Scenarios towards limiting global mean temperature increase below 1.5 °C

An Overview of CMIP5 and the Experiment Design

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Overview of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) experimental design and organization

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The representative concentration pathways: an overview

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The Shared Socioeconomic Pathways and their energy, land use, and greenhouse gas emissions implications: An overview

Riahi, K., van Vuuren, D. P., Kriegler, E., Edmonds, J., O’Neill, B. C., Fujimori, S., Bauer, N., Calvin, K., Dellink, R., Fricko, O., et al. (2017) · Global Environmental Change · doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.05.009 · Cited by 6,607 · see citing works

The next generation of scenarios for climate change research and assessment

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The Scenario Model Intercomparison Project (ScenarioMIP) for CMIP6

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The Physical Science Basis

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The RCP greenhouse gas concentrations and their extensions from 1765 to 2300

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The roads ahead: Narratives for shared socioeconomic pathways describing world futures in the 21st century

O’Neill, B. C., Kriegler, E., Ebi, K. L., Kemp-Benedict, E., Riahi, K., Rothman, D. S., van Ruijven, B. J., van Vuuren, D. P., Birkmann, J., Kok, K., et al. (2017) · Global Environmental Change · doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2015.01.004 · Cited by 3,359 · see citing works

Greenhouse-gas emission targets for limiting global warming to 2 °C

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A new scenario framework for climate change research: the concept of shared socioeconomic pathways

O’Neill, B. C., Kriegler, E., Riahi, K., Ebi, K. L., Hallegatte, S., Carter, T. R., Mathur, R., & van Vuuren, D. P. (2014) · Climatic Change · doi:10.1007/s10584-013-0905-2 · Cited by 2,716 · see citing works

Biophysical and economic limits to negative CO2 emissions

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The Inter-Sectoral Impact Model Intercomparison Project (ISI–MIP): Project framework

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The marker quantification of the Shared Socioeconomic Pathway 2: A middle-of-the-road scenario for the 21st century

Fricko, O., Havlik, P., Rogelj, J., Klimont, Z., Gusti, M., Johnson, N., Kolp, P., Strubegger, M., Valin, H., Amann, M., et al. (2017) · Global Environmental Change · doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.06.004 · Cited by 1,075 · see citing works

Land-use futures in the shared socio-economic pathways

Popp, A., Calvin, K., Fujimori, S., Havlik, P., Humpenöder, F., Stehfest, E., Bodirsky, B. L., Dietrich, J. P., Doelmann, J. C., Gusti, M., et al. (2017) · Global Environmental Change · doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.10.002 · Cited by 1,070 · see citing works

The underestimated potential of solar energy to mitigate climate change

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Energy, land-use and greenhouse gas emissions trajectories under a green growth paradigm

van Vuuren, D. P., Stehfest, E., Gernaat, D., Doelman, J., van den Berg, M., Harmsen, M. J. H. M., de Boer, H. S., Bouwman, L., Daioglou, V., Edelenbosch, O. Y., et al. (2016) · Global Environmental Change · doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.05.008 · Cited by 909 · see citing works

Science and policy characteristics of the Paris Agreement temperature goal

Schleussner, C., Rogelj, J., Schaeffer, M., Lissner, T., Licker, R., Fischer, E. M., Knutti, R., Levermann, A., Frieler, K., & Hare, B. (2016) · Nature Climate Change · doi:10.1038/nclimate3096 · Cited by 909 · see citing works

Emulating coupled atmosphere-ocean and carbon cycle models with a simpler model, MAGICC6 – Part 1: Model description and calibration

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Energy system transformations for limiting end-of-century warming to below 1.5 °C

Rogelj, J., Luderer, G., Pietzcker, R. C., Kriegler, E., Schaeffer, M., Krey, V., & Riahi, K. (2015) · Nature Climate Change · doi:10.1038/nclimate2572 · Cited by 875 · see citing works

A new scenario framework for Climate Change Research: scenario matrix architecture

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Global warming under old and new scenarios using IPCC climate sensitivity range estimates

Rogelj, J., Meinshausen, M. A., & Knutti, R. (2012) · Nature Climate Change · doi:10.1038/nclimate1385 · Cited by 790 · see citing works

Bioenergy and climate change mitigation: an assessment

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Global Carbon Budget 2015

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Fossil-fueled development (SSP5): An energy and resource intensive scenario for the 21st century

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Differential climate impacts for policy-relevant limits to global warming: the case of 1.5 °C and 2 °C

Schleussner, C.-F., Lissner, T. K., Fischer, E. M., Wohland, J., Perrette, M., Golly, A., Rogelj, J., Childers, K., Schewe, J., Frieler, K., et al. (2016) · Earth System Dynamics · doi:10.5194/esd-7-327-2016 · Cited by 680 · see citing works

How much land‐based greenhouse gas mitigation can be achieved without compromising food security and environmental goals?

Smith, P., Haberl, H., Popp, A., Erb, K., Lauk, C., Harper, R. J., Tubiello, F. N., Pinto, A. D. S., Jafari, M., Sohi, S., et al. (2013) · Global Change Biology · doi:10.1111/gcb.12160 · Cited by 649 · see citing works

Climate change mitigation through livestock system transitions

Havlík, P., Valin, H., Herrero, M., Obersteiner, M. H., Schmid, E., Rufino, M. C., Mosnier, A., Thornton, P. K., Böttcher, H., Conant, R. T., et al. (2014) · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1073/pnas.1308044111 · Cited by 639 · see citing works

SSP3: AIM implementation of Shared Socioeconomic Pathways

Fujimori, S., Hasegawa, T., Masui, T., Takahashi, K., Herran, D. S., Dai, H., Hijioka, Y., & Kainuma, M. (2016) · Global Environmental Change · doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.06.009 · Cited by 614 · see citing works

The Land Use Model Intercomparison Project (LUMIP) contribution to CMIP6: rationale and experimental design

Lawrence, D. M., HURTT, G. C., Arneth, A., Brovkin, V. A., Calvin, K., Jones, A. D., JONES, C. D., Lawrence, P., de Noblet‐Ducoudré, N., Pongratz, J., et al. (2016) · Geoscientific model development · doi:10.5194/gmd-9-2973-2016 · Cited by 569 · see citing works

A new scenario framework for climate change research: the concept of shared climate policy assumptions

Kriegler, E., Edmonds, J., Stéphane Hallegatte, A., Ebi, K. L., Kram, T., Riahi, K., Winkler, H., & van Vuuren, D. P. (2014) · Climatic Change · doi:10.1007/s10584-013-0971-5 · Cited by 563 · see citing works

Limiting global warming to 2 °C is unlikely to save most coral reefs

Frieler, K., Meinshausen, M., Golly, A., Mengel, M., Lebek, K., Donner, S. D., & Hoegh-Guldberg, O. (2013) · Nature Climate Change · doi:10.1038/nclimate1674 · Cited by 485 · see citing works

The SSP4: A world of deepening inequality

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Food consumption, diet shifts and associated non-CO2 greenhouse gases from agricultural production

Popp, A., Lotze‐Campen, H., & Bodirsky, B. L. (2010) · Global Environmental Change · doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2010.02.001 · Cited by 417 · see citing works

Shared Socio-Economic Pathways of the Energy Sector – Quantifying the Narratives

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C4MIP – The Coupled Climate–Carbon Cycle Model Intercomparison Project: experimental protocol for CMIP6

JONES, C. D., Arora, V. K., Friedlingstein, P., Bopp, L., Brovkin, V. A., Dunne, J. P. P., Graven, H., Hoffman, F. M., Ilyina, T., John, J. G., et al. (2016) · Geoscientific model development · doi:10.5194/gmd-9-2853-2016 · Cited by 397 · see citing works

Last chance for carbon capture and storage

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Locked into Copenhagen pledges — Implications of short-term emission targets for the cost and feasibility of long-term climate goals

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Climate change 2014: impacts, adaptation, and vulnerability – IPCC WGII AR5 summary for policymakers

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A scientific critique of the two-degree climate change target

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Differences between carbon budget estimates unravelled

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What would it take to achieve the Paris temperature targets?

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Agricultural productivity and greenhouse gas emissions: trade-offs or synergies between mitigation and food security?

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Rightsizing carbon dioxide removal

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Estimating the near-surface permafrost-carbon feedback on global warming

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Pathways for balancing CO2 emissions and sinks

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Meeting global temperature targets—the role of bioenergy with carbon capture and storage

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Trade‐offs between land and water requirements for large‐scale bioenergy production

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Diagnostic indicators for integrated assessment models of climate policy

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Counting only the hits? The risk of underestimating the costs of stringent climate policy

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The WITCH 2016 Model - Documentation and Implementation of the Shared Socioeconomic PathwaysPreprint

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Understanding the contribution of non-carbon dioxide gases in deep mitigation scenarios

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Sensitivity of carbon budgets to permafrost carbon feedbacks and non-CO 2 forcings

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Implications of potentially lower climate sensitivity on climate projections and policy

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Emission pathways to achieve 2.0°C and 1.5°C climate targets

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The WITCH 2016 Model - Documentation and Implementation of the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways

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Sensitivity of regional climate to global temperature and forcing

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Negative emissions—Part 2: Costs, potentials and side effects

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Harmonization of global land use change and management for the period 850–2100 (LUH2) for CMIP6

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A low energy demand scenario for meeting the 1.5 °C target and sustainable development goals without negative emission technologies

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A future for the world's children? A WHO–UNICEF–Lancet Commission

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Global emissions pathways under different socioeconomic scenarios for use in CMIP6: a dataset of harmonized emissions trajectories through the end of the century

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Scientists’ warning to humanity on the freshwater biodiversity crisis

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Smart Textiles for Electricity Generation

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Unextractable fossil fuels in a 1.5 °C world

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The 2018 report of the Lancet Countdown on health and climate change: shaping the health of nations for centuries to come

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Negative emissions—Part 1: Research landscape and synthesis

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Gas hydrates in sustainable chemistry

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Solar photovoltaics is ready to power a sustainable future

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Current and future global climate impacts resulting from COVID-19

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Direct air capture: process technology, techno-economic and socio-political challenges

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A review of technology and policy deep decarbonization pathway options for making energy-intensive industry production consistent with the Paris Agreement

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Alternative pathways to the 1.5 °C target reduce the need for negative emission technologies

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Pathways Toward Sustainable Development

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Short-lived Climate Forcers

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Contribution of the land sector to a 1.5 °C world

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Life-cycle assessment of an industrial direct air capture process based on temperature–vacuum swing adsorption

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Achievements and needs for the climate change scenario framework

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