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El Niño Southern Oscillation and tuna in the western Pacific

Lehodey, P., Bertignac, M., Hampton, J., Lewis, A., Picaut, J.·1997·Nature

DOI 10.1038/39575

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“The effects of ENSO climate variability on oceanographic conditions and tuna catch in the Pacific have been reported widely (Lehodey et al. 1997; Howell and Kobayashi 2006; Torres-Orozco et al. 2006; Briand, Brett, and Patrick 2011), but are less studied in the Indian Ocean.”
Background
Projected sea surface temperature changes in the equatorial Pacific relative to the Warm Pool edge
Brown, J. N., Langlais, C., & Gupta, A. S. (2014) · Deep Sea Research Part II Topical Studies in Oceanography · doi:10.1016/j.dsr2.2014.10.022 · Cited by 38
Ecosystem model of Tasmanian waters explores impacts of climate-change induced changes in primary productivity
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Area‐based management of blue water fisheries: Current knowledge and research needs
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Operationalising access to oceanic fisheries resources by small-scale fishers to improve food security in the Pacific Islands
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“Until these OceanMaps forecasts are available for Vanuatu, longer-term, global SST forecasts (several weeks to months), such as the coarse resolution modelling (~2° × 0.5–1.5°) from POAMA,4 could be used.”
InfluentialSelf-citation
Impacts of tuna industries on coastal communities in Pacific Island countries
Barclay, K. (2009) · Marine Policy · doi:10.1016/j.marpol.2009.09.003 · Cited by 38
Plasticity in vertical behaviour of migrating juvenile southern bluefin tuna (Thunnus maccoyii) in relation to oceanography of the south Indian Ocean
BESTLEY, S., GUNN, J. S., & HINDELL, M. A. (2009) · Fisheries Oceanography · doi:10.1111/j.1365-2419.2009.00509.x · Cited by 45
Biological responses of small yellow croaker (Larimichthys polyactis) to multiple stressors: a case study in the Yellow Sea, China
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“The biomass of small yellow croaker also appeared to increase during ENSO years, or one to two years after ENSO events (Li et al., 2011).”
BackgroundInfluential
Climate change projection for the western tropical Pacific Ocean using a high-resolution ocean model: Implications for tuna fisheries
Matear, R. J., Chamberlain, M. A., Sun, C., & Feng, M. (2014) · Deep Sea Research Part II Topical Studies in Oceanography · doi:10.1016/j.dsr2.2014.07.003 · Cited by 34
“…the Pacific Island Countries and Territories, as89 the quantity and distribution of the fish catch display large variability from90 year to year (Lehodey et al., 1997), and a changing ocean (e.g. Durack et al.,91 4 2012) will make it even more difficult to maintain catch levels (Bell et al.,92…”
Background
Fishing ground hotspots reveal long-term variation in chub mackerel Scomber japonicus habitat in the East China Sea
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Climate Change and Impacts in the Pacific
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Coupled changes in biomass and distribution drive trends in availability of fish stocks to US West Coast ports
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“As well as being influenced by longterm trends such as ocean warming (Poloczanska et al., 2013), species are also sensitive to decadal scale climate cycles (e.g. El Ni~no Southern Oscillation; Lehodey et al., 1997; Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation; Nye et al., 2014; Faillettaz et al., 2019; and Pacific Decadal Oscill…”
Background
Environmental versus operational drivers of drifting FAD beaching in the Western and Central Pacific Ocean
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“At a higher trophic level, mechanisms by which the column stability affects fish (tuna, anchovy, sardines) have been widely studied and are relatively well understood (Beare et al., 2004; Bertignac et al., 1998; Block et al., 1997; Brill et al., 1999; Lehodey et al., 1997).”
Background
Good governance for migratory species
Aqorau, T., Bell, J. D., & Kittinger, J. N. (2018) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.aav2051 · Cited by 37
Complicated ENSO models do not significantly outperform very simple ENSO models
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“The ability to accurately predict ENSO events a few months in advance has been shown to benefit the fisheries, animal husbandry and agricultural sectors (Adams et al., 1995; Lehodey et al., 1997; Solow et al., 1998; Jochec et al., 2001; Chen et al., 2002; Letson et al., 2005).”
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Future aspects in marine ecosystem modelling
Dippner, J. W. (2006) · Journal of Marine Systems · doi:10.1016/j.jmarsys.2005.06.005 · Cited by 29
Realising the food security benefits of canned fish for Pacific Island countries
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Modelling the impacts of environmental variation on habitat suitability for Pacific saury in the Northwestern Pacific Ocean
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A very oligotrophic zone observed from space in the equatorial Pacific warm pool
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“Tropical tuna populations follow the large zonal displacements of the eastern edge of the warm pool, and intriguingly, highest tuna catches occur on the oligotrophic side of the front (Lehodey et al., 1997).”
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Economic globalisation impacts on Pacific marine resources
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Evidence and patterns of tuna spawning inside a large no-take Marine Protected Area
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Impacts of climate variability on the tuna economy of Seychelles
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“Climate variability operates on seasonal, inter-annual or decadal time scales and affects numerous biological and ecological processes (Stenseth et al. 2002), as well as fisheries (Lehodey et al. 1997, 2006).”
Background
Seasonal to interannual predictability of oceanic net primary production inferred from satellite observations
Taboada, F. G., Barton, A. D., Stock, C., Dunne, J., & John, J. (2019) · doi:10.1016/j.pocean.2018.10.010 · Cited by 32
El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) effects on fisheries and aquaculture
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Spatial delay-difference models for estimating spatiotemporal variation in juvenile production and population abundance
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A 170‐year Sr/Ca and Ba/Ca coral record from the western Pacific warm pool: 2. A window into variability of the New Ireland Coastal Undercurrent
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Top predator distribution and abundance across the eastern Gulf of Alaska: Temporal variability and ocean habitat associations
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Response of winter cohort abundance of Japanese common squid Todarodes pacificus to the ENSO events
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The Large-Scale Deployment of Fish Aggregation Devices Alters Environmentally-Based Migratory Behavior of Skipjack Tuna in the Western Pacific Ocean
Wang, X.-F., Chen, Y., Truesdell, S. B., Xu, L., Cao, J., & Guan, W.-J. (2014) · PLoS ONE · doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0098226 · Cited by 30
Time series analysis of tuna and swordfish catches and climate variability in the Indian Ocean (1968-2003)
Corbineau, A., Rouyer, T., Cazelles, B., Fromentin, J., Fonteneau, A., & Ménard, F. (2008) · doi:10.1051/alr:2008045 · Cited by 30
“For instance, largescale movements of tuna in the western central Pacific Ocean have been correlated with the position of an oceanic convergence (Lehodey et al. 1997).”
Background
Modeling the spatial dynamics of the U.S. purse-seine fleet operating in the western Pacific tuna fishery
Campbell, H., & Hand, A. J. (1999) · doi:10.1139/f99-009 · Cited by 30
How can climate predictions improve sustainability of coastal fisheries in Pacific Small-Island Developing States?
Dunstan, P. K., Moore, B. R., Bell, J. D., Holbrook, N. J., Oliver, E. C. J., Risbey, J. S., Foster, S. D., Hanich, Q., Hobday, A. J., & Bennett, N. J. (2017) · Marine Policy · doi:10.1016/j.marpol.2017.09.033 · Cited by 36
“Multi-month El Niño and La Niña events cause: (i) variation in the distribution, and hence regional catch, of tuna [54,55]; (ii) extensive coral bleaching events that reduce local fish abundance [46,72]; and (iii) influence the distribution of tropical cyclones, which can result in severe impacts to fish habitats and…”
Background
SEXUAL DIFFERENCE IN THE MIGRATION PATTERN OF BLUE MARLIN, MAKAIRA NIGRICANS, RELATED TO SPAWNING AND FEEDING ACTIVITIES IN THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN
Shimose, T., Yokawa, K., Saito, H., & Tachihara, K. (2012) · Bulletin of Marine Science · doi:10.5343/bms.2011.1025 · Cited by 29
Pelagic MPAs: The devil you know
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“We contend that while the distribution of pelagic animals might not be static, they are commonly predictable based on an understanding of the environmental drivers, including for skipjack tuna [4, 5 ].”
Tuna oceanography—an applied science
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An individual-based model of skipjack tuna (Katsuwonus pelamis) movement in the tropical Pacific ocean
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“In the context of tropical tuna ecology, this results in changes in distribution via two processes: changes in cold water boundaries and associated habitat that cause nektonic tunas to generally move eastward to follow productive waters (Lehodey et al., 1997) and changes to spawning habitat and associated larval succe…”
BackgroundSelf-citation
Analysing and forecasting fisheries time series: purse seine in Indian Ocean as a case study
Coro, G., Large, S., Magliozzi, C., & Pagano, P. (2016) · doi:10.1093/icesjms/fsw131 · Cited by 28
Development and application of the fisheries vulnerability assessment tool (Fish Vool) to tuna and sardine sectors in the Philippines
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Evaluating habitat suitability and relative abundance of skipjack (Katsuwonus pelamis) in the Western and Central Pacific during various El Niño events
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Spatio-temporal distribution of skipjack in relation to oceanographic conditions in the west-central Pacific Ocean
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“Additionally, the previous results showed that the fishing ground distribution of skipjack tuna in west-central Pacific was significantly influenced by large-scale marine environment, such as an El Niño / Southern Oscillation (ENSO)event (Lehodey et al. 1997; Lima and Naya 2011).”
BackgroundMethodResultInfluential
Environmental effects on forage and longline fishery performance for albacore (Thunnus alalunga) in the American Samoa Exclusive Economic Zone
Domokos, R. (2009) · Fisheries Oceanography · doi:10.1111/j.1365-2419.2009.00521.x · Cited by 27
“…419 factors, as the environment can affect either catchability (e.g., Boggs, 1992; Bigelow et al., 2002, 2006; Ward and Myers, 2005; Ménard et al., 2007), fish abundance (e.g., Lehodey et al., 1997, 1998; Lehodey, 2001; Polovina et al., 2001), or both (e.g., Cushing, 1982; Walther et al., 2002).”
Background

Authors: Lehodey, P., Bertignac, M., Hampton, J., Lewis, A., & Picaut, J.
Affiliations: Pacific Community (NC)
Corresponding author: Lehodey, P.
ORCID: Lehodey, P.
Bertignac, M.
Hampton, J.
Lewis, A.
Venue: Nature
Publisher: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
Published: 1997-10
Volume: 389
Issue: 6652
Pages: 715-718
ISSN: 0028-0836 (ISSN-L)
1476-4687
DOI: 10.1038/39575
OpenAlex: W1662882894
Cited by: 494
References: 0
Citations by year: 2026: 22 · 2025: 19 · 2024: 19 · 2023: 25 · 2022: 16 · 2021: 24 · 2020: 28 · 2019: 26 · 2018: 17 · 2017: 17 · 2016: 16 · 2015: 20 · 2014: 16 · 2013: 24 · 2012: 22
FWCI: 8.68
Type: journal article
Language: en
Open access: closed
Licence: www.springer.com/tdm (tdm)
Locations: Nature (publishedVersion)
RePEc: Research Papers in Economics (submittedVersion)
Funders: European Commission
Topics: Life Sciences › Agricultural and Biological Sciences › Aquatic Science › Marine and fisheries research
Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Climate variability and models
Physical Sciences › Earth and Planetary Sciences › Oceanography › Oceanographic and Atmospheric Processes
Keywords: ENSO, skipjack tuna, western Pacific warm pool, tuna distribution, equatorial Pacific, sea surface temperature

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