Forest Drought Resistance at Large Geographic Scales
Open accessAbstract
Forest conservation and carbon sequestration efforts are on the rise, yet the long‐term stability of these efforts under a changing climate remains unknown. We generate nearly three decades of remotely sensed canopy water content throughout California, which we use to determine patterns of drought stress. Linking these patterns of drought stress with meteorological variables enables us to quantify spatially explicit biophysical drought resistance in terms of magnitude and duration. These maps reveal significant spatial heterogeneity in drought resistance and demonstrate that almost all forests have less resistance to severe, persistent droughts. By identifying the spatial patterning of biophysical drought resistance, we quantify an important component of long‐term ecosystem stability that can be used for forest conservation, management, and policy decisions.
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Drought forecasting is helpful in predicting regions that are more at risk, as is estimating the water content in the tree canopy.
“Drought forecasting [682] is helpful in predicting regions that are more at risk, as is estimating the water content in the tree canopy [94].”
From Tackling climate change with machine learning (2023) · cites this paper as [94]
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Crausbay, S. D., Hall, K. R., Cross, M. S., Halabisky, M. A., Rangwala, I., Anderson, J., & Schwend, A. (2024) · Ecosphere · doi:10.1002/ecs2.70040 · Cited by 3 · see citing works
Divergence between in situ and satellite-based estimates of forest canopy water content
Kesselring, J., Humphrey, V., Niederberger, M., Feigenwinter, I., Shekhar, A., Buchmann, N., & Damm, A. (2025) · Remote Sensing of Environment · doi:10.1016/j.rse.2025.115097 · Cited by 2 · see citing works
Allen, J., Anderegg, L. D. L., Roberts, D. A., & Trugman, A. T. (2026) · New Phytologist · doi:10.1111/nph.71450 · Cited by 1 · see citing works
Self-citationKotzur, I., Moore, B. D., Boer, M., Yebra, M., & Youngentob, K. N. (2025) · bioRxiv (Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory) · doi:10.64898/2025.12.10.692240
Roletti, G., Sherriff, R. L., Kerhoulas, L. P., Robinson, W., Beckmann, J. J., & van Mantgem, P. J. (2026) · Forest Ecology and Management · doi:10.1016/j.foreco.2026.123744
- Authors
- Brodrick, P. G., Anderegg, L. D. L., & Asner, G. P.
- Affiliations
- Carnegie Institution for Science (US)
- Corresponding author
- Brodrick, P. G.
- Venue
- Geophysical Research Letters
- Publisher
- American Geophysical Union (AGU)
- Published
- 2019-03
- Volume
- 46
- Issue
- 5
- Pages
- 2752-2760
- ISSN
- 0094-8276 (ISSN-L)
- 1944-8007
- OpenAlex
- W2911532507
- Cited by
- 48
- References
- 52
- Citations by year
- 2026: 4 · 2025: 9 · 2024: 7 · 2023: 4 · 2022: 9 · 2021: 6 · 2020: 6 · 2019: 3
- FWCI
- 3.09
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- hybrid
- doi.org
- Licence
- Locations
- Geophysical Research Letters (publishedVersion, cc-by-nc-nd)
- Funders
- National Science Foundation (DBI‐1711243)
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Plant Water Relations and Carbon Dynamics
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Hydrology and Drought Analysis
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Fire effects on ecosystems
- Keywords
- canopy water content, drought stress, spatial heterogeneity, forest conservation, carbon sequestration, California forests, meteorological factors, drought duration
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