The DOI matches its Crossref record; 6 of the 6 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
Proteome-wide prediction of the functional impact of missense variants with ProteoCast
Open accessPublished version of a preprint
Abstract
Abstract Background: Dissecting the functional impact of genetic mutations is essential to advancing our understanding of genotype-phenotype relationships and identifying new therapeutic targets. Despite the progress in sequencing and CRISPR technologies, proteome-wide mutation effect prediction remains challenging. Here, we introduce ProteoCast, a scalable and interpretable computational method for proteome-wide classification of genetic variants and functional protein site identification. It relies solely on evolutionary information, leveraging protein sequence data across organisms. Results: Using ProteoCast, we generated mutational landscapes for 22,169 Drosophila melanogaster protein isoforms, categorising over 293 million amino acid substitutions as functionally neutral, uncertain, or impactful. We validated our predictions with over 380 thousand natural polymorphisms observed in the Drosophila Genetic Reference Panel (DGRP) and Drosophila Evolution over Space and Time (DEST) datasets and with FlyBase's developmentally lethal mutations. About 86% of known lethal mutations were classified as impactful or uncertain, versus only 13% and 18% of DGRP and DEST mutations. Moreover, we performed ProteoCastguided genome editing experiments, providing a proof-of-concept of the validity of this strategy. Beyond variant effect prediction, ProteoCast detected evolutionary conservation signals in about one-third of 40.5K annotated post-translational modification sites and 83% of ~90 known short linear motifs. These results support its usefulness for uncovering interaction and regulatory sites in unstructured protein regions. Conclusions: Our results demonstrate ProteoCast applicability for model organisms, contributing to basic genetic research and translational studies. This work provides a publicly available dataset, userfriendly interactive web services, and a locally deployable pipeline tool for further research into gene function and mutation effects in any organism.
Overview
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Verification
Claims the paper makes
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Self-check
Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.
The self-check needs the paper’s full text.
Citations
Cites
Highly accurate protein structure prediction with AlphaFold
Jumper, J., Evans, R., Pritzel, A., Green, T., Figurnov, M., Ronneberger, O., Tunyasuvunakool, K., Bates, R., Žídek, A., Potapenko, A., et al. (2021) · Nature · doi:10.1038/s41586-021-03819-2 · Cited by 43,764 · cited 1×
“ProteoCast maps predicted variant scores to proteoform 3D models from the AlphaFold database 22,41 , leveraging its extensive protein structuraldata.”
Varadi, M., Bertoni, D., Magana, P., Paramval, U., Pidruchna, I., Radhakrishnan, M., Tsenkov, M., Nair, S., Mirdita, M., Yeo, J., et al. (2024) · Nucleic Acids Research · doi:10.1093/nar/gkad1011 · Cited by 2,052 · cited 2×
“ProteoCast maps predicted variant scores to proteoform 3D models from the AlphaFold database 22,41 , leveraging its extensive protein structuraldata.”
Disease variant prediction with deep generative models of evolutionary data
Frazer, J., Notin, P., Dias, M., Gomez, A., Min, J. K., Brock, K., Gal, Y., & Marks, D. S. (2021) · Nature · doi:10.1038/s41586-021-04043-8 · Cited by 791
Mutation effects predicted from sequence co-variation
Hopf, T. A., Ingraham, J. B., Poelwijk, F. J., Schärfe, C. P. I., Springer, M., Sander, C., & Marks, D. S. (2017) · Nature Biotechnology · doi:10.1038/nbt.3769 · Cited by 775
The functional landscape of the human phosphoproteome
Ochoa, D., Jarnuczak, A. F., Viéitez, C., Gehre, M., Soucheray, M., Mateus, A., Kleefeldt, A. A., Hill, A., Garcia-Alonso, L., Stein, F., et al. (2020) · Nature Biotechnology · doi:10.1038/s41587-019-0344-3 · Cited by 491
i-cisTarget 2015 update: generalized cis-regulatory enrichment analysis in human, mouse and fly
Imrichová, H., Hulselmans, G., Kalender Atak, Z., Potier, D., & Aerts, S. (2015) · Nucleic Acids Research · doi:10.1093/nar/gkv395 · Cited by 202
Flagged first, then by citations
Research works printed but not linked: 72
- Abbasi, J. DNA base editing could reverse most disease-causing point mutations. JAMA 318, 2173 (2017).
- Ruetz, T. J. et al. CRISPR-cas9 screens reveal regulators of ageing in neural stem cells. Nature 634, 1150–1159 (2024). · DOI
- Ng, P. C. & Henikoff, S. SIFT: predicting amino acid changes that affect protein function. Nucleic Acids Res. 31, 3812–3814 (2003). · DOI
- Figliuzzi, M., Jacquier, H., Schug, A., Tenaillon, O. & Weigt, M. Coevolutionary landscape inference and the context-dependence of mutations in beta-lactamase TEM-1. Mol. Biol. Evol. 33, 268–280 (2016). · DOI
- Laine, E., Karami, Y. & Carbone, A. GEMME: a simple and fast global epistatic model predicting mutational effects. Mol. Biol. Evol. 36, 2604–2619 (2019). · DOI
- Riesselman, A. J., Ingraham, J. B. & Marks, D. S. Deep generative models of genetic variation capture the effects of mutations. Nat. Methods 15, 816–822 (2018). · DOI · Paper page
- Marquet, C. et al. Embeddings from protein language models predict conservation and variant effects. Hum. Genet 141, 1629–1647 (2022). · DOI
- Lin, Z. et al. Evolutionary-scale prediction of atomic-level protein structure with a language model. Science 379, 1123–1130 (2023). · DOI · Paper page
- Marquet, C., Schlensok, J., Abakarova, M., Rost, B. & Laine, E. Expert-guided protein language models enable accurate and blazingly fast fitness prediction. Bioinformatics 40, btae621 (2024). · DOI · Paper page
- Cheng, J. et al. Accurate proteome-wide missense variant effect prediction with AlphaMissense. Science 381, eadg7492 (2023). · DOI · Paper page
- Truong Jr, T. & Bepler, T. PoET: A generative model of protein families as sequences-of-sequences. : Adv. Neural Inf. Process. Syst. 36, 77379–77415 (2023).
- Su, J. et al. SaProt: protein language modeling with structure-aware vocabulary. https://doi.org/10.1101/2023.10.01.560349v5 (2024). · DOI
- Kircher, M. et al. A general framework for estimating the relative pathogenicity of human genetic variants. Nat. Genet 46, 310–315 (2014). · DOI · Paper page
- Pathak, A. K. et al. Pervasive ancestry bias in variant effect predictors. https://www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1101/2024.05.20.594987v3 (2025). · DOI
- Tekpinar, M., David, L., Henry, T. & Carbone, A. PRESCOTT: a population aware, epistatic, and structural model accurately predicts missense effects. Genome Biol. 26, 113 (2025). · DOI · Paper page
- Jagota, M. et al. Cross-protein transfer learning substantially improves disease variant prediction. Genome Biol. 24, 182 (2023). · DOI
- Tsishyn, M., Hermans, P., Pucci, F. & Rooman, M. Residue conservation and solvent accessibility are (almost) all you need for predicting mutational effects in proteins. https://doi.org/10.1101/2025.02.03.636212v1 (2025). · DOI
- Tan, Y., Wang, R., Wu, B., Hong, L. & Zhou, B. Retrieval-enhanced mutation mastery: Augmenting zero-shot prediction of protein language model. http://arxiv.org/abs/2410.21127 (2024). · arXiv
- Livesey, B. J. & Marsh, J. A. Variant effect predictor correlation with functional assays is reflective of clinical classification performance. https://doi.org/10.1101/2024.05.12.593741v1 (2024). · DOI
- Livesey, B. J. & Marsh, J. A. Updated benchmarking of variant effect predictors using deep mutational scanning. Mol. Syst. Biol. 19, e11474 (2023). · DOI
- Notin, P. et al. ProteinGym: large-scale benchmarks for protein fitness prediction and design. Adv. Neural Inf. Process. Syst. 36, 64331–64379 (2023).
- Choi, Y. & Chan, A. P. PROVEAN web server: a tool to predict the functional effect of amino acid substitutions and indels. Bioinformatics 31, 2745–2747 (2015). · DOI
- Abildgaard, A. B. et al. Lynch syndrome, molecular mechanisms and variant classification. Br. J. Cancer 128, 726–734 (2023). · DOI
- Cagiada, M. et al. Discovering functionally important sites in proteins. Nat. Commun. 14, 4175 (2023). · DOI
- Gersing, S. et al. A comprehensive map of human glucokinase variant activity. Genome Biol. 24, 97 (2023). · DOI · Paper page
- Tsuboyama, K. et al. Mega-scale experimental analysis of protein folding stability in biology and design. Nature 620, 434–444 (2023). · DOI · Paper page
- Abakarova, M., Marquet, C., Rera, M., Rost, B. & Laine, E. Alignment-based protein mutational landscape prediction: doing more with less. Genome Biol. Evol. 15, evad201 (2023). · DOI · Paper page
- Mackay, T. F. C. et al. The Drosophila melanogaster genetic reference panel. Nature 482, 173–178 (2012). · DOI
- Nunez, J. C. B. et al. Footprints of worldwide adaptation in structured populations of Drosophila melanogaster through the expanded DEST 2.0 genomic resource. Mol. Biol. Evol. 42, msaf132 (2025). · DOI
- Öztürk Çolak, A. et al. FlyBase: updates to the Drosophila genes and genomes database. Genetics 227, iyad211 (2024). · DOI
- Rubin, G. M. et al. Comparative genomics of the eukaryotes. Science 287, 2204–2215 (2000). · DOI · Paper page
- Steinegger, M. & Söding, J. MMseqs2 enables sensitive protein sequence searching for the analysis of massive data sets. Nat. Biotechnol. 35, 1026–1028 (2017). · DOI · Paper page
- Mirdita, M. et al. ColabFold: making protein folding accessible to all. Nat. Methods 19, 679–682 (2022). · DOI · Paper page
- Oh, H. & Irvine, K. D. Yorkie: the final destination of hippo signaling. Trends Cell Biol. 20, 410–417 (2010). · DOI
- Brogiolo, W. et al. An evolutionarily conserved function of the Drosophila insulin receptor and insulin-like peptides in growth control. Curr. Biol. 11, 213–221 (2001). · DOI · Paper page
- Sim, N.-L. et al. SIFT web server: predicting effects of amino acid substitutions on proteins. Nucleic Acids Res. 40, W452–457 (2012). · DOI
- Piovesan, D. et al. MobiDB: intrinsically disordered proteins in 2021. Nucleic Acids Res. 49, D361–D367 (2021). · DOI
- Hu, Y. et al. iProteinDB: an integrative database of Drosophila post-translational modifications. G3 9, 1–11 (2019). · DOI
- Berman, H. M. et al. The protein data bank. Nucleic Acids Res. 28, 235–242 (2000). · DOI · Paper page
- Mesrouze, Y. et al. Dissection of the interaction between the intrinsically disordered YAP protein and the transcription factor TEAD. Elife 6, e25068 (2017). · DOI
- Maidstone, R., Hocking, T., Rigaill, G. & Fearnhead, P. On optimal multiple changepoint algorithms for large data. Stat. Comput 27, 519–533 (2017). · DOI
- Rigaill, G. fpopw: Weighted Segmentation using Functional Pruning and Optimal Partioning. https://CRAN.R-project.org/package=fpopw (2022). · DOI
- Kumar, M. et al. ELM-the eukaryotic linear motif resource-2024 update. Nucleic Acids Res. 52, D442–D455 (2024). · DOI
- Gray, V. E. & Kumar, S. Rampant purifying selection conserves positions with posttranslational modifications in human proteins. Mol. Biol. Evol. 28, 1565–1568 (2011). · DOI
- Landry, C. R., Levy, E. D. & Michnick, S. W. Weak functional constraints on phosphoproteomes. Trends Genet. 25, 193–197 (2009). · DOI
- Kalodimou, K. et al. Separable roles for neur and ubiquitin in delta signalling in the Drosophila CNS lineages. Cells 12, 2833 (2023). · DOI
- Montero, L. et al. Conserved cysteine-switches for redox sensing operate in the cyclin-dependent kinase inhibitor p21(CIP/KIP) protein family. Free Radic. Biol. Med. 224, 494–505 (2024). · DOI
- Carroll, B. et al. Oxidation of SQSTM1/p62 mediates the link between redox state and protein homeostasis. Nat. Commun. 9, 256 (2018). · DOI
- Erdös, G., Mészáros, B., Reichmann, D. & Dosztányi, Z. Large-scale analysis of redox-sensitive conditionally disordered protein regions reveals their widespread nature and key roles in high-level eukaryotic processes. Proteomics 19, e1800070 (2019). · DOI
- Nguyen Ba, A. N. et al. Proteome-wide discovery of evolutionary conserved sequences in disordered regions. Sci. Signal. 5, rs1 (2012). · DOI
- Mehdiabadi, M. et al. Critical assessment of protein intrinsic disorder (caid) round 3 – predicting disorder in the era of protein language models. Proteins. https://doi.org/10.1002/prot.70045 (2025). · DOI
- Luo, H. et al. The Drosophila Jak kinase hopscotch is required for multiple developmental processes in the eye. Dev. Biol. 213, 432–441 (1999). · DOI
- Davey, N. E. et al. SLiMPrints: conservation-based discovery of functional motif fingerprints in intrinsically disordered protein regions. Nucleic Acids Res. 40, 10628–10641 (2012). · DOI
- Liehrmann, A. et al. DiffSegR: an RNA-seq data driven method for differential expression analysis using changepoint detection. NAR Genom. Bioinform. 5, lqad098 (2023). · DOI
- Liehrmann, A., Rigaill, G. & Hocking, T. D. Increased peak detection accuracy in over-dispersed ChIP-seq data with supervised segmentation models. BMC Bioinforma. 22, 323 (2021). · DOI
- Tricoire, H. et al. The steroid hormone receptor EcR finely modulates Drosophila lifespan during adulthood in a sex-specific manner. Mech. Ageing Dev. 130, 547–552 (2009). · DOI
- Rera, M., Monnier, V. & Tricoire, H. Mitochondrial electron transport chain dysfunction during development does not extend lifespan in Drosophila melanogaster. Mech. Ageing Dev. 131, 156–164 (2010). · DOI
- Hand, D. J. Review of mixture models: Inference and applications to clustering. J. R. Stat. Soc. C 38, 384–385 (1989). · DOI
- Suzek, B. E. et al. UniRef clusters: a comprehensive and scalable alternative for improving sequence similarity searches. Bioinformatics 31, 926–932 (2015). · DOI · Paper page
- Steinegger, M. et al. HH-suite3 for fast remote homology detection and deep protein annotation. BMC Bioinform. 20, 473 (2019). · DOI · Paper page
- Engelen, S., Trojan, L. A., Sacquin-Mora, S., Lavery, R. & Carbone, A. Joint evolutionary trees: a large-scale method to predict protein interfaces based on sequence sampling. PLoS Comput. Biol. 5, e1000267 (2009). · DOI
- Notin, P. et al. TranceptEVE: combining family-specific and family-agnostic models of protein sequences for improved fitness prediction. https://doi.org/10.1101/2022.12.07.519495v2 (2022). · DOI
- Dempster, A. P., Laird, N. M. & Rubin, D. B. Maximum likelihood from incomplete data via the EM algorithm. J. R. Stat. Soc. B (Methodological) 39, 1–38 (1977). · DOI · Paper page
- Pedregosa, F. et al. Scikit-learn: machine learning in Python. J. Mach. Learn. Res. 12, 2825–2830 (2011).
- HALL, P., KAY, J. W. & TITTERINGTON, D. M. Asymptotically optimal difference-based estimation of variance in nonparametric regression. Biometrika 77, 521–528 (1990). · DOI
- Wojdyr, M. GEMMI: a library for structural biology. J. Open Source Softw. 7, 4200 (2022). · DOI
- Sehnal, D. et al. Mol* viewer: modern web app for 3d visualization and analysis of large biomolecular structures. Nucleic Acids Res. https://academic.oup.com/nar/article/49/W1/W431/6270780?login=false (2021). · DOI · Paper page
- Herrmann, C., Van de Sande, B., Potier, D. & Aerts, S. i-cisTarget: an integrative genomics method for the prediction of regulatory features and cis-regulatory modules. Nucleic Acids Res. 40, e114 (2012). · DOI
- Marletta, A. S. et al. Crystal structure of human nicotinic acid phosphoribosyltransferase. FEBS Open Bio 5, 419–428 (2015). · DOI
- Abakarova, M., Freiberger, M. I., Liehrmann, A., Rera, M. & Laine, E. Proteome-wide prediction of the functional impact of missense variants with ProteoCast. https://github.com/abakarovaMarina/ProteoCast. Available at https://github.com/abakarovaMarina/ProteoCast (2026). · DOI
- Landrum, M. J. et al. ClinVar: public archive of interpretations of clinically relevant variants. Nucleic Acids Res. 44, D862–D868 (2016). · DOI · Paper page
- Valanne, S., Vesala, L., Maasdorp, M. K., Salminen, T. S. & Rämet, M. The Drosophila Toll pathway in innate immunity: from the core pathway toward effector functions. J. Immunol. 209, 1817–1825 (2022). · DOI
Metadata
- Authors
- Abakarova, M., Freiberger, M. I., Liehrmann, A., Rera, M., & Laine, E.
- Affiliations
- Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (FR)
- Venue
- Nature Communications
- Published
- 2026-04-27
- Volume
- 17
- Issue
- 1
- Pages
- 3813
- ISSN
- 2041-1723 (ISSN-L)
- PMC
- PMC13121731
- OpenAlex
- W4407312172
- Cited by
- 5
- References
- 6
- Citations by year
- 2026: 4
- FWCI
- 16.01
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- gold
- doi.org
- Licence
- Locations
- Nature Communications (publishedVersion, cc-by-nc-nd)
- bioRxiv (Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory) (acceptedVersion, cc-by-nc-nd)
- Research Square (acceptedVersion, cc-by)
- PubMed Central (publishedVersion, cc-by-nc-nd)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- HAL (submittedVersion)
- HAL (submittedVersion, cc-by-nc-nd)
- DOAJ (DOAJ: Directory of Open Access Journals) (submittedVersion)
- Funders
- European Commission (101087830)
- Agence Nationale de la Recherche (ANR-20-CE44-0010)
- Sorbonne Université
- Topics
- Life Sciences › Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology › Genetics › Genomics and Rare Diseases
- Life Sciences › Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology › Molecular Biology › Genomics and Phylogenetic Studies
- Life Sciences › Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology › Molecular Biology › Protein Structure and Dynamics
- Keywords
- protein sequence conservation, evolutionary conservation, lethal mutations, protein modification sites, protein binding motifs, genotype-phenotype correlation, protein annotation
- MeSH terms
- Gene Editing, Animals, Drosophila melanogaster, Computational Biology, Mutation, Missense, Proteome, Drosophila Proteins, Proteomics
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review