Hindsight is not equal to foresight: The effect of outcome knowledge on judgment under uncertainty.

Baruch Fischhoff·1975·Journal of Experimental Psychology Human Perception & Performance

Cites (2)

Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases
Tversky, Amos, Kahneman, Daniel · 1975 · Utility, Probability, and Human Decision Making
Belief in the law of small numbers.
Tversky, Amos, Kahneman, Daniel · 1971 · Psychological Bulletin

Culture and systems of thought: Holistic versus analytic cognition.
Nisbett, Richard E., Peng, Kaiping, Choi, Incheol, Norenzayan, Ara · 2001 · Psychological Review
The Intuitive Psychologist And His Shortcomings: Distortions in the Attribution Process
Ross, Lee · 1977 · Advances in Experimental Social Psychology
Extensional versus intuitive reasoning: The conjunction fallacy in probability judgment.
Tversky, Amos, Kahneman, Daniel · 1983 · Psychological Review
Representativeness revisited: Attribute substitution in intuitive judgment.
Kahneman, Daniel, Frederick, Shane · 2002 · Heuristics and Biases
The Affect Heuristic
Slovic, Paul, Finucane, Melissa, Peters, Ellen, MacGregor, Donald G. · 2002 · Heuristics and Biases

Cite CoChat for the checks on this page, and the paper for its own findings.

This page: CoChat. (2026). Citation check: Hindsight is not equal to foresight: The effect of outcome knowledge on judgment under uncertainty. https://app.cochat.ai/papers/10.1037//0096-1523.1.3.288
The paper: Fischhoff, B. (1975). Hindsight is not equal to foresight: The effect of outcome knowledge on judgment under uncertainty. Journal of Experimental Psychology Human Perception & Performance. https://doi.org/10.1037//0096-1523.1.3.288

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