Cited by 238Ecosystem dynamics and resilienceMathematical and Theoretical Epidemiology and Ecology ModelsEcology and Vegetation Dynamics Studies

Foreseeing tipping points

Open access
Scheffer, Marten·2010·Nature

Integrity signals

Registry

Crossref · 10.1038/467411a

Cites

12 of 12 references verified0 citation errors · 0 not checkable

Statistics

Recomputing p-values needs the paper’s full text.

Claims the paper makes

We couldn’t retrieve this paper’s full text, so its claims and self-check weren’t run. The registry and citation checks still apply.

Claims other papers make about this one

Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?

  • Mortality is exponentially related to the value of the frailty index.

    “Mortality has previously been demonstrated to be exponentially related to the value of the FI (81).”

    From Frailty in elderly people (2013) · cites this paper as [81]

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Authors
Scheffer, M.
Affiliations
Wageningen University & Research (NL)
Corresponding author
Scheffer, Marten
Venue
Nature
Published
2010-09
Volume
467
Issue
7314
Pages
411-412
ISSN
  • 0028-0836 (ISSN-L)
  • 1476-4687
OpenAlex
W2077595715
Cited by
238
References
12
Citations by year
2026: 9 · 2025: 10 · 2024: 24 · 2023: 26 · 2022: 21 · 2021: 22 · 2020: 17 · 2019: 19 · 2018: 10 · 2017: 13 · 2016: 15 · 2015: 13 · 2014: 10 · 2013: 10 · 2012: 11
FWCI
8.35
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
Locations
  • Nature (publishedVersion)
  • PubMed (publishedVersion)
  • Socio-Environmental Systems Modeling (acceptedVersion)
  • RePEc: Research Papers in Economics (submittedVersion)
  • Data Archiving and Networked Services (DANS) (submittedVersion)
Topics
  • Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Ecosystem dynamics and resilience
  • Health Sciences › Medicine › Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health › Mathematical and Theoretical Epidemiology and Ecology Models
  • Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Nature and Landscape Conservation › Ecology and Vegetation Dynamics Studies
Keywords
tipping points, critical slowing down, Daphnia magna, population viability, early warning indicators, complex dynamical systems, population growth dynamics
MeSH terms
Animals, Daphnia, Forecasting, Models, Biological, Plankton, Population Density, Population Dynamics, Ecosystem, Extinction, Biological

About these checks

Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.

Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.

Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.

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