1999)012
Flagged first, then by citations
1 of the 53 references couldn’t be matched to a known paper.
Cited by
Sorted by citations
Lagged Compound Occurrence of Droughts and Pluvials Globally Over the Past Seven Decades
He, X., & Sheffield, J. (2020) · Geophysical Research Letters · doi:10.1029/2020gl087924 · Cited by 255 · see citing works
Summer weather becomes more persistent in a 2 °C world
Pfleiderer, P., Schleussner, C., Kornhuber, K., & Coumou, D. (2019) · Nature Climate Change · doi:10.1038/s41558-019-0555-0 · Cited by 228 · see citing works
Self-citationHoffmann, R., Šedová, B., & Vinke, K. (2021) · Global Environmental Change · doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2021.102367 · Cited by 159 · see citing works
Rainfall anomalies are a significant driver of cropland expansion
Zaveri, E. D., Russ, J. D., & Damania, R. (2020) · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1073/pnas.1910719117 · Cited by 137 · see citing works
Thompson, R. L., Broquet, G., Gerbig, C., Koch, T., Lang, M. S., Monteil, G., Munassar, S., Nickless, A., Scholze, M., Ramonet, M., et al. (2020) · Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B Biological Sciences · doi:10.1098/rstb.2019.0512 · Cited by 113 · see citing works
Osmond, D. L., Shober, A. L., Sharpley, A. N., Duncan, E. W., & Hoag, D. L. (2019) · Journal of Environmental Quality · doi:10.2134/jeq2019.03.0114 · Cited by 52 · see citing works
Record-breaking extremes in a warming climate
Fischer, E. M., Bador, M., Huser, R., Kendon, E., Robinson, A., & Sippel, S. (2025) · Nature Reviews Earth & Environment · doi:10.1038/s43017-025-00681-y · Cited by 50 · see citing works
Zhang, J., Chen, H., Fang, X., Yin, Z., & Hu, R. (2024) · npj Climate and Atmospheric Science · doi:10.1038/s41612-023-00553-6 · Cited by 52 · see citing works
Changes in Extreme Daily Rainfall Characteristics in South Africa: 1921 – 2020
Mcbride, C., Kruger, A. C., & Dyson, L. L. (2022) · Weather and Climate Extremes · doi:10.1016/j.wace.2022.100517 · Cited by 44 · see citing works
Measuring “Weather Whiplash” Events in North America: A New Large‐Scale Regime Approach
Francis, J. A., Skific, N., Vavrus, S., & Cohen, J. L. (2022) · Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres · doi:10.1029/2022jd036717 · Cited by 42 · see citing works
Anthropogenic influence on extremes and risk hotspots
Estrada, F., Pierre Perron, Z., & Yamamoto, Y. (2023) · Scientific Reports · doi:10.1038/s41598-022-27220-9 · Cited by 44 · see citing works
Drought and social conflict in rural Zimbabwe: Does the burden fall on women and girls?
Chigusiwa, L., Kembo, G., & Kairiza, T. (2022) · Review of Development Economics · doi:10.1111/rode.12944 · Cited by 31 · see citing works
Toward an adequate level of detail in flood risk assessments
Sieg, T., Kienzler, S., Rözer, V., Vogel, K., Rust, H. W., Bronstert, A., Kreibich, H., Merz, B., & Thieken, A. H. (2023) · Journal of Flood Risk Management · doi:10.1111/jfr3.12889 · Cited by 36 · see citing works
The Politics of Climate Change and Uncertainty in India
Mehta, L., Adam, H. N., & Srivastava, S. (2021) · Routledge eBooks · doi:10.4324/9781003257585 · Cited by 35 · see citing works
Mechanisms for an Amplified Precipitation Seasonal Cycle in the U.S. West Coast under Global Warming
Dong, L. D., Leung, L.-Y. R., Lu, J., & Song, F. (2019) · Journal of Climate · doi:10.1175/jcli-d-19-0093.1 · Cited by 33 · see citing works
Jalowska, A. M., Spero, T. L., & Bowden, J. H. (2021) · npj Climate and Atmospheric Science · doi:10.1038/s41612-021-00176-9 · Cited by 27 · see citing works
Turman-Bryant, N., Nagel, C., Stover, L., Muragijimana, C., & Thomas, E. (2019) · Sustainability · doi:10.3390/su11113046 · Cited by 19 · see citing works
Hoffmann, P., Lehmann, J., Fallah, B., & Hattermann, F. F. (2021) · Scientific Reports · doi:10.1038/s41598-021-01808-z · Cited by 16 · see citing works
Self-citationAnthropogenic and Natural Contributions to the Lengthening of the Southern Hemisphere Summer Season
Weller, E., Park, B., & Min, S. (2020) · Journal of Climate · doi:10.1175/jcli-d-20-0084.1 · Cited by 11 · see citing works
The importance of identifying and protecting coastal wildness
Gleason, M. G., Reynolds, M., Heady, W. N., Easterday, K., & Morrison, S. A. (2023) · Frontiers in Conservation Science · doi:10.3389/fcosc.2023.1224618 · Cited by 10 · see citing works
Sarkar, M., & Chinnasamy, P. (2023) · Environmental Science and Pollution Research · doi:10.1007/s11356-023-30158-8 · Cited by 10 · see citing works
Effects of Precipitation on Food Consumer Price InflationPreprint
Moessner, R. (2022) · SSRN Electronic Journal · doi:10.2139/ssrn.4235476 · Cited by 10 · see citing works
Water Insecurity and Climate Risk: Investment Impact of Floods and Droughts
Rayer, Q. G., Haustein, K., & Walton, P. (2021) · Palgrave studies in sustainable business in association with Future Earth · doi:10.1007/978-3-030-77650-3_6 · Cited by 9 · see citing works
RecordTest: An R Package to Analyze Non-Stationarity in the Extremes Based on Record-Breaking Events
Castillo‐Mateo, J., Cebrian, A. C., & Asín, J. (2023) · Journal of Statistical Software · doi:10.18637/jss.v106.i05 · Cited by 8 · see citing works
Sefry, S., El‐Haddad, B. A., AbuAlfadael, E. Y., & Youssef, A. M. (2024) · Advances in natural and technological hazards research · doi:10.1007/978-3-031-71836-6_20 · Cited by 7 · see citing works
Zhao, S., Deng, Y., & Li, W. (2019) · Journal of Climate · doi:10.1175/jcli-d-18-0799.1 · Cited by 8 · see citing works
Global Warming and Extreme Weather Investment Risks
Rayer, Q. G., Pfleiderer, P., & Haustein, K. (2020) · Palgrave studies in sustainable business in association with Future Earth · doi:10.1007/978-3-030-38858-4_3 · Cited by 7 · see citing works
ERA5 Reproduces Key Features of Global Precipitation Trends in A Warming Climate
Obarein, O. A., & Lee, C. C. (2025) · International Journal of Climatology · doi:10.1002/joc.8877 · Cited by 9 · see citing works
Record-breaking statistics detect islands of cooling in a sea of warming
Sena, E. T., Koren, I., Altaratz, O., & Kostinski, A. B. (2022) · Atmospheric chemistry and physics · doi:10.5194/acp-22-16111-2022 · Cited by 6 · see citing works
Chairunnisa, C., Yu, H., Saren, S., Mikšík, F., Conte, P., Miyazaki, T., & Thu, K. (2024) · Journal of Materials Science · doi:10.1007/s10853-024-10265-8 · Cited by 5 · see citing works
Spatial and Temporal Patterns of Rainfall Erosivity in Southern Africa in Extreme Wet and Dry Years
Knight, J., & Elbasit, M. A. M. A. (2024) · Atmosphere · doi:10.3390/atmos15111283 · Cited by 5 · see citing works
Introduction: Consequences of Global Warming to Planetary and Human Health
Rom, W. N., & Pinkerton, K. E. (2020) · Respiratory medicine · doi:10.1007/978-3-030-54746-2_1 · Cited by 5 · see citing works
Circular Material Systems: anticipating whole-system design in architecture and construction
Hubmann, G., & van Maaren, V. (2022) · IOP Conference Series Earth and Environmental Science · doi:10.1088/1755-1315/1078/1/012002 · Cited by 4 · see citing works
Hubmann, G., Lohse, T., & Plenge, J. (2022) · Advances in Science, Technology & Innovation/Advances in science, technology & innovation · doi:10.1007/978-3-030-98187-7_3 · Cited by 3 · see citing works
Sarker, B., Alam, M., & Uddin, M. J. (2024) · Health Science Reports · doi:10.1002/hsr2.2002 · Cited by 3 · see citing works
Synergies Between Observed Warming and ENSO Episodes on Extreme Events
Estrada, F., Pierre Perron, Z., & Yamamoto, Y. (2025) · Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1111/nyas.70122 · Cited by 2 · see citing works
A Continental United States Climatology of Precipitation Whiplash Using a New Event‐Based Definition
Puxley, B. L., & Martin, E. R. (2025) · International Journal of Climatology · doi:10.1002/joc.70223 · Cited by 2 · see citing works
On the persistence of near‐surface temperature dynamics in a warming world
Estrada, F., Pierre Perron, Z., & Yamamoto, Y. (2023) · Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1111/nyas.15088 · Cited by 2 · see citing works
A Framework for Global Warming Induced Extreme Weather and Water Investment Risks
Rayer, Q. G., Haustein, K., & Walton, P. (2023) · Springer eBooks · doi:10.1007/978-3-031-23811-6_6 · Cited by 1 · see citing works
Between the market and climate change
Srivastava, S., Mehta, L., Næss, L. O., Bhatt, M. R., & Kumar, V. (2021) · Routledge eBooks · doi:10.4324/9781003257585-4 · Cited by 1 · see citing works
ERA5 REPRODUCES KEY FEATURES OF GLOBAL PRECIPITATION CHANGE IN A WARMING CLIMATEPreprint
Obarein, O. A., & Lee, C. C. (2023) · doi:10.22541/essoar.170224540.08178899/v1 · Cited by 1 · see citing works
(2019) · Elsevier eBooks · doi:10.1016/b978-0-12-820244-9.16001-9
Measuring "weather whiplash" events in North America: a new large-scale regime approachPreprint
Francis, J. A., Skific, N., Vavrus, S. J., & Cohen, J. L. (2022) · doi:10.1002/essoar.10510822.1
(2022) · Atmospheric chemistry and physics · doi:10.5194/acp-2022-316-rc1
(2022) · Atmospheric chemistry and physics · doi:10.5194/acp-2022-316-rc2
Koren, I. (2022) · Atmospheric chemistry and physics · doi:10.5194/acp-2022-316-ac2
Koren, I. (2022) · Atmospheric chemistry and physics · doi:10.5194/acp-2022-316-ac1
(2023) · Elsevier eBooks · doi:10.1016/b978-0-443-18775-9.16001-2
Rayer, Q. G., Haustein, K., & Walton, P. (2024) · Springer eBooks · doi:10.1007/978-3-031-57553-2_6
Spatio-temporal analysis of record-breaking temperature increments across Spain
Cebrian, A. C., Asín, J., Castillo‐Mateo, J., & Gelfand, A. E. (2026) · Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment · doi:10.1007/s00477-025-03159-x
- Authors
- Lehmann, J., Mempel, F., & Coumou, D.
- Affiliations
- Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (DE)
- Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona (ES)
- Corresponding author
- Lehmann, J.
- Venue
- Geophysical Research Letters
- Publisher
- American Geophysical Union (AGU)
- Published
- 2018-12-21
- Volume
- 45
- Issue
- 24
- ISSN
- 0094-8276 (ISSN-L)
- 1944-8007
- OpenAlex
- W2904008152
- Cited by
- 51
- References
- 53
- Citations by year
- 2026: 1 · 2025: 4 · 2024: 6 · 2023: 9 · 2022: 13 · 2021: 6 · 2020: 6 · 2019: 6
- FWCI
- 2.63
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- green
- research.vu.nl
- Licence
- Locations
- Geophysical Research Letters (publishedVersion)
- VU Research Portal (publishedVersion, other-oa)
- Data Archiving and Networked Services (DANS) (submittedVersion, other-oa)
- Publication Database PIK (Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK)) (submittedVersion, other-oa)
- Zurich Open Repository and Archive (University of Zurich) (submittedVersion)
- Data Archiving and Networked Services (DANS) (submittedVersion)
- Funders
- Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft (CO994/2‐1)
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Climate variability and models
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Hydrology and Drought Analysis
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Water Science and Technology › Hydrology and Watershed Management Studies
- Keywords
- extreme rainfall, drought, climate change, water cycle, high northern latitudes, tropics, Southeast Asia, Africa, stationarity
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review
