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Evidence from Finland and Sweden on the relationship between early-life diseases and lifetime childlessness in men and women
Abstract
The percentage of people without children over their lifetime is approximately 25% in men and 20% in women. Individual diseases have been linked to childlessness, mostly in women, yet we lack a comprehensive picture of the effect of early-life diseases on lifetime childlessness. We examined all individuals born in 1956–1968 (men) and 1956–1973 (women) in Finland (n = 1,035,928) and Sweden (n = 1,509,092) to the completion of their reproductive lifespan in 2018. Leveraging nationwide registers, we associated sociodemographic and reproductive information with 414 diseases across 16 categories, using a population and matched-pair case–control design of siblings discordant for childlessness (71,524 full sisters and 77,622 full brothers). The strongest associations were mental–behavioural disorders (particularly among men), congenital anomalies and endocrine–nutritional–metabolic disorders (strongest among women). We identified new associations for inflammatory and autoimmune diseases. Associations were dependent on age at onset and mediated by singlehood and education. This evidence can be used to understand how disease contributes to involuntary childlessness.
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“This highlights an evolutionary asymmetry: variants affecting early-life traits are more strongly shaped by selection due to their greater impact on reproductive fitness and survival19,37,60,61.”
From Genetic trade-offs in fertility and longevity explain the maintenance of disease-associated alleles in humans (2026) · cites this paper as [61]
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“This is consistent with previous studies showing that age at disease onset influences childlessness, with particularly strong effects when disease manifests during the reproductive years61.”
From Genetic trade-offs in fertility and longevity explain the maintenance of disease-associated alleles in humans (2026) · cites this paper as [61]
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How to perform a meta-analysis with R: a practical tutorial
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FinnGen provides genetic insights from a well-phenotyped isolated population
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“In the Nordic countries, there has been a positive association between men’s higher education and fertility 49,59 .”
Sobotka, T., & Toulemon, L. (2008) · Demographic Research · doi:10.4054/demres.2008.19.6 · Cited by 396
Childlessness in Europe: Reconstructing Long-Term Trends Among Women Born in 1900–1972
Sobotka, T. (2017) · Demographic Research Monographs · doi:10.1007/978-3-319-44667-7_2 · Cited by 181
te Velde, E., Habbema, D., Leridon, H., & Eijkemans, M. (2012) · Human Reproduction · doi:10.1093/humrep/der455 · Cited by 131
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Obel, C., Zhu, J. L., Olsen, J., Breining, S., Li, J., Grønborg, T. K., Gissler, M., & Rutter, M. (2016) · Journal of Child Psychology and Psychiatry · doi:10.1111/jcpp.12478 · Cited by 86 · cited 1×
“Sibling designs have been extensively used in analyses of Nordic registers and have several advantages over population-based designs 51,52 .”
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Brigos-Barril, E., Vasallo, C., Farré, X., Morcillo-Suárez, C., Polo-Alonso, S., Rodríguez-Fernández, B., Valenzuela, A., Sarabia, C., Bosch, E., Laayouni, H., et al. (2026) · Nature Ecology & Evolution · doi:10.1038/s41559-026-03140-z · Cited by 6
Metadata
- Authors
- Liu, A., Akimova, E. T., Ding, X., Jukarainen, S., Vartiainen, P., Kiiskinen, T., Koskelainen, S., Havulinna, A. S., Gissler, M., Lombardi, S., Fall, T., Mills, M. C., & Ganna, A.
- ORCID
- Venue
- Nature Human Behaviour
- Published
- 2023-12-18
- Volume
- 8
- Issue
- 2
- Pages
- 276-287
- ISSN
- 2397-3374
- PMC
- PMC10896715
- Cited by
- 31
- References
- 8
- Language
- en
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