The DOI matches its Crossref record; 10 of the 10 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
Geophysical constraints on the reliability of solar and wind power worldwide
Open accessAbstract
If future net-zero emissions energy systems rely heavily on solar and wind resources, spatial and temporal mismatches between resource availability and electricity demand may challenge system reliability. Using 39 years of hourly reanalysis data (1980–2018), we analyze the ability of solar and wind resources to meet electricity demand in 42 countries, varying the hypothetical scale and mix of renewable generation as well as energy storage capacity. Assuming perfect transmission and annual generation equal to annual demand, but no energy storage, we find the most reliable renewable electricity systems are wind-heavy and satisfy countries’ electricity demand in 72–91% of hours (83–94% by adding 12 h of storage). Yet even in systems which meet >90% of demand, hundreds of hours of unmet demand may occur annually. Our analysis helps quantify the power, energy, and utilization rates of additional energy storage, demand management, or curtailment, as well as the benefits of regional aggregation.
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Cites
Double-slit photoelectron interference in strong-field ionization of the neon dimer
Kunitski, M., Eicke, N., Huber, P., Köhler, J., Zeller, S., Voigtsberger, J., Schlott, N., Henrichs, K., Sann, H., Trinter, F., et al. (2019) · Nature Communications · doi:10.1038/s41467-018-07882-8 · Cited by 8,162
Net-zero emissions energy systems
Davis, S. J., Lewis, N. S., Shaner, M., Aggarwal, S., Arent, D., Azevedo, I. L., Benson, S. M., Bradley, T., Brouwer, J., Chiang, Y.-M., et al. (2018) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.aas9793 · Cited by 2,391
Self-citationScenarios towards limiting global mean temperature increase below 1.5 °C
Rogelj, J., Popp, A., Calvin, K. V., Luderer, G., Emmerling, J., Gernaat, D., Fujimori, S., Strefler, J., Hasegawa, T., Marangoni, G., et al. (2018) · Nature Climate Change · doi:10.1038/s41558-018-0091-3 · Cited by 1,341
Grubler, A., Wilson, C., Bento, N., Boza-Kiss, B., Krey, V., McCollum, D. L., Rao, N. D., Riahi, K., Rogelj, J., De Stercke, S., et al. (2018) · Nature Energy · doi:10.1038/s41560-018-0172-6 · Cited by 1,178
Energy system transformations for limiting end-of-century warming to below 1.5 °C
Rogelj, J., Luderer, G., Pietzcker, R. C., Kriegler, E., Schaeffer, M., Krey, V., & Riahi, K. (2015) · Nature Climate Change · doi:10.1038/nclimate2572 · Cited by 875
Role of Long-Duration Energy Storage in Variable Renewable Electricity Systems
Dowling, J. A., Rinaldi, K. Z., Ruggles, T. H., Davis, S. J., Yuan, M., Tong, F., Lewis, N. S., & Caldeira, K. (2020) · Joule · doi:10.1016/j.joule.2020.07.007 · Cited by 656
Self-citationThe Role of Firm Low-Carbon Electricity Resources in Deep Decarbonization of Power Generation
Sepulveda, N. A., Jenkins, J. D., de Sisternes, F. J., & Lester, R. K. (2018) · Joule · doi:10.1016/j.joule.2018.08.006 · Cited by 592
Hydrogen or batteries for grid storage? A net energy analysis
Pellow, M. A., Emmott, C. J. M., Barnhart, C. J., & Benson, S. M. (2015) · Energy & Environmental Science · doi:10.1039/c4ee04041d · Cited by 450
Geophysical constraints on the reliability of solar and wind power in the United States
Shaner, M. R., Davis, S. J., Lewis, N. S., & Caldeira, K. (2018) · Energy & Environmental Science · doi:10.1039/c7ee03029k · Cited by 351
Self-citationLong term load projection in high resolution for all countries globally
Toktarova, A., Gruber, L., Hlusiak, M., Bogdanov, D., & Breyer, C. (2019) · International Journal of Electrical Power & Energy Systems · doi:10.1016/j.ijepes.2019.03.055 · Cited by 126
Cited by
Empirically grounded technology forecasts and the energy transition
Way, R., Ives, M. C., Mealy, P., & Farmer, J. D. (2022) · Joule · doi:10.1016/j.joule.2022.08.009 · Cited by 607
Metadata
- Authors
- Tong, D., Farnham, D. J., Duan, L., Zhang, Q., Lewis, N. S., Caldeira, K., & Davis, S. J.
- Venue
- Nature Communications
- Published
- 2021-10-22
- Volume
- 12
- Issue
- 1
- Pages
- 6146-6146
- ISSN
- 2041-1723 (ISSN-L)
- OpenAlex
- W3207640265
- Cited by
- 323
- References
- 10
- FWCI
- 11.31
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- gold
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- Tong, D., Farnham, D. J., Duan, L., Zhang, Q., Lewis, N. S., Caldeira, K., & Davis, S. J. (2021). Geophysical constraints on the reliability of solar and wind power worldwide. Nature Communications. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-021-26355-z
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Contains information from the Semantic Scholar Academic Graph Datasets, made available under the ODC Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0).
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