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Risk of increased food insecurity under stringent global climate change mitigation policy
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“Several of the selected studies present food security projections at the broad regional level 13,64,67 that clearly indicate different patterns and futures, which we are unable to analyse.”
From A meta-analysis of projected global food demand and population at risk of hunger for the period 2010–2050 (2021) · cites this paper as [67]
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Cites
An Overview of CMIP5 and the Experiment Design
Taylor, K. E., Stouffer, R. J., & Meehl, G. A. (2012) · Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society · doi:10.1175/bams-d-11-00094.1 · Cited by 14,052
Riahi, K., van Vuuren, D. P., Kriegler, E., Edmonds, J., O’Neill, B. C., Fujimori, S., Bauer, N., Calvin, K., Dellink, R., Fricko, O., et al. (2017) · Global Environmental Change · doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.05.009 · Cited by 6,607
Self-citationThe DSSAT cropping system model
Jones, J. W., Hoogenboom, G., Porter, C. H., Boote, K. J., Batchelor, W. D., Hunt, L. A., Wilkens, P. W., Singh, U., Gijsman, A. J., & Ritchie, J. T. (2003) · European Journal of Agronomy · doi:10.1016/s1161-0301(02)00107-7 · Cited by 4,465
Computer Models of Watershed Hydrology
Singh, V. P. (1995) · Medical Entomology and Zoology · Cited by 3,273
A new scenario framework for climate change research: the concept of shared socioeconomic pathways
O’Neill, B. C., Kriegler, E., Riahi, K., Ebi, K. L., Hallegatte, S., Carter, T. R., Mathur, R., & van Vuuren, D. P. (2014) · Climatic Change · doi:10.1007/s10584-013-0905-2 · Cited by 2,716
Rising temperatures reduce global wheat production
Asseng, S., Ewert, F., Martre, P., Rötter, R. P., Lobell, D. B., Cammarano, D., Kimball, B. A., Ottman, M. J., Wall, G. W., White, J. W., et al. (2015) · Nature Climate Change · doi:10.1038/nclimate2470 · Cited by 2,491
Potential impact of climate change on world food supply
Rosenzweig, C. E., & Parry, M. L. (1994) · Nature · doi:10.1038/367133a0 · Cited by 1,918
Modelling the role of agriculture for the 20th century global terrestrial carbon balance
Bondeau, A., Smith, P. L., Zaehle, S., Schaphoff, S., Lucht, W., Crämer, W., Gerten, D., Lotze‐Campen, H., Müller, C., Reichstein, M., et al. (2006) · Global Change Biology · doi:10.1111/j.1365-2486.2006.01305.x · Cited by 1,333
Self-citationHerrero, M., Havlík, P., Valin, H., Notenbaert, A., Rufino, M. C., Thornton, P. K., Blümmel, M., Weiss, F., Grace, D., & Obersteiner, M. (2013) · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1073/pnas.1308149110 · Cited by 1,254
Self-citationThe Inter-Sectoral Impact Model Intercomparison Project (ISI–MIP): Project framework
Warszawski, L., Frieler, K., Huber, V., Piontek, F., Serdeczny, O., & Schewe, J. (2014) · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1073/pnas.1312330110 · Cited by 1,253
Research works printed but not linked: 2
- Food Security Indicators (FAO, 2016); https://go.nature.com/2NUkSXG
- Fujimori S. et al. in Post-2020 Climate Action: Global and Asian Perspectives (eds Fujimori, S. & Masui, T.) 11–29 (Springer, Singapore, 2017).
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van Dijk, M., Morley, T., Rau, M. L., & Saghai, Y. (2021) · Nature Food · doi:10.1038/s43016-021-00322-9 · Cited by 2,339
The Imperative for Climate Action to Protect Health
Haines, A., & Ebi, K. L. (2019) · New England Journal of Medicine · doi:10.1056/nejmra1807873 · Cited by 939
Impacts of climate change on the livestock food supply chain; a review of the evidence
Godde, C., Mason-D’Croz, D., Mayberry, D., Thornton, P. K., & Herrero, M. (2021) · Global Food Security · doi:10.1016/j.gfs.2020.100488 · Cited by 912
Self-citationGlobal Environment Outlook – GEO-6: Healthy Planet, Healthy People
McClain, S. N., McMullen, C., Abiodun, B. J., Armiento, G., Bailey, R., Balasubramanian, R., Barra, R., Bowen, K. J., Crump, J., Dankelman, I., et al. (2019) · Cambridge University Press eBooks · doi:10.1017/9781108627146 · Cited by 748
Achievements and needs for the climate change scenario framework
O’Neill, B. C., Carter, T. R., Ebi, K. L., Harrison, P. A., Kemp-Benedict, E. J., Kok, K. I., Kriegler, E., Preston, B. L., Riahi, K., Sillmann, J., et al. (2020) · Nature Climate Change · doi:10.1038/s41558-020-00952-0 · Cited by 666
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Metadata
- Authors
- Hasegawa, T., Fujimori, S., Havlík, P., Valin, H., Bodirsky, B. L., Doelman, J. C., Fellmann, T., Kyle, P., Koopman, J. F. L., Lotze-Campen, H., Mason-D’Croz, D., Ochi, Y., Pérez Domínguez, I., Stehfest, E., Sulser, T. B., Tabeau, A., Takahashi, K., Takakura, J., van Meijl, H., van Zeist, W.-J., Wiebe, K., & Witzke, P.
- Affiliations
- International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (AT)
- Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (DE)
- Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency (NL)
- Joint Research Center (ES)
- Joint Global Change Research Institute (US)
- Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation (AU)
- International Food Policy Research Institute (US)
- Wageningen University & Research (NL)
- National Institute for Environmental Studies (JP)
- University of Bonn (DE)
- Corresponding author
- Hasegawa, Tomoko
- ORCID
- Venue
- Nature Climate Change
- Published
- 2018-07-30
- Volume
- 8
- Issue
- 8
- Pages
- 699-703
- ISSN
- 1758-678X (ISSN-L)
- 1758-6798
- OpenAlex
- W2884629410
- Cited by
- 564
- References
- 40
- Citations by year
- 2026: 46 · 2025: 70 · 2024: 92 · 2023: 105 · 2022: 80 · 2021: 65 · 2020: 52 · 2019: 47 · 2018: 6
- FWCI
- 35.90
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- green
- research.wur.nl
- Licence
- www.springer.com/tdm (tdm)
- Locations
- Nature Climate Change (publishedVersion)
- Socio-Environmental Systems Modeling (acceptedVersion)
- IIASA PURE (International Institute of Applied Systems Analysis) (submittedVersion)
- RePEc: Research Papers in Economics (submittedVersion)
- IFPRI E-brary (International Food Policy Research Institute) (submittedVersion)
- CGSPace A Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (Consultative Group for International Agricultural Research) (submittedVersion)
- Utrecht University Repository (Utrecht University) (submittedVersion)
- International Food Policy Research Institute (International Food Policy Research Institute) (submittedVersion)
- Joint Research Centre (European Commission) (submittedVersion)
- Publication Database PIK (Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK)) (submittedVersion, other-oa)
- Data Archiving and Networked Services (DANS) (submittedVersion)
- Funders
- Environmental Restoration and Conservation Agency (2-1702)
- European Commission (EU-H2020, HORIZON2020, 689150, H2020, 633692)
- Consortium of International Agricultural Research Centers
- Horizon 2020 Framework Programme (689150, 633692, EU‐H2020)
- Joint Research Centre
- Japan Society for the Promotion of Science
- Topics
- Life Sciences › Agricultural and Biological Sciences › Agronomy and Crop Science › Climate change impacts on agriculture
- Social Sciences › Economics, Econometrics and Finance › Economics and Econometrics › Climate Change Policy and Economics
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Ecology › Agriculture Sustainability and Environmental Impact
- Keywords
- food insecurity, climate change mitigation policy, greenhouse gas emissions reduction, carbon pricing, agricultural commodity prices, hunger risk, food production costs, low-income regions, sub-Saharan Africa, South Asia, climate change impacts on agriculture
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