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El Niño Southern Oscillation and tuna in the western Pacific

Lehodey, P., Bertignac, M., Hampton, J., Lewis, A., Picaut, J.·1997·Nature

DOI 10.1038/39575

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“Such fluctuations are often ascribed to stochastic variations in key processes, such as recruitment, growth, predation, or migration, in relation to environmental modifications (e.g., Lehodey et al. 1997; Bailey 2000; Köster et al. 2005).”
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“There are also changes in the open ocean with an eastward shift of tuna observed in the Pacific Ocean, associated with the eastward shift of the convergence zone [30,31].”
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Late Holocene Marshall Islands Archaeological Tuna Records Provide Proxy Evidence for ENSO Variability in the Western and Central Pacific Ocean
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“Primary productivity in the tropical Pacific is strongly influenced by ENSO events, which influence vertical and horizontal habitat conditions (Lehodey et al. 1997; Nicol et al. 2014), and while these climatic effects are global reaching, the strongest signatures have been measured between 10°N and…”
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“Similarly, the region surrounding the core- use non-breeding foraging area of GBR shearwaters supports a commercially important fishery; the Western and Central Pacific Ocean Tuna Fishery (WCPTF), which produces the world’s highest catch rates of tuna (Lehodey et al. 1997).”
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“Very large changes in large-scale tropical Pacific chlorophyll concentration and distribution also exist between warm and cold extremes (see Lehodey et al., 1997; Murtugudde et al., 1999; Fig.”
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Changes in Marine Biodiversity as an Indicator of Climate Change
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Half-Century of Scientific Advancements Since the Cooperative Study of the Kuroshio and Adjacent Regions (CSK) Programme - Need for a new Kuroshio Research
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Environmental noise affects the fluctuations of Atlantic large pelagics
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Impacts of climate change on fish
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“Lehodey et al., 1997; Attrill and Power 2002), whereas persistent long-term changes over longer time periods (25 – 90 years) have also been identified where appropriate monitoring data exist (Genner et al., 2004; Perry et al., 2005).”
Background
The Occurrence and Predictability of Extreme Events over the Southwest Pacific with Particular Reference to ENSO
Salinger, M., & Lefale, P. (2005) · doi:10.1007/3-540-28307-2_3 · Cited by 17
Evidence from interpretable machine learning to inform spatial management of Palau's tuna fisheries
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Seasonal distribution patterns of Scomberomorus commerson in the Taiwan Strait in relation to oceanographic conditions: An ensemble modeling approach.
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“To better understand the seasonal spatial distribution of the fishing and the variability associated with it, the latitudinal and longitudinal centers of gravity of the Spanish mackerel S.CPUE from the gillnet capture (gravitational center) were calculated as follows (Lehodey et al., 1997):”
Method
Mechanisms underlying the epipelagic ecosystem response to ENSO in the equatorial Pacific ocean
Barrier, N., Lengaigne, M., Rault, J., Person, R., Éthé, C., Aumont, O., & Maury, O. (2023) · Progress in Oceanography · doi:10.1016/j.pocean.2023.103002 · Cited by 16
Effects of Climate Variability on Two Commercial Tuna Species Abundance in the Indian Ocean
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Environment variables affect CPUE and spatial distribution of fishing grounds on the light falling gear fishery in the northwest Indian Ocean at different time scales
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“The calculation formula is as follows (Lehodey et al., 1997):”
Trends and relationship between chlorophyll-aand sea surface temperature in the central equatorial Indian Ocean
Kumar, G. S., Prakash, S., Ravichandran, M., & Narayana, A. C. (2016) · Remote Sensing Letters · doi:10.1080/2150704x.2016.1210835 · Cited by 18
“Its concentration (measured as the chlorophyll-a (chl-a) concentration) is a measure of biomass at the base of the ocean food chain and has been shown to affect the top-level predators such as fish (Lehodey et al. 1997).”
Background
Development of habitat prediction models to reduce by-catch of sailfish (Istiophorus platypterus) within the purse-seine fishery in the eastern Pacific Ocean
Martínez‐Rincón, R. O., Ortega‐García, S., Vaca-Rodrı́guez, J. G., & Griffiths, S. P. (2015) · Marine and Freshwater Research · doi:10.1071/mf14062 · Cited by 17
Movement of juvenile tuna deduced from parasite data
Moore, B. R., Lestari, P., Cutmore, S. C., Proctor, C., & Lester, R. J. G. (2019) · ICES Journal of Marine Science · doi:10.1093/icesjms/fsz022 · Cited by 16
Evaluating the impacts of environmental and fishery variability on the distribution of bigeye tuna in the Pacific Ocean
Lin, H.-L., Wang, J., Zhu, J., & Chen, X. (2023) · ICES Journal of Marine Science · doi:10.1093/icesjms/fsad163 · Cited by 17
Response of the Northwest Indian Ocean purpleback flying squid (Sthenoteuthis oualaniensis) fishing grounds to marine environmental changes and its prediction model construction based on multi-models and multi-spatial and temporal scales
Han, H., Jiang, B., Shi, Y., Jiang, P., Zhang, H., Shang, C., Sun, Y., Li, Y., & Xiang, D. (2023) · Ecological Indicators · doi:10.1016/j.ecolind.2023.110809 · Cited by 16
Climate-driven latitudinal shift in fishing ground of jumbo flying squid (Dosidicus gigas) in the Southeast Pacific Ocean off Peru
Yu, W., Yi, Q., Chen, X.-J., & Chen, Y. (2017) · doi:10.1080/01431161.2017.1297547 · Cited by 15
“In this study, the LATG was calculated by the following equation (Lehodey et al. 1997; Li et al. 2014a): LATGm ¼ PðLi;m Ei;mÞP Ei;m ; (1) where Li;m denoted the latitude of the ith fishing unit of 0.5° × 0.5° in month m; Ei;m denoted the total fishing efforts in the ith fishing unit in month m. (2)…”
MethodInfluential
Variations of oceanic fronts and their influence on the fishing grounds of Ommastrephes bartramii in the Northwest Pacific
Chen, X.-J., Tian, S.-Q., & Guan, W.-J. (2014) · Acta Oceanologica Sinica · doi:10.1007/s13131-014-0452-3 · Cited by 15
“Environmental changes, such as variations in temperature, salinity, wind field, and currents, can affect both the productivity and distribution of fish stocks (Alheit and Hagen, 1997; Lehodey et al., 1997).”
Background
Relating large-scale climate variability to local species abundance: ENSO forcing and shrimp in Breton Sound, Louisiana, USA
Piazza, B. P., Peyre, M. L. L., & Keim, B. (2010) · doi:10.3354/cr00898 · Cited by 15
“El Niño events are characterized by an atmospheric pressure pattern that decreases from west to east, a corresponding weakening of the easterly trade winds, and increased atmospheric heating in the central and eastern Pacific Ocean.”
BackgroundInfluential
ENSO phenomenon and toxic red tides in Mexico
Ochoa, J. (2003) · Geofísica Internacional · doi:10.22201/igeof.00167169p.2003.42.3.938 · Cited by 15
“…example, the best catch indexes of Lutjanus peru in Michoacán appear associated to winter periods and to La Niña, rather than to El Niño (Vera and Sánchez, 1997), while tuna Katsuwonus pelamis, which represents about 70% of the world is catch, is better linked to “El Niño” (Lehodey et al., 1997).”
Background
New production in the equatorial Pacific: a coupled dynamical–biogeochemical model
Stoens, A., Menkes, C., Dandonneau, Y., & Mémery, L. (1998) · doi:10.1046/j.1365-2419.1998.00079.x · Cited by 15
Chapter 10 Satellites and fisheries: The Namibian hake, a case study
Gordoa, A., Masó, M., & Voges, L. (2000) · doi:10.1016/s0422-9894(00)80011-2 · Cited by 15
Seasonal and Interannual Variability of Fronts and Their Impact on Chlorophyll-a in the Indonesian Seas
Zhang, H., Yu, Y., Gao, Z., Zhang, Y., Ma, W., Yang, D., Yin, B., & Wang, Y. (2023) · Journal of Physical Oceanography · doi:10.1175/jpo-d-23-0041.1 · Cited by 14
Linking observed changes in pelagic catches to temperature and oxygen in the Eastern Tropical Pacific
Clarke, T. M., Wabnitz, C. C. C., Frölicher, T. L., Reygondeau, G., Pauly, D. F., & Cheung, W. W. L. (2022) · Fish and Fisheries · doi:10.1111/faf.12694 · Cited by 17
“Strong El Niño conditions are known to affect fisheries catches and species distributions throughout the Eastern Tropical Pacific region (Fiedler, 2002; Haulsee et al., 2022; Lehodey et al., 1997; Leung et al., 2019; Mora & Robertson, 2005; Zapata Padilla, 2002).”
Interannual Variability of Yellowfin Tuna (Thunnus albacares) and Bigeye Tuna (Thunnus obesus) Catches in the Southwestern Tropical Indian Ocean and Its Relationship to Climate Variability
Kim, J., & Na, H. (2022) · Frontiers in Marine Science · doi:10.3389/fmars.2022.857405 · Cited by 14
Spatial variability of bigeye tuna habitat in the Pacific Ocean: Hindcast from a refined ecological niche model
Zhou, C., Wan, R., Cao, J., Xu, L., Wang, X., & Zhu, J. (2020) · Fisheries Oceanography · doi:10.1111/fog.12500 · Cited by 15
Predicting the El Niño and La Niño impact on the coastal zones at the Bay of Bengal and the likelihood of weather patterns in Bangladesh
Islam, M. N., & Parvez, M. P. (2020) · Modeling Earth Systems and Environment · doi:10.1007/s40808-020-00793-y · Cited by 14
Predicting global tuna vulnerabilities with spatial, economic, biological and climatic considerations
Tidd, A. N., Blanchard, J. L., Kell, L. T., & Watson, R. A. (2018) · Scientific Reports · doi:10.1038/s41598-018-28805-z · Cited by 20
Réponses des écosystèmes marins et insulaires aux changements climatiques
Georges, J., & Maho, Y. L. (2003) · doi:10.1016/s1631-0713(03)00101-9 · Cited by 14
“[16] P.”
BackgroundInfluential
Ocean–Atmosphere Interactions on Interannual to Decadal Time Scales
Vuille, M., & Garreaud, R. (2012) · SAGE Publications Ltd eBooks · doi:10.4135/9781446253045.n22 · Cited by 8
“, 1999) and mass displacement of fish stock such as skipjack tuna (Lehodey et al., 1997).”
Background
Effects of El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) on the reproduction of migratory fishes in a large South American reservoir
Cataldo, D., Leites, V., Bordet, F., & Paolucci, E. (2022) · Hydrobiologia · doi:10.1007/s10750-022-04941-6 · Cited by 13
“ENSO-driven environmental changes affect, at several spatial and temporal scales, terrestrial (Polis et al., 1997), marine (Lehodey et al., 1997), freshwater (Glynn et al., 2017), and brackish/estuarine (Belarmino et al., 2021) ecosystems.”
Collaboration a solution for small island developing states to address food security and economic development in the face of climate change
Syddall, V., Fisher, K., & Thrush, S. (2022) · Ocean & Coastal Management · doi:10.1016/j.ocecoaman.2022.106132 · Cited by 13
Impact of Abnormal Climatic Events on the CPUE of Yellowfin Tuna Fishing in the Central and Western Pacific
Zhou, W., Hu, H., Fan, W., & Jin, S. (2022) · Sustainability · doi:10.3390/su14031217 · Cited by 18
Distribution and Catch Rate Characteristics of Narrow-Barred Spanish Mackerel (Scomberomorus commerson) in Relation to Oceanographic Factors in the Waters Around Taiwan
Chen, L., Weng, J., Naimullah, M., Hsiao, P.-Y., Tseng, C., Lan, K., & Chuang, C.-C. (2021) · Frontiers in Marine Science · doi:10.3389/fmars.2021.770722 · Cited by 22
“Furthermore, changes in marine environments affect fishery resources at different spatial and temporal scales (Bell et al., 2013; Hazen et al., 2013; Liao et al., 2018).”
BackgroundInfluential
Unraveling the blue paradox: Incomplete analysis yields incorrect conclusions about Phoenix Islands Protected Area closure
Hanich, Q. A., Rotjan, R., Aqorau, T., Bailey, M., Campbell, B. M., Gray, N. J., Gruby, R. L., Hampton, J., Ota, Y., Parris, H., et al. (2018) · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · doi:10.1073/pnas.1815600115 · Cited by 13
Self-citation
Can small pelagic fish landings be used as predictors of high-frequency oceanographic fluctuations in the 1–2 El Niño region?
Ormaza-Gonzalez, F. I., Mora-Cervetto, A., Bermúdez-Martínez, R. M., Hurtado-Domínguez, M. A., Peralta-Bravo, M. R., & Jurado-Maldonado, V. M. (2016) · Advances in geosciences · doi:10.5194/adgeo-42-61-2016 · Cited by 13
“Important commercial fisheries like tuna are also impacted by these events in diverse manners: distribution, reproduction, recruitment and growth rate (e.g., Lehodey et al., 1997, 1998, 2003, 2006; Lehodey, 2004).”
Background
Marine Biodiversity and Climate Change
Worm, B., & Lotze, H. K. (2015) · Elsevier eBooks · doi:10.1016/b978-0-444-63524-2.00013-0 · Cited by 46
The impact of environmental change on small-scale fishing communities: moving beyond adaptive capacity to community response
Oestreich, W. K., Frawley, T. H., Mansfield, E. J., Green, K. M., Green, S. J., Naggea, J., Selgrath, J. C., Swanson, S. S., Urteaga, J., White, T. D., et al. (2019) · Elsevier eBooks · doi:10.1016/b978-0-12-817945-1.00027-7 · Cited by 15
Reimagining habitat suitability modeling for Pacific saury (Cololabis saira) in the Northwest Pacific Ocean through acoustic data analysis from fishing vessels
Xue, M., Tong, J., Ma, W.-C., Zhu, Z., Wang, W., Lyu, S., & Chen, X.-J. (2024) · Ecological Informatics · doi:10.1016/j.ecoinf.2024.102971 · Cited by 12
Context-dependent changes in maritime traffic activity during the first year of the COVID-19 pandemic
Loveridge, A., Elvidge, C. D., Kroodsma, D. A., White, T. D., Evans, K., Kato, A., Ropert‐Coudert, Y., Sommerfeld, J., Takahashi, A., Patchett, R., et al. (2023) · Global Environmental Change · doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2023.102773 · Cited by 16
“…links with large-scale temperature changes associated with climate phenomena such as the El Ni ˜ no/La Ni ˜ na Southern Oscillation (ENSO; Lehodey et al., 1997) Migratory animals, such as squid, whose populations are highly sensitive to climate variability, form seasonal ag-gregations…”
Background
Influence of El Niño‐Southern Oscillation on bigeye and yellowfin tuna longline catch per unit effort in the equatorial Pacific
Domokos, R. (2023) · Fisheries Oceanography · doi:10.1111/fog.12644 · Cited by 15
The Effects of Trans-Basin Climate Variability on Skipjack Tuna in the Northwest Pacific Ocean: Causal and Nonstationary
Hou, X., Ma, S., Tian, Y., & Zhang, S.-Q. (2022) · Frontiers in Marine Science · doi:10.3389/fmars.2022.895219 · Cited by 12
The Effects of Climatic Variability on the Feeding Ecology of the Scalloped Hammerhead Shark (Sphyrna lewini) in the Tropical Eastern Pacific
Arnés‐Urgellés, C., Salinas‐de‐León, P., Rastoin‐Laplane, E., Vaca‐Pita, L., Suárez-Moncada, J., & Páez‐Rosas, D. (2021) · Frontiers in Marine Science · doi:10.3389/fmars.2021.625748 · Cited by 18
“Examples of these diet behavioral shifts have been observed in other large pelagic species; thresher shark (Alopias vulpinus), bull shark (Carcharhinus leucas), and skipjack tuna (Katsuwonus pelamis) as their population abundance varies and their distribution changes to inshore habitats in the face of extreme climatic…”
Background
Mechanism of skillful seasonal surface chlorophyll prediction over the southern Pacific using a global earth system model
Ham, Y., Joo, Y., & Park, J.-Y. (2020) · Climate Dynamics · doi:10.1007/s00382-020-05403-2 · Cited by 12
Application of remotely sensed satellite data to identify Skipjack Tuna distributions and abundance in the coastal waters of Bone Gulf
Putri, A., & Zainuddin, M. (2019) · IOP Conference Series: Earth and Environment · doi:10.1088/1755-1315/241/1/012012 · Cited by 12
Improving our Understanding of Tropical Tuna Movements from Small to Large Scales
Dagorn, L., Bertrand, A., Bach, P., Petit, M., & Josse, E. (2001) · Reviews: methods and technologies in fish biology and fisheries · doi:10.1007/978-94-017-1402-0_21 · Cited by 12
Sea level height, sea surface temperature, and tuna yields in the Panama bight during El Niño
Pedraza, M. J., & Díaz Ochoa, J. A. (2006) · Advances in Geosciences · doi:10.5194/adgeo-6-155-2006 · Cited by 11
Estimating global artisanal fishing fleet responses in an era of rapid climate and economic change
Tidd, A. N., Caballero, V., Ojea, E., Watson, R. A., & Molinos, J. G. (2023) · Frontiers in Marine Science · doi:10.3389/fmars.2023.997014 · Cited by 14
Compound Extreme Events Induce Rapid Mortality in a Tropical Sea Urchin
Lucey, N., Aube, C., Herwig, A., & Collin, R. (2022) · Biological Bulletin · doi:10.1086/722283 · Cited by 14
“…becoming more readily available that show that these acute heat stress events are responsible for causing mass mortality of many species, including but not limited to kelp forests (Wernberg et al., 2016), fisheries (Lehodey et al., 1997), and coral reefs (Hughes et al., 2017; Leggat et al., 2019).”
Background
Genetic analysis of the diet of red‐footed boobies ( Sula sula ) provisioning chicks at Ulupa'u Crater, O'ahu
Donahue, S. E., Adams, J., Renshaw, M., & Hyrenbach, K. (2020) · Aquatic Conservation Marine and Freshwater Ecosystems · doi:10.1002/aqc.3470 · Cited by 11
Application of remotely sensed data and maximum entropy model in detecting potential fishing zones of Yellowfin tuna (Thunnus albacares) in the eastern Indian Ocean off Sumatera
Syah, A. F., Siregar, E. S. Y., Siregar, V., & Agus, S. (2020) · Journal of Physics, Conference Series · doi:10.1088/1742-6596/1569/4/042097 · Cited by 11
The effects of ocean temperature gradients on bigeye tuna (Thunnus obesus) distribution in the equatorial eastern Pacific Ocean
Cai, L.-N., Xu, L.-L., Tang, D.-L., Shao, W., Liu, Y., Zuo, J., & Ji, Q. (2020) · doi:10.1016/j.asr.2020.03.030 · Cited by 11
Analysis of Rainfall and Temperature Data Using Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition
Zvarevashe, W., Krishnannair, S., & Sivakumar, V. (2019) · Data Science Journal · doi:10.5334/dsj-2019-046 · Cited by 11
Environmental associations with broad‐scale Japanese and Taiwanese pelagic longline effort in the southern I ndian and A tlantic O ceans
Michael, P. E., Tuck, G. N., Strutton, P. G., & Hobday, A. J. (2015) · Fisheries Oceanography · doi:10.1111/fog.12123 · Cited by 9
Fisheries: Decline of Pacific tuna populations exaggerated?
Myers, R., & Worm, B. (2005) · Nature · doi:10.1038/nature03582 · Cited by 11

Authors: Lehodey, P., Bertignac, M., Hampton, J., Lewis, A., & Picaut, J.
Affiliations: Pacific Community (NC)
Corresponding author: Lehodey, P.
ORCID: Lehodey, P.
Bertignac, M.
Hampton, J.
Lewis, A.
Venue: Nature
Publisher: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
Published: 1997-10
Volume: 389
Issue: 6652
Pages: 715-718
ISSN: 0028-0836 (ISSN-L)
1476-4687
DOI: 10.1038/39575
OpenAlex: W1662882894
Cited by: 494
References: 0
Citations by year: 2026: 22 · 2025: 19 · 2024: 19 · 2023: 25 · 2022: 16 · 2021: 24 · 2020: 28 · 2019: 26 · 2018: 17 · 2017: 17 · 2016: 16 · 2015: 20 · 2014: 16 · 2013: 24 · 2012: 22
FWCI: 8.68
Type: journal article
Language: en
Open access: closed
Licence: www.springer.com/tdm (tdm)
Locations: Nature (publishedVersion)
RePEc: Research Papers in Economics (submittedVersion)
Funders: European Commission
Topics: Life Sciences › Agricultural and Biological Sciences › Aquatic Science › Marine and fisheries research
Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Climate variability and models
Physical Sciences › Earth and Planetary Sciences › Oceanography › Oceanographic and Atmospheric Processes
Keywords: ENSO, skipjack tuna, western Pacific warm pool, tuna distribution, equatorial Pacific, sea surface temperature

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El Niño Southern Oscillation and tuna in the western Pacific

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