CoChat
Sign Up
Cited by 1,595

The DOI matches its Crossref record.

Variability of El Niño/Southern Oscillation activity at millennial timescales during the Holocene epoch

Moy, Christopher M., Seltzer, Geoffrey O., Rodbell, Donald T., Anderson, David M.·2002·Nature
DOI 10.1038/nature01194
Open this paper in CoChat — free account

Abstract

The variability of El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) during the Holocene epoch, in particular on millennial timescales, is poorly understood. Palaeoclimate studies have documented ENSO variability for selected intervals in the Holocene, but most records are either too short or insufficiently resolved to investigate variability on millennial scales. Here we present a record of sedimentation in Laguna Pallcacocha, southern Ecuador, which is strongly influenced by ENSO variability, and covers the past 12,000 years continuously. We find that changes on a timescale of 2-8 years, which we attribute to warm ENSO events, become more frequent over the Holocene until about 1,200 years ago, and then decline towards the present. Periods of relatively high and low ENSO activity, alternating at a timescale of about 2,000 years, are superimposed on this long-term trend. We attribute the long-term trend to orbitally induced changes in insolation, and suggest internal ENSO dynamics as a possible cause of the millennial variability. However, the millennial oscillation will need to be confirmed in other ENSO proxy records.

Overview

Integrity signals

Registry

Crossref · 10.1038/nature01194

Cites

Statistics

Recomputing p-values needs the paper’s full text.

Verification

Claims the paper makes

This paper’s full text isn’t openly available, so its claims and self-check weren’t run. The registry and citation checks still apply.

Claims other papers make about this one

Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?

Citations

Cites

No references could be resolved yet.

Research works printed but not linked: 18

  1. Thompson, L. G., Mosley-Thompson, E. & Thompson, P. A. El Nino: Historical and Paleoclimate Aspects of the Southern Oscillation (eds Diaz, H. F. & Markgraf, V.) 295–322 (Cambridge Univ. Press, Cambridge, 1992)
  2. Cook, E. R., D'Arrigo, R. D., Cole, J. E., Stahle, D. W. & Villalba, R. El Nino and the Southern Oscillation (eds Diaz, H. F. & Markgraf, V.) 297–323 (Cambridge Univ. Press, Cambridge, 2000)
  3. Tudhope, A. W. et al. Variability in the El Nino:Southern oscillation through a glacial–interglacial cycle. Science 291, 1511–1517 (2001) · DOI
  4. Rodbell, D. T. et al. An ∼15,000-year record of El Nino-driven alluviation in southwestern Ecuador. Science 283, 516–520 (1999) · DOI
  5. Vuille, M., Bradley, R. S. & Keimig, F. Climate variability in the Andes of Ecuador and its relation to tropical Pacific and Atlantic sea surface temperature anomalies. J. Clim. 13, 2520–2535 (2000) · DOI
  6. Torrence, C. & Compo, G. P. A practical guide to wavelet analysis. Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc. 79, 61–78 (1998) · DOI
  7. Gilman, D. L., Fuglister, F. J. & Mitchell, J. M. On the power spectrum of “red noise”. J. Atmos. Sci. 20, 182–184 (1963) · DOI
  8. Moy, C. M. A Continuous Record of Late-Quaternary El Nino-Southern Oscillation from the Southern Ecuadorian Andes Thesis Syracuse Univ. (2000)
  9. Hansen, B. C. S. et al. Late-glacial and Holocene vegetation history from two sites in the western cordillera of southern Ecuador. Paleogeogr. Paleoclimatol. Paleoecol. (in the press)
  10. Rodbell, D. T. The timing of the last deglaciation in Cordillera Oriental, northern Peru, based on glacial geology and lake sedimentology. Geol. Soc. Am. Bull. 105, 923–934 (1993) · DOI · Paper page
  11. Rodbell, D. T., Bagnato, S., Nebolini, J. C., Seltzer, G. O. & Abbott, M. B. A late glacial-Holocene tephrochronology for glacial lakes in southern Ecuador. Quat. Res. 57, 343–354 (2002) · DOI
  12. Cole, J. Paleoclimate: A slow dance for El Nino. Science 291, 1496–1497 (2001) · DOI
  13. Sandweiss, D. H. et al. Variation in Holocene El Nino frequencies: Climate records and cultural consequences in ancient Peru. Geology 29, 603–606 (2001) · DOI · Paper page
  14. Clement, A. C., Seager, R. & Cane, M. A. Suppression of El Nino during the mid-Holocene by changes in the Earth's orbit. Paleoceanography 15, 731–737 (2000) · DOI · Paper page
  15. Bond, G. C. et al. Mechanisms of Global Change at Millennial Time Scales Geophysical Monograph Series 112 (eds Clark, P.Webb, R. & Keigwin, L. D.) 35–58 (American Geophysical Union, Washington, DC, 1999) · DOI
  16. Stuiver, M., Braziunas, T. F., Becker, B. & Kromer, B. Climatic, solar, oceanic, and geomagnetic influences on Late-Glacial and Holocene atmospheric 14C/12C change. Quat. Res. 35, 1–24 (1991) · DOI
  17. Clement, A. C. & Cane, M. A. Mechanisms of Global Climate Change at Millennial Time Scales Geophysical Monograph Series 112 (eds Clark, P. U., Webb, R. S. & Keigwin, L. D.) 363–371 (American Geophysical Union, Washington, D.C., 1999) · DOI
  18. Martin, L. et al. Southern-Oscillation signal in South-American paleoclimatic data of the last 7000 years. Quat. Res. 39, 338–346 (1993) · DOI

Cited by

Sorted by citations

Metadata

Authors
Moy, C. M., Seltzer, G. O., Rodbell, D. T., & Anderson, D. M.
Venue
Nature
Publisher
Springer Science and Business Media LLC
Published
2002-11
Volume
420
Issue
6912
Pages
162-165
ISSN
  • 0028-0836
  • 1476-4687
DOI
10.1038/nature01194
Cited by
1,595
References
0
Language
en
Licence
www.springer.com/tdm (tdm)

About these checks

Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.

Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.

Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.

What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›

Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review