The DOI matches its Crossref record; 15 of the 15 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
Impact of declining renewable energy costs on electrification in low-emission scenarios
Open accessAbstract
Cost degression in photovoltaics, wind-power and battery storage has been faster than previously anticipated. In the future, climate policy to limit global warming to 1.5–2 °C will make carbon-based fuels increasingly scarce and expensive. Here we show that further progress in solar- and wind-power technology along with carbon pricing to reach the Paris Climate targets could make electricity cheaper than carbon-based fuels. In combination with demand-side innovation, for instance in e-mobility and heat pumps, this is likely to induce a fundamental transformation of energy systems towards a dominance of electricity-based end uses. In a 1.5 °C scenario with limited availability of bioenergy and carbon dioxide removal, electricity could account for 66% of final energy by mid-century, three times the current levels and substantially higher than in previous climate policy scenarios assessed by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. The lower production of bioenergy in our high-electrification scenarios markedly reduces energy-related land and water requirements. The impact of rapidly falling costs of renewable energy and battery technology on long-term climate stabilization pathways is not well understood. Luderer et al. show that reduced renewable costs and climate policies will make electricity the cheapest energy carrier and can lead to electricity accounting for nearly two-thirds of global energy use by mid-century.
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Cites
Carbon capture and storage (CCS): the way forward
Bui, M., Adjiman, C. S., Bardow, A., Anthony, E. J., Boston, A., Brown, S., Fennell, P. S., Fuss, S., Galindo, A., Hackett, L. A., et al. (2018) · Energy & Environmental Science · doi:10.1039/c7ee02342a · Cited by 4,374
The role of hydrogen and fuel cells in the global energy system
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Self-citationNet-zero emissions energy systems
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Rapidly falling costs of battery packs for electric vehicles
Nykvist, B., & Nilsson, M. (2015) · Nature Climate Change · doi:10.1038/nclimate2564 · Cited by 1,819
The trouble with negative emissions
Anderson, K., & Peters, G. (2016) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.aah4567 · Cited by 1,252
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The underestimated potential of solar energy to mitigate climate change
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Self-citationEnergy system transformations for limiting end-of-century warming to below 1.5 °C
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Self-citationTerawatt-scale photovoltaics: Transform global energy
Haegel, N. M., Atwater, H., Barnes, T., Breyer, C., Burrell, A., Chiang, Y.-M., De Wolf, S., Dimmler, B., Feldman, D., Glunz, S., et al. (2019) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.aaw1845 · Cited by 560
Cited by
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Probabilistic feasibility space of scaling up green hydrogen supply
Odenweller, A., Ueckerdt, F., Nemet, G. F., Jensterle, M., & Luderer, G. (2022) · Nature Energy · doi:10.1038/s41560-022-01097-4 · Cited by 526
Self-citationDesigning a sector-coupled European energy system robust to 60 years of historical weather data
Gøtske, E. K., Andresen, G. B., Neumann, F., & Victoria, M. (2024) · Nature Communications · doi:10.1038/s41467-024-54853-3 · Cited by 92
Bioinspired and Bioderived Aqueous Electrocatalysis
Barrio, J., Pedersen, A., Favero, S., Luo, H., Wang, M., Sarma, S. C., Feng, J., Ngoc, L. T. T., Kellner, S., Li, A. Y., et al. (2023) · Chemical Reviews · doi:10.1021/acs.chemrev.2c00429 · Cited by 80
Göke, L., Wimmers, A., & von Hirschhausen, C. (2025) · Energy Strategy Reviews · doi:10.1016/j.esr.2025.101782 · Cited by 36
Metadata
- Authors
- Luderer, G., Madeddu, S., Merfort, L., Ueckerdt, F., Pehl, M., Pietzcker, R., Rottoli, M., Schreyer, F., Bauer, N., Baumstark, L., Bertram, C., Dirnaichner, A., Humpenöder, F., Levesque, A., Popp, A., Rodrigues, R., Strefler, J., & Kriegler, E.
- Venue
- Nature Energy
- Published
- 2021-11-25
- Volume
- 7
- Issue
- 1
- Pages
- 32-42
- ISSN
- 2058-7546 (ISSN-L)
- OpenAlex
- W3214818849
- Cited by
- 565
- References
- 15
- FWCI
- 22.47
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- hybrid
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- Luderer, G., Madeddu, S., Merfort, L., Ueckerdt, F., Pehl, M., Pietzcker, R., Rottoli, M., Schreyer, F., Bauer, N., Baumstark, L., Bertram, C., Dirnaichner, A., Humpenöder, F., Levesque, A., Popp, A., Rodrigues, R., Strefler, J., & Kriegler, E. (2021). Impact of declining renewable energy costs on electrification in low-emission scenarios. Nature Energy. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41560-021-00937-z
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Contains information from the Semantic Scholar Academic Graph Datasets, made available under the ODC Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0).
Semantic Scholar’s data is described in: Kinney, R., et al. (2023). The Semantic Scholar Open Data Platform. arXiv:2301.10140.
