The DOI matches its Crossref record; 110 of the 110 references it cites were found in a registry or an index; 11 of the 39 sources its claims cite were checked for support.
Power failure: why small sample size undermines the reliability of neuroscience
Open accessAbstract
A study with low statistical power has a reduced chance of detecting a true effect, but it is less well appreciated that low power also reduces the likelihood that a statistically significant result reflects a true effect. Here, we show that the average statistical power of studies in the neurosciences is very low. The consequences of this include overestimates of effect size and low reproducibility of results. There are also ethical dimensions to this problem, as unreliable research is inefficient and wasteful. Improving reproducibility in neuroscience is a key priority and requires attention to well-established but often ignored methodological principles.
Overview
AI snapshot
Written from the paper’s full text.
TL;DR
This review argues that low statistical power is widespread in neuroscience and that it makes published findings less likely to be true, more likely to overstate effects, and harder to replicate. Across meta-analyses from several subfields, median power was often below 31%, with some estimates as low as 8%.
Key findings
- In a sample of 48 articles, 49 meta-analyses and 730 primary studies, the median statistical power in neuroscience was 21%; excluding seven unusually high-powered neurological meta-analyses, it fell to 18%.
- The observed number of nominally significant studies was 349, compared with 254 expected under the meta-analytic summary effects, indicating excess significance (p < 0.0001).
- For brain volume studies, median power was 8% across 461 individual studies from 41 meta-analyses in eight articles; for animal water-maze and radial-maze studies, median power was 18% and 31%, respectively, with average sample sizes of 22 and 24 animals.
- With pre-study odds of 0.25 and α = 0.05, 20% power yielded a positive predictive value of 0.50, whereas 80% power yielded 0.80; simulations suggested initial effect estimates from studies powered between about 8% and 31% are inflated by 25% to 50%.
Methods
- The authors searched Web of Science on 2 February 2012 for 2011 articles using the terms “neuroscience” and “meta-analysis,” screened records independently, and included 48 articles containing 49 meta-analyses and 730 primary studies.
- They extracted summary effect sizes and study-level sample sizes or event counts, then calculated each primary study’s achieved power to detect its corresponding meta-analytic summary effect at α = 5% using G*Power, reporting mean and median power and testing for excess significance.
- Because the main sample underrepresented neuroimaging and animal-model research, they added representative meta-analyses from those areas outside the 2011 sampling frame.
Limitations
- The paper states that true effect sizes are unknown, so meta-analytic summary effects were used as proxies; because those summaries may themselves be inflated by publication and other biases, the power estimates are likely optimistic.
- The authors note that the main analysis underrepresented neuroimaging and animal-model subfields, and that the animal-model findings rest on only two meta-analyses, so extrapolation should be cautious.
- Evident from the text: the search was limited to 2011 Web of Science records and to meta-analyses with extractable data, and the excess-significance test depends on the assumption that the summary effects approximate the true effects.
Model-written summary. Check it against the paper before relying on it.
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Claims the paper makes
45 Own interpretation · 15 No basis given · 12 Own result · 9 No full text of the sources · 5 Partly supported · 4 Sources not found · 3 Supported · 3 Supported so far · 3 Own method · 1 Not checked yet · accuracy not yet measured
Every source the paper cites for this claim was checked and supports it.
In the paper
“As a consequence, researchers have strong incentives to engage in research practices that make their findings publishable quickly, even if those practices reduce the likelihood that the findings reflect a true (that is, non-null) effect 4 .”
§ Power failure: why small sample size undermines the reliability of neuroscience > Abstract
What the sources say
- Supportedcites [4] Nosek, B. A., Spies, J. R. & Motyl, M. Scientific utopia: II. Restructuring incentives and practices to promote truth over publishability. Perspect. Psychol. Sci. 7, 615–631 (2012). source
The Abstract says publication incentives encourage research decisions that produce positive results and inflate the rate of false effects. The section “Strategies That Will Accelerate the Accumulation of Knowledge” contrasts the immediate payoff of publishing with the longer-term goal of accuracy, supporting the claim’s emphasis on publishing quickly. (LLM, conf=0.92)
boosteddirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
- Supported
Every source the paper cites for this claim was checked and supports it.
In the paper
“When studies in a given field are designed with a power of 20%, it means that if there are 100 genuine non-null effects to be discovered in that field, these studies are expected to discover only 20 of them 11 .”
§ Power failure: why small sample size undermines the reliability of neuroscience > Abstract
What the sources say
- Supportedcites [11] Sterne, J. A. & Davey Smith, G. Sifting the evidence — what's wrong with significance tests? BMJ 322, 226–231 (2001). source
Table 3 defines 20% power as rejecting the null hypothesis 20% of the time when it is false. Thus, among 100 genuine non-null effects, the expected number detected is 20. The supplied copy does not specify a page number. (LLM, conf=0.93)
plaindirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
- Supported
The sources with a verdict support this claim; the rest weren’t checked yet, have no full text we could read, or their verdicts aren’t rated yet.
In the paper
“Second, the lower the power of a study, the lower the probability that an observed effect that passes the required threshold of claiming its discovery (that is, reaching nominal statistical significance, such as p < 0.05) actually reflects a true effect 1,12 .”
§ Power failure: why small sample size undermines the reliability of neuroscience > Abstract
What the sources say
- Supportedcites [1] Ioannidis, J. P. Why most published research findings are false. PLoS Med. 2, e124 (2005). This study demonstrates that many (and possibly most) of the conclusions drawn from biomedical research are probably false. The reasons for this include using flexible study designs and flexible statistical analyses and running small studies with low statistical power. source
Corollary 1 states that, other factors being equal, the probability that a research finding is true decreases as study power decreases. Table 4 identifies this probability as the positive predictive value of a finding under a nominal significance threshold of α = 0.05. (LLM, conf=0.94)
- Not checked — no full text of the sourcecites [12] Ioannidis, J. P. A., Tarone, R. & McLaughlin, J. K. The false-positive to false-negative ratio in epidemiologic studies. Epidemiology 22, 450–456 (2011). source
plaindirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
- Supported
The cited sources support only part of this claim — read each source’s verdict below.
In the paper
“Previous analyses of studies using animal models have shown that small studies consistently give more favourable (that is, 'positive') results than larger studies 78”
§ Power failure: why small sample size undermines the reliability of neuroscience > Animal model studies.
What the sources say
- Partly supportedcites [78] Sena, E. S., van der Worp, H. B., Bath, P. M., Howells, D. W. & Macleod, M. R. Publication bias in reports of animal stroke studies leads to major overstatement of efficacy. PLoS Biol. 8, e1000344 (2010). sourceExperimental — accuracy not yet measured
The Results (Prevalence of Publication Bias; page not provided) report that all 16 datasets had an excess of imprecise studies with large effect sizes, supporting the favourable-results pattern in animal stroke studies. But the Discussion (page not provided) cautions that precision in these studies relates more to biological variability and measurement error than to study size. The paper therefore does not establish the claimed comparison of small studies with larger studies. (LLM, conf=0.86)
boostedcorrelational- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
- Partly supported
The cited sources support only part of this claim — read each source’s verdict below.
In the paper
“study quality is inversely related to effect size [79][80][81][82]”
§ Power failure: why small sample size undermines the reliability of neuroscience > Animal model studies.
What the sources say
- Not checked — no full text of the sourcecites [79] Ioannidis, J. P. Extrapolating from animals to humans. Sci. Transl. Med. 4, 151ps15 (2012). source
- Not checked — no full text of the sourcecites [80] Jonasson, Z. Meta-analysis of sex differences in rodent models of learning and memory: a review of behavioral and biological data. Neurosci. Biobehav. Rev. 28, 811–825 (2005). source
- Partly supportedcites [81] Macleod, M. R. et al. Evidence for the efficacy of NXY-059 in experimental focal cerebral ischaemia is confounded by study quality. Stroke 39, 2824–2829 (2008). sourceExperimental — accuracy not yet measured
The Results report that estimated efficacy was highest in lower-quality studies of NXY-059 in animal models of stroke. This supports the inverse relationship in the studies analyzed, but does not establish it across animal model studies generally. (LLM, conf=0.84)
plaincorrelational- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
The cited sources support only part of this claim — read each source’s verdict below.
In the paper
“A requirement for sample size and power calculation is included in the Animal Research: Reporting In Vivo Experiments (ARRIVE) guidelines 84”
§ Power failure: why small sample size undermines the reliability of neuroscience > Ethical implications.
What the sources say
- Partly supportedcites [84] Kilkenny, C., Browne, W. J., Cuthill, I. C., Emerson, M. & Altman, D. G. Improving bioscience research reporting: the ARRIVE guidelines for reporting animal research. PLoS Biol. 8, e1000412 (2010). sourceExperimental — accuracy not yet measured
Table 2, item 10 (Sample size), asks authors to report animal numbers, explain how they were decided, and provide details of any sample-size calculation used. It does not require a calculation or mention a power calculation; the accompanying text also says the guidelines are not intended to be mandatory. (LLM, conf=0.89)
plain- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: unclear — It is unclear whether the paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
- Partly supported
A result the paper reports from its own data — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Our results indicate that the median statistical power in neuroscience is 21%.”
§ Power failure: why small sample size undermines the reliability of neuroscience > Results.
hedgedn = 730- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
- Rests on an assumption: The 49 meta-analyses included are representative of neuroscience research.
In the paper
“Our results indicated that the median statistical power of these studies was 8% across 461 individual studies contributing to 41 separate meta-analyses, which were drawn from eight articles that were published between 2006 and 2009.”
§ Power failure: why small sample size undermines the reliability of neuroscience > Neuroimaging studies.
What the sources say
- Not checked — no full text of the sourcecites [73] Ioannidis, J. P. Excess significance bias in the literature on brain volume abnormalities. Arch. Gen. Psychiatry 68, 773–780 (2011). source
hedgedn = 461- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
None of the sources cited for this claim have been checked yet.
In the paper
“However, seven meta-analyses comprised studies with high (>90%) average power 24,26,31,57,63,68,71 .”
§ Power failure: why small sample size undermines the reliability of neuroscience > Results.
What the sources say
- Not checked — no full text of the sourcecites [24] Babbage, D. R. et al. Meta-analysis of facial affect recognition difficulties after traumatic brain injury. Neuropsychology 25, 277–285 (2011). source
- Not checked — no full text of the sourcecites [26] Bjorkhem-Bergman, L., Asplund, A. B. & Lindh, J. D. Metformin for weight reduction in non-diabetic patients on antipsychotic drugs: a systematic review and meta-analysis. J. Psychopharmacol. 25, 299–305 (2011). source
- Not checked — no full text of the sourcecites [31] Chen, C. et al. Allergy and risk of glioma: a meta-analysis. Eur. J. Neurol. 18, 387–395 (2011). source
- Not checked — no full text of the sourcecites [57] Tian, Y., Kang, L. G., Wang, H. Y. & Liu, Z. Y. Meta-analysis of transcranial magnetic stimulation to treat post-stroke dysfunction. Neural Regen. Res. 6, 1736–1741 (2011).
- Not checked — no full text of the sourcecites [63] Witteman, J., van Ijzendoorn, M. H., van de Velde, D., van Heuven, V. J. & Schiller, N. O. The nature of hemispheric specialization for linguistic and emotional prosodic perception: a meta-analysis of the lesion literature. Neuropsychologia 49, 3722–3738 (2011). source
- Not matchedcites [68] Yuan, H. et al. Meta-analysis of tau genetic polymorphism and sporadic progressive supranuclear palsy susceptibility. Neural Regen. Res. 6, 353–359 (2011).
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- Not checked — no full text of the sourcecites [71] Zhu, Y., He, Z. Y. & Liu, H. N. Meta-analysis of the relationship between homocysteine, vitamin B(12), folate, and multiple sclerosis. J. Clin. Neurosci. 18, 933–938 (2011). source
plain- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
A result the paper reports from its own data — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“If we exclude these 'outlying' meta-analyses, the median statistical power falls to 18%.”
§ Power failure: why small sample size undermines the reliability of neuroscience > Results.
plaindirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
- It may state two separate claims as one. 21
- Probably not a substantial claim. 19
The sources with a verdict support this claim; the rest weren’t checked yet, have no full text we could read, or their verdicts aren’t rated yet.
In the paper
“Such practices include using flexible study designs and flexible statistical analyses and running small studies with low statistical power 1,5 .”
§ Power failure: why small sample size undermines the reliability of neuroscience > Abstract
What the sources say
- Supportedcites [1] Ioannidis, J. P. Why most published research findings are false. PLoS Med. 2, e124 (2005). This study demonstrates that many (and possibly most) of the conclusions drawn from biomedical research are probably false. The reasons for this include using flexible study designs and flexible statistical analyses and running small studies with low statistical power. source
Corollary 4 says that flexibility in study designs and analytical methods makes findings less likely to be true. Corollary 1 says that smaller studies have lower statistical power and that the probability a finding is true falls as power decreases. Together, these support the practices attributed to the paper. (LLM, conf=0.94)
- Not checked — no full text of the sourcecites [5] Simmons, J. P., Nelson, L. D. & Simonsohn, U. False-positive psychology: undisclosed flexibility in data collection and analysis allows presenting anything as significant. Psychol. Sci. 22, 1359–1366 (2011). This article empirically illustrates that flexible study designs and data analysis dramatically increase the possibility of obtaining a nominally significant result. However, conclusions drawn from these results are almost certainly false. source
plain- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
It may state two separate claims as one.
- Supported
Every source the paper cites for this claim was checked and supports it.
In the paper
“It has been claimed and demonstrated that many (and possibly most) of the conclusions drawn from biomedical research are probably false 1 .”
§ Power failure: why small sample size undermines the reliability of neuroscience > Abstract
What the sources say
- Supportedcites [1] Ioannidis, J. P. Why most published research findings are false. PLoS Med. 2, e124 (2005). This study demonstrates that many (and possibly most) of the conclusions drawn from biomedical research are probably false. The reasons for this include using flexible study designs and flexible statistical analyses and running small studies with low statistical power. source
The Abstract says there is increasing concern that most published research findings are false and that simulations show a research claim is more likely to be false than true for most study designs and settings. The paper’s discussion of biomedical research makes the citing sentence a fair paraphrase of its argument. (LLM, conf=0.92)
hedged- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
Probably not a substantial claim.
- Supported
The cited sources support only part of this claim — read each source’s verdict below.
In the paper
“Second, publication bias, selective data analysis and selective reporting of outcomes are more likely to affect low-powered studies.”
- Also stated in: § Low power in the presence of other biases · hedged
“Publication bias and selective reporting of outcomes and analyses are also more likely to affect smaller, underpowered studies 17 .”
§ Power failure: why small sample size undermines the reliability of neuroscience > Low power in the presence of other biases
What the sources say
- Partly supportedcites [17] Dwan, K. et al. Systematic review of the empirical evidence of study publication bias and outcome reporting bias. PLoS ONE 3, e3081 (2008). sourceExperimental — accuracy not yet measured
The Discussion (page unavailable) reports that positive or statistically significant studies are more likely to be published and significant outcomes more likely to be fully reported. The paper does not establish that publication bias or selective reporting is more likely in smaller, low-powered studies; the Results mention power calculations but do not make that comparison. Its Introduction describes selective reporting of analyses but does not assess whether it varies by study power. (LLM, conf=0.83)
hedgedcorrelational- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
It may state two separate claims as one.
- Also stated in: § Low power in the presence of other biases · hedged
The cited sources support only part of this claim — read each source’s verdict below.
In the paper
“Although previously almost all of the proposed candidate gene associations from small studies were false 99 (with some exceptions 100 ), collaborative consortia have substantially improved power, and the replicated results can be considered highly reliable.”
§ Power failure: why small sample size undermines the reliability of neuroscience > Incentivizing replication.
What the sources say
- Not checked — no full text of the sourcecites [99] Ioannidis, J. P., Tarone, R. & McLaughlin, J. K. The false-positive to false-negative ratio in epidemiologic studies. Epidemiology 22, 450–456 (2011). source
- Partly supportedcites [100] Siontis, K. C., Patsopoulos, N. A. & Ioannidis, J. P. Replication of past candidate loci for common diseases and phenotypes in 100 genome-wide association studies. Eur. J. Hum. Genet. 18, 832–837 (2010). sourceExperimental — accuracy not yet measured
Split into 2 atoms — 0 confirmed, 2 partially supported, 0 disputed, 0 misattributed, 0 unverifiable. Expand the claim to see per-atom verdicts.
plaindirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: unclear — It is unclear whether the paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
It may state two separate claims as one.
The sources with a verdict support this claim; the rest weren’t checked yet, have no full text we could read, or their verdicts aren’t rated yet.
In the paper
“However, these policies are uncommonly adhered to 95 , and thus the ability for independent experts to repeat published analysis remains low 96 .”
§ Power failure: why small sample size undermines the reliability of neuroscience > Improving availability of materials and data.
What the sources say
- Supportedcites [95] Alsheikh-Ali, A. A., Qureshi, W., Al-Mallah, M. H. & Ioannidis, J. P. Public availability of published research data in high-impact journals. PLoS ONE 6, e24357 (2011). source
The Discussion states that more than half of publications subject to journal data-availability instructions did not adhere to them. This supports the policy-adherence clause attributed to this source; the separate claim about repeating analyses carries citation 96. (LLM, conf=0.93)
- Not checked — no full text of the sourcecites [96] Ioannidis, J. P. et al. Repeatability of published microarray gene expression analyses. Nature Genet. 41, 149–155 (2009). source
plaindirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: unclear — It is unclear whether the paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
It may state two separate claims as one.
- Supported
A result the paper reports from its own data — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Our results indicate that the median statistical power for the water maze studies and the radial maze studies to detect these medium to large effects was 18% and 31%, respectively (TABLE 2).”
§ Power failure: why small sample size undermines the reliability of neuroscience > Animal model studies.
hedged- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
It may state two separate claims as one.
A result the paper reports from its own data — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“The average sample size in these studies was 22 animals for the water maze and 24 for the radial maze experiments.”
§ Power failure: why small sample size undermines the reliability of neuroscience > Animal model studies.
plainn = 22- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
It may state two separate claims as one.
The paper states this without a source or data behind it here, so there is nothing to check it against. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“In order to achieve 80% power to detect, in a single study, the most probable true effects as indicated by the meta-analysis, a sample size of 134 animals would be required for the water maze experiment (assuming an effect size of d = 0.49) and 68 animals for the radial maze experiment (assuming an effect size of d = 0.69); to achieve 95% power, these sample sizes would need to increase to 220 and”
§ Power failure: why small sample size undermines the reliability of neuroscience > Ethical implications.
hedgeddirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
It may state two separate claims as one.
A result the paper reports from its own data — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“the total numbers of animals actually used in the studies contributing to the meta-analyses were even larger: 420 for the water maze experiments and 514 for the radial maze experiments.”
§ Power failure: why small sample size undermines the reliability of neuroscience > Ethical implications.
plain- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
It may state two separate claims as one.
The paper states this without a source or data behind it here, so there is nothing to check it against. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“The meta-analyses (n = 7) that comprised studies with high average power in excess of 90% had their broadly neurological subject matter in common.”
§ Power failure: why small sample size undermines the reliability of neuroscience > Work collaboratively to increase power and replicate findings
plaincorrelationaln = 7- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: fails — The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
Probably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
The paper states this without a source or data behind it here, so there is nothing to check it against. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“First, low power, by definition, means that the chance of discovering effects that are genuinely true is low.”
§ Power failure: why small sample size undermines the reliability of neuroscience > Abstract
plaindirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
Probably not a substantial claim.
A claim is checked only against the cited paper’s full text, never its abstract, and none is available for its sources.
In the paper
“Given that these publishing biases are pervasive across scientific practice, it is possible that false positives heavily contaminate the neuroscience literature as well, and this problem may affect at least as much, if not even more so, the most prominent journals 9,10 .”
§ Power failure: why small sample size undermines the reliability of neuroscience > Abstract
What the sources say
- Not checked — no full text of the sourcecites [9] Fang, F. C. & Casadevall, A. Retracted science and the retraction index. Infect. Immun. 79, 3855–3859 (2011). source
- Not checked — no full text of the sourcecites [10] Munafo, M. R., Stothart, G. & Flint, J. Bias in genetic association studies and impact factor. Mol. Psychiatry 14, 119–120 (2009). source
hedgedconditional- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
It may state two separate claims as one.
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Pre-registration -and, ultimately, full reporting of analysis plans -clarifies the distinction between confirmatory and exploratory analysis, encourages well-powered studies (at least in the case of confirmatory analyses) and reduces the file-drawer effect.”
§ Power failure: why small sample size undermines the reliability of neuroscience > Registration of confirmatory analysis plan.
plaindirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
It may state two separate claims as one.
In the paper
“The principles of the 'three Rs' in animal research (reduce, refine and replace) 83 require appropriate experimental design and statistics -both too many and too few animals present an issue as they reduce the value of research outputs.”
§ Power failure: why small sample size undermines the reliability of neuroscience > Ethical implications.
What the sources say
- Not matchedcites [83] Russell, W. M. S. & Burch, R. L. The Principles of Humane Experimental Technique (Methuen, 1958).
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
plaindirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: fails — The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
Probably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it. It may state two separate claims as one.
- Not matched
What the paper did — it cites no source for this, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“All of the articles that were identified via this electronic search were screened independently for suitability by two authors (K.S.B. and M.R.M.).”
§ Power failure: why small sample size undermines the reliability of neuroscience > Methods.
plain- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: fails — The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
Probably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Low power therefore has an ethical dimensionunreliable research is inefficient and wasteful.”
§ Power failure: why small sample size undermines the reliability of neuroscience > Ethical implications.
plaindirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: fails — It may be too vague to check against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
Probably not a substantial claim. It may be too vague to check against evidence. It may state two separate claims as one.
- Rests on an assumption: Low power is a problem in practice because of the normative publishing standards for producing novel, significant, clean results and the ubiquity of null hypothesis significance testing as the means of evaluating the truth of research findings.
What the paper did — it cites no source for this, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“The results described in this section are based on only two meta-analyses, and we should be appropriately cautious in extrapolating from this limited evidence.”
§ Power failure: why small sample size undermines the reliability of neuroscience > Animal model studies.
plain- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: fails — The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
Probably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it. It may state two separate claims as one.
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Nevertheless, it is notable that the results are so consistent with those observed in other fields, such as the neuroimaging and neuroscience studies that we have described above.”
§ Power failure: why small sample size undermines the reliability of neuroscience > Animal model studies.
plaincorrelational- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: fails — The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
Probably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
In the paper
“False positives occur more frequently and go unnoticed when degrees of freedom in data analysis and reporting are undisclosed 5 .”
§ Power failure: why small sample size undermines the reliability of neuroscience > Conclusions and future directions
What the sources say
- Not checked — no full text of the sourcecites [5] Simmons, J. P., Nelson, L. D. & Simonsohn, U. False-positive psychology: undisclosed flexibility in data collection and analysis allows presenting anything as significant. Psychol. Sci. 22, 1359–1366 (2011). This article empirically illustrates that flexible study designs and data analysis dramatically increase the possibility of obtaining a nominally significant result. However, conclusions drawn from these results are almost certainly false. source
plaindirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
It may state two separate claims as one.
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Making research materials available will improve the quality of studies aimed at replicating and extending research findings.”
§ Power failure: why small sample size undermines the reliability of neuroscience > Improving availability of materials and data.
plaindirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: fails — The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
- Based: fails — The paper may give no reason why it holds.
Probably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it. The paper may give no reason why it holds.
What the paper did — it cites no source for this, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Data extraction was performed independently by K.S.B. and M.R.M. or C.M. and verified collaboratively.”
- Also stated in: § Figure 2 | Flow diagram of articles selected for inclusion. · plain
“Data extraction was independently performed by K.S.B. and either M.R.M. or C.M. and verified collaboratively.”
§ Power failure: why small sample size undermines the reliability of neuroscience > Figure 2 | Flow diagram of articles selected for inclusion.
plain- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: fails — The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
Probably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
- Also stated in: § Figure 2 | Flow diagram of articles selected for inclusion. · plain
The paper states this without a source or data behind it here, so there is nothing to check it against. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Meta-analysis provides the best estimate of the true effect size, albeit with limitations, including the limitation that the individual studies that contribute to a meta-analysis are themselves subject to the problems described above.”
§ Power failure: why small sample size undermines the reliability of neuroscience > Empirical evidence from neuroscience
plain- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
It may state two separate claims as one.
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“As we have already discussed, several other biases are also likely to reduce the probability that a research finding reflects a true effect.”
§ Power failure: why small sample size undermines the reliability of neuroscience > Implications for the likelihood that a research finding reflects a true effect.
hedgedconditional- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: fails — It may be too vague to check against evidence.
- Load-bearing: fails — The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
- Based: fails — The paper may give no reason why it holds.
Probably not a substantial claim. It may be too vague to check against evidence. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it. The paper may give no reason why it holds.
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Inflated effect estimates make it difficult to determine an adequate sample size for replication studies, increasing the probability of type II errors.”
§ Power failure: why small sample size undermines the reliability of neuroscience > Work collaboratively to increase power and replicate findings
plaindirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
It may state two separate claims as one.
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Null findings locked in file drawers bias the literature, whereas exploratory analyses are only useful and valid if you acknowledge the caveats and limitations.”
§ Power failure: why small sample size undermines the reliability of neuroscience > Disclose methods and findings transparently
plaindirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: fails — It may be too vague to check against evidence.
- Load-bearing: fails — The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
- Based: fails — The paper may give no reason why it holds.
Probably not a substantial claim. It may be too vague to check against evidence. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it. The paper may give no reason why it holds. It may state two separate claims as one.
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Assuming, as one might in a power calculation, that the initially observed effect we are trying to replicate reflects the true effect, the potential distribution of these replication effect estimates would be similar to the distribution of the original study (dashed green curve).”
§ Power failure: why small sample size undermines the reliability of neuroscience > Work collaboratively to increase power and replicate findings
hedgedcorrelational- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
Probably not a substantial claim.
- The authors state this as an assumption: The initially observed effect that a replication study attempts to replicate reflects the true effect.
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Some fields are confronting the problem of the poor reliability of research findings that arises from low-powered studies.”
§ Power failure: why small sample size undermines the reliability of neuroscience > Concluding remarks.
plaindirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: fails — The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
Probably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“We can increase the power of the replication study (coloured area under the orange curve) by increasing the sample size so as to reduce the sem.”
§ Power failure: why small sample size undermines the reliability of neuroscience > Work collaboratively to increase power and replicate findings
plaindirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
It may state two separate claims as one.
The paper states this without a source or data behind it here, so there is nothing to check it against. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“For example, in genetic epidemiology sample sizes increased dramatically with the widespread understanding that the effects being sought are likely to be extremely small.”
§ Power failure: why small sample size undermines the reliability of neuroscience > Concluding remarks.
plaindirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: fails — The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
Probably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
The paper states this without a source or data behind it here, so there is nothing to check it against. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“If a study finds evidence for an effect at p = 0.05, then the difference between the mean of the null distribution (indicated by the solid blue curve) and the mean of the observed distribution (dashed blue curve) is 1.96 × sem.”
§ Power failure: why small sample size undermines the reliability of neuroscience > Work collaboratively to increase power and replicate findings
plaincorrelational- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
Probably not a substantial claim.
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Making raw data available will improve data aggregation methods and confidence in reported results.”
§ Power failure: why small sample size undermines the reliability of neuroscience > Improving availability of materials and data.
hedgeddirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: fails — The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
- Based: fails — The paper may give no reason why it holds.
Probably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it. The paper may give no reason why it holds. It may state two separate claims as one.
The paper states this without a source or data behind it here, so there is nothing to check it against. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Combining data increases the total sample size (and therefore power) while minimizing the labour and resource impact on any one contributor.”
§ Power failure: why small sample size undermines the reliability of neuroscience > Work collaboratively to increase power and replicate findings
plaindirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: fails — The paper may give no reason why it holds.
Probably not a substantial claim. The paper may give no reason why it holds. It may state two separate claims as one.
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“By contrast, large, high-powered studies can readily detect both small and large effects and so are less biased, as both over-and underestimations of the true effect size will pass the threshold for 'discovery'.”
§ Power failure: why small sample size undermines the reliability of neuroscience > Work collaboratively to increase power and replicate findings
plaindirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
It may state two separate claims as one.
In the paper
“The winner's curse refers to the phenomenon that studies that find evidence of an effect often provide inflated estimates of the size of that effect.”
§ Power failure: why small sample size undermines the reliability of neuroscience > Work collaboratively to increase power and replicate findings
What the sources say
- Not matchedcites REF. 103
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
plaindirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
Probably not a substantial claim.
- Not matched
The authors state this as an assumption.
The summary effect size reported in each study is close to the true effect size.
“Importantly, these calculations assume that the summary effect size reported in each study is close to the true effect size, but it is likely that they are inflated owing to publication and other biases described above.”
The authors state this as an assumption.
The initially observed effect we are trying to replicate reflects the true effect.
“Assuming, as one might in a power calculation, that the initially observed effect we are trying to replicate reflects the true effect, the potential distribution of these replication effect estimates would be similar to the distribution of the original study (dashed green curve).”
The paper relies on this without support.
The 49 meta-analyses included are representative of neuroscience research.
“Our results indicate that the median statistical power in neuroscience is 21%.”
The paper relies on this without support.
Most structural and volumetric MRI studies are very small and have minimal power to detect differences between compared groups.
“Most structural and volumetric MRI studies are very small and have minimal power to detect differences between compared groups (for example, healthy people versus those with mental health diseases).”
The paper relies on this without support.
The effects now sought in neuroscience experiments are often smaller and more subtle than before.
“A consequence of the remarkable growth in neuroscience over the past 50 years has been that the effects we now seek in our experiments are often smaller and more subtle than before as opposed to when mostly easily discernible 'low-hanging fruit' were targeted.”
The paper relies on this without support.
Computational analysis of very large datasets is now relatively straightforward, so that an enormous number of tests can be run in a short time on the same dataset.
“At the same time, computational analysis of very large datasets is now relatively straightforward, so that an enormous number of tests can be run in a short time on the same dataset.”
The paper relies on this without support.
These dramatic advances in the flexibility of research design and analysis have occurred without accompanying changes to other aspects of research design, particularly power.
“These dramatic advances in the flexibility of research design and analysis have occurred without accompanying changes to other aspects of research design, particularly power.”
The paper relies on this without support.
Low power is a problem in practice because of the normative publishing standards for producing novel, significant, clean results and the ubiquity of null hypothesis significance testing as the means of evaluating the truth of research findings.
“Low power is a problem in practice because of the normative publishing standards for producing novel, significant, clean results and the ubiquity of null hypothesis significance testing as the means of evaluating the truth of research findings.”
The authors state this as an assumption.
The initially observed effect that a replication study attempts to replicate reflects the true effect.
“Assuming, as one might in a power calculation, that the initially observed effect we are trying to replicate reflects the true effect”
The paper relies on this without support.
In an exploratory research field such as much of neuroscience, the pre-study odds are often low.
“Notably, in an exploratory research field such as much of neuroscience, the pre-study odds are often low.”
Claims other papers make about this one
Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?
The cited source doesn’t support the claim as written.
In the citing paper
“Due to differences in age and sample size between protocols and phases, effect sizes could not be directly compared (Button et al., 2013), but the directions of associations with age were largely consistent for ADNI2 and ADNI3 phases separately, and each ADNI3 protocol (Figures 1, 2).”
From Diffusion MRI Indices and Their Relation to Cognitive Impairment in Brain Aging: The Updated Multi-protocol Approach in ADNI3 (2019) · cites this paper as Button et al., 2013
Checked by a reasoning model — may be wrong.
Experimental — accuracy not yet measuredThe source backs part of the claim, not all of it — or backs it for a different population, condition or comparison.
In the citing paper
“but not very different from studies in neuroscience in general (average power = 21%) (14).”
From Statistical and Methodological Considerations for the Interpretation of Intranasal Oxytocin Studies (2016) · cites this paper as [14]
Experimental — accuracy not yet measuredThe source backs part of the claim, not all of it — or backs it for a different population, condition or comparison.
In the citing paper
“First, the sample size is small, which precludes the detection of small or medium-sized effects.43”
From Effects of Insufficient Sleep on Pituitary–Adrenocortical Response to CRH Stimulation in Healthy Men (2017) · cites this paper as [43]
Experimental — accuracy not yet measuredThe source backs part of the claim, not all of it — or backs it for a different population, condition or comparison.
In the citing paper
“The lower response rate at week 26 may also result in inflated effects sizes and lower reproducibility of results [63].”
From Benchmark findings from a veteran electronic patient-reported outcomes evaluation from a chronic pain management telehealth program (2024) · cites this paper as [63]
Experimental — accuracy not yet measuredThe source backs part of the claim, not all of it — or backs it for a different population, condition or comparison.
In the citing paper
“This may benefit studies in particular that focus on neuroimaging, which are costly and tend to have small sample sizes (Button et al. 2013), those that employ electrophysiological techniques that might be extremely time-consuming, or those that include genetics.”
From New directions in hypnosis research: strategies for advancing the cognitive and clinical neuroscience of hypnosis (2017) · cites this paper as Button et al. 2013
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
The source backs part of the claim, not all of it — or backs it for a different population, condition or comparison.
In the citing paper
“The current study is limited in that the sample sizes and sample demographics available for each protocol vary, complicating direct comparison of the protocols (Button et al., 2013).”
From Diffusion MRI Indices and Their Relation to Cognitive Impairment in Brain Aging: The Updated Multi-protocol Approach in ADNI3 (2019) · cites this paper as Button et al., 2013
Experimental — accuracy not yet measuredThe cited source says what the claim attributes to it.
In the citing paper
“This might indicate that results from previous studies do not always reflect a true effect (Button et al. 2013)”
From Terror Management Theory in the Consumer Domain: A Systematic Review and Meta‐Analysis on Mortality Salience Driven Consumer Responses (2025) · cites this paper as Button et al. 2013
The cited source says what the claim attributes to it.
In the citing paper
“Another limitation was the small sample size, due to the duration of the project (just over a year) and the availability of families to take their children for evaluation within this period. This could have reduced the statistical power of the study, potentially lowering the probability of detecting a true effect if one exists and reducing the likelihood that a statistically significant result”
From Enhancing Ecological Validity: Virtual Reality Assessment of Executive Functioning in Children and Adolescents with ADHD (2024) · cites this paper as [46]
The cited source says what the claim attributes to it.
In the citing paper
“Selective reporting, questionable research practices, and low-powered research all contribute to the unreliability of findings in a range of disciplines”
From Investigating the replicability of preclinical cancer biology (2021) · cites this paper as Button et al., 2013
The cited source says what the claim attributes to it.
In the citing paper
“Given the tendency for small sample sizes to produce inflated effect size estimates (Button et al., 2013), future studies should include larger samples in order to produce more precise effect size estimates.”
From Working Memory Training Does Not Improve Performance on Measures of Intelligence or Other Measures of “Far Transfer”: Evidence From a Meta-Analytic Review (2016) · cites this paper as Button et al., 2013
The cited source says what the claim attributes to it.
In the citing paper
“Fourth, due to the typical practices in neuroscience research of obtaining and relying on small and underpowered samples (Button et al., 2013).”
From Is the Putative Mirror Neuron System Associated with Empathy? A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis (2021) · cites this paper as Button et al., 2013
The cited source says what the claim attributes to it.
In the citing paper
“Sample sizes of included studies were, on average, relatively small, which is consistent with the recent findings of Button et al. (2013) that suggest such sample sizes are typical in neuroscience research.”
From Is the Putative Mirror Neuron System Associated with Empathy? A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis (2021) · cites this paper as Button et al. (2013)
The cited source says what the claim attributes to it.
In the citing paper
“Potentially problematic practices include selective reporting, selective analysis, and insufficient specification of the conditions necessary or sufficient to obtain the results ( 1223 ).”
From Estimating the reproducibility of psychological science (2015) · cites this paper as [14]
The cited source says what the claim attributes to it.
In the citing paper
“An important qualification about this result is the possibility that the original studies have inflated effect sizes due to publication, selection, reporting, or other biases ( 9, 1223 ).”
From Estimating the reproducibility of psychological science (2015) · cites this paper as [14]
The cited source says what the claim attributes to it.
In the citing paper
“Concerns about reproducibility are widespread across disciplines ( 921 ).”
From Estimating the reproducibility of psychological science (2015) · cites this paper as [14]
The cited source says what the claim attributes to it.
In the citing paper
“There is good evidence that low power of research designs combined with publication bias favoring positive results over negative results produces a literature with upwardly biased effect sizes ( 14, 16, 30, 31 ).”
From Estimating the reproducibility of psychological science (2015) · cites this paper as [14]
The cited source says what the claim attributes to it.
In the citing paper
“and has contributed, in part, to the replication crisis in other fields (Button et al., 2013; Szucs and Ioannidis, 2017; Ioannidis et al., 2017).”
From With Little Power Comes Great Responsibility (2020) · cites this paper as Button et al., 2013
The cited source says what the claim attributes to it.
In the citing paper
“when significant effects are found, they are likely to be noisier and have lower positive predictive value (Button et al., 2013).”
From With Little Power Comes Great Responsibility (2020) · cites this paper as Button et al., 2013
The cited source says what the claim attributes to it.
In the citing paper
“Low power has three effects: first, within the experiment, real effects are more likely to be missed; second, when an effect is detected, this will often be an overestimation of the true effect size [24]; and finally, when low power is combined with publication bias, there is an increase in the false positive rate in the published literature [36].”
From Reporting animal research: Explanation and elaboration for the ARRIVE guidelines 2.0 (2020) · cites this paper as [36]
The cited source says what the claim attributes to it.
In the citing paper
“The reproducibility of scientific findings has been called into question.”
From Evaluating replicability of laboratory experiments in economics (2016) · cites this paper as [6]
In the citing paper
“Furthermore, sample sizes are often underpowered (4-6), at times leading to conclusions that do not hold up with larger-sized replications or metaanalyses (7).”
From Generic language in scientific communication (2019) · cites this paper as [5]
In the citing paper
“Testing more rather than fewer participants will make inferences more robust and more widely applicable as this can reduce random variation, increasing the probability that a statistically significant result reflects a true effect also likely to occur in retesting with similar groups [5].”
From Hasty generalizations and generics in medical research: A systematic review (2024) · cites this paper as [5]
In the citing paper
“Less clear, perhaps, is that low power can also increase the false discovery rate and the likelihood that reported effect sizes are inflated, due to their reduced ability to mute stochastic noise [13,63,64].”
From The natural selection of bad science (2016) · cites this paper as [63]
In the citing paper
“For most published research findings to be false in psychology and neuroscience, for example, one must assume that the hypotheses tested in these disciplines are correct much less than 50% of the time (14, 18).”
From Is science really facing a reproducibility crisis, and do we need it to? (2018) · cites this paper as [18]
In the citing paper
“Indeed, power analyses show that resting-state functional connectivity for individual links in people is not robust with small samples (Button et al., 2013; Poldrack, 2019), especially in populations with psychiatric disorders, as we also have found.”
From The orbitofrontal cortex: reward, emotion and depression (2020) · cites this paper as Button et al., 2013
In the citing paper
“For example, in neuroscience, even with lenient assumptions, the average power of an experiment is about 20%13,14.”
From How to design preclinical studies in nanomedicine and cell therapy to maximize the prospects of clinical translation (2018) · cites this paper as [13]
In the citing paper
“Overall the sample size was relatively small, which may limit reproducibility of results (Button et al., 2013), but was comparable to other relevant fMRI studies (Christakou et al., 2013, Richey et al., 2012, Rubia et al., 2009b).”
From Differentiating neural reward responsiveness in autism versus ADHD (2014) · cites this paper as Button et al., 2013
In the citing paper
“even if a lack of statistical power is a major cause of concern in neuroscience and may be imputed for several studies (Button et al., 2013)”
From What visual illusions teach us about schizophrenia (2014) · cites this paper as Button et al., 2013
In the citing paper
“Many studies included relatively small sample sizes potentially limiting the ability to observe true effects (Button et al., 2013).”
From Neural networks involved in adolescent reward processing: an activation likelihood estimation meta-analysis of functional neuroimaging studies (2015) · cites this paper as Button et al., 2013
Self-check
Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.
Each contradiction between two passages listed here was confirmed by an independent check.
Rated minor: it would not touch a result — a value no result rests on, a p-value that stays on the same side of the significance level, or a conflict that is clerical, resolved elsewhere in the paper, or outside its own findings.
In the paper
§ Power failure: why small sample size undermines the reliability of neuroscience > Animal model studies.
“Studies of this size can only detect very large effects (d = 1.20 for n = 22, and d = 1.26 for n = 24) with 80% power”
§ Power failure: why small sample size undermines the reliability of neuroscience > Ethical implications.
“the average sample size of 22 animals for the water maze experiments was only sufficient to detect an effect size of d = 1.26 with Table 1 (cont.)| Characteristics of included meta-analyses Study k N Summary effect size Power Refs Median (range) Cohen's d OR Random or fixed effects Median (range) Yang 3 51 (18-205) 0.67 NA 0.65 (0.27-1.00) 67 Yuan 14 116.5 (19-1178) 4.98 Fixed 0.92”
Cited works that were retracted
Works this paper cites that were later retracted, from the retraction notices publishers deposit. Major when the notice came out before this paper was published.
A note, not an issue: for example, a cited work that was retracted only after this paper was published, which its authors could not have known.
In the paper
“Fang, F. C. & Casadevall, A. Retracted science and the retraction index. Infect. Immun. 79, 3855–3859 (2011).”
Cited work 10.1128/iai.05661-11 · retraction date not known · this paper published 2013-04-10
Citations
Cites
1 retracted
Retracted Science and the Retraction Index
Fang, F. C., & Casadevall, A. (2011) · Infection and Immunity · doi:10.1128/iai.05661-11 · Cited by 405
RetractedFaul, F., Erdfelder, E., Lang, A.-G., & Buchner, A. (2007) · Behavior Research Methods · doi:10.3758/bf03193146 · Cited by 65,971
Why Most Published Research Findings Are False
Ioannidis, J. P. A. (2005) · PLoS Medicine · doi:10.1371/journal.pmed.0020124 · Cited by 10,505
Self-citationSterne, J. A. C., Sutton, A. J., Ioannidis, J. P. A., Terrin, N., Jones, D. R., Lau, J., Carpenter, J., Rucker, G., Harbord, R. M., Schmid, C. H., et al. (2011) · BMJ · doi:10.1136/bmj.d4002 · Cited by 7,709
Self-citationImproving Bioscience Research Reporting: The ARRIVE Guidelines for Reporting Animal Research
Kilkenny, C., Browne, W. J., Cuthill, I. C., Emerson, M., & Altman, D. G. (2010) · PLoS Biology · doi:10.1371/journal.pbio.1000412 · Cited by 7,300
Simmons, J. P., Nelson, L. D., & Simonsohn, U. (2011) · Psychological Science · doi:10.1177/0956797611417632 · Cited by 6,567
Improving bioscience research reporting: The ARRIVE guidelines for reporting animal research
Kilkenny, C., Browne, W. J., Cuthill, I. C., Emerson, M., & Altman, D. G. (2010) · Journal of Pharmacology and Pharmacotherapeutics · doi:10.4103/0976-500x.72351 · Cited by 6,277
The Principles of Humane Experimental Technique
(1960) · The Medical Journal of Australia · doi:10.5694/j.1326-5377.1960.tb73127.x · Cited by 5,045
Why Most Published Research Findings Are False
Ioannidis, J. P. A. (2005) · CHANCE · doi:10.1080/09332480.2005.10722754 · Cited by 4,702
Self-citationBelief in the law of small numbers.
Tversky, A., & Kahneman, D. (1971) · Psychological Bulletin · doi:10.1037/h0031322 · Cited by 3,246
Research works printed but not linked: 2
- David, S. P. et al. Potential reporting bias in small fMRI studies of the brain. PLoS Biol. (in the press).
- Ioannidis, J. P., Tarone, R. & McLaughlin, J. K. The false-positive to false-negative ratio in epidemiologic studies. Epidemiology 22, 450–456 (2011). · DOI · Paper page
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Pennington, C. R., Jones, A., Tzavella, L., Chambers, C., & Button, K. S. (2022) · Aston Publications Explorer (Aston University) · Cited by 15
Self-citationNonverbal Action Interpretation Guides Novel Word Disambiguation in 12-Month-Olds
Pomiechowska, B., & Csibra, G. (2022) · Open Mind · doi:10.1162/opmi_a_00055 · Cited by 17
“In particular, we would like to acknowledge that small sample sizes might result in overestimating effect sizes (Bergmann et al., 2018; Button et al., 2013) and render replication attempts difficult.”
Musial, M. P. M., Beck, A., Rosenthal, A., Charlet, K., Bach, P., Kiefer, F., Vollstädt‐Klein, S., Walter, H., Heinz, A., & Rothkirch, M. (2022) · Biological Psychiatry · doi:10.1016/j.biopsych.2022.05.024 · Cited by 16
Power Calculations for Replication Studies
Micheloud, C., & Held, L. (2022) · Statistical Science · doi:10.1214/21-sts828 · Cited by 19
Attitudes and Action in International Refugee Policy: Evidence from Australia
Sheppard, J., & von Stein, J. (2022) · International Organization · doi:10.1017/s0020818322000133 · Cited by 16
“Button et al. 2013.”
How failure to falsify in high-volume science contributes to the replication crisis
Rajtmajer, S. M., Errington, T. M., & Hillary, F. G. (2022) · eLife · doi:10.7554/elife.78830 · Cited by 18
“This “science-by-volume” approach is exacerbated by the overuse of inappropriate 125 statistical tests, which increases the probability that spurious findings will be reported as 126 meaningful [Button et al., 2013].”
BackgroundNeuroscout, a unified platform for generalizable and reproducible fMRI research
de la Vega, A. I., Rocca, R., Blair, R. W., Markiewicz, C. J., Mentch, J., Kent, J. D., Herholz, P., Ghosh, S., Poldrack, R. A., & Yarkoni, T. (2022) · eLife · doi:10.7554/elife.79277 · Cited by 14
Some Right Ways to Analyze (Psycho)Linguistic Data
Vasishth, S. (2022) · Annual Review of Linguistics · doi:10.1146/annurev-linguistics-031220-010345 · Cited by 17
Lönn, A., Kallings, L., Andersson, G. B. J., Paulsson, S. Å., Wallin, P., Eriksson, J. S., & Ekblom‐Bak, E. (2023) · International Journal of Behavioral Nutrition and Physical Activity · doi:10.1186/s12966-023-01446-w · Cited by 15
Mehta, K. P., Pines, A. R., Adebimpe, A., Larsen, B., Bassett, D. S., Calkins, M. E., Baller, E. B., Gell, M., Patrick, L. M., Shafiei, G., et al. (2023) · Developmental Cognitive Neuroscience · doi:10.1016/j.dcn.2023.101265 · Cited by 21
Pavlickova, H., Turnbull, O. H., & Bentall, R. P. (2013) · Psychology and Psychotherapy Theory Research and Practice · doi:10.1111/papt.12015 · Cited by 15
“The small sample size had the consequence of a decreased capacity to detect other than large effects, and raises the risk of reporting inflated effect sizes (Button et al., 2013).”
BackgroundMultimodal Imaging in Autism: an Early Review of Comprehensive Neural Circuit Characterization
Yerys, B. E., & Herrington, J. D. (2014) · Current Psychiatry Reports · doi:10.1007/s11920-014-0496-2 · Cited by 16
Muita, R., van Ogtrop, F., Ampt, P., et al. (2015) · Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews Water · doi:10.1002/wat2.1118 · Cited by 15
“Farmers Perceptions of Climate Variability The QS had a response rate of greater than 90% which, in combination with the sample size, is likely to give results that are relatively representative of the entire population.(60) More than 70% of the farmers indicated that their understanding of climate variability came ab…”
BackgroundPrevention of Stress-Provoked Endothelial Injury by Values Affirmation: a Proof of Principle Study
Spicer, J., Shimbo, D., Johnston, N., Harlapur, M., Purdie-Vaughns, V. J., Cook, J., Fu, J., Burg, M. M., & Wager, T. D. (2015) · Annals of Behavioral Medicine · doi:10.1007/s12160-015-9756-6 · Cited by 15
“Thus, such significant findings should be interpreted with caution in particular when determining power for future studies [43].”
Wayman, C., Duricki, D. A., Roy, L. A., et al. (2016) · Journal of Visualized Experiments · doi:10.3791/53106 · Cited by 15
Challenges in Applying the Results of Clinical Trials to Clinical Practice
Zarbin, M. A. (2016) · JAMA Ophthalmology · doi:10.1001/jamaophthalmol.2016.1266 · Cited by 15
Kulminski, A. M., Kernogitski, Y., Culminskaya, I. V., Loika, Y., Arbeev, K. G., Bagley, O., Duan, M., Arbeeva, L. S., Ukraintseva, S. V., Wu, D., et al. (2016) · Aging Cell · doi:10.1111/acel.12526 · Cited by 14
Alolayan, A., & Leung, Y. Y. (2017) · Journal of Cranio-Maxillofacial Surgery · doi:10.1016/j.jcms.2017.01.032 · Cited by 15
Does Leadership Development Need to Care About Neuro-Ethics?
Lindebaum, D., Al‐Amoudi, I., & Brown, V. L. (2017) · Academy of Management Learning and Education · doi:10.5465/amle.2016.0220 · Cited by 18
“…field, while neuroscientists themselves continue to grapple with, and raise fundamental (and lingering) questions about, theoretical foundations of neuroscience, and the validity of the data produced (e.g., Button et al., 2013; Jonas & Kording, 2016; Simons et al., 2016; Thibault & Raz, in press).”
Simonato, M., Iyengar, S. S., Brooks‐Kayal, A. R., Collins, S., Depaulis, A., Howells, D. W., Jensen, F. E., Liao, J., Macleod, M. R., Patel, M., et al. (2017) · Epilepsia · doi:10.1111/epi.13908 · Cited by 15
“Inclusion criteria: (1) papers written in English; (2) concerning the induced epilepsy models listed in Table 1; (3) using mammalian species.”
BackgroundMethodInfluentialNakhla, J. P., Bhashyam, N., Ramos, R. D. L. G., et al. (2017) · European Spine Journal · doi:10.1007/s00586-017-5406-y · Cited by 15
Brain responses to stimuli mimicking dental treatment among non‐phobic individuals: A meta‐analysis
Yeung, A. W. K., Goto, T., & Leung, W. K. (2017) · Oral Diseases · doi:10.1111/odi.12819 · Cited by 15
Decoding intentions of self and others from fMRI activity patterns
Gilbert, S. J., & Fung, H. (2018) · NeuroImage · doi:10.1016/j.neuroimage.2017.12.090 · Cited by 15
“Nevertheless, the problem of low power in neuroscience studies should not be underestimated (Button et al., 2013) and it is clearly possible that studies with greater power might detect intention-specific patterns of brain activity.”
Slow Is Also Fast: Feedback Delay Affects Anxiety and Outcome Evaluation
Zhang, X., Lei, Y., Yin, H., Li, P., & Li, H. (2018) · Frontiers in Human Neuroscience · doi:10.3389/fnhum.2018.00020 · Cited by 16
“…related published studies in this field (Moser et al., 2008; Dennis and Chen, 2009; Gu et al., 2010a), a relatively larger sample is necessary in future studies, considering the current concern of low replication rate in psychological studies (Button et al., 2013; Open Science Collaboration, 2015).”
BackgroundFeldmann, L., Piechaczek, C., Pehl, V., Bartling, J., Bakos, S., Schulte‐Körne, G., & Greimel, E. (2018) · Neuropsychologia · doi:10.1016/j.neuropsychologia.2018.03.035 · Cited by 15
Simple dissociations for a higher-powered neuropsychology
McIntosh, R. D. (2018) · Cortex · doi:10.1016/j.cortex.2018.03.015 · Cited by 15
“However, before adopting an effect-size index to guide theorising, we would need to give more study to the biasing effects that various factors could have upon its estimation, including control sample size, the effects of non-normality, and the selective reporting of positive dissociations: a case-control variant of t…”
BackgroundThe Reliability of Sensor-Assisted Soft Tissue Measurements in Primary Total Knee Arthroplasty
van der Linde, J. A., Beath, K., & Leong, A. (2018) · The Journal of Arthroplasty · doi:10.1016/j.arth.2018.03.067 · Cited by 15
Wang, Y., Chen, G., Zhong, S., Jia, Y., Liu, X., Lai, S., Zhao, L., Huang, L., & Liu, T. (2018) · Journal of Psychiatric Research · doi:10.1016/j.jpsychires.2018.08.025 · Cited by 15
Effect of Ritualistic Consumption of Ayahuasca on Hepatic Function in Chronic Users
Mello, S. M., Soubhia, P. C., Silveira, G. D. O., Correa-Netto, N. F., Lanaro, R., Costa, J. L., & Linardi, A. (2018) · Journal of Psychoactive Drugs · doi:10.1080/02791072.2018.1557355 · Cited by 19
“The sample size was calculated using a statistical power of 85% and an effect size of 27% (Cohen’s f2 method) for all variables analyzed (Button et al. 2013; Cohen 1992).”
MethodContributions of functional Magnetic Resonance Imaging (fMRI) to the study of numerical cognition
Matejko, A. A., & Ansari, D. (2018) · Journal of Numerical Cognition · doi:10.5964/jnc.v4i3.136 · Cited by 16
Cavelti, M., Thompson, K. N., Hulbert, C. A., Betts, J. K., Jackson, H. J., Francey, S. M., & Chanen, A. M. (2019) · Frontiers in Psychiatry · doi:10.3389/fpsyt.2019.00292 · Cited by 15
“However, the most likely explanation for the nonsignificant group differences regarding emotional responses to voices in the current study was insufficient statistical power to reliably detect such differences, as both the effect sizes and the sample size were small (50).”
BackgroundUllmann, P. V., Grandstaff, D. E., Ash, R. D., & Lacovara, K. J. (2019) · Geochimica et Cosmochimica Acta · doi:10.1016/j.gca.2019.10.030 · Cited by 15
Lotte, F., Jeunet, C., Chavarriaga, R., Bougrain, L., Thompson, D. E., Scherer, R., Mowla, M. R., Kübler, A., Grosse‐Wentrup, M., Dijkstra, K., et al. (2019) · Brain-Computer Interfaces · doi:10.1080/2326263x.2019.1697143 · Cited by 17
“This exaggeration is dangerous as it can lead to an overstatement of clinical importance as well as leading future investigators to design further underpowered studies [18].”
Knop, J., van IJzendoorn, M. H., Bakermans‐Kranenburg, M. J., Joëls, M., & van der Veen, R. (2020) · Genes Brain & Behavior · doi:10.1111/gbb.12655 · Cited by 16
“expected effect sizes and animal ethical committees should be aware of this.(60) Moreover, more meta-analyses in this field should be stimulated and can help in designing future studies.”
BackgroundRohde, A., McCracken, M., Worrall, L. E., Farrell, A. M., O’Halloran, R., Godecke, E., David, M., & Doi, S. A. R. (2020) · Disability and Rehabilitation · doi:10.1080/09638288.2020.1776774 · Cited by 18
“Compromised methodological quality, such as the absence of blinding of assessors and use of small study sample sizes may spuriously inflate reliability estimates [29].”
BackgroundEvaluation of an Occupational Exercise Training Program for Firefighters: Mixed Methods Pilot Study
Leary, M. P., Thomas, J. M., Hayes, R., & Sherlock, L. (2020) · JMIR Formative Research · doi:10.2196/17835 · Cited by 21
“Additionally, a significant limitation of this pilot study was the small sample size, which can be associated with low reproducibility [53].”
BackgroundWe were blind, so now we can see: The EP/ERP story in migraine
Sand, T. (2013) · Clinical Neurophysiology · doi:10.1016/j.clinph.2013.10.006 · Cited by 15
“However, apparently frustrated by an increasing number of non-reproducible results from small studies in neuroscience, Button et al. (2013) recently wrote an important paper in Nature Reviews Neuroscience.”
Inflated false negative rates undermine reproducibility in task-based fMRIPreprint
Lohmann, G., Stelzer, J., Müller, K., Lacosse, E., Buschmann, T., Kumar, V., Grodd, W., & Scheffler, K. (2017) · bioRxiv (Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory) · doi:10.1101/122788 · Cited by 15
“Two major factors contribute to this problem, namely inflated false positive rates [6] and lack of statistical power, i.e. inflated false negative rates [7–10].”
BackgroundGucciardi, D. F. (2018) · Frontiers in Psychology · doi:10.3389/fpsyg.2017.02329 · Cited by 15
“Although the answer depends on the smallest effect size of interest (Lakens and Evers, 2014), it is important to bear in mind that underpowered studies inflate false positives (Button et al., 2013) and effect sizes tend to be unstable when samples are small (Schönbrodt and Perugini, 2013).”
BackgroundData management and sharing in neuroimaging: Practices and perceptions of MRI researchersPreprint
Borghi, J., & Gulick, A. E. V. (2018) · bioRxiv · doi:10.1101/266627 · Cited by 75
“…due to a number of interrelated issues including reporting and publication biases in the scholarly literature 19 , 20 , low levels of statistical power 21 , 22 , the use of suboptimal design and analytical methods 23 , 24 and the recent discovery of errors in widely used software tools 25 .”
MethodThe Intense Bilingual Experience of Interpreting and Its Neurocognitive Consequences
Dong, Y., & Zhong, F. (2019) · doi:10.1002/9781119387725.ch33 · Cited by 16
Strong, R. W., & Alvarez, G. A. (2019) · doi:10.31234/osf.io/2bt6q · Cited by 15
Yang, Y., Sánchez‐Tójar, A., O’Dea, R. E., Noble, D. W. A., Koricheva, J., Jennions, M. D., Parker, T., Lagisz, M., & Nakagawa, S. (2022) · doi:10.32942/osf.io/97nv6 · Cited by 14
Savickaite, S., Quick, A., McDonnell, N., & Simmons, D. R. (2023) · doi:10.31234/osf.io/y5dqr · Cited by 15
Whiteford, K. L., Baltzell, L. S., Chiu, M., Cooper, J. K., Faucher, S., Goh, P. Y., Hagedorn, A., Irsik, V. C., Irvine, A., Lim, S.-J., et al. (2024) · bioRxiv (Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory) · doi:10.1101/2024.09.02.610856 · Cited by 15
“Second, the sample sizes from past studies in this field of research have all been relatively small (n 30), raising the likelihood of false positives 41,42 .”
BackgroundSmith, O. R. F., Clark, D. M., Hensing, G. K. E., Layard, R., & Knapstad, M. (2025) · Psychological Medicine · doi:10.1017/s003329172500025x · Cited by 15
“…Layard & Clark, 2015); Even if one conservatively assumes a 50% lower real life effect size due to possible overestimation in underpowered studies (Button et al., 2013), scaled to the estimated yearly number of treated patients in PMHC today (15 000), the yearly economic gain could be close to…”
D’Amelio, T. A., Galán, L. A., Maldonado, E. A., Barquinero, A. D., Cuello, J. R., Bruno, N. M., Tagliazucchi, E., & Engemann, D. A. (2025) · Neurocomputing · doi:10.1016/j.neucom.2025.130831 · Cited by 20
Thoma, M. V., Forstmeier, S., Schmid, R., Kellner, O., Xepapadakos, F., Schreiter-Gasser, U., Blessing, A., Ropohl, A., Bieri-Brüning, G., Debeer, D., et al. (2018) · BMC Geriatrics · doi:10.1186/s12877-018-0865-5 · Cited by 14
Minnig, S., Bragg, R. M., Tiwana, H. S., Solem, W. T., Hovander, W. S., Vik, E.-M. S., Hamilton, M., Legg, S. R. W., Shuttleworth, D. D., Coffey, S. R., et al. (2018) · Scientific Reports · doi:10.1038/s41598-018-20607-7 · Cited by 14
“Statistical power in neuroscience studies, and especially behavioral studies, is generally low 16 , leading to wide-spread calls for improvements in conducting and reporting of preclinical work 40 .”
BackgroundDemidenko, M. I., Ip, K. I., Kelly, D. P., Constante, K., Goetschius, L. G., & Keating, D. P. (2021) · Cortex · doi:10.1016/j.cortex.2021.02.032 · Cited by 14
Zong, X., & Cheah, C. S. L. (2021) · Current Psychology · doi:10.1007/s12144-021-01780-x · Cited by 19
Fisch, C. O., Franken, I. H. A., & Thurik, R. (2021) · Journal of Business Venturing Insights · doi:10.1016/j.jbvi.2021.e00253 · Cited by 14
McGill, K., Sackley, C., Godwin, J., Gavaghan, D., Ali, M., Ballester, B. R., Brady, M. C., Brady, M. C., Ali, M., Ashburn, A., et al. (2022) · Journal of Stroke and Cerebrovascular Diseases · doi:10.1016/j.jstrokecerebrovasdis.2021.106229 · Cited by 14
A direct test of competitive versus cooperative episodic–procedural network dynamics in human memory
Freedberg, M., Reeves, J. A., Fioriti, C. M., Murillo, J., Voss, J. L., & Wassermann, E. M. (2022) · Cerebral Cortex · doi:10.1093/cercor/bhab512 · Cited by 13
“Finally, we acknowledge that undersampling can increase the false positive rate and inflate effect sizes in some cases (Yarkoni 2009; Button et al. 2013).”
BackgroundHofstee, M., Huijding, J., Cuevas, K., & Deković, M. (2022) · Developmental Science · doi:10.1111/desc.13298 · Cited by 17
Fenerci, C., Gurguryan, L., Spreng, R. N., & Sheldon, S. (2022) · Neurobiology of Aging · doi:10.1016/j.neurobiolaging.2022.06.009 · Cited by 14
Ngo, G. H., Nguyen, M., Chen, N. F., & Sabuncu, M. R. (2022) · Medical Image Analysis · doi:10.1016/j.media.2022.102540 · Cited by 14
Principles and Practices of Methodology and Methods in Cross-Cultural Psychology
Poortinga, Y. H., & Fontaine, J. R. J. (2022) · Journal of Cross-Cultural Psychology · doi:10.1177/00220221221093811 · Cited by 17
“design (Campbell & Stanley, 1963), with several control features. These included samples from numerous populations, explicit assessment of the independent variable (i.e., characteristics of the natural context), careful design of the stimulus booklets (e.g., a separate color for the line segment that the respondent ha…”
BackgroundInfluentialBrainprints: identifying individuals from magnetoencephalograms
Wu, S., Ramdas, A., & Wehbe, L. (2022) · Communications Biology · doi:10.1038/s42003-022-03727-9 · Cited by 16
Frontostriatal circuitry as a target for fMRI-based neurofeedback interventions: A systematic review
Orth, L., Meeh, J., Gur, R. C., Neuner, I., & Sarkheil, P. (2022) · Frontiers in Human Neuroscience · doi:10.3389/fnhum.2022.933718 · Cited by 14
“Along with the systematically underpowered studies in neuroscience (Button et al., 2013; Stanley et al., 2018), almost half of the studies included in this review had only small sample sizes.”
ResultGuo, X., Cao, Y., Liu, J., Zhang, X., Zhai, G., Chen, H., & Gao, L. (2022) · Cerebral Cortex · doi:10.1093/cercor/bhac454 · Cited by 14
Sharing the Recipe: Reproducibility and Replicability in Research Across Disciplines
Rahal, R.-M., Hamann, H., Brohmer, H., & Pethig, F. (2022) · Research Ideas and Outcomes · doi:10.3897/rio.8.e89980 · Cited by 17
Brandone, A. C., & Stout, W. A. (2022) · Journal of Cognition and Development · doi:10.1080/15248372.2022.2146117 · Cited by 16
“Given growing concerns about statistically underpowered studies with small sample sizes – including the greater likelihood of observing a false positive result (e.g., Bakker, Van Dijk, & Wicherts, 2012; Button et al., 2013; Oakes, 2017), it is important to examine whether the observed associations hold in properly pow…”
BackgroundResultInfluentialBraitman, A. L., Strowger, M., Shipley, J. L., Ortman, J. A., MacIntyre, R. I., & Bauer, E. (2022) · JMIR Formative Research · doi:10.2196/39488 · Cited by 13
A cognitive process modeling framework for the ABCD study stop-signal task
Weigard, A. S., Matzke, D., Tanis, C. C., & Heathcote, A. (2022) · Developmental Cognitive Neuroscience · doi:10.1016/j.dcn.2022.101191 · Cited by 16
“As several lines of work now underscore the importance of large, population-based samples for bolstering the reproducibility of behavioral and neuroscientific research (Button et al., 2013; Etz and Vandekerckhove, 2016; Falk et al., 2013; Loken and Gelman, 2017; Marek et al., 2022; Poldrack and Gorgolewski, 2014), the…”
BackgroundXie, M., Li, L., Liu, B., Liu, Y., & Wan, Q. (2023) · Frontiers in Plant Science · doi:10.3389/fpls.2022.1088202 · Cited by 17
“As individual ecosystems typically provide few observations with little statistical power (Button et al., 2013), we tested their overall effect.”
BackgroundMultiverse analyses of fear acquisition and extinction retention in posttraumatic stress disorder
Lewis, M. W., Bradford, D. E., Pace-Schott, E. F., Rauch, S. L., & Rosso, I. M. (2023) · Psychophysiology · doi:10.1111/psyp.14265 · Cited by 14
The neurophysiological basis of leadership: a machine learning approach
Parra, E., Philip, J., Carrasco-Ribelles, L. A., Giglioli, I. A. C., Valenza, G., Marín‐Morales, J., & Alcañíz, M. (2023) · Management Decision · doi:10.1108/md-02-2022-0208 · Cited by 13
Hussain, I., Pitesa, M., Thau, S., & Schaerer, M. (2023) · Organization Science · doi:10.1287/orsc.2023.1675 · Cited by 17
Katiyar, P., Schwenck, J., Frauenfeld, L., et al. (2023) · Nature Biomedical Engineering · doi:10.1038/s41551-023-01047-9 · Cited by 14
Yang, J., Huggins, A. A., Sun, D., Baird, C. L., Haswell, C. C., Frijling, J. L., Olff, M., van Zuiden, M., Koch, S. B. J., Nawijn, L., et al. (2023) · Neuropsychopharmacology · doi:10.1038/s41386-023-01763-5 · Cited by 15
“Despite the small effect sizes observed, extensive prior research has documented that small underpowered studies often yield in fl ated effect sizes [59, 60].”
Effects of transcranial magnetic stimulation on reactive response inhibition
Qu, H., Geissler, C. F., Ferrante, M., Hartwigsen, G., & Friehs, M. A. (2024) · Neuroscience & Biobehavioral Reviews · doi:10.1016/j.neubiorev.2023.105532 · Cited by 19
“The remarkable number of null effects might be attributed to the un-derpowered combination of study design and performed tests, which tend to yield uninformative results (Button et al., 2013).”
BackgroundBoot, E., Levy, A. D., Gaeta, G., Gunasekara, N., Parkkinen, E., Kontaris, E., Jacquot, M., & Tachtsidis, I. (2024) · Frontiers in Neuroscience · doi:10.3389/fnins.2024.1266664 · Cited by 15
“However, high instrumentation running costs, and time requires for data acquisition and analysis, places a constraint on the participant sample sizes which can be analysed with current cognitive neuroscience research methodologies (Button et al., 2013; Szűcs and Ioannidis, 2017).”
BackgroundStructural hemispheric asymmetries
Ocklenburg, S., & Güntürkün, O. (2024) · Elsevier eBooks · doi:10.1016/b978-0-323-99737-9.00001-x · Cited by 15
Dissociative Identity Disorder
Boysen, G. A. (2024) · The Journal of Nervous and Mental Disease · doi:10.1097/nmd.0000000000001764 · Cited by 15
Pain mechanisms in the transgender individual: a review
Anger, J. T., Case, L. K., Baranowski, A. P., Berger, A. S., Craft, R. M., Damitz, L., Gabriel, R. A., Harrison, T. E., Kaptein, K., Lee, S., et al. (2024) · Frontiers in Pain Research · doi:10.3389/fpain.2024.1241015 · Cited by 15
Holgado, D., Sanabria, D., Vadillo, M. A., & Román-Caballero, R. (2024) · Neuroscience & Biobehavioral Reviews · doi:10.1016/j.neubiorev.2024.105821 · Cited by 17
Cajachagua‐Torres, K. N., Quezada‐Pinedo, H. G., Wu, T., Trasande, L., & Ghassabian, A. (2024) · Current Environmental Health Reports · doi:10.1007/s40572-024-00457-4 · Cited by 16
“First, several studies had small sample size (less than 50 participants), which might reduce the statistical power in the results and increase the risk of type II error [64, 65].”
BackgroundNo evidence for inequity aversion in non-human animals: a meta-analysis of accept/reject paradigms
Ritov, O., Völter, C. J., Raihani, N., & Engelmann, J. M. (2024) · Proceedings of the Royal Society B Biological Sciences · doi:10.1098/rspb.2024.1452 · Cited by 24
Data-analytical stability of cluster-wise and peak-wise inference in fMRI data analysis
Roels, S. P., Bossier, H., Loeys, T., et al. (2014) · Journal of Neuroscience Methods · doi:10.1016/j.jneumeth.2014.10.024 · Cited by 14
Moors, P., Huygelier, H., Wagemans, J., Lee, D.-W., & van Ee, R. (2015) · i-Perception · doi:10.1068/i0678 · Cited by 14
“If we ignore the Proteus phenomenon (Button et al., 2013) and consider this an accurate estimate of the true effect, a power analysis for an effect size of 0.40 indicates that we should at least quadruple our sample to achieve 90% power.”
BackgroundMethodInfluentialGoh, W. W. B. (2016) · BMC Medical Genomics · doi:10.1186/s12920-016-0228-z · Cited by 13
“This is useful, as it also allows explicit evaluation of feature-selection stability in the small sample-size scenario (most feature-selection methods do not work well when sample sizes are very small [41]).”
BackgroundA very simple, re-executable neuroimaging publication
Ghosh, S., Poline, J., Keator, D. B., Halchenko, Y. O., Thomas, A. G., Kessler, D. A., & Kennedy, D. N. (2017) · F1000Research · doi:10.12688/f1000research.10783.2 · Cited by 14
“Numerous factors are critical to understand reproducibility, including: sample size, and its related issues of power and generalizability (Button et al. , 2013; Ioannidis, 2005); P-hacking, trying various statistical approaches in order to find analyses that reach significance (Simmons et al. ,…”
Maximizing the contribution of JDM-style experiments in accounting
Kadous, K., & Zhou, Y. (2017) · Routledge eBooks · doi:10.4324/9781315710129-13 · Cited by 13
Encoding of rapid time-varying information is impaired in poor readers
JOHNSTON, R. G., Pitchford, N. J., Roach, N. W., et al. (2017) · Journal of Vision · doi:10.1167/17.5.1 · Cited by 14
Characteristics of Healthy Older Adults that Influence Self-rated Cognitive Function
Mulligan, B. P., Smart, C. M., Segalowitz, S. J., & MacDonald, S. W. S. (2017) · Journal of the International Neuropsychological Society · doi:10.1017/s1355617717000613 · Cited by 14
“While the restricted, non-clinical ranges of observed depression and anxiety scores suggested that findings involving these two measures should be interpreted with caution (if at all), we nonetheless proceeded with our plan in the interest of transparency and replicability (Button et al., 2013).”
BackgroundTime-dependent mood fluctuations in Antarctic personnel: a meta-analysis
Hawkes, C., & Norris, K. (2017) · Polar Record · doi:10.1017/s003224741700050x · Cited by 15
“…significant finding reflects a true effect, as the estimated magnitude of the effect in a low power study is likely to be exaggerated, also minimising the probability of finding a true effect if one exists (Button et al., 2013), and detrimentally impacting the validity of the research conclusions.”
BackgroundKünzler, F., Kramer, J.-N., & Kowatsch, T. (2017) · Alexandria (UniSG) (University of St.Gallen) · doi:10.3929/ethz-b-000218431 · Cited by 14
Giòrdano, M., Licea-Haquet, G., Navarrete, E., Valles‐Capetillo, E., Lizcano-Cortés, F., Carrillo-Peña, A., & Zamora-Ursulo, M. A. (2019) · Cogent Psychology · doi:10.1080/23311908.2019.1634326 · Cited by 18
“Among the possible reasons for this, are differences between the samples, including cultural differences, differences in the language of the tests, as well as a statistical effect (Button et al., 2013).”
BackgroundThe Development of Young Children’s Mental Timeline in Relation to Emergent Literacy Skills
Autry, K. S., Jordan, T. M., Girgis, H., et al. (2019) · Journal of Cognition and Development · doi:10.1080/15248372.2019.1664550 · Cited by 14
“However, low power studies may also lead to overestimates of effect sizes (Button et al., 2013; Gelman & Carlin, 2014).”
BackgroundOwens, M. M., Sweet, L. H., & MacKillop, J. M. (2020) · Addiction Biology · doi:10.1111/adb.12874 · Cited by 16
Williams, C. M., Peyre, H., Toro, R., Beggiato, A., & Ramus, F. (2020) · Human Brain Mapping · doi:10.1002/hbm.25145 · Cited by 15
“Inconsistencies between the present and replicated study provide further evidence for the fragility of many reported results and emphasize the need to reexamine results and identify the reasons for failures in replication to improve future research (Button et al., 2013).”
ResultHorster, I., Nickel, K., Holovics, L., Schmidt, S., Endres, D., van Elst, L. T., Zeeck, A., Maier, S. J., & Joos, A. A. B. (2020) · Frontiers in Psychiatry · doi:10.3389/fpsyt.2020.00777 · Cited by 14
The effect of oxytocin on pupil response to naturalistic dynamic facial expressions
Burley, D. T., & Daughters, K. (2020) · Hormones and Behavior · doi:10.1016/j.yhbeh.2020.104837 · Cited by 13
“Indeed, the issue of achieving adequate statistical power has become a particularly salient issue of late (Button et al., 2013 We argue that the current study furthers our understanding of the effects of OT on pupil diameter in response to social stimuli, because we have tried to address some of…”
Income inequality and child welfare interventions in England and Wales
Webb, C., Bywaters, P., Elliott, M., & Scourfield, J. (2020) · Journal of Epidemiology & Community Health · doi:10.1136/jech-2020-214501 · Cited by 16
de Moraes, P. Z., Diniz, P., & Macedo, R. H. (2020) · Journal of Avian Biology · doi:10.1111/jav.02483 · Cited by 14
Giménez, V. M. M., Marón, F. J. M., Menéndez, S. G., Mazzei, L. J., Guevara, M. A., Yunes, R., & Manucha, W. A. (2020) · Advances in Medical Sciences · doi:10.1016/j.advms.2020.12.003 · Cited by 15
Using Crowd-Sourced Speech Data to Study Socially Constrained Variation in Nonmodal Phonation
Gittelson, B., Leemann, A., & Tomaschek, F. (2021) · Frontiers in Artificial Intelligence · doi:10.3389/frai.2020.565682 · Cited by 14
“Small sample sizes lower the probability of detecting a true effect and raise the probability of false positives (Button et al., 2013).”
BackgroundThe Status and Value of Replications in Animal Behavior Science
Brecht, K. F., Legg, E. W., Nawroth, C., Fraser, H. S., & Ostojić, L. (2021) · Animal Behavior and Cognition · doi:10.26451/abc.08.02.01.2021 · Cited by 14
“These discussions were largely inspired by studies reporting that, when put to a test, many findings and well-known effects replicate poorly (Button et al., 2013; Open Science Collaboration, 2015; Munafò, 2009).”
BackgroundInfluentialFunctional connectivity in aging
Liem, F., Geerligs, L., Damoiseaux, J. S., & Margulies, D. S. (2021) · Elsevier eBooks · doi:10.1016/b978-0-12-816094-7.00010-6 · Cited by 24
Metadata
- Authors
- Button, K. S., Ioannidis, J. P. A., Mokrysz, C., Nosek, B. A., Flint, J., Robinson, E. S. J., & Munafò, M. R.
- Affiliations
- University of Bristol (GB)
- Stanford Medicine (US)
- University of Virginia (US)
- Venue
- Nature Reviews Neuroscience
- Published
- 2013-04-10
- Volume
- 14
- Issue
- 5
- Pages
- 365-376
- ISSN
- 1471-003X (ISSN-L)
- 1471-0048
- OpenAlex
- W2105824687
- Semantic Scholar
- c2bc880156c10fc8d1752cd3d528e4ef96cbaac4
- Cited by
- 7,641
- References
- 106
- Citations by year
- 2026: 584 · 2025: 611 · 2024: 606 · 2023: 553 · 2022: 658 · 2021: 692 · 2020: 752 · 2019: 683 · 2018: 679 · 2017: 597 · 2016: 486 · 2015: 352 · 2014: 268 · 2013: 109
- FWCI
- 82.23
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Update notices
- erratum (2013-04-15)
- Open access
- bronze
- doi.org
- Locations
- Nature reviews. Neuroscience (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Explore Bristol Research (submittedVersion)
- UCL Discovery (University College London) (submittedVersion)
- Funders
- Wellcome Trust (090532)
- United Kingdom Clinical Research Collaboration
- Cancer Research UK
- National Institute for Health and Care Research
- British Heart Foundation
- Medical Research Council
- Economic and Social Research Council
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Decision Sciences › Statistics, Probability and Uncertainty › Meta-analysis and systematic reviews
- Social Sciences › Psychology › Experimental and Cognitive Psychology › Psychology Research and Bibliometrics
- Physical Sciences › Mathematics › Statistics and Probability › Statistical Methods in Epidemiology
- Keywords
- statistical power, small sample size, effect size overestimation, reproducibility, research ethics, research waste, research practices, brain research
- MeSH terms
- Humans, Neurosciences, Probability, Reproducibility of Results, Sample Size
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Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
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